Smart-Offense — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$156

Unrealized P&L

+$34

Hit rate

68.9%

Resolved

Trades

212

lifetime

Volume

$13.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$62

Open exposure

$781

2 positions

First seen

2026-05-10

last 06-12 19:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

67% — —

Other

27% — —

Crypto

6% 45% $-156

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 78 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (8) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No		+500	$461	95¢	$476	+$14	06-12 19:35
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?	Yes		+330	$285	92¢	$305	+$20	05-30 19:47

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?	47	$4.8K	5,209	1,296	+3,913	open	—	05-15 05:35
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	14	$1.1K	1,219	0	+1,219	open	—	05-15 05:42
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	16	$1.0K	1,349	0	+1,349	open	—	05-15 16:54
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 22?	5	$992	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	05-22 19:46
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	15	$726	909	0	+909	open	—	05-15 16:57
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 21?	24	$520	585	0	+585	open	—	05-21 19:56
Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?	8	$466	527	0	+527	open	—	05-15 05:47
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	3	$461	500	0	+500	open	—	06-12 19:35
Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?	5	$425	300	300	+0	open	—	05-15 05:46
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 28?	5	$415	426	0	+426	open	—	05-28 18:44
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?	6	$285	330	0	+330	open	—	05-30 19:47
Will Trump say "IQ" during events with Xi Jinping?	2	$274	295	0	+295	open	—	05-15 04:25
Will Trump say "Fentanyl" during events with Xi Jinping?	2	$199	213	0	+213	open	—	05-15 04:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	2	$150	175	0	+175	Down	$-150	05-11 01:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	2	$140	157	0	+157	Down	+$17	05-11 01:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	1	$135	137	0	+137	Down	+$2	05-11 01:29
spx up or down on june 9 2026	12	$131	164	164	+0	open	—	06-09 19:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	1	$130	136	0	+136	Up	+$6	05-11 01:24
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 29?	15	$112	135	0	+135	open	—	05-29 18:57
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 20?	2	$95	100	0	+100	open	—	05-20 15:02
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	2	$93	130	0	+130	open	—	05-15 16:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	2	$87	133	0	+133	Up	+$46	05-11 01:18
Will Trump say "Japan" or "Korea" during events with Xi Jinping?	2	$79	84	0	+84	open	—	05-15 04:36
Will Trump say "Hong Kong" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$62	66	0	+66	open	—	05-15 04:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	2	$50	85	0	+85	Down	$-50	05-11 00:02
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 27?	4	$42	48	0	+48	open	—	05-27 20:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	1	$36	47	0	+47	Up	+$11	05-11 01:14
Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on May 29?	1	$27	30	0	+30	open	—	05-29 19:03
Solana Up or Down - May 10, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	1	$25	29	0	+29	Up	$-25	05-10 23:59
Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$21	24	0	+24	open	—	05-15 04:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-12 19:35:36	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	200	92¢	$184	0xd3bed9…
06-11 23:46:42	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	200	92¢	$185	0xdce2f4…
06-09 19:52:24	spx up or down on june 9 2026	Up	SELL	164	0¢	$1	0x48027e…
06-09 13:26:03	spx up or down on june 9 2026	Up	BUY	43	78¢	$33	0x1b0383…
06-09 13:24:48	spx up or down on june 9 2026	Up	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0xadce97…
06-09 13:23:48	spx up or down on june 9 2026	Up	BUY	2	79¢	$2	0x62e1b5…
06-09 13:18:46	spx up or down on june 9 2026	Up	BUY	3	80¢	$2	0x96ac61…
06-09 13:18:46	spx up or down on june 9 2026	Up	BUY	7	80¢	$6	0x66579c…
06-09 13:18:45	spx up or down on june 9 2026	Up	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0xa588c8…
06-09 12:52:37	spx up or down on june 9 2026	Up	BUY	7	79¢	$5	0x9841f6…
06-09 12:52:37	spx up or down on june 9 2026	Up	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x188c52…
06-09 12:51:40	spx up or down on june 9 2026	Up	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0xf31fa8…
06-09 12:46:28	spx up or down on june 9 2026	Up	BUY	16	80¢	$13	0x3d97f2…
06-09 12:45:19	spx up or down on june 9 2026	Up	BUY	50	80¢	$40	0xd1a8de…
05-30 19:47:58	Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	84¢	$17	0x922677…
05-30 19:19:30	Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?	Yes	BUY	17	85¢	$14	0x63e898…
05-30 17:07:08	Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?	Yes	BUY	33	85¢	$28	0x26a560…
05-29 19:03:51	Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on May 29?	Down	BUY	30	91¢	$27	0x36e9d1…
05-29 18:57:59	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 29?	Up	BUY	10	75¢	$8	0x2d1ee3…
05-29 18:51:32	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 29?	Up	BUY	10	75¢	$8	0x0c180a…
05-29 18:51:08	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 29?	Up	BUY	0	80¢	$0	0xc79c08…
05-29 18:51:08	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 29?	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x4de13e…
05-29 18:50:43	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 29?	Up	BUY	15	80¢	$12	0x16cb99…
05-29 18:45:21	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 29?	Up	BUY	12	87¢	$11	0xfb9b8e…
05-29 18:45:20	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 29?	Up	BUY	8	87¢	$7	0xe40446…
05-29 18:45:20	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 29?	Up	BUY	4	88¢	$4	0x8153fe…
05-29 18:45:18	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 29?	Up	BUY	31	88¢	$27	0xd5816d…
05-29 18:45:18	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 29?	Up	BUY	15	88¢	$13	0x59d4b5…
05-29 18:44:53	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 29?	Up	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0xacee9d…
05-29 18:17:14	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 29?	Up	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0xc88077…
05-29 18:17:04	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 29?	Up	BUY	2	72¢	$2	0x6f0998…
05-29 18:16:36	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 29?	Up	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0xcc8be0…
05-29 18:16:04	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 29?	Up	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0x31b68a…
05-28 21:03:53	Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?	Yes	BUY	60	85¢	$51	0x09d007…
05-28 20:29:03	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	100	93¢	$93	0xb4bd11…
