Private-Reservation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$243

Unrealized P&L

-$564

Hit rate

65.8%

Resolved

2,265

Trades

3,630

lifetime

Volume

$18.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$236

1 position

First seen

2026-03-11

last 06-15 15:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 53 days

Categories

Crypto

63% 69% -$214

Other

37% 62% +$457

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-15).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes		+8,000	$800	3¢	$236	-$564	06-14 13:26

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 350M by May 1?	2	$2.6K	1,962	1,962	+0	No	-$13	03-14 16:00
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	2	$1.2K	1,102	1,102	+0	No	+$227	03-14 08:51
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	1	$800	8,000	0	+8,000	open	—	06-14 13:26
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	2	$536	690	690	+0	No	+$136	03-14 08:51
will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	2	$527	1,053	1,053	+0	No	+$127	03-14 08:52
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 05:40 UTC	1	$500	505	0	+505	Up	+$5	04-23 05:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 05:45 UTC	1	$500	505	0	+505	Up	+$5	04-23 05:49
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 325M by May 1?	2	$349	514	514	+0	No	-$51	03-14 16:00
will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	2	$241	962	962	+0	No	+$41	03-14 08:47
will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	2	$105	1,515	1,515	+0	No	+$5	03-14 08:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	2	$101	53	53	+0	Down	+$1	06-02 18:42
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 05:15 UTC	1	$100	101	0	+101	Up	-$100	04-23 05:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 03:45 UTC	1	$100	101	0	+101	Down	+$1	04-23 03:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 01:35 UTC	1	$100	101	0	+101	Up	+$1	04-23 01:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 01:25 UTC	1	$100	101	0	+101	Up	+$1	04-23 01:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 05:00 UTC	1	$100	101	0	+101	Up	+$1	04-23 05:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 20:00 UTC	1	$100	101	0	+101	Up	+$1	04-22 20:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 03:10 UTC	1	$100	101	0	+101	Down	+$1	04-23 03:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 00:20 UTC	1	$100	101	0	+101	Down	+$1	04-23 00:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 01:40 UTC	1	$100	101	0	+101	Up	+$1	04-23 01:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 02:00 UTC	1	$100	101	0	+101	Down	+$1	04-23 02:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 19:10 UTC	1	$100	101	0	+101	Up	+$1	04-22 19:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 00:30 UTC	1	$100	101	0	+101	Down	+$1	04-23 00:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 01:45 UTC	1	$100	101	0	+101	Up	+$1	04-23 01:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 00:35 UTC	1	$100	101	0	+101	Up	+$1	04-23 00:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 00:05 UTC	1	$100	101	0	+101	Down	+$1	04-23 00:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 23:50 UTC	1	$100	101	0	+101	Down	+$1	04-22 23:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 20:50 UTC	1	$100	101	0	+101	Down	+$1	04-22 20:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 04:30 UTC	1	$100	101	0	+101	Up	+$1	04-23 04:34
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 300M by May 1?	2	$78	234	234	+0	No	-$2	03-14 16:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-15 15:34:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 15:30 UTC	Down	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0x35a7e1…
06-15 15:34:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 15:30 UTC	Down	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0x9ebbbe…
06-15 15:24:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 15:20 UTC	Down	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x879b3e…
06-15 14:40:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 14:35 UTC	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x326207…
06-15 14:39:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 14:35 UTC	Down	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0xcbf56a…
06-15 14:34:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 14:30 UTC	Down	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0xf99e22…
06-15 14:24:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0xdaf803…
06-15 13:59:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 13:55 UTC	Down	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0xa46143…
06-15 13:34:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 13:30 UTC	Down	SELL	3	53¢	$1	0xba7a4b…
06-15 13:34:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 13:30 UTC	Down	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0xdacca6…
06-15 13:04:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 13:00 UTC	Down	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0xec626e…
06-15 13:04:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 13:00 UTC	Down	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x5a7d25…
06-15 12:59:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 12:55 UTC	Down	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0xbacd55…
06-15 12:34:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	SELL	2	39¢	$1	0x3cadb1…
06-15 12:34:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 12:30 UTC	Down	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0xb89805…
06-15 12:29:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 12:25 UTC	Down	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0xba5c80…
06-15 12:24:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 12:20 UTC	Down	SELL	2	70¢	$2	0xb9cf5e…
06-15 12:24:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 12:20 UTC	Down	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x8fa28c…
06-15 12:04:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x817414…
06-15 11:59:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	SELL	2	65¢	$1	0xf4a618…
06-15 11:59:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 11:55 UTC	Down	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x24c26a…
06-15 11:45:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x7aa4dd…
06-15 11:44:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 11:40 UTC	Down	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x61d36e…
06-15 11:34:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 11:30 UTC	Down	SELL	2	67¢	$2	0xb1867a…
06-15 11:34:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 11:30 UTC	Down	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0x2533fa…
06-15 11:15:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 11:10 UTC	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x6126f7…
06-15 11:14:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 11:10 UTC	Down	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0xb609d7…
06-15 11:04:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x5701d0…
06-15 10:39:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 10:35 UTC	Down	SELL	3	48¢	$1	0x1051be…
06-15 10:39:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 10:35 UTC	Down	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x39634f…
06-15 10:20:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 10:15 UTC	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x69aa98…
06-15 10:19:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 10:15 UTC	Down	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0xa19f39…
