Slow-Nutrient — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$374

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

44.6%

Resolved

283

Trades

493

lifetime

Volume

$2.05K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-02-26

last 07-04 22:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 70 days

Categories

Politics

61% 20% +$117

Other

26% 2% -$379

Crypto

12% 11% -$109

Sports

0% 0% -$2

Tech

0% 0% -$2

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-04).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Brex IPO before 2027?	Yes		+43	$1	1¢	$0	-$1	06-15 15:57

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	2	$246	159	159	+0	Yes	+$71	04-05 08:38
Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?	22	$162	3,312	0	+3,312	No	-$162	04-11 02:50
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	2	$137	125	125	+0	Yes	+$97	04-09 08:07
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by April 30?	5	$103	271	271	+0	No	-$17	04-10 22:14
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	2	$88	86	86	+0	Yes	+$78	04-07 23:00
jd vance diplomatic meeting with iran by april 10	2	$77	204	125	+78	No	-$23	04-09 16:56
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	7	$50	7,751	0	+7,751	No	-$50	04-01 19:08
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?	4	$48	73	73	+0	Yes	+$34	06-15 15:56
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by April 30?	3	$38	264	264	+0	No	-$12	04-10 22:30
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	10	$35	18,965	0	+18,965	No	-$35	04-30 18:56
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	2	$31	26	26	+0	Yes	+$21	06-20 22:14
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European country?	2	$26	412	500	-88	No	+$22	06-16 10:21
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	2	$26	56	56	+0	No	+$22	06-19 09:33
trump announces hormuz deadline extension today	2	$25	16	16	+0	Yes	+$5	04-07 23:01
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	2	$24	27	27	+0	Yes	+$18	06-19 09:32
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-19 21:10 UTC	5	$21	79	74	+5	Down	+$13	04-19 21:14
will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	3	$21	276	76	+200	No	+$1	06-22 20:32
Will Iran strike Burj Khalifa by April 30?	2	$21	236	236	+0	No	+$1	04-19 11:31
Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	2	$20	20	20	+0	No	+$10	04-23 20:36
Will Trump’s approval rating fall to 37.0% in April?	1	$20	56	0	+56	No	-$20	04-09 16:30
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	4	$20	306	306	+0	No	+$14	06-19 12:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 20:15 UTC	2	$19	20	19	+1	Down	+$19	04-18 20:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	7	$19	108	108	+0	Up	+$7	05-15 16:29
Trump out as President by April 30?	2	$17	478	478	+0	No	-$3	04-10 22:33
Will Trump talk to Masoud Pezeshkian in April?	2	$17	82	82	+0	No	-$3	04-10 22:31
Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?	2	$15	68	0	+68	No	-$15	04-08 18:43
Will 8–9 ships be successfully targeted by Iran by April 30?	2	$14	33	33	+0	Yes	+$4	04-24 08:12
us x iran meeting by april 15 2026 533 583	2	$14	100	100	+0	Yes	-$6	04-11 01:05
netanyahu out by march 31 854	2	$13	237	0	+237	No	-$13	03-14 21:25
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?	2	$13	26	26	+0	No	+$11	06-15 10:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-04 22:33:49	Will Paraguay win on 2026-07-04?	Yes	BUY	326	1¢	$3	0x5e0b42…
06-30 19:00:50	Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$2	0x7d3cd5…
06-28 21:36:14	Will Friedrich Merz be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0x3dd84b…
06-25 21:50:13	Will Ecuador vs. Germany end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	62	13¢	$8	0xff6961…
06-25 21:45:19	Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?	Yes	BUY	125	2¢	$2	0xa844ba…
06-25 21:38:41	Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?	Yes	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0x889080…
06-25 21:38:07	Exact Score: Ecuador 1 - 3 Germany?	Yes	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x24a5db…
06-23 16:23:23	us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x12a03f…
06-23 16:23:16	us iran final nuclear deal by june 30 2026 20260621201255150	Yes	BUY	143	1¢	$1	0x42c2b0…
06-22 20:38:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-22 20:35 UTC	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x2da7c1…
06-22 20:38:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-22 20:35 UTC	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x24605c…
06-22 20:37:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-22 20:35 UTC	Up	SELL	7	70¢	$5	0x83e890…
06-22 20:36:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-22 20:35 UTC	Up	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0xa02076…
06-22 20:33:07	fifwc fra irq 2026 06 22 total 8pt5	Over	BUY	48	2¢	$1	0xb1f650…
06-22 20:32:14	will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	200	2¢	$5	0x2a95a9…
06-21 15:15:49	Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	143	1¢	$2	0xfb624e…
06-21 01:40:17	Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20?	Yes	BUY	117	6¢	$7	0x608f96…
06-21 00:57:44	Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20?	Yes	BUY	66	8¢	$5	0x526c55…
06-20 22:22:16	Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xa111d6…
06-20 22:22:05	Will Claudia Sheinbaum be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xef3970…
06-20 22:21:49	Will Gavin Newsom be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x1ac45a…
06-20 22:21:26	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xe25acf…
06-20 22:20:50	Will Javier Milei be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xdc066a…
06-20 22:20:41	Will Friedrich Merz be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x606cb2…
06-20 22:20:28	Will Anthony Albanese be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x489881…
06-20 22:20:17	Will Emmanuel Macron be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xc5926c…
06-20 22:20:02	Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x416043…
06-20 22:19:56	Will Donald Trump be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0xabcf99…
06-20 22:19:50	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x6963ba…
06-20 22:16:02	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	71	1¢	$1	0x6fa53f…
06-20 22:14:49	Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	Yes	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0x3dfd2c…
06-20 21:57:49	Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x6ccca4…
06-20 21:49:29	Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	Yes	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x5fc0af…
06-20 21:49:22	Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20?	Yes	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x05355d…
06-20 17:36:04	Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	No	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x9fc44e…
