Cavernous-Malice — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$557

Unrealized P&L

-$6

Hit rate

59.4%

Resolved

Trades

106

lifetime

Volume

$2.85K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$27

Open exposure

$69

3 positions

First seen

2026-02-11

last 08-27 00:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 41 days

Categories

Sports

55% 42% -$219

Other

29% 52% -$266

Politics

16% 38% -$72

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	+78	$30	63¢	$49	+$19	06-18 15:30
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	+119	$25	14¢	$16	-$9	06-22 13:46
Will Darryn Peterson win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?	Yes	+133	$20	3¢	$4	-$16	06-30 16:49

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
nba was cle 2026 02 11	2	$211	111	111	+0	Cavaliers	+$11	02-12 02:29
nba 2025 26 southeast division winner orlando magic	2	$208	189	189	+0	No	+$8	03-15 14:52
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	3	$139	160	160	+0	No	+$9	04-17 13:49
us x iran meeting by february 13 2026 452	2	$129	79	79	+0	No	-$1	02-11 02:21
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	1	$101	0	285	-285	Yes	-$184	06-01 12:26
elc qpr bbr 2026 02 14 total 2pt5	2	$66	47	47	+0	Over	+$26	02-14 15:53
will kon knueppel win the 2026 nba 3 point contest	2	$65	40	40	+0	No	+$15	02-15 01:21
nba dal ind 2026 02 22 spread away 1pt5	2	$60	40	40	+0	Mavericks	+$20	02-23 00:49
nba bkn atl 2026 02 22 spread home 9pt5	3	$60	40	40	+0	Hawks	+$20	02-23 00:48
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	2	$58	34	34	+0	Yes	+$8	02-28 20:09
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	2	$54	33	33	+0	Yes	+$10	03-21 23:00
NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Hurricanes vs. Senators	2	$52	33	32	+0	Canes	+$13	04-25 23:47
us x iran meeting by february 28 2026	1	$50	62	0	+62	Yes	+$12	02-11 02:16
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?	1	$50	81	0	+81	No	-$50	04-17 13:12
2026 nba all star player to hit half court shot	1	$50	67	0	+67	No	+$17	02-11 02:18
cbb stmn den 2026 02 21	2	$47	54	54	+0	Denver Pioneers	+$7	02-22 00:44
cbb marsh coast 2026 02 21	1	$43	0	43	-43	Coastal Carolina Chanticleers	$0	02-21 20:24
cbb no lamar 2026 02 21	2	$43	49	49	+0	New Orleans Privateers	+$3	02-22 00:46
will jamal murray win the 2026 nba 3 point contest	2	$42	22	22	+0	No	+$2	02-15 01:22
nhl 2025 26 art ross trophy connor mcdavid winner	2	$40	121	0	+121	Yes	+$81	02-12 01:37
nhl 2025 26 art ross trophy nathan mackinnon winner	2	$40	133	0	+133	No	-$40	02-12 01:37
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	2	$39	35	35	+0	No	-$11	05-23 20:18
Will Iga Swiatek win the 2026 Women’s US Open?	1	$30	188	0	+188	No	-$30	08-27 00:40
Will Darryn Peterson be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft?	1	$30	179	0	+179	No	-$30	05-12 01:33
Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	1	$30	136	0	+136	No	-$30	05-10 17:46
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open?	1	$30	107	0	+107	No	-$30	08-27 00:37
efa sto ful 2026 02 15 total 2pt5	1	$30	57	0	+57	Over	+$27	02-15 01:38
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	1	$30	78	0	+78	open	—	06-18 15:30
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?	1	$30	46	0	+46	No	-$30	06-30 16:48
