Insubstantial-Nightlight — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$94

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

44.7%

Resolved

Trades

12,228

lifetime

Volume

$53.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-13

last 05-26 17:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Crypto

83% 84% +$61

Other

10% 0% $-52

Politics

6% 33% +$85

Sports

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

47 active days in 12wk • peak 1394 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
sol updown 15m 1773927000	147	$1000	2,036	0	+2,036	open	—	03-19 13:41
sol updown 15m 1773927900	156	$932	1,820	0	+1,820	open	—	03-19 13:59
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	8	$911	786	1,186	-400	open	—	04-10 16:52
btc updown 15m 1773837900	237	$723	1,389	0	+1,389	open	—	03-18 12:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	9	$715	428	428	+0	open	—	05-26 14:55
sol updown 15m 1774420200	137	$695	646	686	-40	open	—	03-25 06:37
eth updown 15m 1774189800	211	$648	637	485	+152	open	—	03-22 14:45
sol updown 15m 1773918000	101	$585	1,244	0	+1,244	open	—	03-19 11:14
sol updown 15m 1773917100	83	$568	1,143	0	+1,143	open	—	03-19 10:58
btc updown 15m 1773838800	174	$565	1,023	42	+981	open	—	03-18 13:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	5	$557	324	313	+11	open	—	05-25 17:14
btc updown 5m 1775376600	166	$553	768	335	+433	open	—	04-05 08:15
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	13	$529	449	449	+0	open	—	04-10 15:54
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	37	$518	600	600	+0	Yes	$-2	04-10 15:02
sol updown 15m 1773918900	77	$494	988	0	+988	open	—	03-19 11:28
sol updown 15m 1774419300	111	$493	491	536	-46	open	—	03-25 06:22
sol updown 15m 1774407600	98	$467	395	369	+26	open	—	03-25 03:12
btc updown 5m 1775227200	183	$452	535	265	+270	open	—	04-03 14:44
btc updown 5m 1775369400	140	$452	580	370	+210	open	—	04-05 06:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	4	$441	336	336	+0	open	—	05-21 15:13
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	4	$438	400	600	-200	open	—	04-10 11:23
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	3	$419	531	22	+509	open	—	05-26 08:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	12	$419	528	361	+167	open	—	05-21 09:29
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	6	$416	400	400	+0	open	—	04-09 19:41
sol updown 15m 1773929700	81	$410	843	0	+843	open	—	03-19 14:26
btc updown 15m 1773836100	132	$408	784	0	+784	open	—	03-18 12:28
sol updown 15m 1774404900	90	$394	342	330	+12	open	—	03-25 02:24
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	5	$382	400	400	+0	open	—	04-07 22:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	4	$376	392	364	+28	open	—	05-26 08:27
btc updown 15m 1773830700	101	$354	688	0	+688	open	—	03-18 10:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-26 17:06:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	623	35¢	$218	0x2fe968…
05-26 16:59:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	521	38¢	$200	0xe170a8…
05-26 16:58:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	177	73¢	$130	0xcf4600…
05-26 14:59:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	SELL	28	12¢	$3	0xd39ac0…
05-26 14:59:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x10302a…
05-26 14:55:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	SELL	233	96¢	$223	0x0a40e8…
05-26 14:53:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0xfd14b3…
05-26 14:52:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	SELL	148	97¢	$143	0xf83743…
05-26 14:50:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	130	77¢	$100	0x682dcd…
05-26 14:47:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	148	71¢	$105	0x27b2bb…
05-26 14:47:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	SELL	38	35¢	$13	0x7e8d89…
05-26 14:47:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0x53c41c…
05-26 14:46:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	SELL	9	50¢	$4	0x8a7c36…
05-26 14:45:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xce6d7e…
05-26 14:38:10	Solana Up or Down - May 26, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x75ead2…
05-26 14:38:10	Solana Up or Down - May 26, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	SELL	11	99¢	$10	0x72121f…
05-26 14:38:10	Solana Up or Down - May 26, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	SELL	51	99¢	$50	0x0e64e6…
05-26 14:32:55	Solana Up or Down - May 26, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	62	81¢	$50	0x37f56c…
05-26 14:26:16	Solana Up or Down - May 26, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	36	3¢	$1	0x946c72…
05-26 08:42:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	509	79¢	$400	0x1d1ec6…
05-26 08:33:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	SELL	22	41¢	$9	0xfe03d7…
05-26 08:32:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x36073a…
05-26 08:29:18	Solana Up or Down - May 26, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	61	49¢	$30	0x358c77…
05-26 08:27:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	SELL	364	45¢	$164	0xd8a76b…
05-26 08:27:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	364	55¢	$200	0xc36fd1…
05-26 08:20:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x0f2ce8…
05-26 08:17:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0xf96e27…
05-26 08:12:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	SELL	163	99¢	$162	0x5c0a0e…
05-26 08:09:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	52	78¢	$40	0x508087…
05-26 08:09:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	57	53¢	$30	0xbe350d…
05-26 08:08:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	70	57¢	$40	0x9d131d…
05-26 08:07:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	55	64¢	$35	0x54cf04…
05-26 08:00:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2,022	4¢	$80	0x89bff2…
05-26 07:59:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x6f14c8…
