Definite-Tin — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$625

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

90.5%

Resolved

Trades

210

lifetime

Volume

$6.46K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$31

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 07-28 01:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 22 days

Categories

Crypto

59% 80% +$615

Other

37% 100% +$8

Tech

5% 100% +$2

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-28).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	4	$430	822	54	+768	Up	-$7	05-02 11:29
Will Google Gemini be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 19?	2	$326	165	165	+0	No	+$2	05-17 07:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	20	$308	300	300	+0	Up	+$64	05-02 10:43
Will Netflix Game Controller be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 19?	5	$307	155	155	+0	No	+$1	05-18 20:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	3	$301	800	400	+400	Up	+$99	05-03 13:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	25	$292	800	800	+0	Up	+$154	05-02 06:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1AM ET	2	$250	250	0	+250	Up	+$0	05-03 05:59
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from May 18 to May 20, 2026?	1	$200	200	0	+200	No	+$0	05-17 06:54
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	1	$200	200	0	+200	No	+$0	05-08 13:15
Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?	1	$200	200	0	+200	No	+$0	05-08 09:02
will google gemini be 1 free app in the us apple app store on march 24	3	$197	100	100	+0	No	+$1	03-23 07:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	1	$196	200	0	+200	Down	+$4	05-02 08:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	12	$192	300	300	+0	Up	+$48	05-03 14:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	4	$191	100	100	+0	Up	+$7	05-03 08:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5AM ET	2	$191	100	100	+0	Down	+$9	05-02 10:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	14	$188	400	0	+400	Up	+$12	05-03 12:43
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	1	$187	189	0	+189	Yes	+$2	04-20 08:07
will freecash get paid real money be 1 free app in the us apple app store on march 24	2	$176	89	89	+0	No	+$1	03-22 09:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	22	$144	200	200	+0	Up	+$24	05-03 09:32
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	1	$136	136	0	+136	No	+$0	07-17 11:53
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	1	$136	136	0	+136	No	+$0	05-30 15:44
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	1	$135	136	0	+136	Yes	+$1	07-28 01:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	5	$120	130	0	+130	Up	+$10	05-01 07:09
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	1	$117	117	0	+117	No	+$0	05-17 06:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	7	$113	100	100	+0	Down	+$27	05-03 14:18
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	1	$98	98	0	+98	No	+$0	05-08 13:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	2	$94	100	0	+100	Up	+$6	05-01 05:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	3	$92	100	0	+100	Down	+$8	05-02 11:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	1	$84	96	0	+96	Down	+$12	05-01 06:55
Will Temu: Shop Like a Billionaire be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 8?	1	$81	81	0	+81	No	+$0	05-08 13:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-28 01:49:45	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	136	99¢	$135	0x439874…
07-17 11:53:12	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	No	BUY	136	100¢	$136	0x6e1a0f…
05-30 15:44:24	Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	No	BUY	136	100¢	$136	0x4c81f1…
05-18 20:33:31	Will Netflix Game Controller be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 19?	No	SELL	146	99¢	$145	0x260105…
05-18 17:27:14	Will Netflix Game Controller be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 19?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xf5322f…
05-18 16:41:33	Will Netflix Game Controller be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 19?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x86dbd7…
05-17 07:02:54	Will Google Gemini be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 19?	No	SELL	165	99¢	$164	0xad0b56…
05-17 06:55:42	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	117	100¢	$117	0x96ca12…
05-17 06:54:32	Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from May 18 to May 20, 2026?	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x25832e…
05-17 06:52:41	Will Netflix Game Controller be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 19?	No	BUY	115	99¢	$114	0x9a4b95…
05-17 06:52:24	Will Netflix Game Controller be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 19?	No	BUY	40	99¢	$39	0xc49a90…
05-17 06:51:35	Will Google Gemini be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 19?	No	BUY	165	98¢	$162	0xb8ad88…
05-08 13:15:20	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x2dbd69…
05-08 13:14:45	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	98	100¢	$98	0xb98538…
05-08 13:13:14	Will Temu: Shop Like a Billionaire be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 8?	No	BUY	81	100¢	$81	0x0369ca…
05-08 13:12:57	Will Google be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 8?	No	BUY	52	100¢	$52	0xdbf32e…
05-08 09:02:00	Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x6dafbb…
05-03 14:18:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	SELL	100	71¢	$70	0x2a7f0f…
05-03 14:17:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0xa48918…
05-03 14:17:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	44	43¢	$19	0xacc529…
05-03 14:17:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	9	43¢	$4	0x5ada1b…
05-03 14:17:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	36	43¢	$15	0x495e10…
05-03 14:17:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	43¢	$3	0xd59c3b…
05-03 14:16:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	42¢	$0	0xf746eb…
05-03 14:05:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	SELL	188	40¢	$75	0xd826f5…
05-03 14:05:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	SELL	84	40¢	$34	0x10dab0…