bun dor mai 2026 02 13 total 2pt5	2	$30	37	37	+0	Over	$0	02-13 17:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-27 00:40:22	Will Iga Swiatek win the 2026 Women’s US Open?	Yes	BUY	188	16¢	$30	0x34a3e2…
08-27 00:37:31	Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open?	Yes	BUY	107	28¢	$30	0x455cbd…
08-27 00:34:09	Will Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 National League Championship Series?	No	BUY	42	59¢	$25	0x4225d8…
08-27 00:34:01	Will New York Yankees win the 2026 American League Championship Series?	No	BUY	32	78¢	$25	0xb4e926…
06-30 16:51:28	Will the Golden State Warriors be the 2027 NBA Western Conference Champion?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x25e144…
06-30 16:49:49	Will Darryn Peterson win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?	Yes	BUY	133	15¢	$20	0x7aa8b5…
06-30 16:48:44	Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	46	65¢	$30	0xea9837…
06-22 13:46:44	Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	119	21¢	$25	0x15789f…
06-18 15:30:35	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	78	38¢	$30	0x789a60…
06-03 01:09:21	Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	119	8¢	$10	0x4ac3da…
06-03 01:00:02	Will Karl-Anthony Towns win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?	Yes	BUY	218	5¢	$10	0x4d2d74…
06-01 12:26:32	Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	285	36¢	$101	0x9dd3fe…
05-26 23:49:22	Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	BUY	294	5¢	$15	0x414664…
05-23 20:18:40	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	35	41¢	$14	0x3f03b4…
05-18 20:16:22	Will Cade Cunningham win the 2026 Eastern Conference Finals MVP?	Yes	SELL	80	0¢	$0	0xc5ce6f…
05-17 23:52:56	Will Cade Cunningham win the 2026 Eastern Conference Finals MVP?	Yes	BUY	80	25¢	$20	0x5cc0cf…
05-15 11:30:58	Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	SELL	132	13¢	$17	0xf2436f…
05-12 01:33:47	Will Darryn Peterson be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft?	Yes	BUY	179	17¢	$30	0xb1484c…
05-10 17:46:22	Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	136	22¢	$30	0x402d24…
05-10 00:17:59	Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	312	2¢	$5	0xffd668…
05-08 20:15:26	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0x060ff2…
04-28 13:38:56	Will Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 National League Championship Series?	Yes	SELL	251	0¢	$0	0x6f877c…
04-25 23:47:24	NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Hurricanes vs. Senators	Canes	SELL	32	100¢	$32	0xe6e5ce…
04-18 15:43:42	Will Nott'm Forest win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?	Yes	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x862a44…
04-18 15:14:16	NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Hurricanes vs. Senators	Canes	BUY	33	61¢	$20	0xba72e9…
04-18 15:13:14	NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Timberwolves vs. Nuggets	Nuggets	BUY	27	75¢	$20	0xfb4c74…
04-17 13:49:48	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	SELL	160	46¢	$74	0xb202c2…
04-17 13:24:02	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	72¢	$25	0x4c8258…
04-17 13:12:04	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?	Yes	BUY	81	61¢	$50	0xb97e91…
04-17 13:10:54	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	69	58¢	$40	0xee588b…
04-03 23:35:35	will arizona win the 2026 ncaa tournament	Yes	SELL	78	32¢	$25	0x40a0af…
