Flippant-Wraparound — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

+$141

Unrealized P&L

+$32

Hit rate

83.1%

Resolved (90d)

129

Trades (90d)

1,381

2,538 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$83.6K

$157.5K lifetime

Avg / trade

$62

Open exposure

$2.31K

1 position

First seen

2026-04-11

last 11-02 19:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 114 days

Categories

Other

78% 80% +$515

Crypto

9% 88% +$109

Politics

6% 69% -$45

Sports

6% 73% +$67

Tech

1% 0% —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

75 active days in 12wk • peak 126 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (19) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?	No		+2,500	$2,280	92¢	$2.3K	+$32	10-30 17:06

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will GRVT launch a token by September 30, 2026?	25	$11.9K	6,012	6,012	+0	Yes	+$43	07-27 02:02
world cup most goals record broken 20260608192914170	18	$9.1K	5,695	3,518	+2,177	No	+$52	07-17 05:17
will gte launch a token by september 30 2026	13	$6.4K	6,935	405	+6,530	No	+$164	08-19 19:17
Will Daylight launch a token by December 31, 2026?	64	$6.4K	4,632	2,667	+1,965	open	—	11-02 18:57
crint ind lka 2026 10 01	41	$6.4K	5,402	1,014	+4,387	India	+$30	10-01 06:50
crint zwe2 bgd2 2026 07 17	13	$5.6K	5,676	0	+5,676	Bangladesh	+$34	07-17 13:52
Will LI.FI launch a token by December 31, 2026?	46	$5.4K	2,974	2,974	+0	open	—	10-16 05:51
Will India win?	32	$5.2K	5,203	0	+5,203	Yes	+$24	07-13 15:06
Will Rabby launch a token by December 31, 2026?	32	$5.1K	2,742	2,742	+0	open	—	10-31 15:09
Will GTE launch a token by March 31, 2027?	105	$4.9K	2,879	2,879	+0	open	—	10-26 19:02
Will Relay launch a token by December 31, 2026?	28	$4.4K	2,359	2,359	+0	open	—	10-16 05:30
crint gbr2 ind4 2026 07 07	10	$3.7K	1,900	1,900	+0	England	+$73	07-07 19:09
Will OpenSea launch a token by September 30, 2026?	39	$3.5K	1,829	1,829	+0	No	+$17	09-02 07:58
Will GTE launch a token by December 31, 2026?	64	$3.5K	2,511	1,318	+1,193	open	—	09-15 22:47
crint gbr2 ind4 2026 07 11	18	$3.4K	1,735	1,735	+0	England	+$29	07-11 17:15
crint zwe2 ind4 2026 07 26	10	$3.1K	1,540	1,540	+0	India	+$17	07-26 14:26
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	10	$3.0K	2,968	201	+2,767	Yes	+$88	09-30 06:32
crint irl7 wst4 2026 07 10	13	$3.0K	3,000	0	+3,000	West Indies	+$7	07-10 17:28
Will Cash Cat be the first to hit a $1B FDV?	17	$2.7K	1,390	1,390	+0	open	—	10-27 08:37
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	15	$2.7K	1,401	1,401	+0	No	+$2	09-17 18:04
crint gbr2 ind4 2026 07 09	1	$2.5K	2,500	0	+2,500	England	+$25	07-09 18:58
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?	3	$2.3K	2,500	0	+2,500	open	—	10-30 17:06
LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?	8	$2.0K	1,200	1,200	+0	No	+$63	09-10 13:00
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	2	$1.9K	1,800	1,800	+0	No	-$180	09-04 13:27
Will Discord not IPO by December 31, 2027?	34	$1.9K	1,961	1,961	+0	open	—	10-23 04:52
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 40 and 45 million views in week 1?	40	$1.9K	976	976	+0	No	+$40	09-18 15:33
trump renames ai by september 30	29	$1.8K	1,189	1,189	+0	Yes	-$88	09-28 10:52
Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026?	46	$1.8K	1,117	1,117	+0	open	—	09-15 03:38
Will Phantom launch a token by December 31, 2026?	35	$1.8K	952	952	+0	open	—	09-09 12:18
Meta's Watermelon released by September 30, 2026?	13	$1.7K	894	894	+0	No	+$59	10-01 03:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-02 19:21:15	Will Symbiotic launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	17	99¢	$17	0xc4b26d…
11-02 19:04:49	Will Nous Research launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	119	95¢	$113	0x3bf177…
11-02 18:57:37	Will Daylight launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	400	96¢	$384	0x1ef2ee…
11-02 18:51:03	Will Symbiotic launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x1716a2…
11-02 10:13:24	Will Nous Research launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0xf080f6…
10-31 15:09:37	Will Rabby launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x9b8273…
10-31 13:01:55	Will Rabby launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	740	93¢	$689	0xd84e98…
10-31 08:35:16	Printr FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	SELL	36	91¢	$33	0x842457…
10-30 20:14:31	Will Daylight launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	30	98¢	$29	0x9e5b78…
