Used-Wont — Polymarket

Realized P&L (24h)

-$76

Unrealized P&L

+$16

Hit rate

1.6%

Resolved (24h)

Trades (24h)

15,876 lifetime

Volume (24h)

$154

$664.9K lifetime

Avg / trade

$42

Open exposure

$66

1 position

First seen

2026-01-15

last 11-14 22:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 181 days

Categories

Crypto

96% 56% -$16,120

Politics

4% 25% -$274

Other

0% 10% -$194

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

28 active days in 12wk • peak 136 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 18?	No		+1,790	$50	4¢	$66	+$16	11-14 22:26

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	42	$18.1K	142,235	142,235	+0	No	+$1,065	04-30 20:07
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 15:30 UTC	11	$2.7K	1,942	1,917	+25	Up	+$306	02-10 15:46
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 11:15 UTC	30	$2.6K	1,602	1,591	+11	Up	+$56	03-10 11:20
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	7	$2.4K	7,536	7,536	+0	No	+$45	04-22 05:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 19:40 UTC	4	$2.4K	1,479	1,111	+368	Up	-$186	02-16 19:45
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 03:00 UTC	2	$2.2K	1,436	1,414	+22	Up	+$622	02-05 03:15
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 23:30 UTC	2	$1.8K	1,277	1,257	+20	Up	+$665	02-04 23:45
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 00:45 UTC	4	$1.8K	1,935	903	+1,032	Down	-$359	02-05 00:53
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 23:45 UTC	4	$1.8K	1,434	1,337	+98	Down	+$611	02-04 23:56
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-22 10:25 UTC	59	$1.7K	1,110	1,102	+8	Down	+$182	02-22 10:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 08:50 UTC	51	$1.7K	1,000	1,000	+0	Down	+$260	02-28 08:53
bitcoin up or down february 12 11am et	3	$1.6K	4,531	1,173	+3,358	Down	+$340	02-12 16:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 11:20 UTC	11	$1.6K	1,134	1,122	+11	Up	+$22	03-10 11:24
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 23:00 UTC	3	$1.5K	1,153	1,115	+38	Up	+$335	02-04 23:09
bitcoin up or down february 12 5am et	18	$1.5K	1,523	1,523	+0	Up	+$294	02-12 10:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 01:45 UTC	4	$1.5K	1,196	1,178	+17	Down	+$137	02-05 02:01
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 22:45 UTC	3	$1.5K	1,272	1,094	+177	Down	+$478	02-04 22:57
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-22 22:10 UTC	34	$1.4K	1,900	600	+1,300	Up	-$1,134	02-22 22:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 15:00 UTC	9	$1.4K	1,326	1,098	+228	Up	-$5	02-10 15:07
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 09:30 UTC	82	$1.3K	800	799	+1	Down	+$208	02-28 09:33
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 02:00 UTC	2	$1.3K	921	907	+14	Down	+$315	02-05 02:06
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-25 18:15 UTC	36	$1.3K	879	866	+14	Down	+$412	02-25 18:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 15:00 UTC	12	$1.3K	963	948	+15	Up	+$244	03-03 15:03
bitcoin up or down february 12 6am et	6	$1.3K	1,287	1,287	+0	Up	+$178	02-12 11:56
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 15:25 UTC	4	$1.2K	880	867	+13	Up	+$219	03-03 15:27
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 15:20 UTC	2	$1.2K	751	741	+9	Up	+$243	02-16 15:25
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 28?	8	$1.2K	1,222	1,222	+0	Yes	+$233	04-28 15:51
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 18:45 UTC	7	$1.2K	932	922	+9	Down	-$87	02-10 19:01
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 00:30 UTC	4	$1.2K	901	889	+12	Down	+$200	02-05 00:42
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-22 21:50 UTC	43	$1.2K	700	700	+0	Up	+$147	02-22 21:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-14 22:29:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	46¢	$3	0x3dcc57…
11-14 22:27:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x004822…
11-14 22:26:17	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 18?	No	BUY	1,790	3¢	$50	0x2d8e8b…
11-14 18:22:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	4	71¢	$2	0x87bb0d…
11-14 17:38:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	53¢	$2	0xcacfc2…
11-14 17:34:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	55	54¢	$30	0x0f9e7d…
11-14 17:34:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	SELL	41	15¢	$6	0xfacaff…
11-14 17:33:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	41	74¢	$30	0x9b02bb…
11-14 10:39:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	55¢	$4	0x181764…
11-14 10:38:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x154237…
11-14 10:38:17	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22?	No	SELL	155	8¢	$12	0xa7b1f3…
11-13 22:15:22	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22?	No	BUY	155	11¢	$17	0xd760b6…
11-13 12:22:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	69	51¢	$35	0x338c7b…
11-13 12:20:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	67	30¢	$20	0xb66dff…
11-13 12:08:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	98	51¢	$50	0xeafc89…
11-13 12:05:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	72	69¢	$50	0x7d7015…
11-13 12:01:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	SELL	63	87¢	$55	0x7e2aad…
11-13 12:01:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	63	79¢	$50	0x32a572…
11-13 12:01:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	SELL	76	88¢	$67	0xa3bc78…
11-13 12:00:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	76	66¢	$50	0x59f6ed…
11-13 12:00:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	SELL	89	77¢	$68	0x41db35…
11-13 12:00:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	89	56¢	$50	0xfda867…
11-13 08:14:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	SELL	52	99¢	$51	0xf7e3b7…
11-13 08:14:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	52	97¢	$50	0x370a37…
11-13 06:04:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	SELL	10	90¢	$9	0xd4f9af…
11-13 06:04:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	SELL	22	90¢	$20	0x7bee6f…
11-13 06:04:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	SELL	6	90¢	$5	0x4dee89…
11-13 06:04:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	SELL	12	90¢	$11	0x22198d…
11-13 06:04:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	SELL	24	90¢	$21	0xacf9e3…
