Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2

Unrealized P&L

-$5

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

135

lifetime

Volume

$1.12K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$20

4 positions

First seen

2026-01-31

last 06-08 18:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

44% — —

Crypto

29% 0% $-1

Other

27% 0% $-1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	+19	$10	38¢	$7	$-3	05-28 17:11
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	+71	$5	7¢	$5	+$0	06-08 18:15
US federally charges Cuba leader Miguel Diaz-Canel?	Yes	+62	$5	6¢	$4	$-1	05-28 17:12
US x Cuba military clash in 2026?	Yes	+10	$5	40¢	$4	$-1	05-28 17:11

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us strikes iran by february 4 2026	2	$110	62	62	+0	open	—	02-02 10:50
us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	3	$101	147	64	+83	open	—	02-07 00:10
Will Anutin Charnvirakul be the next prime minister of Thailand?	2	$99	70	70	+0	open	—	02-04 17:42
atp alcaraz djokovi 2026 02 01	4	$49	110	74	+36	open	—	02-01 08:51
will tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 9	2	$46	32	32	+0	open	—	04-13 04:59
will tisza win 130 seats in the hungarian national assembly in this election	2	$42	32	32	+0	open	—	04-13 04:59
will bitcoin dip to 60k in february 2026 394 616	2	$40	36	36	+0	open	—	02-06 01:54
btc updown 15m 1770636600	5	$40	49	41	+8	open	—	02-09 11:42
us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	2	$31	91	91	+0	open	—	02-08 16:39
btc updown 15m 1770560100	3	$29	31	23	+8	open	—	02-08 14:19
will ethereum dip to 1800 in february 2026	2	$27	22	22	+0	open	—	02-06 00:42
will bitcoin dip to 75k in january 2026	2	$25	100	100	+0	open	—	01-31 17:13
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	2	$24	14	14	+0	open	—	04-13 04:59
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	2	$23	42	42	+0	open	—	03-14 00:57
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	2	$22	19	19	+0	open	—	03-14 00:57
btc updown 15m 1770647400	1	$20	31	0	+31	open	—	02-09 14:31
hungary election tisza wins a constitutional majority	2	$19	15	14	+0	open	—	04-13 04:59
btc updown 5m 1771967400	5	$16	17	14	+3	open	—	02-24 21:14
btc updown 15m 1770635700	4	$15	30	10	+20	open	—	02-09 11:23
bitcoin above 80k on february 1	2	$15	54	54	+0	open	—	02-01 12:40
bitcoin above 78k on february 1	2	$13	9	9	+0	open	—	02-01 15:31
will mamdani make nyc buses free by march 31	2	$12	59	59	+0	open	—	02-06 02:02
btc updown 15m 1770646500	2	$11	126	0	+126	open	—	02-09 14:28
Will Sanae Takaichi be the next leader out before 2027?	1	$10	594	0	+594	open	—	02-01 01:49
will fidesz kdnp win 70 seats in the hungarian national assembly in this election	1	$10	29	0	+29	open	—	04-08 19:17
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's French Open?	1	$10	29	0	+29	open	—	04-17 23:01
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	1	$10	19	0	+19	open	—	05-28 17:11
another us bank failure by march 31	1	$10	26	0	+26	open	—	02-01 11:55
will xrp dip to 0pt4 in february 2026	1	$10	129	0	+129	open	—	02-06 02:04
will france uk or germany strike iran by february 28 881	2	$10	76	76	+0	open	—	02-01 00:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-08 18:15:28	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0xa1dbf0…
05-28 17:12:16	US federally charges Cuba leader Miguel Diaz-Canel?	Yes	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0xa14573…
05-28 17:11:57	US x Cuba military clash in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xd9951b…
05-28 17:11:45	Trump talks to Cuba leader Diaz-Canel by June 30?	Yes	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x7a83e1…
05-28 17:11:24	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x34790e…
05-06 15:24:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xcebba0…
05-01 12:11:00	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	Yes	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x58b9da…
05-01 12:10:46	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	Yes	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0xf382c1…
04-17 23:01:40	Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0x8a340d…
04-17 22:59:00	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?	Yes	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0xdc7a2d…
04-13 04:59:45	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0x95ca62…
