Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$23

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

81.2%

Resolved

Trades

171

lifetime

Volume

$709

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-19

last 07-30 04:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 36 days

Categories

Other

38% 44% -$9

Crypto

31% 79% -$3

Tech

21% 67% +$2

Politics

9% 67% +$3

Sports

0% 0% -$17

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-30).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	2	$35	18	18	+0	Yes	+$0	05-27 13:10
gpt 5pt6 released by june 15 2026 343	4	$35	20	20	+0	No	+$2	06-11 20:42
Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 35m?	3	$35	19	19	+0	Yes	+$0	05-22 15:48
uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	2	$33	19	19	+0	No	+$1	07-30 04:21
Over $6M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	5	$29	14	14	+0	Yes	+$0	03-27 16:30
Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	4	$28	15	15	+0	No	-$1	03-28 07:41
gpt 5pt6 released by july 3 2026	2	$27	14	14	+0	No	+$1	07-03 19:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 15:25 UTC	3	$22	22	0	+22	Up	+$0	02-20 15:29
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	2	$22	12	12	+0	Yes	+$2	06-22 18:56
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?	2	$21	12	12	+0	No	+$1	04-11 18:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 14:30 UTC	2	$20	21	0	+21	Up	+$1	02-20 14:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 11:30 UTC	2	$20	20	0	+20	Down	+$0	02-20 11:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 12:40 UTC	2	$20	20	0	+20	Up	+$1	02-20 12:43
Will "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 40m?	2	$17	10	10	+0	Yes	+$1	05-09 12:43
Gemini 3.2 released by May 15, 2026?	2	$17	10	10	+0	No	+$2	05-08 20:59
will the super mario galaxy movie opening weekend box office be greater than 200m	4	$15	8	8	+0	No	+$2	04-06 20:00
will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	2	$13	9	9	+0	Yes	+$2	06-09 16:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 13:50 UTC	3	$13	13	0	+13	Up	+$0	02-20 13:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 13:55 UTC	3	$13	13	0	+13	Down	+$0	02-20 13:59
will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 23 2026 964	2	$13	6	6	+0	No	+$0	03-28 09:23
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 6, 2026?	2	$12	17	17	+0	Yes	+$2	04-07 00:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 11:40 UTC	2	$11	11	0	+11	Down	+$1	02-20 11:44
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	4	$10	13	13	+0	Yes	-$2	03-22 17:17
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 12:45 UTC	2	$10	12	0	+12	Up	+$2	02-20 12:49
elon musk of tweets march 14 march 16 0 39	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	03-14 17:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-22 09:10 UTC	1	$10	17	0	+17	Up	-$10	02-22 09:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 15:35 UTC	1	$10	10	0	+10	Up	+$0	02-20 15:39
elon musk of tweets march 12 march 14 0 39	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	$0	03-09 21:29
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	2	$9	5	5	+0	No	+$1	06-29 06:45
Will "Scary Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 44m and 48m?	3	$7	100	75	+25	No	+$5	06-06 11:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-30 04:21:35	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	Yes	SELL	19	88¢	$17	0x76b805…
07-29 21:07:44	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	Yes	BUY	19	83¢	$16	0x3255a5…
07-15 20:24:05	Will England win on 2026-07-15?	Yes	SELL	5	62¢	$3	0x7c44d9…
07-15 20:13:08	Will England win on 2026-07-15?	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x7539d7…
07-13 04:43:59	iran military action against a gulf state on july 12 20260708212322937	No	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0x439a01…
07-12 20:10:17	iran military action against a gulf state on july 12 20260708212322937	No	BUY	10	8¢	$1	0xafd5a0…
07-03 19:49:59	gpt 5pt6 released by july 3 2026	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0xecc869…
07-01 04:04:29	gpt 5pt6 released by july 3 2026	No	BUY	14	94¢	$13	0xf46f00…
06-29 06:45:43	GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x20bb9b…
06-29 06:44:52	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	SELL	5	18¢	$1	0xd212f8…
06-25 13:48:38	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	SELL	5	56¢	$3	0x8fd986…
06-25 07:40:50	GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x1f9639…
06-24 20:15:47	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0xfc86ac…
06-24 20:13:08	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	BUY	0	28¢	$0	0x405333…
06-24 20:11:10	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	BUY	0	28¢	$0	0xe683f3…
06-24 20:11:04	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x1497e4…
06-22 18:56:56	Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0xc2e825…