03-21 23:00:21	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	91	27¢	$25	0x248455…
03-21 23:00:05	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	Yes	SELL	33	97¢	$32	0x851e94…
03-16 01:11:41	Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	BUY	169	6¢	$10	0xca57a3…
03-15 14:52:13	nba 2025 26 southeast division winner orlando magic	Yes	SELL	189	57¢	$108	0x5d9017…
03-12 01:59:33	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	Yes	BUY	33	67¢	$22	0x43c006…
02-28 20:09:17	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	34	96¢	$33	0xb74a92…
02-28 15:09:33	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	34	73¢	$25	0xbde1f1…
02-27 14:36:07	nba 2025 26 pacific division winner los angeles lakers	Yes	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0xf39cfb…
02-27 14:35:41	Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	159	6¢	$10	0xf4aa21…
02-27 14:35:23	Will the Boston Celtics win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	Yes	BUY	72	21¢	$15	0x972456…
02-24 00:03:44	nba sac mem 2026 02 23 total 232pt5	Under	BUY	42	48¢	$20	0x384faa…
02-23 00:49:06	nba dal ind 2026 02 22 spread away 1pt5	Mavericks	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0xaa71f8…
02-23 00:48:58	nba bkn atl 2026 02 22 spread home 9pt5	Hawks	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0xa1efc8…
02-22 22:27:52	nba cha was 2026 02 22 total 226pt5	Over	BUY	43	47¢	$20	0x570d8b…
02-22 20:27:50	nba bkn atl 2026 02 22 spread home 9pt5	Hawks	BUY	36	49¢	$18	0x96a90e…
02-22 20:25:08	nba bkn atl 2026 02 22 spread home 9pt5	Hawks	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x39d9d5…
02-22 20:23:00	nba dal ind 2026 02 22 spread away 1pt5	Mavericks	BUY	40	51¢	$20	0x7318e9…
02-22 00:46:20	cbb no lamar 2026 02 21	New Orleans Privateers	SELL	49	47¢	$23	0x6baaef…
02-22 00:44:18	cbb stmn den 2026 02 21	Denver Pioneers	SELL	54	51¢	$27	0x1050e1…
02-22 00:38:20	nba hou nyk 2026 02 21 total 219pt5	Under	BUY	41	49¢	$20	0xe4ca6d…
02-22 00:37:42	nba mem mia 2026 02 21 total 236pt5	Under	BUY	43	46¢	$20	0xdb6c2e…
02-21 20:24:48	cbb marsh coast 2026 02 21	Coastal Carolina Chanticleers	SELL	43	100¢	$43	0xcc5486…
02-21 20:24:22	cbb stan cah 2026 02 21	Stanford Cardinal	BUY	43	47¢	$20	0x5bfd24…
02-21 20:24:04	cbb no lamar 2026 02 21	New Orleans Privateers	BUY	49	41¢	$20	0x062fb8…
02-21 20:23:38	cbb stmn den 2026 02 21	Denver Pioneers	BUY	54	37¢	$20	0x17216d…
02-20 20:53:16	nba lac lal 2026 02 20	Lakers	BUY	28	72¢	$20	0xa942d0…
02-20 19:17:46	cbb niagra mstm 2026 02 20 spread home 6pt5	Niagara Purple Eagles	BUY	42	48¢	$20	0x071390…
02-20 18:46:14	nba den por 2026 02 20 total 241pt5	Over	BUY	41	49¢	$20	0x039221…
02-20 14:23:16	nba ind was 2026 02 20 total 231pt5	Over	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0xf65e7a…
02-19 01:43:12	nba ind was 2026 02 19	Pacers	BUY	34	59¢	$20	0xc6c624…
02-19 01:21:54	nba orl sac 2026 02 19 spread away 8pt5	Kings	BUY	41	49¢	$20	0x1c28ed…
02-18 23:19:54	cbb ncc scarst 2026 02 18 total 136pt5	Under	BUY	43	47¢	$20	0x919d41…
02-17 23:09:59	cbb ncar ncst 2026 02 17 total 158pt5	Over	BUY	44	45¢	$20	0x6e9fc2…
02-17 23:09:29	cbb vtech mia 2026 02 17 total 150pt5	Over	BUY	45	44¢	$20	0xfb696e…
02-16 21:08:53	cbb hou iowast 2026 02 16 total 134pt5	Under	BUY	42	48¢	$20	0x716060…
02-16 21:06:21	cbb syra duke 2026 02 16 total 142pt5	Under	BUY	42	47¢	$20	0xb7f719…
