Used-Wont — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$105

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

79.6%

Resolved (90d)

436

Trades (90d)

974

15,509 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$37.4K

$654.0K lifetime

Avg / trade

$42

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-15

last 10-27 07:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 170 days

Categories

Crypto

96% 56% -$15,608

Politics

4% 21% -$279

Other

0% 10% -$194

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

27 active days in 12wk • peak 136 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	42	$18.1K	142,235	142,235	+0	No	+$1,065	04-30 20:07
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 15:30 UTC	11	$2.7K	1,942	1,917	+25	Up	+$306	02-10 15:46
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 11:15 UTC	30	$2.6K	1,602	1,591	+11	Up	+$56	03-10 11:20
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	7	$2.4K	7,536	7,536	+0	No	+$45	04-22 05:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 19:40 UTC	4	$2.4K	1,479	1,111	+368	Up	-$186	02-16 19:45
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 03:00 UTC	2	$2.2K	1,436	1,414	+22	Up	+$622	02-05 03:15
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 23:30 UTC	2	$1.8K	1,277	1,257	+20	Up	+$665	02-04 23:45
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 00:45 UTC	4	$1.8K	1,935	903	+1,032	Down	-$359	02-05 00:53
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 23:45 UTC	4	$1.8K	1,434	1,337	+98	Down	+$611	02-04 23:56
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-22 10:25 UTC	59	$1.7K	1,110	1,102	+8	Down	+$182	02-22 10:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 08:50 UTC	51	$1.7K	1,000	1,000	+0	Down	+$260	02-28 08:53
bitcoin up or down february 12 11am et	3	$1.6K	4,531	1,173	+3,358	Down	+$340	02-12 16:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 11:20 UTC	11	$1.6K	1,134	1,122	+11	Up	+$22	03-10 11:24
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 23:00 UTC	3	$1.5K	1,153	1,115	+38	Up	+$335	02-04 23:09
bitcoin up or down february 12 5am et	18	$1.5K	1,523	1,523	+0	Up	+$294	02-12 10:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 01:45 UTC	4	$1.5K	1,196	1,178	+17	Down	+$137	02-05 02:01
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 22:45 UTC	3	$1.5K	1,272	1,094	+177	Down	+$478	02-04 22:57
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-22 22:10 UTC	34	$1.4K	1,900	600	+1,300	Up	-$1,134	02-22 22:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 15:00 UTC	9	$1.4K	1,326	1,098	+228	Up	-$5	02-10 15:07
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 09:30 UTC	82	$1.3K	800	799	+1	Down	+$208	02-28 09:33
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 02:00 UTC	2	$1.3K	921	907	+14	Down	+$315	02-05 02:06
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-25 18:15 UTC	36	$1.3K	879	866	+14	Down	+$412	02-25 18:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 15:00 UTC	12	$1.3K	963	948	+15	Up	+$244	03-03 15:03
bitcoin up or down february 12 6am et	6	$1.3K	1,287	1,287	+0	Up	+$178	02-12 11:56
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 15:25 UTC	4	$1.2K	880	867	+13	Up	+$219	03-03 15:27
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 15:20 UTC	2	$1.2K	751	741	+9	Up	+$243	02-16 15:25
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 28?	8	$1.2K	1,222	1,222	+0	Yes	+$233	04-28 15:51
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 18:45 UTC	7	$1.2K	932	922	+9	Down	-$87	02-10 19:01
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 00:30 UTC	4	$1.2K	901	889	+12	Down	+$200	02-05 00:42
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-22 21:50 UTC	43	$1.2K	700	700	+0	Up	+$147	02-22 21:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 07:24:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x6a1d66…
10-24 13:18:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0xe4745d…
10-24 13:13:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	33	51¢	$17	0xf66633…
10-24 13:08:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	61	49¢	$30	0xb4201a…
10-24 13:05:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	39	56¢	$22	0x28cecb…
10-24 09:12:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-24 09:10 UTC	Up	SELL	56	88¢	$49	0x6d6e82…
10-24 09:09:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-24 09:10 UTC	Up	BUY	56	54¢	$30	0x5c1252…