05-26 07:58:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x90fd92…
05-26 07:57:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x7e9f92…
05-26 07:54:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	SELL	55	99¢	$54	0xd4aeb1…
05-26 07:52:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	55	91¢	$50	0x09c00c…
05-26 07:18:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	SELL	9	78¢	$7	0xa43031…
05-26 07:15:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x859c8d…
05-26 01:16:35	Solana Up or Down - May 25, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0xd2ca5d…
05-26 01:09:08	BNB Up or Down - May 25, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x9833e9…
05-26 01:07:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	SELL	7	27¢	$2	0xec8904…
05-26 01:03:46	Solana Up or Down - May 25, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xb75365…
05-26 01:03:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x8a6167…
05-26 00:59:57	Solana Up or Down - May 25, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xd8d6d4…
05-26 00:59:50	Solana Up or Down - May 25, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	135	81¢	$110	0x24535e…
05-26 00:58:07	Solana Up or Down - May 25, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	25	80¢	$20	0x2476fc…
05-26 00:56:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0x1b4af3…
05-25 17:15:02	Solana Up or Down - May 25, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	224	92¢	$207	0xd772b1…
05-25 17:14:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	SELL	288	96¢	$277	0x4ba547…
05-25 17:13:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	226	89¢	$200	0x0d39d4…
05-25 17:11:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	62	64¢	$40	0x54f53c…
05-25 17:10:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	SELL	25	62¢	$16	0xd5a99e…
05-25 17:08:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xf0258d…
05-25 17:05:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	36	70¢	$25	0x2f8192…
05-25 16:56:34	Solana Up or Down - May 25, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	SELL	15	7¢	$1	0x82d220…
05-25 16:55:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	SELL	12	24¢	$3	0xa49ccf…
05-25 16:50:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x0aaa01…
05-25 16:50:13	Solana Up or Down - May 25, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0xa7b94c…
05-25 16:49:55	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x988164…
05-25 16:49:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x396828…
05-25 16:40:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	38	78¢	$30	0xe0db1f…
05-25 16:33:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x1e6ae5…
05-25 16:25:17	Solana Up or Down - May 25, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x675cbd…
05-25 16:23:54	Solana Up or Down - May 25, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x84b417…
05-25 16:20:42	Solana Up or Down - May 25, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x00ead9…
05-25 16:19:55	Solana Up or Down - May 25, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xa5c2ca…
05-25 16:18:17	Solana Up or Down - May 25, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xb7b4eb…
05-25 16:16:51	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x4b1a48…
05-25 16:14:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	SELL	29	5¢	$1	0xa6eac4…
05-25 16:12:27	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	29	80¢	$23	0x0c2f31…
05-25 16:08:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xbd9d59…
05-25 16:05:41	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xb133d2…
05-25 15:59:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	367	94¢	$345	0x35c3c0…
05-25 15:57:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x9db18a…
05-25 15:42:43	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	42	71¢	$30	0xdcaa0f…
05-25 15:41:35	Solana Up or Down - May 25, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	SELL	17	98¢	$17	0xf9bbd7…
05-25 15:40:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x9139c9…
05-25 15:37:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x09adc6…
05-25 15:35:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x5a8a7f…
05-25 15:34:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x600fb9…
05-25 15:33:50	Solana Up or Down - May 25, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	17	63¢	$11	0xf0e061…
05-25 15:33:43	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x9aa880…
05-25 15:33:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x907cb5…
05-25 15:33:16	Solana Up or Down - May 25, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x3111be…
05-25 15:32:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x8f8493…
05-25 15:32:24	Solana Up or Down - May 25, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xcfd702…
05-25 15:31:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x0f27fe…
05-25 15:31:00	Solana Up or Down - May 25, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xb840b6…
05-25 15:22:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0xdb4784…
05-25 15:16:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xf57054…
05-25 15:10:24	Solana Up or Down - May 25, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xf86f21…
05-25 15:08:11	Solana Up or Down - May 25, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x8b9605…
05-25 15:07:45	Solana Up or Down - May 25, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xb27af5…
05-25 15:07:14	Solana Up or Down - May 25, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x5e523b…
05-25 12:43:59	Solana Up or Down - May 25, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x0938b1…
05-25 12:38:53	Solana Up or Down - May 25, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x44a451…
05-25 12:29:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	33	90¢	$30	0xd689ba…
05-25 12:27:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	26	78¢	$20	0x03e7d5…