11-13 06:04:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	SELL	0	90¢	$0	0x86a9bb…
11-13 06:04:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x7f59ea…
11-13 05:58:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	75	53¢	$40	0x1949c1…
11-13 05:58:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	SELL	37	99¢	$37	0x98b591…
11-13 05:56:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	37	94¢	$35	0x1fe7df…
11-13 05:54:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	176	57¢	$100	0x3b9af6…
11-13 05:50:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	83	60¢	$50	0x28d534…
11-13 05:49:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	SELL	74	81¢	$60	0x6cfe34…
11-13 05:49:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	74	67¢	$50	0x131fb6…
11-13 05:47:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	SELL	89	62¢	$55	0x80dbfb…
11-13 05:45:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	89	56¢	$50	0x9ff963…
11-13 05:40:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	SELL	187	91¢	$170	0xd9e015…
11-13 05:39:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	187	54¢	$100	0x39ca13…
11-13 05:36:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	85	59¢	$50	0x894673…
11-13 05:35:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	SELL	116	49¢	$57	0x504c26…
11-13 05:34:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	116	43¢	$50	0xa9bd0d…
11-13 05:34:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	SELL	53	99¢	$53	0x9c5869…
11-13 05:33:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	53	94¢	$50	0xf2ee19…
11-13 05:27:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	SELL	67	96¢	$64	0x3c86c3…
11-13 05:26:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	67	75¢	$50	0x2bc422…
11-13 05:23:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	SELL	109	97¢	$105	0x469ff2…
11-13 05:23:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	109	92¢	$100	0x453ca6…
11-13 05:22:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	SELL	148	95¢	$141	0x86608a…
11-13 05:20:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	59	51¢	$30	0x71d75f…
11-13 05:20:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	89	56¢	$50	0x8cdc90…
11-13 05:19:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	98	51¢	$50	0xb48cb3…
11-13 05:18:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	SELL	56	98¢	$55	0x982d50…
11-13 05:17:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	56	89¢	$50	0xba131b…
11-13 05:17:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	SELL	77	16¢	$12	0x3e14a5…
11-13 05:15:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	77	65¢	$50	0x21c618…
11-13 05:11:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	SELL	78	93¢	$73	0x9b7d03…
11-13 05:09:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	78	51¢	$40	0xf00314…
11-13 05:04:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	91	55¢	$50	0xfeb985…
11-12 19:48:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	SELL	93	97¢	$90	0x145d40…
11-12 19:48:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	93	86¢	$80	0xd51b94…
11-12 19:47:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	SELL	88	89¢	$79	0xf72b5a…
11-12 19:45:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	88	68¢	$60	0x641648…
11-12 19:44:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	SELL	71	96¢	$69	0xb90dc9…
11-12 19:40:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	71	42¢	$30	0x506b18…
11-12 19:39:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	SELL	118	99¢	$117	0xe22b74…
11-12 19:38:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	118	85¢	$100	0x01e83a…
11-12 19:38:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	SELL	90	12¢	$11	0x732dfe…
11-12 19:35:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	90	67¢	$60	0x7957af…
11-12 19:33:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	SELL	85	98¢	$84	0x5da5a3…
11-12 19:31:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	85	82¢	$70	0x5a93d3…
11-12 19:24:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0x06828e…
11-12 19:23:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	153	98¢	$150	0x808eb0…
11-12 19:23:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	SELL	103	4¢	$4	0x1824d2…
11-12 19:20:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	103	58¢	$60	0x7c4501…
11-12 19:19:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	SELL	106	99¢	$105	0x65eb42…
11-12 19:17:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	106	66¢	$70	0xa4b15d…
11-12 19:17:06	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22?	No	SELL	417	16¢	$67	0xa6e631…
11-12 19:14:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	SELL	71	99¢	$71	0xc071af…
11-12 19:10:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	71	70¢	$50	0xa8fa23…
11-12 19:08:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	SELL	87	99¢	$86	0xb5dd09…
11-12 19:06:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	87	92¢	$80	0x9bd11b…
11-12 19:06:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	SELL	93	93¢	$87	0xb70914…
11-12 19:06:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	93	86¢	$80	0x842460…
11-12 19:00:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0x750236…
11-12 18:58:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	SELL	69	95¢	$65	0x6b817a…
11-12 18:57:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	69	87¢	$60	0xf539ae…
11-12 18:57:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	SELL	85	65¢	$55	0xfb8e8c…
11-12 18:55:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	85	59¢	$50	0x8ccc7a…
11-12 18:53:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	SELL	113	93¢	$105	0x5ee6ea…
11-12 18:53:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	113	62¢	$70	0xb9c7f1…
11-12 18:52:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	SELL	89	51¢	$46	0xfe9383…
11-12 18:49:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	89	56¢	$50	0x4fbfb1…
11-12 18:44:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	118	34¢	$40	0x76a5bf…
11-12 18:43:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	SELL	41	98¢	$40	0x671742…
11-12 18:42:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	41	85¢	$35	0x1e105d…
11-12 18:37:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	SELL	38	90¢	$35	0x0d5e82…