Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

50.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$149

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-07-24

last 10-27 02:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 46 days

Categories

Other

82% 53% +$6

Politics

16% 50% -$5

Tech

1% — —

Crypto

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

36 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No		+4	$1	3¢	$0	-$1	10-22 12:24

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	2	$4	5	+5	Yes	-$4	08-13 21:49
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 13 to August 15, 2026?	1	$2	6	+6	No	-$2	08-13 21:50
Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	1	$2	2	+2	No	+$0	08-15 19:41
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 22 to August 24, 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	-$2	08-22 16:59
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	1	$2	5	+5	No	-$2	08-05 23:22
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $186 Week of September 7 2026?	1	$2	6	+6	No	-$2	09-07 07:09
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	1	$2	8	+8	No	-$2	09-17 02:18
Will ISM Services PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in July?	1	$2	5	+5	Yes	+$3	08-03 02:17
spy up or down on august 13 2026	1	$2	5	+5	Up	-$2	08-13 05:10
Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $6.00 and $6.50 on August 31, 2026?	1	$2	8	+8	Yes	+$6	08-20 00:22
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	08-11 08:22
Will Ukraine target Moscow on September 29, 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	09-24 02:43
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 4	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	08-01 12:54
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	1	$2	8	+8	Yes	+$6	08-15 10:24
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	1	$2	9	+9	Yes	+$7	08-08 12:35
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	1	$2	5	+5	No	-$2	08-19 14:58
us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	1	$2	7	+7	No	-$2	08-12 04:23
will wti reach 90 in august 2026	1	$2	5	+5	No	-$2	08-18 21:49
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	1	$2	5	+5	Yes	-$2	08-02 09:38
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 18?	1	$2	7	+7	Yes	-$2	09-07 11:47
will wti reach 95 in august 2026	1	$2	8	+8	No	-$2	08-22 05:03
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	1	$2	4	+4	No	-$2	08-06 19:23
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	1	$2	5	+5	No	+$3	09-03 20:54
Will monthly inflation stay flat (0.0%) in July?	1	$2	6	+6	No	-$2	08-09 15:00
Will Core PCE MoM be 0.2% in July?	1	$2	5	+5	Yes	-$2	08-14 05:52
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	1	$2	6	+6	Yes	+$4	08-02 18:11
Will PPI YoY be 5.1% or less in July?	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	08-05 23:22
will trump say border 15 times during remarks in new york 20260811183234679	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	+$2	08-12 12:46
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 8 to August 10, 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	08-09 06:55
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	1	$2	6	+6	No	-$2	08-08 20:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 02:03:57	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x211528…
10-26 17:30:08	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x1e9533…
10-23 20:44:41	Will Core PCE MoM be 0.3% in September?	Yes	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x3e42e5…
10-22 12:24:38	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x3a02a3…
10-22 03:59:32	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xfb6f4f…
10-21 07:32:51	Will OpenRouter process between 165T and 175T tokens the week of October 19?	No	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x66743f…
10-20 23:32:42	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xf55c8c…
10-20 15:30:05	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x4efd34…
10-16 05:54:46	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?	No	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x0f3574…
10-15 21:54:27	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x0962d4…
10-15 13:39:26	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on October 15?	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xf6c9a1…
10-13 17:32:12	Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Q3 gross profit margin 68% to 69%?	No	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x3fc2d7…
10-13 09:30:49	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x26e953…
10-13 01:30:38	will meta dip to 730 by october 12 2026	Yes	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xebeecf…
10-12 17:30:29	Will 170-189 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 12-October 18?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xd27642…
10-11 09:11:49	Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Q3 gross profit margin 66% to 67%?	No	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xf62a02…
10-11 07:42:33	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xf9c03a…
10-10 22:51:00	Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in September?	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x396e6f…
10-10 14:32:37	Will annual inflation be 3.7% in September?	No	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x6a33c5…
10-09 17:46:44	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x7a1cd7…
10-09 17:36:25	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x597656…
10-09 09:27:15	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x313fd3…
10-09 00:24:03	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in September?	No	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xe21a59…
10-08 04:13:52	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	22¢	$1	0x0a4c16…
10-07 20:00:40	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x3afd96…
10-07 12:00:02	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x37147c…
10-07 03:58:48	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x791f85…
10-06 19:58:35	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x42a0ee…
10-06 11:58:27	Will OpenRouter process between 165T and 175T tokens the week of October 5?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x034aea…
10-06 03:58:22	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?	No	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x02fffb…
10-04 06:11:05	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x5880ce…
10-03 21:18:13	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x6a0745…
10-03 06:29:38	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x6d92d5…
09-24 02:43:53	Will Ukraine target Moscow on September 29, 2026?	No	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x8c225d…
09-17 02:18:01	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x16b380…
09-17 02:14:52	Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23?	Yes	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x60deb6…