06-21 05:10:07	Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x9e29f0…
06-19 19:53:46	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0x91b801…
06-19 19:52:53	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x9a1530…
06-16 04:33:58	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 82-83°F on June 15?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x09e59b…
06-15 20:12:54	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 82-83°F on June 15?	Yes	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xe5e030…
06-11 20:42:00	gpt 5pt6 released by june 15 2026 343	No	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0x7d0a65…
06-11 12:19:13	gpt 5pt6 released by june 15 2026 343	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x8adad6…
06-10 23:24:57	gpt 5pt6 released by june 15 2026 343	No	SELL	10	93¢	$9	0xa820dd…
06-09 20:18:30	gpt 5pt6 released by june 15 2026 343	No	BUY	10	76¢	$7	0x2c02e5…
06-09 16:34:49	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	Yes	SELL	9	83¢	$8	0x55d56e…
06-09 13:18:48	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	Yes	BUY	9	61¢	$6	0x0579f7…
06-07 19:44:52	Will "Scary Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 52m?	No	SELL	10	2¢	$0	0x73cb2d…
06-06 20:40:19	Will "Scary Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 48m and 52m?	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xac9233…
06-06 11:52:31	Will "Scary Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 44m and 48m?	Yes	SELL	25	3¢	$1	0xfbd398…
06-06 04:40:31	Will "Scary Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 44m and 48m?	Yes	SELL	50	11¢	$5	0x9c4519…
06-04 20:24:16	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 82-83°F on June 4?	Yes	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0xe64f1b…
06-04 06:15:40	Will "Scary Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 52m?	No	BUY	10	37¢	$4	0x4ab3b9…
06-03 20:56:51	Will "Scary Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 44m and 48m?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xf2f367…
06-03 19:38:36	Will "Backrooms" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 50m?	No	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x891513…
06-03 19:37:31	Will "Backrooms" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 65m?	Yes	BUY	18	5¢	$1	0x9f5b51…
06-03 19:37:19	Will "Backrooms" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 60m and 65m?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xa60856…
06-03 19:37:00	Will "Backrooms" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 55m and 60m?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xd9df8b…
06-03 19:36:37	Will "Backrooms" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 50m and 55m?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x49f848…
05-30 16:56:10	Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0x371835…
05-30 16:56:00	Will any other model have the best AI model on May 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0xc86173…
05-30 16:55:37	Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking have the best AI model on May 30, 2026?	No	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x74a200…
05-30 16:55:21	Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	SELL	6	4¢	$0	0x7619fe…
05-30 16:54:20	Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	5¢	$0	0x64281c…
05-28 17:48:38	Will "The Breadwinner" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 7m?	Yes	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0xc0f1d4…
05-28 08:03:28	Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xe0d468…
05-28 08:01:47	Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x5a6381…
05-28 05:56:53	Will any other model have the best AI model on May 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	26¢	$3	0x0fdd77…
05-28 05:50:04	Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking have the best AI model on May 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x6eab18…
05-27 22:17:03	Will claude-opus-4-6 have the best AI model on May 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	6¢	$1	0x41ba76…
05-27 21:35:57	Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	24¢	$2	0xfce507…
05-27 13:10:01	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	SELL	18	99¢	$18	0xebf19d…
05-25 18:27:20	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	98¢	$18	0xf2145c…
05-22 15:48:06	Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 35m?	Yes	SELL	12	95¢	$11	0x9b0597…
05-22 15:48:02	Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 35m?	Yes	SELL	7	95¢	$6	0xbfecc2…
05-21 07:44:40	Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 35m?	Yes	BUY	19	93¢	$17	0x40a1ee…
05-12 02:41:46	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	20	16¢	$3	0x37b395…
05-09 12:43:03	Will "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 40m?	Yes	SELL	10	91¢	$9	0xfde1c8…
05-09 06:47:46	Will "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 40m?	Yes	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0xa71ad4…
