Junior-Entry — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

115

lifetime

Volume

$1.03K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$38

1 position

First seen

2026-01-06

last 07-24 09:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

41% — —

Other

33% 100% +$1

Politics

14% 100% +$0

Sports

11% — —

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
GRVT FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes		+56	$39	67¢	$38	$-2	07-23 08:25

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Uzbekistan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$114	116	+116	open	—	06-26 04:12
Citrea FDV above $150M one day after launch?	1	$79	80	+80	open	—	05-28 02:56
Solstice FDV above $50M one day after launch?	1	$79	79	+79	open	—	05-25 18:21
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in May?	1	$79	79	+79	open	—	05-30 10:19
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	1	$67	68	+68	open	—	05-20 00:39
GRVT FDV above $300M one day after launch?	1	$39	56	+56	open	—	07-23 08:25
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 in May?	1	$34	34	+34	open	—	05-28 17:02
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	1	$32	32	+32	open	—	05-15 08:03
Will Bulgaria advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	1	$30	32	+32	open	—	05-14 19:03
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June?	1	$30	30	+30	open	—	06-28 12:44
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	1	$30	30	+30	No	+$0	05-11 14:22
Will Sweden advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	1	$30	30	+30	Yes	+$1	05-12 21:04
will openais valuation hit low 700b by june 30	1	$25	25	+25	open	—	06-28 13:24
Genius FDV above $80M one day after launch?	1	$23	23	+23	open	—	04-14 01:53
grvt fdv above 250m one day after launch	1	$23	28	+28	open	—	07-24 09:38
EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?	1	$19	20	+20	open	—	04-01 04:47
will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt25t by june 30	1	$17	17	+17	open	—	06-28 20:39
gc settle below 4350 jan 2026	1	$13	13	+13	open	—	01-23 16:22
will openais valuation hit high 1pt1t by june 30	2	$12	13	+13	open	—	06-29 12:20
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 20?	1	$11	11	+11	open	—	05-21 00:54
will xauusd reach 4600 in july 2026	3	$11	11	+11	open	—	07-21 22:37
si hit 150 high jan 2026	1	$7	7	+7	open	—	01-06 04:56
aapl above 300 on february 27 2026	1	$7	7	+7	open	—	02-20 18:19
will chainlink reach 20 in march	3	$7	7	+7	open	—	03-24 05:24
will solana dip to 30 in february 2026	1	$6	6	+6	open	—	02-20 19:09
will solana dip to 60 in january 2026	1	$6	6	+6	open	—	01-21 12:41
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$5	5	+5	open	—	04-20 21:12
will microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 115	1	$5	5	+5	open	—	01-07 10:10
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 24 2026	1	$5	5	+5	open	—	04-24 13:56
Will Solana reach $170 in May?	1	$5	5	+5	open	—	05-10 10:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-24 09:38:39	grvt fdv above 250m one day after launch	Yes	BUY	28	82¢	$23	0x3b07da…
07-24 09:11:24	will ethereum dip to 1200 in july 2026 853	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x5de2c8…
07-23 08:25:01	GRVT FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	56	70¢	$39	0x444494…
07-22 08:12:21	will spy dip to 670 in july 2026	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x5b5b1d…
07-22 02:27:09	will ethereum dip to 1100 in july 2026	No	BUY	3	100¢	$2	0x6b98a4…
07-21 22:37:04	will xauusd reach 4600 in july 2026	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x0878ff…
07-21 19:37:25	will xagusd dip to 46 in july 2026	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xa3f364…
07-21 19:20:25	will xauusd reach 4600 in july 2026	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xbc0eed…
07-21 06:34:39	will xauusd reach 4600 in july 2026	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x1f669a…
07-16 23:31:56	will wti dip to 55 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd16987…
06-29 12:20:37	will openais valuation hit high 1pt1t by june 30	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xee1851…
06-29 11:28:02	will openais valuation hit high 1pt1t by june 30	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7bdc53…
06-28 20:39:04	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt25t by june 30	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x01c2c6…
06-28 13:24:14	will openais valuation hit low 700b by june 30	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x879796…
06-28 12:44:08	Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x53a694…
06-26 04:40:40	gpt 5pt6 released by june 26 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x9ee55e…
06-26 04:12:01	Will Uzbekistan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	116	99¢	$114	0x2e22dd…
05-30 10:19:39	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in May?	No	BUY	79	100¢	$79	0x1f0434…
05-28 17:02:21	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 in May?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0xe8a532…
05-28 02:56:24	Citrea FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	80	100¢	$79	0x49c11a…
05-25 18:21:53	Solstice FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	79	100¢	$79	0x58b8bc…
05-21 00:54:39	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 20?	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x344f0f…
05-20 00:39:21	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	68	97¢	$67	0x5ea0c0…
05-17 22:58:03	Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in May?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$4	0x0d5ff1…
05-15 08:03:23	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	BUY	32	97¢	$32	0xafc19f…
05-14 19:03:05	Will Bulgaria advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	32	96¢	$30	0xc231b0…
05-12 21:04:37	Will Sweden advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	30	98¢	$30	0xcf3040…
05-11 14:22:17	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x621623…
05-10 10:53:10	Will Solana reach $170 in May?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xecd656…
05-10 05:52:40	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in May?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xb561a3…
05-10 00:57:09	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $40 in May?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x18a679…
05-09 16:58:58	Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in May?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$3	0xdccd23…
04-26 04:37:14	Will BNB reach $800 in April?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x1f0762…
04-25 15:33:20	Will XRP reach $2.40 in April?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x59a7c6…
04-24 13:56:04	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 24 2026	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xd3c380…
04-20 21:12:46	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x68b21c…
