Cautious-Audience — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$390

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

22.5%

Resolved

Trades

177

lifetime

Volume

$82.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$468

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-18

last 06-15 18:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 41 days

Categories

Other

88% 22% +$397

Politics

6% 40% -$3

Sports

3% 17% -$2

Crypto

3% 25% -$1

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-15).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	10	$3.3K	6,698	-6,698	No	$0	05-29 19:26
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	6	$2.5K	4,129	-4,129	No	-$1	06-10 18:09
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	5	$1.7K	3,390	-3,390	No	+$1	05-16 08:50
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	4	$1.7K	3,348	-3,348	No	+$0	05-24 13:13
Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	6	$1.7K	3,348	-3,348	No	+$0	05-30 10:58
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	3	$1.7K	2,509	-2,509	No	-$1	05-30 10:17
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	5	$1.7K	3,314	-3,314	No	$0	06-05 14:18
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	3	$1.6K	2,475	-2,475	No	-$1	06-11 12:27
Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$868	892	-892	Yes	+$422	04-30 13:34
Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in April?	1	$862	863	-863	No	-$1	04-30 14:56
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in April?	1	$861	862	-862	No	-$1	04-30 15:39
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	1	$860	862	-862	No	-$2	05-01 06:33
Will Elon Musk post 1920-1999 tweets in May 2026?	2	$860	1,720	-1,720	No	$0	05-16 14:04
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets in May 2026?	3	$859	1,718	-1,718	No	$0	05-06 12:36
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets in May 2026?	3	$859	1,718	-1,718	No	$0	05-06 09:31
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	1	$857	858	-858	No	-$1	05-03 05:52
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	1	$856	857	-857	No	-$1	05-03 06:00
Will Christopher Waller be confirmed as Fed Chair?	2	$856	1,712	-1,712	No	+$0	05-07 08:56
Will Jerome Powell be confirmed as Fed Chair?	2	$855	1,710	-1,710	No	$0	05-11 00:00
Will Kevin Hassett be confirmed as Fed Chair?	2	$854	1,708	-1,708	No	$0	05-10 18:34
Will Elon Musk post 1680-1759 tweets in May 2026?	4	$853	1,706	-1,706	No	+$0	05-19 23:04
Will Stephen Miran be confirmed as Fed Chair?	2	$853	1,706	-1,706	No	+$0	05-07 17:38
Will Elon Musk post 1760-1839 tweets in May 2026?	4	$852	1,704	-1,704	No	+$0	05-19 23:03
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	1	$851	852	-852	No	-$1	05-08 08:27
Will Julie Emerson be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?	1	$851	852	-852	No	-$1	05-07 08:41
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	1	$850	851	-851	No	-$1	05-08 08:29
Will Blake Miguez be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?	1	$850	851	-851	No	-$1	05-07 08:43
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	1	$849	850	-850	No	-$1	05-09 08:39
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	1	$848	849	-849	No	-$1	05-12 11:51
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	1	$848	849	-849	No	-$1	05-10 08:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-15 18:58:34	Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0x882a2c…
06-14 16:05:15	Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	719	0¢	$1	0x1d58b0…
06-14 08:52:13	Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?	Yes	SELL	824	0¢	$2	0x246070…
06-14 08:51:48	Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?	Yes	SELL	823	0¢	$1	0xb7afcd…
06-14 08:51:34	Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?	Yes	SELL	521	1¢	$7	0xa4d7ef…
06-14 08:51:27	Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?	Yes	SELL	304	2¢	$5	0xf93e63…
06-14 00:24:36	Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	820	0¢	$1	0x755dd1…
06-13 08:19:51	Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	No	SELL	819	100¢	$818	0x5f63cd…
06-13 08:16:24	Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	No	SELL	820	100¢	$819	0x96213c…
06-11 12:27:49	Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	No	SELL	821	100¢	$820	0x6a8bcc…
06-11 12:25:48	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	No	SELL	822	100¢	$821	0xe71215…
