Willing-Moody — Polymarket

Realized P&L (24h)

-$149

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

51.5%

Resolved (24h)

158

Trades (24h)

248

651 lifetime

Volume (24h)

$4.69K

$13.7K lifetime

Avg / trade

$21

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-11

last 05-14 06:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 51% $-117

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 260 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	7	$172	176	136	+40	Down	$-5	05-13 00:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	3	$168	60	120	-60	Down	+$7	05-12 03:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	3	$165	60	120	-60	Down	$-3	05-12 00:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	3	$164	120	60	+60	Up	+$4	05-12 01:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	5	$163	213	15	+198	Up	$-31	05-12 01:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	5	$142	209	16	+193	Up	+$15	05-14 03:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	4	$136	75	65	+10	Down	+$1	05-11 23:03
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	7	$123	120	114	+6	Up	+$4	05-11 14:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	4	$121	129	60	+69	Down	+$37	05-14 02:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	3	$119	122	60	+62	Up	$-1	05-12 22:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	3	$119	60	120	-60	Up	+$176	05-12 01:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	2	$117	60	60	+0	Down	+$1	05-11 20:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	4	$116	150	114	+36	Down	$-8	05-13 23:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	2	$115	120	0	+120	Down	+$5	05-12 01:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	3	$114	60	120	-60	Up	$-12	05-13 01:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	2	$114	121	0	+121	Up	+$7	05-11 23:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	2	$113	120	0	+120	Up	+$7	05-12 23:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	2	$112	60	60	+0	Up	+$3	05-13 03:27
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	8	$112	206	50	+157	Up	$-63	05-14 02:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	2	$112	61	60	+1	Down	+$5	05-13 00:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	4	$107	119	73	+46	Down	$-12	05-11 14:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	3	$104	84	26	+57	Down	+$2	05-12 01:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	2	$100	60	60	+0	Down	$-10	05-12 01:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	3	$96	123	60	+63	Down	+$22	05-14 02:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	2	$95	49	49	+0	Down	+$1	05-13 03:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	3	$93	122	60	+62	Up	+$16	05-11 15:07
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	6	$91	68	48	+20	Down	$-5	05-13 01:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	2	$87	104	0	+104	Down	+$16	05-13 02:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	2	$86	121	0	+121	Up	+$35	05-14 06:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	3	$85	70	86	-16	Up	$-9	05-14 00:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-14 06:21:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x6b21dd…
05-14 06:18:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	90	2¢	$2	0xfaa8f8…
05-14 06:10:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	63	75¢	$47	0x04fbd5…
05-14 06:02:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	40	43¢	$17	0xd11252…
05-14 06:02:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	SELL	11	64¢	$7	0xaccdf2…
05-14 06:01:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	61	82¢	$50	0xf2466c…
05-14 06:00:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	60	60¢	$36	0x7e7575…
05-14 06:00:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	31	65¢	$20	0x856649…
05-14 05:56:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	17	25¢	$4	0xe1f167…
05-14 05:56:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	SELL	10	75¢	$8	0xf70f4d…
05-14 05:55:55	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	9	70¢	$6	0xd22e9e…
05-14 05:50:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	32	49¢	$16	0x6564df…
05-14 05:50:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	60	45¢	$27	0xfa0cbd…
05-14 05:46:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	46	11¢	$5	0x250245…
05-14 05:41:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	26	53¢	$14	0xfd760f…
05-14 05:30:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	11	35¢	$4	0x52ac1b…
05-14 05:11:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	36	55¢	$20	0x072eff…
05-14 04:45:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	22	79¢	$18	0xe26f3a…
05-14 04:45:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	61	68¢	$41	0x585fcf…
05-14 04:21:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	60	25¢	$15	0x92d0ef…
05-14 04:21:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	SELL	60	28¢	$17	0x4086cd…
05-14 04:20:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	60	53¢	$32	0x801259…
05-14 04:15:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	30	39¢	$12	0x7bf09e…
05-14 04:10:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	15	57¢	$9	0x203e02…
05-14 04:05:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	26¢	$1	0x3d32ba…
05-14 04:05:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	56	64¢	$36	0x9fee2c…
05-14 04:05:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	37	56¢	$21	0xc22018…
05-14 04:01:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	SELL	20	29¢	$6	0x9f1203…
05-14 04:01:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	57	31¢	$18	0x7c01b4…
05-14 03:55:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	40	77¢	$31	0xa3dfa9…
05-14 03:51:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0xe51f2a…
05-14 03:50:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	19	59¢	$11	0x3b129d…
05-14 03:50:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	63	43¢	$27	0x1c2d89…
05-14 03:46:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	67	26¢	$17	0x9dbcf4…
05-14 03:45:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	60	57¢	$34	0xb1d395…