04-20 06:26:44	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in April?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x371221…
04-20 04:21:48	Will Google (GOOGL) close above $280 end of April?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x1f575d…
04-19 21:00:20	Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in April?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xf86724…
04-18 18:13:54	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xbccafa…
04-18 05:29:38	Will Moonshot have the second best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x7b299d…
04-17 21:37:36	will the bank of russia increase the key rate after the april meeting	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xbbce84…
04-17 09:50:26	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in April?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x26c5af…
04-16 17:48:04	Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $150 end of April?	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x73fb58…
04-15 22:38:32	Will Netflix (NFLX) close above $220 end of April?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x6f1db2…
04-14 01:53:53	Genius FDV above $80M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x350139…
04-13 23:22:03	Will Ethereum dip to $600 in April?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x96087c…
04-13 20:29:01	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $4.00 in April?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x70520a…
04-13 03:28:25	Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x535d8a…
04-12 17:39:27	Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xc1e05f…
04-12 14:40:25	Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xcd6c08…
04-12 12:01:09	Will the Bank of Brazil increase the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$1	0x41f48f…
04-12 01:46:51	Will Meta (META) close above $420 end of April?	Yes	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x248893…
04-11 01:22:33	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $20 in April?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x1a96b2…
04-07 09:27:01	Will Solana reach $140 in April?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$3	0x730404…
04-07 04:07:01	Will the Bank of Canada announce an increase at the April meeting?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x77dab3…
04-07 02:23:51	will the bank of russia increase the key rate after the april meeting	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xca1b88…
04-01 04:47:25	EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$19	0x5078c0…
03-29 21:39:40	will dogecoin dip to 0pt05 in march 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd88f0a…
03-29 03:53:02	will ethena reach 0pt24 in march	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x49c79d…
03-29 00:15:26	will xrp dip to 0pt8 in march 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x641094…
03-28 17:26:31	will xrp reach 3pt2 in march 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x9a3bfa…
03-28 14:35:25	will microsoft be the third largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x33db5f…
03-28 12:51:25	will bitcoin reach 80k in march 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x2ccf98…
03-28 03:22:49	amzn above 180 on march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x474b1e…
03-27 16:55:57	will xrp dip to 0pt6 in march 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x7c94b2…
03-26 22:27:37	will chainlink dip to 4 in march	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x9c0c32…
03-25 10:33:57	nflx above 120 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x8e3ac3…
03-24 21:25:29	will bnb reach 900 in march	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x72e42b…
03-24 12:53:45	will chainlink reach 16 in march	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x757e21…
03-24 05:24:23	will chainlink reach 20 in march	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xf4e58c…
03-24 00:28:19	will amazon be the third largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x6222c0…
03-23 20:50:13	will solana reach 160 in march 2026	No	BUY	3	100¢	$2	0x7cdc33…
03-23 08:33:07	will amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 453	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x3cc31e…
03-23 03:49:01	will chainlink reach 20 in march	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x48b10a…
03-23 00:32:21	will mistral have the third best ai model at the end of march 2026	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x629005…
03-10 07:05:09	will xrp dip to 0pt2 in march 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xbb80b8…
03-09 20:55:27	amzn above 270 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x65e121…
03-08 07:21:05	will alibaba have the third best ai model at the end of march 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xec64d8…
03-07 20:39:53	will the bank of brazil increase the selic rate after march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x8f6c93…
03-07 06:31:49	will solana reach 160 in march 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x025917…
03-07 04:43:07	msft above 315 on march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x52d307…
03-06 22:18:51	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xfd0cac…
03-06 19:40:33	will chainlink reach 20 in march	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x7c0933…
03-06 16:01:41	will ethena reach 0pt28 in march	No	BUY	2	99¢	$1	0x6b0870…
03-06 01:55:27	will bitcoin dip to 25k in march 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x7a23d8…
03-05 14:55:27	will bnb reach 1100 in march	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x277925…
03-05 11:20:35	will amazon be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x879df8…
03-04 19:54:21	will bitcoin dip to 35k in march 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xc60515…
03-03 22:07:29	amzn above 270 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x2a5c6e…
03-03 02:46:45	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x7c6760…
02-24 16:18:50	will solana reach 180 in february 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x7699bb…
02-24 07:03:56	will solana reach 160 in february 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x13438e…
02-24 02:25:20	pltr above 164 on february 27 2026	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x985e49…
02-23 22:31:20	will nvidia be the second largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x125a24…
02-23 15:45:56	pltr above 164 on february 27 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x6b43b2…
02-23 10:58:38	aapl above 320 on february 27 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xfe1cdc…
02-23 01:30:22	msft above 525 on february 27 2026	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xf4b851…
02-22 01:20:30	will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xfb4d0a…
02-21 20:54:50	will openai have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x989bdf…