10-24 09:07:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-24 09:05 UTC	Up	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x97bf24…
10-24 09:06:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-24 09:05 UTC	Down	SELL	77	24¢	$18	0xa916c7…
10-24 09:05:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-24 09:05 UTC	Down	BUY	77	13¢	$10	0x660453…
10-24 09:02:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	SELL	48	98¢	$47	0xa9369a…
10-24 09:01:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	48	83¢	$40	0x81253c…
10-24 08:59:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0x8de576…
10-19 05:16:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	37	54¢	$20	0x05213c…
10-19 05:14:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	SELL	19	99¢	$19	0x218efd…
10-19 05:10:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x2d1db9…
10-19 05:05:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	33	61¢	$20	0xcc67a0…
10-19 05:02:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0xdec4d1…
10-19 04:58:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0x1d7fb9…
10-19 04:54:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x3cd21f…
10-19 04:48:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	52	50¢	$26	0x08f3a9…
10-19 04:45:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	50	60¢	$30	0x265c2c…
10-19 04:40:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	69	29¢	$20	0x138e1e…
10-19 04:39:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	SELL	48	82¢	$39	0x71ee62…
10-19 04:35:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	48	63¢	$30	0x5384d9…
10-19 04:27:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	SELL	29	94¢	$28	0xd2b00c…
10-19 04:26:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	29	68¢	$20	0x71eb85…
10-19 04:25:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	SELL	37	30¢	$11	0x98367e…
10-19 04:25:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0x7587dd…
10-19 04:22:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	SELL	44	93¢	$41	0x603e70…
10-19 04:21:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	44	68¢	$30	0x52fbcd…
10-19 04:18:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	SELL	50	80¢	$40	0xd51daa…
10-19 04:17:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	50	60¢	$30	0x360a3f…
10-19 04:14:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	SELL	54	99¢	$53	0xfc9b5a…
10-19 04:13:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	54	93¢	$50	0xee1bd4…
10-19 04:12:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	SELL	42	92¢	$38	0x629eb4…
10-19 04:12:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	42	72¢	$30	0x8f3f25…
10-19 04:11:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	SELL	67	68¢	$45	0x6940eb…
10-19 04:11:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	67	30¢	$20	0x35b23e…
10-19 04:03:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	SELL	36	71¢	$25	0x1c399c…
10-19 04:03:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0x6aded9…
10-19 04:03:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	SELL	53	70¢	$37	0xff37c9…
10-19 03:59:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x28f6ad…
10-19 03:59:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0xa7f431…
10-19 03:55:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0x3fd1f5…
10-19 03:54:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	41	49¢	$20	0x061861…
10-16 03:38:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0xc5e357…
10-15 04:49:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 04:50 UTC	Down	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x3c25fd…
10-15 04:44:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 04:45 UTC	Down	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0x3899be…
10-15 04:38:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 04:40 UTC	Down	BUY	392	51¢	$200	0xa913e8…
10-15 04:34:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 04:35 UTC	Down	BUY	209	53¢	$110	0x3d094e…
10-15 04:30:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 04:30 UTC	Down	BUY	316	32¢	$100	0x696178…
10-15 04:22:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 04:20 UTC	Up	SELL	156	76¢	$119	0xc00f4d…
10-15 04:20:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 04:20 UTC	Up	BUY	156	64¢	$100	0x82de3d…
10-15 04:14:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 04:10 UTC	Up	SELL	113	99¢	$112	0xc88d33…
10-15 04:14:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 04:10 UTC	Up	BUY	113	89¢	$100	0x72d387…