05-28 18:44:52	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 28?	Up	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0xbd210b…
05-28 18:38:52	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 28?	Up	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x0ed41b…
05-28 18:26:19	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 28?	Up	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x6cc7cd…
05-28 18:01:42	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 28?	Up	BUY	200	97¢	$194	0x4f8617…
05-28 18:00:45	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 28?	Up	BUY	23	98¢	$22	0xe176a6…
05-28 07:25:47	Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?	Yes	BUY	100	87¢	$87	0xede640…
05-28 00:04:09	Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?	Yes	BUY	100	88¢	$88	0x7b6299…
05-27 20:00:01	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 27?	Up	BUY	25	96¢	$24	0x10bacb…
05-27 19:59:49	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 27?	Up	BUY	12	92¢	$12	0xd3cc42…
05-27 19:59:21	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 27?	Up	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0xf1a4b6…
05-27 19:59:10	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 27?	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x8d1d99…
05-25 04:18:07	Solana Up or Down - May 25, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	27	69¢	$18	0x4d9d87…
05-25 04:08:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	4	39¢	$2	0x97a1d2…
05-25 04:08:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	39¢	$2	0x3a44cc…
05-22 19:46:30	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 22?	Up	BUY	454	99¢	$450	0x5fdf88…
05-22 19:46:30	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 22?	Up	BUY	129	99¢	$128	0x117771…
05-22 19:46:27	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 22?	Up	BUY	136	99¢	$135	0xaea576…
05-22 19:46:27	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 22?	Up	BUY	131	99¢	$130	0x74b8e5…
05-22 19:42:25	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 22?	Up	BUY	150	99¢	$149	0x47cf14…
05-21 19:56:21	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 21?	Up	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0xb95a55…
05-21 19:54:20	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 21?	Up	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0x395cfd…
05-21 19:54:17	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 21?	Up	BUY	45	92¢	$41	0xaa9577…
05-21 19:54:17	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 21?	Up	BUY	48	91¢	$44	0x9b2eeb…
05-21 19:54:10	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 21?	Up	BUY	7	96¢	$7	0xd9fffb…
05-21 19:54:01	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 21?	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xc77337…
05-21 19:53:19	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 21?	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x6d3dbe…
05-21 19:50:57	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 21?	Up	BUY	18	96¢	$17	0xc49279…
05-21 19:50:55	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 21?	Up	BUY	25	96¢	$24	0x06a9d3…
05-21 19:49:58	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 21?	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xc41bca…
05-21 19:49:05	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 21?	Up	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x684a87…
05-21 19:48:30	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 21?	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x8fdebd…
05-21 19:47:22	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 21?	Up	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0xd8c644…
05-21 19:42:23	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 21?	Up	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x59e9e0…
05-21 19:42:21	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 21?	Up	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0xdcfd0c…
05-21 19:42:16	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 21?	Up	BUY	30	80¢	$24	0xc4d571…
05-21 19:42:09	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 21?	Up	BUY	26	85¢	$22	0xbc490f…
05-21 19:42:07	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 21?	Up	BUY	14	85¢	$12	0xa9d37d…
05-21 19:41:39	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 21?	Up	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x8c96a4…
05-21 19:41:34	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 21?	Up	BUY	250	88¢	$220	0x828af5…
05-21 19:40:48	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 21?	Up	BUY	18	90¢	$16	0xfcd59c…
05-21 19:40:48	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 21?	Up	BUY	32	90¢	$29	0xbb515e…
05-21 19:21:40	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 21?	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x586df0…
05-21 19:21:40	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 21?	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x057f71…
05-20 15:02:29	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 20?	Up	BUY	98	95¢	$93	0x45cd68…
05-20 15:02:20	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 20?	Up	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xd8fda8…
05-20 14:29:19	Trump kiss by May 31?	No	SELL	30	40¢	$12	0x3d5776…
05-15 16:57:26	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	100	70¢	$70	0xd99ed6…
05-15 16:54:24	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	16	72¢	$11	0xc63a50…
05-15 16:54:01	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	80	72¢	$57	0x2c699e…
05-15 16:53:54	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	9	72¢	$6	0x90040b…
05-15 16:26:22	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	60	73¢	$44	0x06f5ae…
05-15 16:21:35	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	80	74¢	$59	0x68e96b…
05-15 16:16:27	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	80	74¢	$59	0xe41a16…
05-15 16:13:14	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	30	75¢	$22	0xc2aee8…
05-15 16:12:08	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	21	75¢	$15	0xc2a0a3…
05-15 13:31:41	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	50	67¢	$33	0xccd4bf…
05-15 12:59:06	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	12	74¢	$9	0x9100c7…
05-15 12:58:58	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	39	74¢	$29	0x81a9ff…
05-15 12:31:08	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	100	75¢	$75	0xefd211…
05-15 12:13:50	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	200	78¢	$157	0x16f684…
05-15 12:11:36	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	180	79¢	$142	0x4774f1…
05-15 12:00:25	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	77	81¢	$62	0x979471…
05-15 11:59:17	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	3	81¢	$2	0x1d612f…
05-15 05:47:47	Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	63	88¢	$55	0x1111fd…
05-15 05:46:50	Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	28	87¢	$24	0x34186b…