06-15 09:29:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 09:25 UTC	Down	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0x6ed592…
06-15 08:39:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 08:35 UTC	Down	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x6e20da…
06-15 08:25:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x6112ed…
06-15 08:24:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 08:20 UTC	Down	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0xf62413…
06-15 08:09:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0xf31050…
06-15 07:44:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	SELL	2	19¢	$0	0x1427b9…
06-15 07:44:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 07:40 UTC	Down	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x262ff6…
06-15 06:54:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 06:50 UTC	Down	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0xc4fe2d…
06-15 05:04:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 05:00 UTC	Down	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0xd15213…
06-15 04:49:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x91f88f…
06-15 04:44:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	SELL	2	35¢	$1	0x6b8af6…
06-15 04:44:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0x1d4280…
06-15 04:09:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 04:05 UTC	Down	SELL	2	67¢	$2	0x8a7e81…
06-15 04:09:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 04:05 UTC	Down	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x922237…
06-15 03:39:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	SELL	2	22¢	$1	0x6f2161…
06-15 03:39:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 03:35 UTC	Down	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0xbf9480…
06-15 03:24:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x8d2843…
06-15 03:19:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 03:15 UTC	Down	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x615e7a…
06-15 02:59:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 02:55 UTC	Down	SELL	2	21¢	$0	0x76af57…
06-15 02:59:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 02:55 UTC	Down	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x750d64…
06-15 02:44:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0xb2f633…
06-15 02:24:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	SELL	2	33¢	$1	0xd85c1b…
06-15 02:24:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 02:20 UTC	Down	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0xd0b24d…
06-15 02:04:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	SELL	2	62¢	$1	0x207b8d…
06-15 02:04:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x519cfc…
06-15 01:59:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	SELL	2	35¢	$1	0x1d9388…
06-15 01:59:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 01:55 UTC	Down	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0x7f787e…
06-15 01:44:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	SELL	2	34¢	$1	0x44f3e5…
06-15 01:44:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 01:40 UTC	Down	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x743676…
06-15 01:29:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0xba4115…
06-15 01:19:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x53ddb9…
06-15 00:44:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	SELL	3	25¢	$1	0xac3e6b…
06-15 00:44:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0xe7b90e…
06-15 00:24:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x0f5ff9…
06-14 23:44:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x917dbd…
06-14 23:40:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-14 23:35 UTC	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x50780b…
06-14 23:39:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-14 23:35 UTC	Down	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0xa200d9…
06-14 23:34:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	SELL	2	56¢	$1	0x0f2a30…
06-14 23:34:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-14 23:30 UTC	Down	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0x176f46…
06-14 23:24:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-14 23:20 UTC	Down	SELL	2	43¢	$1	0x86d4e8…
06-14 23:24:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-14 23:20 UTC	Down	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0xa138a6…
06-14 22:54:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	SELL	2	56¢	$1	0x4e9809…
06-14 22:54:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x8a9bb7…
06-14 22:50:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xba8a4c…
06-14 22:49:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-14 22:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x6619a9…
06-14 21:35:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x997384…
06-14 21:34:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-14 21:30 UTC	Up	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x5f87c3…
06-14 21:29:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0x8d4175…
06-14 21:29:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-14 21:25 UTC	Down	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x04f698…
06-14 20:49:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0xf1d11f…
06-14 20:49:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-14 20:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0x4fa04a…
06-14 19:39:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-14 19:35 UTC	Down	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x2211c4…
06-14 19:29:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-14 19:25 UTC	Down	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x24b965…
06-14 18:19:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-14 18:15 UTC	Down	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0xc9ad04…
06-14 18:14:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-14 18:10 UTC	Down	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x303262…
06-14 17:54:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0xd3ef92…
06-14 17:49:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-14 17:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x20a12b…
06-14 16:54:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-14 16:50 UTC	Down	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x07faa1…
06-14 16:04:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xbf393f…
06-14 15:45:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x685668…
06-14 15:44:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-14 15:40 UTC	Down	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0x556352…
06-14 15:29:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-14 15:25 UTC	Down	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0x61566a…
06-14 15:09:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x8f7207…
06-14 14:24:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0xf8399a…
06-14 14:19:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-14 14:15 UTC	Down	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0x0f805b…
06-14 14:19:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-14 14:15 UTC	Down	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0x674e5f…
06-14 14:04:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0x39bcf4…
06-14 14:04:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-14 14:00 UTC	Down	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x705f85…