Our-Conversion — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2.15K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

96.6%

Resolved

Trades

140

lifetime

Volume

$56.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$406

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-04

last 08-16 06:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 18 days

Categories

Other

65% 96% +$2,100

Crypto

33% 85% +$21

Tech

2% 100% +$25

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $230 by end of June?	9	$5.7K	3,873	3,873	+0	No	+$1,955	06-23 10:06
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	5	$4.8K	2,402	2,402	+0	No	+$10	07-12 02:15
will crude oil cl hit low 45 by end of march 524 288 596 421 318 497 667 674 276 275	7	$2.9K	1,464	1,464	+0	No	+$6	03-24 19:04
bitcoin all time high by march 31 2026	4	$2.6K	1,290	1,290	+0	No	+$3	03-24 00:06
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	15	$2.6K	1,281	1,281	+0	No	+$3	05-23 05:52
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	6	$2.6K	1,288	1,288	+0	No	+$9	06-18 12:12
will gold gc hit low 3000 by end of march	2	$2.5K	1,261	1,261	+0	No	+$1	03-29 04:13
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	10	$2.4K	1,223	1,223	+0	No	+$3	04-18 23:42
will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	2	$2.1K	1,053	1,053	+0	No	+$6	03-26 08:42
will solana dip to 60 february 2 8	3	$2.0K	1,001	1,001	+0	No	+$2	02-08 20:15
will solana reach 200 in february 2026	2	$2.0K	1,004	1,004	+0	No	+$0	02-08 12:06
will bitcoin reach 130k in january 2026	5	$2.0K	999	999	+0	No	+$6	01-27 11:30
will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	2	$1.7K	867	867	+0	No	+$5	01-09 19:27
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?	2	$1.6K	819	819	+0	No	+$2	06-26 08:07
will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	2	$1.5K	729	729	+0	No	+$0	03-12 01:14
will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	2	$1.4K	727	727	+0	No	+$1	03-07 00:59
will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	7	$1.4K	724	724	+0	No	+$1	02-25 02:24
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	3	$1.4K	712	712	+0	No	+$6	04-25 22:34
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $40 in May?	9	$1.3K	650	650	+0	No	+$1	05-27 10:49
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	2	$1.2K	612	612	+0	No	+$1	05-26 10:41
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	4	$1.1K	597	597	+0	Yes	+$15	03-05 06:55
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	2	$1.0K	525	524	+0	No	+$8	04-27 14:31
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?	2	$1.0K	510	510	+0	No	+$3	06-27 03:05
will the price of solana be less than 40 on february 12	1	$1.0K	1,001	0	+1,001	No	+$1	02-11 02:00
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	2	$842	444	444	+0	No	+$33	08-16 06:49
will xrp reach 3pt4 in february 2026	1	$723	724	0	+724	No	+$1	02-26 08:31
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	2	$666	338	338	+0	No	+$8	06-23 15:46
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	2	$641	323	323	+0	No	+$0	06-18 12:12
will the price of bitcoin be between 74000 76000 on march 5	2	$588	294	294	+0	No	+$1	03-05 16:17
Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?	2	$534	270	270	+0	No	+$1	08-16 06:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-16 06:49:16	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	100	99¢	$99	0x2e488e…
08-16 06:49:12	Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?	No	SELL	270	99¢	$268	0xb1e3fb…
08-16 06:49:06	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	SELL	444	99¢	$438	0x4324c9…
08-12 02:01:09	Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	270	99¢	$266	0x1edffa…
08-11 14:49:07	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	268	99¢	$266	0x448424…
08-01 06:22:29	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	BUY	444	91¢	$404	0x84dc30…
07-14 23:36:07	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	406	96¢	$390	0xd06551…
07-12 02:15:34	Exact Score: France 0 - 0 Spain?	No	BUY	390	93¢	$363	0x9e7271…
07-12 02:15:05	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	366	99¢	$364	0x01e8f3…
07-10 12:30:01	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	836	99¢	$831	0xd67a18…
07-03 02:38:02	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1,202	99¢	$1,192	0x41bca9…
07-03 00:33:34	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	1,200	99¢	$1,193	0x552cbb…
06-28 11:09:59	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	268	98¢	$262	0xafae49…
06-28 11:09:34	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0x29a93a…
06-28 11:09:17	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1,200	99¢	$1,186	0xbba7aa…
06-27 03:05:49	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?	No	SELL	510	100¢	$509	0x8b19fd…
06-26 08:08:11	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	No	SELL	217	100¢	$217	0xe07b54…
06-26 08:07:47	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?	No	SELL	819	100¢	$818	0xa306f8…
06-24 00:41:40	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?	No	BUY	819	100¢	$817	0x0b510a…
06-23 15:46:28	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	SELL	338	100¢	$337	0xba0072…
06-23 14:33:28	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	No	SELL	244	100¢	$243	0x27e909…
06-23 10:06:53	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $230 by end of June?	No	SELL	236	100¢	$236	0xcf787f…
06-22 08:12:40	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	No	BUY	217	100¢	$216	0xce63c3…
06-22 08:11:49	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?	No	BUY	510	99¢	$507	0x7ce5b8…
06-20 01:03:55	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $230 by end of June?	No	SELL	725	100¢	$724	0x90c4d6…
06-18 12:54:01	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $230 by end of June?	No	BUY	725	99¢	$720	0xe9aabe…
06-18 12:53:43	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	No	BUY	244	99¢	$242	0xc2ef59…
06-18 12:35:56	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $230 by end of June?	No	SELL	2,912	99¢	$2,880	0x1b09f8…
06-18 12:13:20	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $230 by end of June?	No	BUY	70	39¢	$28	0xeb713f…
06-18 12:13:05	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $230 by end of June?	No	BUY	2,242	32¢	$711	0x32fb1c…
06-18 12:12:58	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $230 by end of June?	No	BUY	600	32¢	$190	0x5a4e85…
06-18 12:12:41	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	644	100¢	$641	0x97e3e1…
06-18 12:12:35	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	SELL	323	99¢	$321	0x7227fb…
06-18 12:11:32	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $230 by end of June?	No	BUY	136	100¢	$136	0x8b7430…
