(anonymous) 0xad4718…bd7142 Create alert
12L streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (7d)
-$37
Unrealized P&L
+$319
Hit rate
12.4%
Resolved (7d)
40
Trades (7d)
0
1,276 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$0
$39.7K lifetime
Avg / trade
$31
Open exposure
$6.25K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 10-27 06:40
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 26 days
Categories
Other
63% 28% -$290
Politics
28% 7% -$165
Tech
8% 9% -$17
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Crypto
0% 0% -$4
Sports
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
6 active days in 12wk • peak 939 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? No +727 $582 92¢ $672 +$91 10-23 03:12
US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027? Yes +937 $534 66¢ $613 +$80 10-22 21:21
Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026? No +364 $350 98¢ $358 +$7 10-23 08:22
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +399 $259 88¢ $353 +$94 10-23 11:28
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? Yes +600 $324 56¢ $333 +$9 10-23 09:40
US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027? No +937 $412 34¢ $323 -$89 10-22 21:21
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? No +600 $282 44¢ $267 -$15 10-23 09:40
Will no listed leader be out before 2027? No +458 $245 56¢ $259 +$14 10-23 11:04
Will Lorne Doerkson be the next Premier of British Columbia? Yes +242 $223 99¢ $240 +$18 10-23 10:28
Will Majid Takht-Ravanchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? No +338 $250 66¢ $223 -$27 10-22 23:38
Will no listed leader be out before 2027? Yes +458 $214 44¢ $199 -$15 10-23 11:04
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +294 $123 64¢ $190 +$66 10-23 09:19
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +200 $172 94¢ $189 +$17 10-22 20:42
Ilhan Omar federally charged by December 31? No +250 $157 76¢ $189 +$32 10-23 02:25
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by December 31, 2026? Yes +156 $147 98¢ $153 +$5 10-23 10:13
France accuses foreign country of provoking unrest by November 30? No +150 $134 98¢ $147 +$13 10-23 10:01
Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by December 31, 2027? Yes +209 $138 64¢ $135 -$3 10-22 18:27
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? No +200 $132 66¢ $132 $0 10-23 09:31
US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026? No +150 $126 84¢ $125 -$1 10-22 16:24
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31? No +120 $78 97¢ $117 +$39 10-23 00:29
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +200 $164 58¢ $116 -$48 10-23 02:12
Will Majid Takht-Ravanchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? Yes +338 $95 34¢ $115 +$19 10-22 23:38
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? No +139 $114 78¢ $109 -$5 10-23 03:49
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain? No +120 $104 90¢ $108 +$4 10-23 10:08
Iran full airspace closure by December 31? No +143 $89 74¢ $105 +$16 10-23 01:22
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +294 $173 36¢ $104 -$69 10-23 09:19
NATO x Russia military clash by November 15, 2026? No +105 $83 98¢ $103 +$20 10-22 22:02
Will PSOE win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? No +107 $89 88¢ $95 +$6 10-23 06:08
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31? No +89 $73 99¢ $88 +$15 10-23 07:48
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026? Yes +91 $62 96¢ $87 +$25 10-23 07:29