09-07 19:59:42	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?	No	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0xbe33e0…
09-07 11:47:55	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 18?	No	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x68e63e…
09-07 07:09:46	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $186 Week of September 7 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x834702…
09-03 20:54:42	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x9ea81f…
08-22 16:59:30	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 22 to August 24, 2026?	No	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x931830…
08-22 05:03:04	will wti reach 95 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0xa22564…
08-20 08:27:37	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x61fcbf…
08-20 00:22:22	Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $6.00 and $6.50 on August 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x48aa21…
08-19 15:19:36	Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the September decision?	No	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x5c274a…
08-19 14:58:24	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x20112b…
08-19 06:54:55	Will ISM Services PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in August?	Yes	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x8b836c…
08-18 21:49:39	will wti reach 90 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x17d78b…
08-15 19:41:57	Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	No	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x4cfd57…
08-15 10:24:24	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x48300c…
08-15 01:05:09	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	No	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x8e7612…
08-14 16:12:19	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 15 to August 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x629c39…
08-14 05:52:10	Will Core PCE MoM be 0.2% in July?	No	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xb1611c…
08-13 21:50:15	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 13 to August 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0xc89ae7…
08-13 21:49:07	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	No	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x8bc625…
08-13 13:11:25	spx up or down on august 13 2026	Up	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0xa2f037…
08-13 05:10:40	spy up or down on august 13 2026	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x292e31…
08-12 20:59:27	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	No	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0xf06e84…
08-12 12:46:45	will trump say border 15 times during remarks in new york 20260811183234679	Yes	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x8ed812…
08-12 04:23:48	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x9ad8d9…
08-11 08:22:00	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	No	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0xabc82f…
08-11 08:21:51	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	No	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x61ffe6…
08-11 00:21:24	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 21 2026	No	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x1842c2…
08-09 15:00:36	Will monthly inflation stay flat (0.0%) in July?	Yes	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x2f4b6a…
08-09 06:55:21	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 8 to August 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x7384c5…
08-08 20:41:39	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x7aff07…
08-08 12:35:21	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0xe2ea85…
08-07 03:24:33	Will annual inflation be 3.3% in July?	No	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x536ae1…
08-06 19:23:41	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	Yes	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x7228de…
08-05 23:22:29	Will PPI YoY be 5.1% or less in July?	Yes	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0xf45deb…
08-05 23:22:06	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	Yes	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xcc3c9a…
08-05 15:21:44	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x476723…
08-03 19:18:59	Will China's CPI increase by between 0.7% and 0.8% over the 12 month period ending in July 2026?	No	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0xc377b8…
08-03 10:18:12	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0xdcd6a8…
08-03 02:17:15	Will ISM Services PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in July?	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x2c8305…
08-02 18:11:53	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0xfcb696…
08-02 09:38:59	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xf4cc35…
08-01 12:54:54	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 4	Yes	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0xef4618…
07-31 15:22:47	Will the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%?	No	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0xe808cd…
07-31 07:21:29	another pandemic before gta vi	No	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x93b5eb…
07-30 13:05:42	Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?	No	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x117503…
07-29 19:07:45	New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xff36fc…
07-29 09:53:23	will warsh say independence during july press conference 20260720204109033	No	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0xb02852…
07-28 23:47:20	Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?	No	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0xa6cd2c…
07-28 07:07:16	will trump say ai or artificial intelligence during cabinet meeting 20260727172357454	No	BUY	3	41¢	$1	0x65f67c…
07-27 17:48:06	will warsh say inflation 20 times during july press conference 20260720204109028	No	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x7ad168…
07-27 02:31:48	will trump say supreme court during michigan remarks 20260724162420375	No	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x677468…
07-26 14:30:18	hood quarterly earnings gaap eps 07 29 2026 0pt43	Yes	BUY	2	78¢	$2	0x840c1a…
07-26 02:30:15	Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?	No	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x312693…
07-25 14:30:00	Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	No	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x0fb144…
07-25 02:29:00	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x4edbc6…
07-24 14:27:58	will trump say sleepy during white house correspondents dinner 20260715212255818	Yes	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x9b88b8…
07-24 02:27:04	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?	No	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0xfc6afd…