06-10 18:09:24	Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	No	SELL	823	100¢	$822	0x6ed843…
06-10 18:06:31	Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?	No	SELL	823	100¢	$822	0xa1c0f4…
06-09 12:23:09	Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?	No	SELL	824	100¢	$823	0x548b9f…
06-09 12:18:19	Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?	No	SELL	825	100¢	$824	0x1aa5e7…
06-08 13:23:45	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	Yes	SELL	549	0¢	$1	0xa68178…
06-08 12:59:48	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	Yes	SELL	276	0¢	$0	0xe1e040…
06-08 12:33:21	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	No	SELL	825	100¢	$824	0x5f33be…
06-08 12:30:58	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	No	SELL	826	100¢	$825	0x30d51a…
06-07 20:55:55	Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	Yes	SELL	656	0¢	$1	0x811199…
06-07 20:39:52	Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	Yes	SELL	171	0¢	$0	0xcf4377…
06-07 16:30:42	Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	No	SELL	826	100¢	$825	0x49d58d…
06-07 16:17:45	Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	No	SELL	827	100¢	$826	0xfc46e7…
06-07 13:31:24	Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	Yes	SELL	826	0¢	$1	0xd87bcc…
06-07 07:37:52	Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	Yes	SELL	827	0¢	$1	0x9b5af5…
06-06 12:56:43	Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	No	SELL	826	100¢	$825	0x93447a…
06-06 12:55:31	Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	No	SELL	827	100¢	$826	0x50335b…
06-05 16:41:33	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	826	0¢	$1	0x32ede8…
06-05 14:18:00	Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	Yes	SELL	827	0¢	$1	0x3b6de6…
06-05 12:03:51	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	No	SELL	826	100¢	$825	0xf6db90…
06-05 12:01:25	Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	No	SELL	827	100¢	$826	0xb440a5…
06-04 23:00:55	Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	Yes	SELL	493	0¢	$0	0x74ca3e…
06-04 23:00:54	Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	Yes	SELL	337	0¢	$0	0x613526…
06-04 16:08:57	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	No	SELL	827	100¢	$826	0x3e718b…
06-04 16:04:46	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	No	SELL	828	100¢	$827	0xa920d8…
06-03 17:09:57	Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	No	SELL	829	100¢	$828	0xdef1cd…
06-03 17:06:51	Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	No	SELL	830	100¢	$829	0x36c9ba…
06-02 09:14:17	Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	No	SELL	831	100¢	$830	0x962b40…
06-02 09:11:43	Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	No	SELL	831	100¢	$830	0x9006d1…
06-01 16:44:13	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	No	SELL	832	100¢	$831	0x746623…
06-01 16:36:45	Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	No	SELL	833	100¢	$832	0x6281f8…
05-31 12:54:20	Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	No	SELL	834	100¢	$833	0xc29037…
05-31 12:50:54	Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	No	SELL	835	100¢	$834	0x105001…
05-30 10:58:48	Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	Yes	SELL	183	0¢	$0	0x36220e…
05-30 10:18:10	Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	No	SELL	836	100¢	$835	0xf19822…
05-30 10:17:26	Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	No	SELL	837	100¢	$836	0x4ad8fa…
05-30 06:18:30	Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	Yes	SELL	653	0¢	$1	0x0783ff…
05-29 19:26:24	Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	Yes	SELL	837	0¢	$1	0xe12ee9…
05-29 08:23:00	Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	No	SELL	836	100¢	$835	0x673006…
05-29 08:20:43	Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	No	SELL	837	100¢	$836	0x73f6a7…
05-28 22:28:16	Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	Yes	SELL	836	0¢	$1	0xe6bb8e…
05-28 13:53:00	Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	Yes	SELL	422	0¢	$0	0x586cfc…
05-28 13:30:22	Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	Yes	SELL	415	0¢	$0	0xf2d5a6…
05-28 10:24:22	Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	No	SELL	836	100¢	$835	0x816cb0…
05-28 10:19:49	Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	No	SELL	837	100¢	$836	0x501335…