05-03 14:05:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0x327f13…
05-03 14:04:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0x296f5c…
05-03 14:04:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	SELL	15	40¢	$6	0xb203db…
05-03 14:04:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	SELL	3	40¢	$1	0x50b190…
05-03 14:03:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	209	24¢	$50	0xf5a843…
05-03 14:03:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0xf22a64…
05-03 14:03:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	25	24¢	$6	0xc6cbf3…
05-03 14:03:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	9	24¢	$2	0xa77db4…
05-03 14:03:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	46	24¢	$11	0x9c9055…
05-03 14:03:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	24¢	$2	0x0660cb…
05-03 13:59:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	400	1¢	$4	0xa90ddb…
05-03 13:48:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	SELL	400	50¢	$200	0x524385…
05-03 13:47:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	400	24¢	$97	0x9c5679…
05-03 12:43:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	40	20¢	$8	0xead197…
05-03 12:43:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	38	20¢	$8	0xe9ab55…
05-03 12:43:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	9	20¢	$2	0xa0906c…
05-03 12:43:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0x998e38…
05-03 12:43:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0x61ce7d…
05-03 12:43:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0x44883a…
05-03 12:43:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	9	20¢	$2	0x26cb1c…
05-03 12:43:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	20¢	$1	0x9c47bb…
05-03 12:43:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	0	20¢	$0	0x7da7b9…
05-03 12:43:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	18	20¢	$4	0x79e6eb…
05-03 12:43:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0x390b8b…
05-03 12:43:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	29	20¢	$6	0x081680…
05-03 12:43:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	12	20¢	$2	0x063905…
05-03 12:42:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	200	74¢	$148	0xd8e75e…
05-03 09:32:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	SELL	200	42¢	$84	0xb50da7…
05-03 09:31:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xd58a8d…
05-03 09:31:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0xc31cce…
05-03 09:31:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x71d016…
05-03 09:31:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	30¢	$1	0x36188a…
05-03 09:31:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	30¢	$2	0xf575f9…
05-03 09:31:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	4	30¢	$1	0xe1dce1…
05-03 09:31:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	4	30¢	$1	0xdd06f4…
05-03 09:31:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	50	30¢	$15	0xd72c08…
05-03 09:31:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	13	30¢	$4	0xc81e50…
05-03 09:31:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0xa391ff…
05-03 09:31:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	30¢	$1	0x9e4e34…
05-03 09:31:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	15	30¢	$4	0x8edccc…
05-03 09:31:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x8616bd…
05-03 09:31:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	40	30¢	$12	0x72c151…
05-03 09:31:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x6efb51…
05-03 09:31:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	30¢	$1	0x6a24b4…
05-03 09:31:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0x53396b…
05-03 09:31:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	30¢	$0	0x515263…
05-03 09:31:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x40c062…
05-03 09:31:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	30¢	$1	0x31162b…
05-03 09:31:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	29	30¢	$9	0x1662ac…
05-03 09:29:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	100	60¢	$60	0xda2d82…
05-03 08:45:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	SELL	41	99¢	$40	0xfb93fc…
05-03 08:45:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0xf04b81…
05-03 08:45:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	SELL	50	99¢	$50	0x7e723c…
05-03 08:44:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	100	92¢	$92	0xe4e09e…
05-03 05:59:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0xc0678f…
05-03 05:59:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xc1fd97…
05-02 11:52:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	80	92¢	$74	0x03a8e9…
05-02 11:52:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	8	92¢	$7	0xd0afd2…
05-02 11:52:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	12	92¢	$12	0x43e268…
05-02 11:40:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	SELL	178	3¢	$6	0xa7a196…
05-02 11:37:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	178	8¢	$14	0x827edc…
05-02 11:29:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	SELL	54	1¢	$1	0xf9f196…
05-02 11:27:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	422	97¢	$409	0x63710e…
05-02 11:24:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	323	5¢	$16	0x84f296…
05-02 11:24:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	77	5¢	$4	0xf8e99e…
05-02 11:14:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x348589…
05-02 11:12:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	21	98¢	$21	0x6df9fa…
05-02 11:11:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	SELL	300	3¢	$9	0x3cfe5d…
05-02 11:10:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	287	7¢	$20	0xce980d…
05-02 11:10:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	7¢	$0	0xb90454…
05-02 11:10:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	7¢	$0	0x605805…
05-02 10:50:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	SELL	10	56¢	$6	0x1ff24f…
05-02 10:49:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x51f1b0…
05-02 10:49:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xa1b772…