Willing-Moody — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$20.1K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

52.6%

Resolved

45,160

Trades

111,627

lifetime

Volume

$928.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-11

last 10-29 17:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 156 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 55% +$20,115

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 843 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	337	$1.1K	1,985	1,451	+535	Down	+$161	06-01 12:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 15:10 UTC	314	$1.0K	1,730	1,268	+462	Up	-$20	06-04 15:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	220	$767	1,036	1,057	-21	Down	-$37	06-01 13:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	200	$675	1,223	1,229	-6	Up	-$35	06-01 12:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 13:05 UTC	182	$666	1,127	1,089	+39	Down	-$35	06-05 13:09
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	184	$597	1,078	790	+288	Down	-$20	06-01 12:54
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	215	$560	1,186	990	+196	Up	+$2	06-01 12:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	27	$536	660	511	+148	Down	+$38	05-12 15:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 13:10 UTC	137	$500	640	510	+130	Up	+$17	06-05 13:12
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 18:00 UTC	18	$466	533	486	+48	Up	+$10	09-16 18:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	9	$441	849	796	+54	Down	-$13	05-24 10:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	20	$430	479	378	+101	Down	-$71	05-13 14:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 08:25 UTC	120	$420	795	622	+173	Up	-$30	06-08 08:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	22	$419	471	352	+118	Down	+$13	05-11 17:48
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	121	$416	858	685	+172	Down	-$34	06-01 13:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 14:00 UTC	22	$409	511	361	+150	Up	-$27	07-08 14:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-29 13:45 UTC	35	$394	396	403	-6	Down	-$4	06-29 13:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	20	$388	474	323	+151	Down	+$12	05-15 14:24
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	25	$384	429	304	+125	Up	+$12	05-13 13:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	17	$384	450	177	+273	Down	-$22	05-14 17:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	14	$382	580	124	+455	Up	+$37	05-14 17:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	16	$377	402	286	+116	Down	-$40	05-14 13:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	14	$366	440	303	+136	Down	-$38	05-16 06:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	12	$364	472	236	+237	Up	-$17	09-11 15:59
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	23	$362	476	237	+240	Up	-$41	05-14 17:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 13:45 UTC	29	$361	430	407	+23	Up	-$15	06-04 13:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	17	$356	370	360	+10	Up	+$15	05-12 14:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	16	$352	553	199	+354	Up	-$9	05-14 17:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	6	$341	181	180	+1	Down	-$1	05-11 20:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	8	$338	299	180	+119	Up	+$121	05-12 01:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 17:04:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	35	31¢	$11	0x0f85e0…
10-29 17:04:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	SELL	15	68¢	$10	0xdadbc4…
10-29 15:55:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	SELL	8	47¢	$4	0x4a8ea1…
10-29 14:57:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	54	48¢	$26	0xf7c91e…
10-29 14:57:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	SELL	15	56¢	$8	0x9cf3d5…
10-29 14:23:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	SELL	15	35¢	$5	0x867e96…
10-29 13:23:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	48	62¢	$30	0x3bd6c8…
10-29 13:23:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	SELL	15	33¢	$5	0x3670c0…
10-29 12:22:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	SELL	15	42¢	$6	0x79a1be…
10-29 11:52:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	SELL	7	35¢	$2	0x53a020…
10-29 11:52:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	SELL	8	35¢	$3	0xca265f…
10-29 11:51:32	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	SELL	15	16¢	$2	0x6d1560…
10-29 11:51:31	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	SELL	6	84¢	$5	0x731914…
10-29 11:15:31	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	SELL	15	69¢	$10	0xc75f7b…
10-29 10:39:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	17	14¢	$2	0x346965…
10-29 10:31:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	59	51¢	$30	0x716e0c…
10-29 10:31:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	SELL	15	49¢	$7	0x4e7384…
10-29 09:59:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	SELL	15	10¢	$2	0xea34e3…
10-29 09:59:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	34	89¢	$30	0xd7b099…
10-29 09:57:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	SELL	15	34¢	$5	0xe50150…
10-29 09:38:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	54	56¢	$30	0xd873f3…
10-29 09:38:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	SELL	15	44¢	$7	0x8412de…
10-29 09:18:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	SELL	8	31¢	$2	0xd94017…
10-29 09:13:02	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-29 09:10 UTC	Down	SELL	8	61¢	$5	0xeab99e…
10-29 09:06:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	SELL	15	50¢	$8	0x9c5c9a…
10-29 09:06:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	60	50¢	$30	0x0a60f0…
10-29 08:24:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	SELL	15	15¢	$2	0xa2229c…
10-29 08:24:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	35	85¢	$30	0x49016b…
10-29 08:17:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	60	50¢	$30	0xff86e2…
10-29 08:17:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	SELL	15	50¢	$8	0x6746c1…
10-29 07:39:01	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	SELL	15	9¢	$1	0xaf0e7c…