05-27 16:08:40	Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	Yes	SELL	838	0¢	$1	0x563f38…
05-27 14:20:08	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	No	SELL	837	100¢	$836	0xbb6a3d…
05-27 14:18:29	Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	No	SELL	838	100¢	$837	0x8ba799…
05-26 11:22:29	Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	Yes	SELL	324	0¢	$0	0x87d265…
05-26 11:18:01	Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	Yes	SELL	514	0¢	$1	0xb89d72…
05-26 11:14:52	Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	Yes	SELL	366	0¢	$0	0x10ddca…
05-26 10:40:45	Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	Yes	SELL	471	0¢	$0	0x1e003f…
05-26 10:26:43	Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	No	SELL	837	100¢	$836	0xfd4aca…
05-26 10:24:25	Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	No	SELL	838	100¢	$837	0x2111bc…
05-25 17:17:27	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	Yes	SELL	543	0¢	$1	0x3aa93f…
05-25 17:16:31	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	Yes	SELL	295	0¢	$0	0xa74023…
05-25 16:45:54	Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	Yes	SELL	368	0¢	$0	0x3df74b…
05-25 14:33:41	Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	Yes	SELL	469	0¢	$0	0x17fe4c…
05-25 10:15:49	Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	No	SELL	837	100¢	$836	0xf0480b…
05-25 10:14:53	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	No	SELL	838	100¢	$837	0x6a6611…
05-24 17:01:19	Will Randall Arrington be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?	Yes	SELL	446	0¢	$0	0xf61e47…
05-24 16:02:36	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	Yes	SELL	629	0¢	$1	0x91014e…
05-24 15:45:01	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	Yes	SELL	207	0¢	$0	0x92fc3e…
05-24 13:13:19	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	837	0¢	$1	0xd3d6af…
05-24 08:37:50	Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	SELL	842	0¢	$1	0x0fb579…
05-24 08:35:21	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	No	SELL	836	100¢	$835	0xe2324d…
05-24 08:34:34	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	No	SELL	837	100¢	$836	0x4a702a…
05-23 15:49:31	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	836	0¢	$1	0x5b8960…
05-23 15:02:39	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	837	0¢	$1	0x81ea1f…
05-23 11:58:45	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	No	SELL	836	100¢	$835	0xcaa947…
05-23 11:57:00	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	No	SELL	837	100¢	$836	0x55d363…
05-22 08:58:41	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	No	SELL	838	100¢	$837	0x63fcbd…
05-22 08:57:50	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	No	SELL	839	100¢	$838	0x4ce91c…
05-21 09:58:47	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	840	0¢	$1	0x6a49b2…
05-21 09:40:45	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	No	SELL	839	100¢	$838	0xa799e1…
05-21 09:39:23	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	No	SELL	840	100¢	$839	0x074695…
05-20 14:05:33	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	841	0¢	$1	0x23fe53…
05-20 10:01:29	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	No	SELL	840	100¢	$839	0xb7936d…
05-20 10:00:22	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	No	SELL	841	100¢	$840	0x6e2d53…
05-19 23:04:26	Will Elon Musk post 1680-1759 tweets in May 2026?	Yes	SELL	212	0¢	$0	0x74a2df…
05-19 23:04:25	Will Elon Musk post 1680-1759 tweets in May 2026?	Yes	SELL	525	0¢	$1	0x171e6a…
05-19 23:03:04	Will Elon Musk post 1760-1839 tweets in May 2026?	Yes	SELL	102	0¢	$0	0xcec906…
05-19 23:03:04	Will Elon Musk post 1680-1759 tweets in May 2026?	Yes	SELL	116	0¢	$0	0x756605…
05-19 23:01:42	Will Elon Musk post 1760-1839 tweets in May 2026?	Yes	SELL	350	0¢	$0	0x173ee3…
05-19 23:01:42	Will Elon Musk post 1760-1839 tweets in May 2026?	Yes	SELL	400	0¢	$0	0x0fe627…
05-19 09:38:51	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	No	SELL	840	100¢	$839	0x1fce14…
05-19 09:36:17	Will Wilton Simpson be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	No	SELL	841	100¢	$840	0xa97a7f…
05-18 10:59:19	Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	SELL	841	100¢	$840	0x19d510…
05-18 10:58:12	Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	SELL	842	100¢	$841	0x896e17…
05-17 11:38:00	Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	SELL	843	100¢	$842	0xaaf1f3…