06-18 12:11:31	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $230 by end of June?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xcd75ba…
06-14 10:41:31	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	No	SELL	128	100¢	$127	0xc9158e…
06-14 10:26:49	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	No	SELL	109	100¢	$108	0xae7dcb…
06-13 14:45:00	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	BUY	323	99¢	$320	0x819778…
06-10 16:22:24	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	322	100¢	$321	0x2ecc54…
06-03 05:12:46	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	BUY	338	97¢	$329	0x390b21…
06-01 08:45:08	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	106	99¢	$105	0xf9cf9b…
05-30 01:49:33	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	108	99¢	$107	0xd22728…
05-28 20:12:35	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	108	99¢	$107	0x2e877a…
05-28 18:19:12	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x82d2d2…
05-27 13:17:35	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1,288	99¢	$1,271	0x91a302…
05-27 10:49:53	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $40 in May?	No	SELL	374	100¢	$374	0xac1525…
05-27 04:51:53	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $40 in May?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xadac72…
05-27 04:10:16	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $40 in May?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x51fce4…
05-27 03:55:41	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $40 in May?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0xd94587…
05-27 03:36:56	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $40 in May?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xfdbf3f…
05-27 02:57:38	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $40 in May?	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0xc7f8dd…
05-27 01:31:41	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $40 in May?	No	SELL	71	100¢	$71	0xeb4647…
05-26 21:07:21	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $40 in May?	No	SELL	132	100¢	$132	0xfd0062…
05-26 10:41:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	SELL	612	100¢	$611	0xf733d4…
05-23 20:43:19	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0xb05cd1…
05-23 12:46:17	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $40 in May?	No	BUY	650	100¢	$649	0x16b229…
05-23 05:52:28	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	SELL	640	100¢	$640	0xe4b6fe…
05-22 14:58:52	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x39f140…
05-22 01:35:02	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	BUY	612	100¢	$610	0x609396…
05-22 01:34:34	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x9f102f…
05-22 01:34:29	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x29d69c…
05-22 01:34:23	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x6608c8…
05-21 12:35:05	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x5a78f5…
05-21 12:35:03	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	SELL	53	100¢	$53	0x5a6268…
05-21 12:32:40	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	SELL	45	100¢	$45	0x600c6d…
05-21 12:30:09	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0xa05a97…
05-21 12:29:19	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xc5b7cf…
05-21 12:28:02	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0x54e03d…
05-21 12:21:23	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x50d982…
05-21 12:21:12	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x50774c…
05-21 12:20:56	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	SELL	107	100¢	$107	0x35ec85…
05-21 12:19:52	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	SELL	33	100¢	$33	0x93c39f…
05-21 12:16:32	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	SELL	257	100¢	$256	0xb53e06…
05-21 12:15:57	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x0f2592…
05-21 12:15:08	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x704601…
05-06 09:27:14	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	BUY	1,281	100¢	$1,276	0x389d8e…
04-27 14:31:12	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	No	SELL	524	100¢	$523	0x8f15b3…
04-25 22:34:22	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	SELL	521	100¢	$520	0x68d59d…
04-25 22:29:06	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	SELL	191	100¢	$191	0x5124de…
04-22 15:58:26	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	No	BUY	525	98¢	$515	0x71ee8a…
04-18 23:42:52	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	No	SELL	123	100¢	$123	0xc39f55…
04-18 23:36:10	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x2b3355…
04-18 23:23:46	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	No	SELL	66	100¢	$66	0x4331e5…
04-18 23:18:04	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x28929c…
04-18 22:58:26	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	No	SELL	53	100¢	$53	0x14f4fc…
04-18 22:50:04	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	No	SELL	267	100¢	$266	0xefe251…
04-14 12:40:31	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	BUY	712	99¢	$705	0xaf8969…
04-13 03:35:35	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	No	SELL	172	100¢	$172	0xddbdf7…
04-13 03:20:57	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	No	SELL	229	100¢	$229	0x026960…
04-12 18:11:57	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	No	SELL	306	100¢	$305	0xae8e77…
04-03 02:17:29	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	No	BUY	1,223	100¢	$1,217	0x5bfe5b…
04-03 02:17:23	Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in April?	No	BUY	43	100¢	$43	0xdc9005…
03-29 04:13:52	will gold gc hit low 3000 by end of march	No	SELL	1,261	100¢	$1,260	0xc69e00…
03-27 02:43:03	will gold gc hit low 3000 by end of march	No	BUY	1,261	100¢	$1,258	0xe7c750…
03-26 08:42:09	will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	No	SELL	1,053	100¢	$1,051	0xcc5925…
03-24 19:04:45	will crude oil cl hit low 45 by end of march 524 288 596 421 318 497 667 674 276 275	No	SELL	199	100¢	$199	0x843d1d…
03-24 18:12:21	will crude oil cl hit low 45 by end of march 524 288 596 421 318 497 667 674 276 275	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x592fee…
03-24 15:51:29	will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	No	BUY	1,053	99¢	$1,045	0x3071a9…
03-24 14:06:19	will crude oil cl hit low 45 by end of march 524 288 596 421 318 497 667 674 276 275	No	SELL	102	100¢	$102	0x66f024…
03-24 13:09:25	will crude oil cl hit low 45 by end of march 524 288 596 421 318 497 667 674 276 275	No	SELL	400	100¢	$399	0x986e01…