10-29 07:20:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	50	60¢	$30	0x9deac5…
10-29 07:20:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	SELL	15	40¢	$6	0x96c659…
10-29 07:15:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	50	60¢	$30	0x574fdb…
10-29 07:15:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	SELL	15	40¢	$6	0x131b91…
10-29 06:02:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	60	50¢	$30	0x648dda…
10-29 06:02:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	SELL	15	50¢	$8	0x171c18…
10-29 05:18:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	SELL	15	47¢	$7	0x858e01…
10-29 05:10:28	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	SELL	15	55¢	$8	0xe267a7…
10-29 04:55:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	SELL	10	35¢	$3	0x183ae8…
10-29 04:41:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	SELL	15	69¢	$10	0xae8ce0…
10-29 04:41:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	94	32¢	$30	0x219fe1…
10-29 04:12:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	SELL	15	29¢	$4	0x899038…
10-29 04:12:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	42	71¢	$30	0x100707…
10-29 04:07:44	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	SELL	15	76¢	$11	0x253d99…
10-29 03:07:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	21	73¢	$15	0xda6f4e…
10-29 02:57:52	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	SELL	15	15¢	$2	0xa051c5…
10-29 02:25:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	30	54¢	$16	0xaa0531…
10-29 02:25:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	SELL	15	48¢	$7	0x8b86d4…
10-29 02:24:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	SELL	15	45¢	$7	0x4a72c1…
10-29 02:24:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	55	55¢	$30	0x3c5929…
10-29 00:49:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	36	84¢	$30	0x7764a0…
10-29 00:49:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	SELL	15	10¢	$2	0x25b6d0…
10-29 00:37:53	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	SELL	1	40¢	$0	0xa90a2b…
10-28 23:16:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	24	51¢	$12	0xcbceb2…
10-28 22:09:13	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	21	70¢	$15	0xeff490…
10-28 21:55:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	SELL	15	51¢	$8	0xd3d05e…
10-28 21:52:56	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	SELL	15	9¢	$1	0x7c4d75…
10-28 21:02:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	SELL	15	47¢	$7	0x98341d…
10-28 20:48:41	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	SELL	15	35¢	$5	0xf99766…
10-28 20:31:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	63	19¢	$12	0x979150…
10-28 19:48:59	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	SELL	15	40¢	$6	0xeb800b…
10-28 19:18:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	SELL	15	56¢	$8	0xb29afe…
10-28 18:33:53	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	SELL	13	27¢	$3	0xeb2a89…
10-28 18:33:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	35	57¢	$20	0xda06c4…
10-28 18:33:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	SELL	15	32¢	$5	0xb9f819…
10-28 18:24:04	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0x1b66ae…
10-28 18:22:44	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	SELL	15	35¢	$5	0x2fe882…
10-28 18:22:43	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	23	65¢	$15	0x30dcc5…
10-28 18:18:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	SELL	15	23¢	$3	0xd48cb7…
10-28 18:18:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	23	72¢	$16	0x8524ae…
10-28 18:02:11	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	SELL	24	58¢	$14	0x691910…
10-28 18:00:13	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	9	65¢	$6	0x1da08f…
10-28 17:50:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	53	57¢	$30	0x0215f1…
10-28 17:21:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	56	54¢	$30	0x4749db…
10-28 16:15:31	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	SELL	13	61¢	$8	0xce09b9…
10-28 14:34:32	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	73¢	$7	0xf65061…
10-28 13:27:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	SELL	15	55¢	$8	0xa05881…
10-28 13:12:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	50	60¢	$30	0x13e03c…
10-28 13:12:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	SELL	15	40¢	$6	0xb78ddc…
10-28 12:58:58	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	SELL	15	8¢	$1	0x11e835…
10-28 12:31:56	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	18	65¢	$11	0xb831f7…
10-28 11:17:31	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	SELL	1	46¢	$0	0x40b35a…
10-28 11:12:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	SELL	15	42¢	$6	0xf530c3…
10-28 09:39:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	SELL	15	47¢	$7	0xb7af8e…
10-28 08:43:01	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	64¢	$5	0x926890…
10-28 08:36:44	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	SELL	15	96¢	$14	0x2a68a9…
10-28 08:14:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	30	89¢	$27	0xd03b82…
10-28 08:14:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	SELL	15	15¢	$2	0x95d6e7…
10-28 07:56:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	403	6¢	$24	0xbf3bcf…
10-28 06:52:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	SELL	15	12¢	$2	0x6cf75e…
10-28 06:41:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	91	33¢	$30	0xe8a9bb…
10-28 06:41:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	SELL	15	67¢	$10	0x6415d9…
10-28 04:52:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	SELL	10	33¢	$3	0x6c7054…
10-28 04:45:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	SELL	15	39¢	$6	0xaa475a…
10-28 04:05:34	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	SELL	3	31¢	$1	0xd28749…
10-28 03:38:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	SELL	15	42¢	$6	0xf5392f…
10-28 03:38:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	51	58¢	$30	0x68fe96…
10-28 00:12:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	SELL	5	67¢	$3	0x2199cf…
10-27 23:05:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	64	37¢	$24	0x86311a…