05-14 03:43:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	13	25¢	$3	0x748feb…
05-14 03:41:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	61	74¢	$45	0xd1bad1…
05-14 03:41:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	SELL	5	26¢	$1	0x36676e…
05-14 03:40:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	69	45¢	$31	0x922f1b…
05-14 03:35:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	17	50¢	$9	0xccceb8…
05-14 03:34:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x34c7ff…
05-14 03:34:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	20	81¢	$16	0x384551…
05-14 03:30:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	61	48¢	$29	0xfb17bf…
05-14 03:30:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	41	59¢	$24	0x25a950…
05-14 03:25:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	26	70¢	$18	0x6adbf8…
05-14 03:21:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	60	9¢	$5	0xe70fef…
05-14 03:16:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	36	33¢	$12	0x034608…
05-14 03:13:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	58	13¢	$8	0x9be995…
05-14 03:12:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	68	38¢	$26	0x71c650…
05-14 03:10:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	50	56¢	$28	0xf259a7…
05-14 03:05:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	29	47¢	$14	0xd76724…
05-14 03:02:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	60	95¢	$57	0x38ea82…
05-14 03:01:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	20	61¢	$12	0xbde934…
05-14 03:00:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	SELL	16	48¢	$8	0xa669f3…
05-14 03:00:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	67	49¢	$33	0x82f5ca…
05-14 03:00:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	61	52¢	$32	0x0fb005…
05-14 03:00:27	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	20	68¢	$14	0xa6301f…
05-14 02:57:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	SELL	10	51¢	$5	0x107e95…
05-14 02:56:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	SELL	26	55¢	$15	0x170444…
05-14 02:56:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	60	45¢	$27	0xe3e16a…
05-14 02:55:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	SELL	13	36¢	$5	0x4349a3…
05-14 02:55:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	19	64¢	$12	0xfc281a…
05-14 02:55:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	81¢	$6	0x523bc2…
05-14 02:55:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	60	35¢	$21	0xcdab83…
05-14 02:55:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	60	35¢	$21	0xac37b4…
05-14 02:52:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	60	93¢	$56	0xeffa53…
05-14 02:50:53	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	61	38¢	$23	0xb48023…
05-14 02:50:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	SELL	60	25¢	$15	0x717e21…
05-14 02:50:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	60	75¢	$45	0x616c3f…
05-14 02:50:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	SELL	30	61¢	$18	0x4eb09f…
05-14 02:50:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	9	63¢	$6	0xd45fae…
05-14 02:47:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	16	91¢	$15	0x05d1d6…
05-14 02:46:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x8599e2…
05-14 02:46:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	23	50¢	$12	0xf1345e…
05-14 02:43:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	SELL	60	96¢	$58	0x2e7ae0…
05-14 02:43:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	60	5¢	$3	0x34f21e…
05-14 02:40:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	63	56¢	$35	0x50466e…
05-14 02:36:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	44¢	$3	0x8dd5d1…
05-14 02:35:41	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0x25b182…
05-14 02:29:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	SELL	10	33¢	$3	0xc8c9ea…
05-14 02:26:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0x7dc719…
05-14 02:23:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	SELL	59	91¢	$54	0x35e460…
05-14 02:17:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	64	40¢	$26	0x235137…
05-14 02:16:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	60	49¢	$29	0xc1745a…
05-14 02:10:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x651192…
05-14 02:10:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	36	42¢	$15	0xc5e659…
05-14 02:04:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	105	4¢	$4	0xe0ef2e…
05-14 02:04:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	SELL	60	96¢	$58	0x26ffe7…
05-14 01:52:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	60	93¢	$56	0x2cc4d7…
05-14 01:50:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	35	25¢	$9	0xcd040c…
05-14 01:50:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	SELL	20	75¢	$15	0x31e753…
05-14 01:50:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	26	63¢	$16	0x38fad9…
05-14 01:43:51	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	SELL	9	77¢	$7	0xa1486f…
05-14 01:42:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	62	36¢	$22	0x663fb8…
05-14 01:35:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	62¢	$1	0x7bf5a9…
05-14 01:32:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	SELL	10	58¢	$6	0x31a1ec…
05-14 01:31:55	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	15	53¢	$8	0x427d1f…
05-14 01:30:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	71¢	$7	0xde4279…
05-14 01:30:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	40	71¢	$28	0x47e455…
05-14 01:29:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	SELL	23	38¢	$9	0xda2f01…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	371	$46.9K	1,967	05-14 06:25
(anonymous) 0x75cc…3ce1	319	$12.6K	1,438	05-14 06:20
Palatable-Patent 0x0c7c…e4cb	296	$1.44K	1,133	05-14 06:21
Exalted-Mattress 0xa8cc…41a9	295	$15.2K	642	05-14 06:16
Good-Natured-Angora 0x6748…ee08	293	$5.28K	1,371	05-14 06:21
Foolhardy-Highway 0x25f4…f88e	290	$5.65K	984	05-14 06:21
(anonymous) 0x5d4a…55d3	288	$5.14K	855	05-14 06:18
(anonymous) 0x20d2…e29d	286	$11.8K	849	05-14 06:16