Realized P&L
+$241
Unrealized P&L
-$1
Hit rate
71.5%
Resolved
20
Trades
53
lifetime
Volume
$1.20K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$23
Open exposure
$391
12 positions
First seen
2026-10-06
last 11-10 05:27
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 12 days
Categories
Politics
66% 88% +$254
Other
34% 42% -$13
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
19 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +218 $140 62¢ $135 -$5 11-08 21:29
Will Yashar be in the next Israeli government? Yes +95 $47 80¢ $76 +$29 11-04 07:02
Maccabi Tel Aviv vs. Hapoel Tel Aviv Hapoel Tel Aviv +94 $60 64¢ $60 $0 11-10 05:27
Will Together be in the next Israeli government? Yes +43 $30 77¢ $33 +$3 11-04 07:01
Next Israeli government formed by November 30, 2026? Yes +286 $20 10¢ $30 +$10 11-04 07:02
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil, Benjamin Netanyahu become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate? Yes +128 $10 19¢ $24 +$14 10-19 12:47
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain? Yes +109 $10 8¢ $8 -$2 11-06 15:42
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22? No +85 $20 10¢ $8 -$12 11-08 20:28
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? Yes +23 $10 34¢ $8 -$2 11-06 05:41
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +1,373 $10 0¢ $6 -$4 11-06 06:53
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? No +62 $10 4¢ $2 -$8 11-07 21:38
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? No +222 $25 0¢ $0 -$25 11-06 06:50