04-13 04:59:33	hungary election tisza wins a constitutional majority	Yes	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0xeb9c7f…
04-13 04:59:19	will tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 9	Yes	SELL	32	99¢	$31	0x40ee63…
04-13 04:59:09	will tisza win 130 seats in the hungarian national assembly in this election	Yes	SELL	32	98¢	$32	0x868efa…
04-08 19:17:27	will fidesz kdnp win 70 seats in the hungarian national assembly in this election	Yes	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0x8e48f7…
04-08 19:16:33	hungary election tisza wins a constitutional majority	Yes	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xe25a32…
04-08 19:15:29	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0xe0cd5e…
04-08 19:15:15	will tisza win 130 seats in the hungarian national assembly in this election	Yes	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0x75558c…
04-08 19:14:39	will tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 9	Yes	BUY	32	47¢	$15	0x0b6256…
03-30 12:21:34	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	Yes	BUY	67	1¢	$1	0x16c330…
03-18 12:33:37	will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	Yes	SELL	54	4¢	$2	0xc4afee…
03-17 14:25:05	ucl cfc1 psg1 2026 03 17 draw	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x34c313…
03-17 14:24:45	ucl cfc1 psg1 2026 03 17 draw	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xf5ce18…
03-17 14:24:35	ucl cfc1 psg1 2026 03 17 cfc1	Yes	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x047c40…
03-17 14:10:31	ucl mnc1 rma1 2026 03 17 rma1	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x578888…
03-17 14:10:25	ucl spo1 bog1 2026 03 17 bog1	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x80e140…
03-17 14:07:43	ucl mnc1 rma1 2026 03 17 rma1	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x04a7a4…
03-17 14:07:39	ucl spo1 bog1 2026 03 17 bog1	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x918365…
03-17 14:06:55	ucl spo1 bog1 2026 03 17 draw	Yes	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0xbb0dca…
03-17 14:06:37	ucl mnc1 rma1 2026 03 17 draw	Yes	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0xfbe4d9…
03-14 00:57:39	will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	Yes	SELL	42	43¢	$18	0x9eda42…
03-14 00:57:13	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	SELL	19	91¢	$17	0xa8e825…
03-10 23:30:41	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x001aae…
03-03 18:45:49	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x408931…
03-03 18:45:21	will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	Yes	BUY	54	6¢	$3	0xcb588c…
03-03 18:45:03	will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	Yes	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0x173a9a…
03-03 13:36:41	spx opens up or down on march 3 2026	Up	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0xcdda8c…
03-03 13:36:13	spx opens up or down on march 3 2026	Up	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0xf9ada7…
02-25 17:59:46	btc updown 5m 1772042100	Up	BUY	7	35¢	$3	0x1dafec…
02-25 17:59:44	btc updown 5m 1772042100	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x5f5013…
02-24 21:15:46	btc updown 5m 1771967700	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x9494a6…
02-24 21:14:30	btc updown 5m 1771967400	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x185ef5…
02-24 21:14:04	btc updown 5m 1771967400	Down	SELL	4	32¢	$1	0xbe5bd0…
02-24 21:13:22	btc updown 5m 1771967400	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x39bc7a…
02-24 21:13:02	btc updown 5m 1771967400	Up	SELL	10	74¢	$7	0x2dfd04…
02-24 21:12:24	btc updown 5m 1771967400	Up	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0x29155d…
02-20 00:46:04	us strikes iran by february 19 2026 992	Yes	BUY	215	0¢	$1	0xb75f31…
02-10 12:59:31	btc updown 15m 1770727500	Down	BUY	2	6¢	$0	0xcd7849…
02-10 12:59:31	btc updown 15m 1770727500	Down	BUY	2	6¢	$0	0x927d24…
02-10 12:59:31	btc updown 15m 1770727500	Down	BUY	6	6¢	$0	0x75080a…
02-10 12:54:41	btc updown 15m 1770727500	Down	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0x899f5f…
02-09 22:33:45	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xcbd6c1…
02-09 14:31:39	btc updown 15m 1770647400	Down	BUY	31	64¢	$20	0x8114ae…
02-09 14:28:35	btc updown 15m 1770646500	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x77adaa…
02-09 14:20:45	btc updown 15m 1770646500	Up	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x7cc405…
