Flaky-Senator 0xad6597…ab8c6b
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Realized P&L
—
Unrealized P&L
-$3
Hit rate
—
Resolved
0
Trades
163
lifetime
Volume
$488
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$20
9 positions
First seen
2026-01-08
last 06-17 12:52
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
61% — —
Politics
39% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
30 active days in 12wk • peak 18 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? Yes -234 $-16 4¢ $-11 +$6 05-29 15:44
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +16 $4 20¢ $3 $-0 06-12 13:20
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -24 $-3 12¢ $-3 $-0 06-17 04:57
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? Yes +14 $1 6¢ $1 $-0 06-03 04:44
Iran nuclear test before 2027? Yes +11 $1 6¢ $1 $-0 06-06 04:28
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30? Yes +36 $6 2¢ $1 $-6 06-08 12:26
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? Yes +28 $1 1¢ $0 $-1 06-12 11:46
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? Yes +4 $1 7¢ $0 $-1 06-08 11:22
Iran leadership change by June 30? Yes +11 $0 1¢ $0 $-0 06-06 04:33