10-30 17:06:15	Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	1,000	92¢	$920	0x9ee8fc…
10-30 16:40:30	Will Rabby launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	399	93¢	$371	0x195e5f…
10-30 16:13:15	Will Daylight launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	362	97¢	$352	0xaef2e2…
10-30 16:07:19	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M?	Yes	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0x0e1e9a…
10-30 15:58:13	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M?	Yes	BUY	40	60¢	$24	0x9760e9…
10-30 15:23:12	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $40M?	No	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0x82bd45…
10-30 09:30:52	Printr FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	SELL	124	91¢	$112	0x93b730…
10-30 03:17:49	Will Rabby launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xfa1b5f…
10-29 22:54:22	Will Rabby launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	30	93¢	$28	0x26c215…
10-29 22:52:49	Will Rabby launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	100	93¢	$93	0xa692e6…
10-29 22:52:49	Will Rabby launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	322	93¢	$299	0x8083c5…
10-29 17:16:11	Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	500	90¢	$450	0xc82665…
10-29 04:46:08	Will Daylight launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	90¢	$0	0x262bdf…
10-29 04:45:37	Will Daylight launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	303	95¢	$288	0x6ee55a…
10-28 19:03:10	Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	1,000	91¢	$910	0x1d0382…
10-28 09:13:16	Will Flávio Bolsonaro return to Brazil by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	889	90¢	$800	0x711276…
10-28 08:53:25	Will Flávio Bolsonaro return to Brazil by November 30, 2026?	No	SELL	200	16¢	$32	0xb1bc78…
10-28 06:42:08	Will Flávio Bolsonaro return to Brazil by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	52	88¢	$46	0x765d61…
10-28 06:41:40	Will Flávio Bolsonaro return to Brazil by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	148	88¢	$130	0xa905cc…
10-28 01:16:11	Will Flávio Bolsonaro return to Brazil by November 30, 2026?	No	SELL	20	90¢	$18	0x3ca14e…
10-27 20:07:30	Will Flávio Bolsonaro return to Brazil by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x820032…
10-27 08:37:54	Will Cash Cat be the first to hit a $1B FDV?	No	SELL	6	97¢	$6	0x3892e8…
10-27 08:37:48	Will Cash Cat be the first to hit a $1B FDV?	No	SELL	85	97¢	$82	0x96c4ec…
10-27 08:37:48	Will Cash Cat be the first to hit a $1B FDV?	No	SELL	50	97¢	$48	0x4e6d70…
10-27 08:37:48	Will Cash Cat be the first to hit a $1B FDV?	No	SELL	15	97¢	$15	0x2a94fb…
10-26 19:02:33	Will GTE launch a token by March 31, 2027?	No	SELL	52	86¢	$45	0x47e90f…
10-26 11:23:14	Will GTE launch a token by March 31, 2027?	No	SELL	10	86¢	$9	0xa54c49…
10-25 19:19:14	Will GTE launch a token by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	32	70¢	$22	0xbc1c41…
10-25 19:01:11	Will Daylight launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	135	91¢	$123	0xbe0cf1…
10-25 18:43:30	Will Daylight launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	282	95¢	$268	0x7d6c73…
10-25 18:15:53	Will Cash Cat be the first to hit a $1B FDV?	No	SELL	494	97¢	$477	0xce0d55…
10-25 06:38:06	Will GTE launch a token by March 31, 2027?	No	SELL	0	83¢	$0	0xcf736b…
10-25 06:37:57	Will GTE launch a token by March 31, 2027?	No	SELL	0	83¢	$0	0x39ebd4…
10-25 06:37:51	Will GTE launch a token by March 31, 2027?	No	SELL	0	83¢	$0	0xd6cfd7…
10-25 06:37:42	Will GTE launch a token by March 31, 2027?	No	SELL	0	85¢	$0	0x530f4e…
10-25 06:37:32	Will GTE launch a token by March 31, 2027?	No	SELL	0	85¢	$0	0x45c8d9…
10-24 16:39:42	Will GTE launch a token by March 31, 2027?	No	SELL	58	87¢	$50	0x484bd6…
10-24 16:39:42	Will GTE launch a token by March 31, 2027?	No	SELL	150	87¢	$130	0x1a9588…
10-24 16:39:39	Will GTE launch a token by March 31, 2027?	No	SELL	62	87¢	$54	0x9824dd…
10-24 11:44:54	Will Daylight launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	90	93¢	$84	0x85b5ed…
10-24 11:44:54	Will Daylight launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	30	93¢	$28	0x788e4f…
10-24 11:44:39	Will Daylight launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	30	93¢	$28	0x722add…
10-24 11:44:36	Will Daylight launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	30	93¢	$28	0x7d6ae1…
10-24 11:44:36	Will Daylight launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	30	93¢	$28	0x149106…