05-08 20:59:32	Gemini 3.2 released by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0x343cb0…
05-06 01:41:40	Gemini 3.2 released by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	10	71¢	$7	0x3b16bc…
04-13 21:36:47	us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895	Yes	BUY	143	1¢	$1	0x9a0309…
04-13 03:27:47	us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895	Yes	SELL	10	22¢	$2	0x3296f8…
04-12 19:26:25	us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895	Yes	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0x91ebae…
04-11 18:44:35	Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	12	95¢	$11	0x4c33a9…
04-10 08:51:37	Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x301e8c…
04-07 00:02:19	Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 6, 2026?	No	SELL	17	39¢	$7	0x9393a1…
04-06 20:02:17	Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 6, 2026?	No	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x1e8a5a…
04-06 20:00:55	will the super mario galaxy movie opening weekend box office be greater than 200m	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xd26d79…
03-31 12:37:41	will the super mario galaxy movie opening weekend box office be greater than 200m	No	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x4872a8…
03-31 12:26:29	will the super mario galaxy movie opening weekend box office be between 190m and 200m	Yes	SELL	5	16¢	$1	0x5895de…
03-31 09:58:59	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	Yes	SELL	8	18¢	$1	0x269f24…
03-29 18:15:04	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x1c7e02…
03-29 09:04:48	will the super mario galaxy movie opening weekend box office be greater than 200m	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xbe9856…
03-29 09:04:32	will the super mario galaxy movie opening weekend box office be greater than 200m	No	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0x5228ff…
03-29 09:04:10	will the super mario galaxy movie opening weekend box office be between 190m and 200m	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x76c502…
03-29 08:53:10	will hoppers 4th weekend box office be between 12m and 13m	No	SELL	7	24¢	$2	0x71a10a…
03-29 08:51:02	will hoppers 4th weekend box office be between 12m and 13m	No	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0xe6d346…
03-28 09:23:47	will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 23 2026 964	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xe292ca…
03-28 07:53:01	will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 23 2026 964	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xfe54fd…
03-28 07:41:29	Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	Yes	SELL	7	86¢	$6	0xf4e274…
03-27 16:58:49	Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	Yes	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0x3fa3ff…
03-27 16:57:45	Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	Yes	SELL	7	97¢	$7	0x35318f…
03-27 16:33:09	Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	Yes	BUY	7	96¢	$7	0xca8d2b…
03-27 16:30:07	Over $6M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	Yes	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xa6fa0e…
03-27 16:26:11	Over $6M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	Yes	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x10ceef…
03-27 14:42:09	Over $6M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xd4f938…
03-27 13:20:39	Over $6M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	Yes	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xfbde1d…
03-27 11:19:31	Over $6M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xa8b5c8…
03-22 17:17:37	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	SELL	3	78¢	$2	0x76f15b…
03-19 03:54:39	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x7882e9…
03-19 03:38:23	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	No	SELL	10	21¢	$2	0x4dd667…
03-18 10:31:11	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	No	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0xc8d8ae…
03-17 07:40:01	will trump say ayatollah or khamenei this week march 15	No	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x5a5832…
03-16 09:59:47	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-16 09:45 UTC	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x7f8ec7…
03-16 09:59:27	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-16 09:45 UTC	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x40d5a7…
03-16 09:45:29	will trump say ayatollah or khamenei this week march 15	No	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x1564dd…
03-16 09:29:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-16 09:25 UTC	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xfe4d1a…
03-16 09:27:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-16 09:25 UTC	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x10b3e6…