Realized P&L (90d)
Unrealized P&L
-$63
Hit rate
Resolved (90d)
0
Trades (90d)
12
12 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$705
$705 lifetime
Avg / trade
$59
Open exposure
$775
7 positions
First seen
2026-05-11
last 05-14 00:59
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
100%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
3 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes -650 $-444 72¢ $-469 $-24 05-13 22:30
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? Yes -650 $-105 16¢ $-101 +$5 05-13 22:30
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027? Yes -650 $-41 14¢ $-88 $-47 05-13 22:30
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026? Yes +115 $65 63¢ $72 +$7 05-13 22:31
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +115 $35 28¢ $32 $-3 05-13 22:31
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? No +15 $13 84¢ $13 +$0 05-14 00:59
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.5% at the end of 2026? Yes +15 $1 $1 $-0 05-14 00:59