10-15 04:05:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 04:05 UTC	Up	BUY	152	33¢	$50	0x25d251…
10-15 04:00:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 04:00 UTC	Up	SELL	514	41¢	$211	0xb92585…
10-15 04:00:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 04:00 UTC	Up	BUY	514	19¢	$100	0xb5c013…
10-15 03:59:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 03:55 UTC	Up	SELL	140	99¢	$138	0x9164ca…
10-15 03:58:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 03:55 UTC	Up	BUY	140	72¢	$100	0x9eee39…
10-15 03:57:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 03:55 UTC	Up	SELL	96	74¢	$71	0xf71cb0…
10-15 03:56:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 03:55 UTC	Up	BUY	96	52¢	$50	0x761845…
10-15 03:52:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 03:50 UTC	Up	SELL	212	90¢	$190	0x61ce9d…
10-15 03:50:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 03:45 UTC	Up	SELL	116	100¢	$116	0xa35754…
10-15 03:50:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 03:50 UTC	Up	BUY	212	52¢	$110	0xf7a7cb…
10-15 03:44:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 03:45 UTC	Up	BUY	116	43¢	$50	0xebe414…
10-15 03:42:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 03:40 UTC	Up	SELL	154	91¢	$140	0x320158…
10-15 03:41:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 03:40 UTC	Up	BUY	154	65¢	$100	0xce2f2c…
10-14 16:24:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 16:25 UTC	Up	BUY	205	49¢	$100	0x3b9c48…
10-14 16:21:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 16:20 UTC	Up	BUY	179	56¢	$100	0x118054…
10-14 16:20:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 16:20 UTC	Down	SELL	250	46¢	$115	0x3ccd52…
10-14 16:19:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 16:20 UTC	Down	BUY	250	40¢	$100	0xffd1e8…
10-14 16:17:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 16:15 UTC	Up	BUY	93	54¢	$50	0xdbf168…
10-14 16:15:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 16:15 UTC	Up	SELL	44	70¢	$31	0x360114…
10-14 16:14:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 16:15 UTC	Up	BUY	44	41¢	$18	0xe7fb7d…
10-14 16:10:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 16:10 UTC	Down	SELL	96	59¢	$57	0x0f019c…
10-14 16:09:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 16:10 UTC	Down	BUY	96	52¢	$50	0x3a906d…
10-14 15:51:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 15:50 UTC	Down	SELL	216	77¢	$167	0xe67370…
10-14 15:49:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 15:50 UTC	Down	BUY	216	46¢	$100	0xa8803f…
10-14 15:45:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 15:45 UTC	Down	BUY	172	29¢	$50	0x06905e…
10-14 04:28:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 04:25 UTC	Up	SELL	59	97¢	$57	0x321e9c…
10-14 04:27:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 04:25 UTC	Up	BUY	59	68¢	$40	0x4ab020…
10-13 18:05:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 18:05 UTC	Down	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0xeee875…
10-13 06:53:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	SELL	67	74¢	$49	0x1ae51e…
10-13 06:52:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	67	45¢	$30	0xe9933b…
10-12 15:41:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	SELL	97	38¢	$37	0x450546…
10-12 15:41:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	97	31¢	$30	0x644eb4…
10-12 15:18:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0x6ae808…
10-12 15:16:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	SELL	61	65¢	$40	0x58512b…
10-12 15:14:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	61	41¢	$25	0xa261c0…
10-12 15:10:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	77	39¢	$30	0x15db23…
10-12 15:07:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	SELL	130	47¢	$61	0xaec394…
10-12 15:06:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	130	23¢	$30	0x143796…
10-12 05:23:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	SELL	72	90¢	$65	0x021b46…
10-12 05:23:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	72	69¢	$50	0xfcb12e…
10-12 04:57:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	SELL	94	67¢	$63	0x2b9dc7…
10-12 04:56:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	94	53¢	$50	0x96c80e…
10-12 04:46:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	SELL	89	67¢	$60	0xb0a1f4…
10-12 04:46:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	89	56¢	$50	0xc08235…