Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$5.10K

Unrealized P&L

-$3

Hit rate

48.5%

Resolved

Trades

288

lifetime

Volume

$101.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$351

Open exposure

$10

3 positions

First seen

2026-02-19

last 10-15 01:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 36 days

Categories

Politics

73% 32% -$6,614

Other

27% 27% +$1,566

Crypto

0% 0% -$48

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Iran Nuke before 2027?	Yes	-133	-$4	4¢	$-6	-$2	10-15 01:16
Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	-1,563	-$2	0¢	$-2	-$1	10-15 01:16
Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026?	Yes	-62	-$1	3¢	$-2	$0	10-15 01:16

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 30 894	16	$12.3K	10,014	10,014	+0	No	+$1,709	03-31 07:22
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 15	2	$11.0K	7,102	7,102	+0	No	-$43	03-02 13:25
us iran nuclear deal by march 31	6	$10.7K	5,864	5,864	+0	No	-$1	03-11 02:08
us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	11	$9.4K	6,214	6,214	+0	No	+$1,419	03-20 22:23
Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?	8	$7.4K	8,292	3,990	+4,302	Yes	+$1,612	02-25 19:10
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	2	$5.0K	2,933	2,933	+0	No	+$349	03-16 16:14
israel strikes iran by february 28 2026	3	$5.0K	13,543	13,543	+0	Yes	-$1,464	02-23 11:58
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	2	$4.6K	2,399	2,399	+0	No	+$68	03-12 15:05
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	4	$3.5K	9,302	9,302	+0	Yes	-$122	02-23 12:00
houthi strike on israel by march 31 2026	8	$2.9K	9,558	0	+9,558	No	-$2,891	04-02 12:20
us forces enter iran by march 14 337	4	$2.1K	5,872	5,872	+0	No	-$245	03-09 06:50
will the us next strike iran on february 28 2026 et	2	$1.9K	1,786	1,786	+0	Yes	+$1,670	03-02 03:11
will the us officially declare war on iran by march 31 2026	5	$1.7K	35,374	35,374	+0	No	-$378	03-03 00:15
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	3	$1.7K	967	967	+0	Yes	+$173	03-07 04:31
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	3	$1.7K	1,364	1,364	+0	Yes	-$150	03-11 01:53
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	4	$1.4K	2,081	1,024	+1,057	Yes	-$302	04-08 04:58
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	9	$1.1K	3,359	1,974	+1,384	Yes	-$616	04-09 07:11
will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	5	$1.0K	1,452	737	+714	No	+$1	03-21 21:11
Military action against Iran continues through April 30, 2026?	5	$839	1,321	1,321	+0	No	-$654	04-08 00:31
will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	4	$827	1,636	1,636	+0	No	+$27	03-09 02:44
will the us invade iran by march 31	7	$819	2,904	2,846	+59	No	+$31	03-31 07:41
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	3	$788	1,332	1,081	+251	No	-$118	03-24 00:15
military action against iran ends by april 30 2026 239	2	$724	1,168	0	+1,168	Yes	-$724	03-31 07:37
will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	12	$712	169,637	142,237	+27,400	No	-$197	03-17 05:34
us strikes iran by february 24 2026	1	$708	723	0	+723	No	+$15	02-24 23:05
will the us accuse iran of oslo embassy attack	2	$638	1,538	1,538	+0	No	-$162	03-11 19:48
russia x ukraine ceasefire before us x iran ceasefire	2	$635	3,884	0	+3,884	No	-$635	03-31 07:54
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	3	$630	382	382	+0	No	+$30	03-06 14:37
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	4	$627	699	699	+0	No	+$161	03-16 16:15
will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	10	$602	176,977	126,467	+50,510	No	-$349	03-17 05:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-15 01:19:41	us x iran ceasefire continues through october 17	No	BUY	98	7¢	$7	0x1d111e…
10-15 01:16:56	Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	62	2¢	$1	0xb9d957…
10-15 01:16:49	Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	1,563	0¢	$2	0xe9f050…
10-15 01:16:40	Iran Nuke before 2027?	Yes	SELL	133	3¢	$4	0xfc45fe…
06-18 17:15:41	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	384	1¢	$3	0xbecadd…
04-09 07:11:17	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	No	SELL	73	15¢	$11	0x244267…
04-08 05:05:55	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	No	BUY	1,457	13¢	$188	0xef5f78…
04-08 05:05:09	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	177	100¢	$177	0x4f8357…
04-08 05:04:29	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	No	BUY	1,465	24¢	$355	0x0953bd…
04-08 04:58:39	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	No	BUY	1,057	28¢	$300	0x1c09fb…
04-08 00:31:21	Military action against Iran continues through April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,321	7¢	$92	0xf550c2…
04-08 00:31:15	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	No	SELL	1,724	10¢	$178	0xba2d7d…
04-02 12:20:31	houthi strike on israel by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	1,184	1¢	$13	0x84fd48…
04-01 21:35:01	US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	30	73¢	$22	0x9dba69…
03-31 14:01:41	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	No	BUY	1,574	36¢	$567	0xe2172b…
03-31 08:00:33	US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	30	66¢	$20	0xfeafe0…
03-31 07:54:55	russia x ukraine ceasefire before us x iran ceasefire	Yes	BUY	659	20¢	$135	0x0bf9ce…
03-31 07:51:05	russia x ukraine ceasefire before us x iran ceasefire	Yes	BUY	3,225	16¢	$500	0xb7a97a…
03-31 07:42:03	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	177	65¢	$115	0x518a5d…
03-31 07:41:21	will the us invade iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	59	2¢	$1	0x942629…
03-31 07:40:11	Military action against Iran continues through April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	79	64¢	$50	0xb15d24…
03-31 07:38:23	military action against iran ends by june 30 2026	No	BUY	208	24¢	$50	0x537c72…
03-31 07:37:49	military action against iran ends by april 30 2026 239	No	BUY	954	63¢	$600	0x3a865c…
