(anonymous) 0xad4718…bd7142
4L streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$367
Unrealized P&L
+$276
Hit rate
31.5%
Resolved
143
Trades
1,276
lifetime
Volume
$39.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$31
Open exposure
$9.47K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 10-27 06:40
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 17 days
Categories
Other
63% 38% -$219
Politics
28% 5% -$131
Tech
8% 6% -$12
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Crypto
0% 0% -$4
Sports
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
6 active days in 12wk • peak 939 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? No +1,298 $1,181 98¢ $1.3K +$91 10-23 06:01
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? No +1,200 $768 66¢ $786 +$18 10-23 02:10
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +760 $664 98¢ $744 +$80 10-23 11:38
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? No +727 $582 78¢ $571 -$11 10-23 03:12
US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027? Yes +937 $534 60¢ $567 +$33 10-22 21:21
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? Yes +1,200 $444 34¢ $414 -$30 10-23 02:10
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? Yes +600 $324 62¢ $375 +$51 10-23 09:40
US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027? No +937 $412 40¢ $370 -$42 10-22 21:21
Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026? No +364 $350 96¢ $348 -$2 10-23 08:22
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +399 $259 82¢ $325 +$66 10-23 11:28
Will no listed leader be out before 2027? Yes +458 $214 69¢ $316 +$102 10-23 11:04
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +300 $254 96¢ $288 +$34 10-23 10:15
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? Yes +400 $96 66¢ $262 +$166 10-23 11:14
Will Lorne Doerkson be the next Premier of British Columbia? Yes +242 $223 96¢ $232 +$9 10-23 10:28
Will Majid Takht-Ravanchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? No +338 $250 68¢ $229 -$20 10-22 23:38
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? No +600 $282 38¢ $225 -$57 10-23 09:40
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? No +406 $213 52¢ $213 $0 10-22 22:08
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? Yes +406 $197 48¢ $193 -$4 10-22 22:08
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +200 $172 86¢ $173 +$1 10-22 20:42
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +294 $123 58¢ $172 +$49 10-23 09:19
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? Yes +727 $146 22¢ $156 +$10 10-23 03:12
US imports Russian diesel by October 31? No +150 $140 99¢ $148 +$8 10-23 09:33
Ilhan Omar federally charged by December 31? No +250 $157 57¢ $144 -$13 10-23 02:25
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +200 $164 72¢ $143 -$21 10-23 02:12
Will no listed leader be out before 2027? No +458 $245 31¢ $142 -$103 10-23 11:04
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? No +400 $305 34¢ $138 -$168 10-23 11:14
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? No +207 $46 66¢ $137 +$91 10-23 11:01
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +200 $134 68¢ $137 +$3 10-23 09:16
Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by December 31, 2027? Yes +209 $138 60¢ $124 -$14 10-22 18:27
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +294 $173 42¢ $122 -$51 10-23 09:19