Unsightly-Vagrant — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$9

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

64.4%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$39

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-08

last 11-01 11:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 26 days

Categories

Other

72% 52% -$7

Politics

18% 40% -$2

Crypto

10% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Jane Nielsen be the next CEO of Lululemon?	2	$5	3	3	+0	No	+$1	03-07 17:37
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 15 20260810150912478	2	$2	1	1	+0	No	+$0	09-06 12:00
sp 500 all time high by march 31 2026	1	$2	2	0	+2	No	+$0	03-07 17:38
Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 May 4-10?	1	$2	2	0	+2	Yes	+$0	05-05 18:57
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	10-06 05:43
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	2	$2	500	500	+0	No	$0	05-25 05:09
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	-$1	10-06 05:44
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	1	$1	1	0	+1	Yes	+$0	11-01 11:36
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on November 2?	1	$1	2	0	+2	No	-$1	11-01 11:37
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?	1	$1	2	0	+2	Yes	+$1	04-09 11:50
will khamenei leave iran by jan 31 322	1	$1	11	0	+11	No	-$1	01-08 06:01
Will Hinge Health (HNGE) beat quarterly earnings?	1	$1	1	0	+1	Yes	-$1	11-01 11:36
bitcoin above 90k on january 8	1	$1	1	0	+1	Yes	+$0	01-08 05:59
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs L1ga Team (BO3) - 1win Essence Group B	1	$1	2	0	+2	L1ga Team	+$1	05-05 18:58
Will France win on 2026-07-04?	1	$1	1	0	+1	Yes	+$0	07-02 14:15
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	1	$1	2	0	+2	Yes	+$1	03-07 17:39
lol fxw7 lll 2026 08 02	1	$1	1	0	+1	LOUD	+$0	08-02 17:17
will bitcoin dip to 90k january 5 11	1	$1	1	0	+1	Yes	+$0	01-08 06:00
Will Switzerland vs. Algeria end in a draw?	1	$1	3	0	+3	No	-$1	07-02 14:14
elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 460 479	1	$1	8	0	+8	No	-$1	01-24 05:41
US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	-$1	08-26 12:39
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	1	$1	1	0	+1	Yes	+$0	03-07 17:38
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $730 in May?	1	$1	1	0	+1	Yes	+$0	05-05 18:56
Dota 2: enjoy boys vs Power Rangers (BO3) - European Pro League Group A	1	$1	1	0	+1	enjoy boys	-$1	05-05 18:58
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	1	$1	1	0	+1	Yes	+$0	07-02 14:15
cs2 esc1 tri9 2026 04 09	1	$1	1	0	+1	ESC Gaming	-$1	04-09 11:49
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	-$1	07-02 14:15
stt quarterly earnings gaap eps 01 16 2026 2pt67	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	-$1	01-08 05:59
plby quarterly earnings gaap eps 03 12 2026 0pt01	1	$1	1	0	+1	Yes	+$0	03-07 17:39
tsm quarterly earnings gaap eps 01 15 2026 2pt92	1	$1	1	0	+1	Yes	+$0	01-08 05:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 11:37:33	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on November 2?	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xb8c183…
11-01 11:36:42	Will Hinge Health (HNGE) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xa4b699…
11-01 11:36:13	Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x1b6d3e…
10-06 05:44:31	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xefeb04…
10-06 05:43:18	Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0x338a0e…
09-06 12:02:19	Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x49c050…
09-06 12:00:43	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 15 20260810150912478	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x815f61…
08-27 08:03:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x688bf7…
08-26 12:39:46	US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x2db88e…
08-02 17:17:09	lol fxw7 lll 2026 08 02	LOUD	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x7e7f72…
07-02 14:15:55	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xa5d9e1…
07-02 14:15:20	Will France win on 2026-07-04?	Yes	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x27bb94…
07-02 14:15:02	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?	Yes	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x28d4a0…
07-02 14:14:44	Will Switzerland vs. Algeria end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x3f2c15…
05-25 05:09:48	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	Yes	SELL	500	0¢	$0	0xde4852…
05-25 05:08:44	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xde8226…
05-05 18:58:34	Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs L1ga Team (BO3) - 1win Essence Group B	L1ga Team	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xeb5d2a…
05-05 18:58:12	Dota 2: enjoy boys vs Power Rangers (BO3) - European Pro League Group A	Power Rangers	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x045767…
05-05 18:57:34	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 May 4-10?	Yes	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x42788e…
05-05 18:56:58	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $730 in May?	Yes	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xba3340…
05-05 18:56:24	Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1	24¢	$0	0xece3e2…
04-09 11:50:19	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?	Yes	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xbde6ba…
04-09 11:49:45	cs2 esc1 tri9 2026 04 09	Tricked	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x3da244…
03-07 17:39:37	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	Yes	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x8ff1d6…
03-07 17:39:23	plby quarterly earnings gaap eps 03 12 2026 0pt01	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x744837…
03-07 17:38:31	sp 500 all time high by march 31 2026	No	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x1a0ff8…
03-07 17:38:11	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x7a919d…
03-07 17:37:37	Will Jane Nielsen be the next CEO of Lululemon?	No	SELL	3	94¢	$3	0x6c00ca…
01-24 05:42:10	Will Jane Nielsen be the next CEO of Lululemon?	No	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0xc6af9b…
01-24 05:41:22	elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 460 479	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x6cbe66…
01-08 06:01:15	will khamenei leave iran by jan 31 322	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x9c7c9b…
01-08 06:00:39	will bitcoin dip to 90k january 5 11	Yes	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x12ce7d…
01-08 05:59:51	bitcoin above 90k on january 8	Yes	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x6fbaab…
01-08 05:59:03	stt quarterly earnings gaap eps 01 16 2026 2pt67	Yes	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xef9720…
01-08 05:58:43	tsm quarterly earnings gaap eps 01 15 2026 2pt92	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xf88ba8…
01-08 05:58:05	elc cha por 2025 12 06 por	Yes	SELL	1	22¢	$0	0xc36a0c…