02-16 17:28:39	lal gir bar 2026 02 16 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0x187330…
02-16 17:28:13	lal gir bar 2026 02 16 spread away 1pt5	Girona FC	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0xbbea9e…
02-16 14:43:17	Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the Pacific Division?	Yes	BUY	33	60¢	$20	0xe09783…
02-15 23:21:27	nba world stripes 2026 02 15	Team World	BUY	34	59¢	$20	0x84276e…
02-15 22:51:47	nba world stripes 2026 02 15 total 81pt5	Under	BUY	31	64¢	$20	0x41caa9…
02-15 22:19:59	will karl anthony towns win the 2026 nba all star game mvp 935	Yes	BUY	132	8¢	$10	0x630a06…
02-15 22:19:53	will jamal murray win the 2026 nba all star game mvp 412	Yes	BUY	127	12¢	$15	0xc038c2…
02-15 21:28:57	nba 2025 26 atlantic division winner new york knicks	Yes	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x54148e…
02-15 21:27:47	Will the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	Yes	BUY	112	18¢	$20	0xb96eb5…
02-15 14:42:49	Will the Denver Nuggets win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	Yes	BUY	118	17¢	$20	0xa64ff2…
02-15 01:42:53	efa gri2 wol 2026 02 15 wol	Yes	BUY	29	68¢	$20	0x29bb37…
02-15 01:38:15	efa sto ful 2026 02 15 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	57	53¢	$30	0x8a9581…
02-15 01:25:15	efa ars wig 2026 02 15 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	90	22¢	$20	0x9f4a7b…
02-15 01:22:05	will jamal murray win the 2026 nba 3 point contest	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x350ec7…
02-15 01:21:57	will kon knueppel win the 2026 nba 3 point contest	No	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0x4ff60e…
02-14 22:30:41	will jamal murray win the 2026 nba 3 point contest	No	BUY	22	92¢	$20	0x90b366…
02-14 22:28:11	will kon knueppel win the 2026 nba 3 point contest	No	BUY	40	62¢	$25	0xb69013…
02-14 15:53:43	elc qpr bbr 2026 02 14 total 2pt5	Over	SELL	47	100¢	$46	0xd65677…
02-14 13:15:15	efa bur man2 2026 02 14 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	45	44¢	$20	0xd42b40…
02-14 03:45:11	elc por she 2026 02 14 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	38	53¢	$20	0x27288a…
02-14 03:44:39	elc pne wat 2026 02 14 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	44	45¢	$20	0x40324b…
02-14 03:44:05	elc qpr bbr 2026 02 14 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	47	43¢	$20	0x1a32c7…
02-13 18:51:13	efa hul cfc 2026 02 13 cfc	Yes	BUY	25	81¢	$20	0x953796…
02-13 17:21:05	bun dor mai 2026 02 13 total 2pt5	Under	SELL	37	40¢	$15	0x6246d0…
02-13 17:02:39	bun dor mai 2026 02 13 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	37	41¢	$15	0x09be81…
02-13 14:29:47	efa wre ips 2026 02 13 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	29	51¢	$15	0xe634cd…
02-12 02:29:19	nba was cle 2026 02 11	Cavaliers	SELL	111	100¢	$111	0x2e2a04…
02-12 01:37:59	nhl 2025 26 art ross trophy nathan mackinnon winner	Yes	BUY	67	30¢	$20	0x69a633…
02-12 01:37:47	nhl 2025 26 art ross trophy connor mcdavid winner	Yes	BUY	61	33¢	$20	0xf86808…
02-12 01:33:45	nhl 2025 26 art ross trophy nathan mackinnon winner	Yes	BUY	67	30¢	$20	0x542c85…
02-12 01:33:13	nhl 2025 26 art ross trophy connor mcdavid winner	Yes	BUY	61	33¢	$20	0xca5aae…
02-12 01:21:51	Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	312	6¢	$20	0x9f1201…
02-12 01:19:37	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	69	36¢	$25	0xd80f98…