10-24 01:21:57	Will Cash Cat be the first to hit a $1B FDV?	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0xc0ded1…
10-23 08:52:50	Will Daylight launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	514	83¢	$427	0x6f53d9…
10-23 08:07:08	Will Daylight launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x720c26…
10-23 08:01:38	Will Daylight launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	39	92¢	$36	0xee7a2b…
10-23 08:01:20	Will Daylight launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	30	94¢	$28	0x06ef95…
10-23 07:52:06	Will GTE launch a token by March 31, 2027?	No	SELL	34	85¢	$29	0x427826…
10-23 04:52:12	Will Discord not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	350	61¢	$214	0xab2a01…
10-23 04:02:57	Will Discord not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	50	61¢	$31	0xa49bbb…
10-22 19:21:27	Will Symbiotic launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	30	95¢	$28	0x31dd08…
10-22 18:43:50	Will GTE launch a token by March 31, 2027?	No	SELL	0	78¢	$0	0xb80d34…
10-22 18:41:59	Will GTE launch a token by March 31, 2027?	No	BUY	60	81¢	$49	0xdc887c…
10-22 18:41:32	Will GTE launch a token by March 31, 2027?	No	SELL	0	78¢	$0	0xa7e1d0…
10-22 18:38:50	Will GTE launch a token by March 31, 2027?	No	SELL	0	77¢	$0	0x667a86…
10-22 18:38:39	Will GTE launch a token by March 31, 2027?	No	SELL	0	77¢	$0	0xbc42d8…
10-22 18:38:29	Will GTE launch a token by March 31, 2027?	No	SELL	0	78¢	$0	0x8d7af2…
10-22 18:21:41	Will GTE launch a token by March 31, 2027?	No	SELL	327	89¢	$291	0x13f70f…
10-22 18:21:39	Will GTE launch a token by March 31, 2027?	No	BUY	60	83¢	$50	0x8d072d…
10-21 13:09:02	Will GTE launch a token by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	90	77¢	$69	0xc40e65…
10-21 09:04:38	Will GTE launch a token by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	30	78¢	$23	0x980e42…
10-20 15:12:33	Will BULK launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	6¢	$2	0x144d3f…
10-20 09:05:28	Will Discord not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	16	58¢	$9	0x45c2b5…
10-20 09:05:28	Will Discord not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	230	58¢	$134	0x2f6fe0…
10-19 13:49:41	Will Cash Cat be the first to hit a $1B FDV?	No	SELL	149	97¢	$145	0x950480…
10-19 13:45:39	Will Cash Cat be the first to hit a $1B FDV?	No	BUY	600	96¢	$579	0xb6ca9e…
10-19 10:25:51	Will Cash Cat be the first to hit a $1B FDV?	No	BUY	149	97¢	$144	0x54f959…
10-19 08:05:32	Will Discord not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	4	58¢	$2	0x5379ac…
10-19 08:05:32	Will Discord not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	130	58¢	$76	0x0c30ad…
10-19 08:05:26	Will Discord not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0xd2593b…
10-19 04:26:12	Printr FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	SELL	327	90¢	$295	0x447c13…
10-19 04:18:48	Will Nous Research launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	91	91¢	$83	0x817614…
10-19 04:12:20	Will GTE launch a token by March 31, 2027?	No	BUY	349	83¢	$289	0xd152d7…
10-19 03:30:29	Will GTE launch a token by March 31, 2027?	No	SELL	0	88¢	$0	0x964e96…
10-19 03:23:26	Will GTE launch a token by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	90	72¢	$65	0xb85b02…
10-19 03:20:33	Will GTE launch a token by March 31, 2027?	No	SELL	0	88¢	$0	0x3d0a50…
10-19 03:20:24	Will GTE launch a token by March 31, 2027?	No	SELL	0	88¢	$0	0x2fd137…
10-19 03:20:09	Will GTE launch a token by March 31, 2027?	No	SELL	0	88¢	$0	0x279135…
10-19 03:19:39	Will GTE launch a token by March 31, 2027?	No	SELL	55	89¢	$49	0x0fa993…
10-19 03:19:12	Will GTE launch a token by March 31, 2027?	No	SELL	537	91¢	$487	0x046820…
10-19 03:19:11	Will GTE launch a token by March 31, 2027?	No	BUY	56	91¢	$51	0xbdf801…
10-19 03:19:11	Will GTE launch a token by March 31, 2027?	No	BUY	60	91¢	$55	0x22707f…
10-19 00:47:27	Will GTE launch a token by March 31, 2027?	No	BUY	4	91¢	$4	0x514a4a…
10-19 00:47:26	Will GTE launch a token by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	4	72¢	$3	0x84a8e8…
10-18 23:12:11	Will GTE launch a token by March 31, 2027?	No	BUY	6	91¢	$6	0xc823d9…
10-18 22:38:39	Will Rabby launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	50	87¢	$44	0x7479e0…
10-18 22:31:23	Will Rabby launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3	88¢	$3	0x467ff2…
10-18 22:10:15	Will Rabby launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	30	90¢	$27	0x8a3e82…
10-18 21:07:47	Will GTE launch a token by March 31, 2027?	No	BUY	33	91¢	$30	0xf0ee71…