02-09 14:09:25	btc updown 15m 1770645600	Down	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x2cbae8…
02-09 13:46:53	btc updown 15m 1770644700	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xdc127b…
02-09 13:35:53	btc updown 15m 1770643800	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xe14cc3…
02-09 13:23:29	btc updown 15m 1770642900	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x3cf53e…
02-09 11:42:41	btc updown 15m 1770636600	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x82102a…
02-09 11:39:03	btc updown 15m 1770636600	Down	SELL	31	33¢	$10	0x99e600…
02-09 11:33:59	btc updown 15m 1770636600	Down	BUY	32	63¢	$20	0x8b77eb…
02-09 11:33:55	btc updown 15m 1770636600	Up	SELL	10	38¢	$4	0xb93349…
02-09 11:28:23	btc updown 15m 1770636600	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xbfb4bb…
02-09 11:23:13	btc updown 15m 1770635700	Down	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0xd170f3…
02-09 11:20:23	btc updown 15m 1770635700	Down	BUY	6	38¢	$2	0x24fc29…
02-09 11:16:49	btc updown 15m 1770635700	Up	SELL	10	65¢	$6	0x317401…
02-09 11:15:33	btc updown 15m 1770635700	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x73a586…
02-09 11:12:37	btc updown 15m 1770634800	Down	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0x492d28…
02-09 10:45:21	btc updown 15m 1770633900	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x1be3f9…
02-08 21:47:59	btc updown 15m 1770587100	Up	BUY	10	67¢	$7	0xf5f5da…
02-08 17:07:45	btc updown 15m 1770570000	Down	BUY	10	8¢	$1	0xcda37d…
02-08 17:02:01	btc updown 15m 1770570000	Down	BUY	10	26¢	$3	0x3d2889…
02-08 16:57:35	btc updown 15m 1770569100	Up	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xa00329…
02-08 16:39:19	us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	Yes	SELL	91	12¢	$11	0xd25199…
02-08 15:44:49	btc updown 15m 1770565500	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xbf1777…
02-08 15:37:53	btc updown 15m 1770564600	Down	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x31f626…
02-08 15:13:31	btc updown 15m 1770563700	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xc3cfb2…
02-08 14:31:57	btc updown 15m 1770561000	Down	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xa3134c…
02-08 14:19:27	btc updown 15m 1770560100	Down	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x8c63fc…
02-08 14:18:33	btc updown 15m 1770560100	Down	SELL	23	60¢	$14	0x54fac1…
02-08 14:16:23	btc updown 15m 1770560100	Down	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0xd7fd72…
02-07 00:11:35	us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	Yes	BUY	91	22¢	$20	0xa5769f…
02-07 00:10:57	us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	Yes	BUY	83	12¢	$10	0xd701c7…
02-06 02:04:15	will xrp dip to 0pt4 in february 2026	Yes	BUY	129	8¢	$10	0x704f2b…
02-06 02:02:01	will mamdani make nyc buses free by march 31	Yes	SELL	59	13¢	$7	0x087c3c…
02-06 01:54:35	will bitcoin dip to 60k in february 2026 394 616	Yes	SELL	36	100¢	$36	0x51df55…
02-06 00:42:25	will ethereum dip to 1800 in february 2026	Yes	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0xd0eebd…
02-04 17:42:45	Will Anutin Charnvirakul be the next prime minister of Thailand?	Yes	SELL	70	70¢	$49	0xa56793…
02-04 14:15:02	will the ecb announce a 50 bps decrease at the february 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x716622…
02-04 14:14:52	will the ecb announce an increase at the february 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$2	0x03edd3…
02-04 14:14:40	will the ecb announce a 25 bps decrease at the february 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	667	0¢	$2	0x2550a0…
02-04 13:15:10	Will Anutin Charnvirakul be the next prime minister of Thailand?	Yes	BUY	70	71¢	$50	0x4f5648…
02-04 12:56:02	Will the US strike another country first?	Yes	BUY	201	2¢	$5	0xd139c7…
02-04 12:55:48	Will the US not strike another country before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1,589	0¢	$5	0x884798…
02-04 12:27:14	will mamdani make nyc buses free by march 31	Yes	BUY	59	9¢	$5	0xd60278…
02-03 10:04:46	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0xd8b81e…
02-02 18:49:02	us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	No	SELL	64	90¢	$57	0x249ddd…
02-02 10:58:48	will ethereum dip to 1800 in february 2026	Yes	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x3d20e0…
02-02 10:50:34	us strikes iran by february 4 2026	No	SELL	62	97¢	$60	0xa07c6a…