Realized P&L
-$1.24K
Unrealized P&L
+$936
Hit rate
80.8%
Resolved
342
Trades
2,451
lifetime
Volume
$501.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$205
Open exposure
$2.59K
5 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-03 09:17
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 81 days
Categories
Other
59%
64%
+$3,461
Politics
34%
60%
-$3,582
Tech
4%
40%
+$678
Sports
3%
42%
-$2,059
Crypto
0%
60%
+$79
Pop-Culture
0%
60%
+$187
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-03).
| Market | Outcome | Mid 30D | Net shares | Cost basis | Current mid | Current value | Unrealized P&L | Last trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | No | +2,294 | $780 | 44¢ | $998 | +$218 | 06-02 07:12 | |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | Yes | +2,108 | -$43 | 44¢ | $920 | +$963 | 06-24 02:01 | |
| Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | Yes | -1,000 | -$336 | 56¢ | $-565 | -$229 | 06-14 03:12 | |
| Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Yes | -102 | -$56 | 100¢ | $-102 | -$46 | 05-29 02:19 | |
| Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Yes | -198 | -$30 | 0¢ | $-0 | +$30 | 06-20 16:23 |
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026 | 12 | $27.4K | 25,034 | 15,034 | +10,000 | No | +$965 | 04-21 16:26 |
| us x iran ceasefire by march 15 | 28 | $14.8K | 7,760 | 7,760 | +0 | No | +$415 | 03-14 08:28 |
| us x iran ceasefire by march 31 | 47 | $14.7K | 12,015 | 12,005 | +10 | No | +$783 | 03-29 10:26 |
| Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair? | 11 | $10.6K | 5,400 | 5,400 | +0 | No | +$123 | 03-04 16:20 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | 42 | $10.3K | 13,321 | 4,060 | +9,261 | No | -$4,834 | 04-21 16:21 |
| will trump visit china by march 31 | 31 | $10.3K | 5,187 | 6,813 | -1,626 | No | +$444 | 03-23 12:15 |
| netanyahu out by march 31 854 | 4 | $9.8K | 5,000 | 5,000 | +0 | No | +$76 | 03-23 12:14 |
| will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards | 73 | $9.1K | 5,673 | 6,495 | -822 | Yes | -$143 | 03-15 21:14 |
| will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026 | 35 | $8.6K | 7,800 | 3,300 | +4,500 | Yes | +$812 | 02-28 20:51 |
| Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | 58 | $8.2K | 7,409 | 6,114 | +1,294 | open | — | 06-14 03:12 |
| cbb uconn mich 2026 04 06 | 15 | $7.9K | 6,200 | 4,169 | +2,031 | Michigan Wolverines | +$721 | 04-07 02:50 |
| will the iranian regime fall by march 31 | 13 | $7.5K | 4,167 | 4,167 | +0 | No | +$310 | 03-10 23:13 |
| us forces enter iran by march 14 337 | 16 | $7.4K | 4,000 | 4,000 | +0 | No | +$165 | 03-13 02:56 |
| us x iran ceasefire by april 30 | 11 | $7.2K | 5,549 | 4,000 | +1,549 | Yes | +$2,078 | 04-07 23:19 |
| us x iran ceasefire by april 15 | 6 | $6.9K | 7,179 | 650 | +6,529 | Yes | +$20 | 04-08 00:04 |
| Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | 9 | $6.7K | 11,911 | 1,963 | +9,948 | No | +$1,265 | 06-06 00:36 |
| will marty supreme win best picture at the 98th academy awards | 10 | $6.2K | 6,267 | 3,555 | +2,712 | No | +$110 | 03-15 06:30 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | 29 | $5.8K | 6,749 | 6,749 | +0 | No | -$648 | 04-21 16:10 |
| will the government shutdown last 1 day or more 842 | 30 | $5.3K | 5,000 | 375 | +4,625 | Yes | +$75 | 01-31 06:58 |
| khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31 | 9 | $5.1K | 5,240 | 0 | +5,240 | No | +$95 | 01-31 18:36 |
| another us government shutdown by february 14 | 70 | $5.0K | 2,947 | 2,947 | +0 | No | +$427 | 02-14 20:57 |
| will there be another us government shutdown by january 31 | 8 | $4.9K | 4,700 | 4,700 | +0 | Yes | +$603 | 01-31 05:05 |
| will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437 | 43 | $4.8K | 2,600 | 2,417 | +183 | Yes | +$95 | 03-31 14:41 |
| us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519 | 4 | $4.4K | 4,000 | 4,000 | +0 | No | -$176 | 04-02 02:42 |
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? | 32 | $4.1K | 2,500 | 2,500 | +0 | open | — | 07-03 07:44 |
| us x iran ceasefire by march 6 | 11 | $4.0K | 2,000 | 2,000 | +0 | No | +$30 | 03-05 21:54 |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18? | 3 | $3.9K | 3,000 | 3,000 | +0 | Yes | +$149 | 06-18 20:48 |
| lol t1 kc 2026 06 28 game1 | 5 | $3.8K | 2,000 | 2,000 | +0 | T1 | +$156 | 06-29 03:33 |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24? | 2 | $3.8K | 2,000 | 2,000 | +0 | Yes | +$218 | 06-24 23:55 |
| will mara corina machado enter venezuela by march 8 | 12 | $3.8K | 2,003 | 2,003 | +0 | No | +$173 | 03-07 18:18 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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