06-20 17:35:55	Will Donald Trump attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	Yes	BUY	167	1¢	$1	0xcafce8…
06-19 20:09:19	fifwc usa aus 2026 06 19 total 6pt5	Over	BUY	53	2¢	$1	0xde565d…
06-19 19:59:50	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 15 2026	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xf7fd1c…
06-19 19:59:23	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 15 2026	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xea4057…
06-19 19:57:56	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Kazakhstan?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x9f0cb1…
06-19 15:45:44	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	83	2¢	$2	0x9d9a88…
06-19 15:42:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-19 15:40 UTC	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xb3e66f…
06-19 15:41:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-19 15:40 UTC	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xea572c…
06-19 15:41:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-19 15:40 UTC	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x6216ad…
06-19 15:41:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-19 15:40 UTC	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xc2d2a8…
06-19 14:28:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-19 14:25 UTC	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x164bfe…
06-19 14:27:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-19 14:25 UTC	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xd64463…
06-19 14:27:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-19 14:25 UTC	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x89270e…
06-19 14:25:07	will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	No	BUY	2,000	0¢	$2	0x8f010b…
06-19 14:16:13	Trump out as President by June 30?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x33f661…
06-19 14:13:49	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 19 2026 475	Yes	BUY	158	2¢	$3	0x9f5270…
06-19 14:11:50	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Iraq?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xa57869…
06-19 12:58:47	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	Yes	SELL	289	4¢	$11	0x5a3116…
06-19 11:37:34	will mojtaba khamenei attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204736	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x10e8bf…
06-19 09:33:52	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	56	43¢	$24	0x06e147…
06-19 09:32:29	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	No	SELL	27	79¢	$21	0xea947b…
06-16 16:13:26	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	429	1¢	$3	0x5eac44…
06-16 12:36:15	will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	Yes	SELL	76	15¢	$11	0x431f04…
06-16 10:21:34	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	56	4¢	$2	0x0fb823…
06-16 10:21:24	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	Yes	BUY	289	1¢	$2	0xefd801…
06-16 10:21:00	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European country?	Yes	BUY	412	0¢	$2	0xd9a448…
06-16 10:19:06	Will SpaceX's market cap be at least $3.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?	Yes	BUY	29	10¢	$3	0xace496…
06-15 23:57:06	Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0x411cc1…
06-15 23:57:00	Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0xed67f5…
06-15 23:55:57	Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xfcf741…
06-15 17:54:06	Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x86cb8e…
06-15 17:53:39	Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	BUY	36	3¢	$1	0xd82f34…
06-15 16:16:24	us and iran sign an agreement by june 22 2026 20260611221049852	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$2	0xc22d9a…
06-15 16:16:06	US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?	No	BUY	400	0¢	$2	0xde85d5…
06-15 16:14:40	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	43	5¢	$2	0x1e38ec…
06-15 15:57:12	Brex IPO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	43	2¢	$1	0x72bde3…
06-15 15:56:01	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?	Yes	SELL	12	54¢	$6	0x408efe…
06-15 15:32:54	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Italy?	Yes	BUY	979	0¢	$1	0xf7a3b5…
06-15 15:32:37	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Iran?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x8a034a…
06-15 15:32:30	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the UAE?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xb42ee2…
06-15 15:30:48	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?	Yes	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xc5a0d5…
06-15 10:42:48	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	No	BUY	27	11¢	$3	0x4c3c0b…
06-15 10:41:45	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	24	13¢	$3	0x759664…
06-15 10:38:55	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?	Yes	SELL	26	46¢	$12	0x43fd34…
06-14 19:16:57	Israel closes its airspace by June 14?	Yes	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0x7be8d4…
06-14 18:45:07	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European country?	Yes	SELL	500	5¢	$24	0x756ab1…
06-14 18:44:00	fifwc ger kor 2026 06 14 total 9pt5	Over	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0xa14de6…
06-14 18:15:00	Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xd247e7…
06-14 18:14:42	Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x84f983…
06-14 17:29:42	Exact Score: Germany 2 - 2 Curaçao?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xe3776e…
06-14 17:29:16	Exact Score: Germany 3 - 2 Curaçao?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x2fa15c…
06-14 16:50:58	Exact Score: Germany 3 - 1 Curaçao?	Yes	BUY	70	7¢	$5	0x0dbf82…
06-14 16:49:52	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	5¢	$3	0x8c0d8b…
06-14 16:49:07	will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	76	7¢	$5	0x5a58d2…
06-13 22:51:39	fifwc bra mar 2026 06 13 first half total 2pt5	Over	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x999582…
06-13 22:51:07	Morocco leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xb3d953…
06-13 22:47:52	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0xe7aa79…
06-13 14:56:40	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	Yes	SELL	17	37¢	$6	0x913fd6…
06-13 09:26:06	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0x23aedb…
06-13 09:16:33	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States?	Yes	BUY	409	0¢	$2	0x1a8f05…
06-12 19:33:40	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?	Yes	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0x564e21…
06-12 19:33:31	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x26a8da…
06-12 19:33:18	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Saudi Arabia?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xd22343…
06-12 19:32:58	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country?	Yes	BUY	209	0¢	$1	0xff2c99…
06-12 19:31:06	Exact Score: Canada 1 - 3 Bosnia-Herzegovina?	Yes	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0x862447…