03-31 07:34:47	will any european country expel an israeli ambassador by march 31	Yes	BUY	727	0¢	$2	0x3ae2fe…
03-31 07:28:41	Military action against Iran continues through April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	330	61¢	$200	0x444ec5…
03-31 07:28:01	military action against iran ends by may 31 2026	No	BUY	1,307	31¢	$400	0x6bd789…
03-31 07:22:57	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 30 894	No	SELL	4,022	69¢	$2,790	0xf80677…
03-29 22:58:48	Military action against Iran continues through April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	62¢	$11	0xf336c8…
03-29 13:05:58	will uk strike iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	410	1¢	$3	0x47b503…
03-29 13:05:34	will france strike iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	557	0¢	$2	0xee7c39…
03-29 13:05:26	will germany strike iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	1,091	0¢	$2	0xa614a5…
03-29 13:05:14	pete hegseth out as secretary of defense by march 31	Yes	SELL	634	0¢	$1	0x306771…
03-29 13:05:08	will canada strike iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	1,514	0¢	$2	0x28a4f7…
03-28 21:05:22	houthi strike on israel by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	358	34¢	$122	0x009572…
03-28 21:05:06	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 30 894	No	SELL	168	73¢	$122	0x4c4472…
03-28 21:00:58	houthi strike on israel by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	2,707	35¢	$946	0x52df8a…
03-28 21:00:48	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 30 894	No	SELL	1,323	72¢	$946	0x523b65…
03-28 20:58:50	houthi strike on israel by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	802	35¢	$279	0x1b00af…
03-28 20:58:06	usisrael strike yemen by march 31	Yes	SELL	84	65¢	$54	0x2d8e0b…
03-28 20:57:44	Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on April 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	73	73¢	$53	0x4fa944…
03-28 20:57:36	houthis successfully target shipping by march 31	No	SELL	68	84¢	$57	0xdb795f…
03-28 20:56:44	houthi strike on israel by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	1,297	34¢	$447	0x961049…
03-28 20:56:32	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 30 894	No	SELL	612	73¢	$447	0x709329…
03-28 20:55:18	houthi strike on israel by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	2,347	34¢	$800	0x5ca0a0…
03-28 20:55:00	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 30 894	No	SELL	1,081	74¢	$800	0xc72437…
03-28 20:54:38	houthi strike on israel by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	662	34¢	$223	0x73d3b2…
03-28 20:53:44	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 30 894	No	SELL	300	74¢	$223	0xb78284…
03-28 20:11:04	Military action against Iran continues through April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	896	54¢	$486	0x081486…
03-28 20:09:46	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 30 894	No	SELL	653	74¢	$486	0x69c722…
03-28 13:07:49	houthi strike on israel by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	201	30¢	$60	0x5ddbe2…
03-28 13:07:33	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 30 894	No	SELL	82	73¢	$60	0x1a24cf…
03-28 12:05:25	Houthi military action against Israel by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	49	68¢	$33	0x751332…
03-28 11:44:35	houthis successfully target shipping by march 31	No	BUY	68	73¢	$50	0x4f3df6…
03-28 11:38:05	will houthi military action against saudi arabia occur by april 15 2026	Yes	BUY	73	34¢	$25	0xb683bc…
03-28 11:37:43	Will Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia occur by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	114	44¢	$50	0x48f6a8…
03-28 11:35:53	houthi military action against saudi arabia by march 31	Yes	BUY	752	13¢	$100	0x6548cc…
03-28 11:33:37	usisrael strike yemen by march 31	Yes	BUY	84	60¢	$50	0x4d8fc7…
03-28 11:32:49	Houthi military action against Israel by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	318	63¢	$200	0x190616…
03-28 11:31:29	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 30 894	No	SELL	717	71¢	$508	0x022940…
03-28 07:39:23	military action against iran ends by april 30 2026 239	No	BUY	214	58¢	$124	0xa0e680…
03-28 07:38:57	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 30 894	No	SELL	183	68¢	$124	0x6f87cf…
03-27 20:45:01	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	3	91¢	$3	0xc94298…
03-27 20:40:01	crude oil all time high by march 31	Yes	SELL	294	1¢	$3	0xe1417f…
03-26 17:18:05	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	No	BUY	150	33¢	$49	0xd7666d…
03-26 14:27:17	Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on April 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	73	69¢	$50	0x8e5681…
03-25 06:47:15	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 30 894	No	SELL	187	64¢	$119	0x7ff3b9…
03-24 00:15:45	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	251	21¢	$53	0x3dcf1c…
03-24 00:15:29	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 30 894	No	SELL	94	56¢	$53	0x828f0f…
03-22 01:05:37	Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	53	40¢	$21	0x2bd7ad…
03-21 21:21:05	netanyahu out by march 31 854	Yes	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x4703e9…
03-21 21:19:47	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	Yes	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0xdc0589…
03-21 21:17:35	crude oil all time high by march 31	Yes	BUY	294	3¢	$10	0x1e923a…
03-21 21:15:41	pete hegseth out as secretary of defense by march 31	Yes	BUY	634	2¢	$10	0x404286…
03-21 21:15:09	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?	Yes	BUY	111	9¢	$10	0xd14839…
03-21 21:13:01	will uk strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	410	2¢	$10	0x120cad…
03-21 21:12:55	will any eu country strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	500	2¢	$10	0x661129…
03-21 21:12:43	will france strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	557	2¢	$10	0x886267…
03-21 21:12:37	will germany strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	1,091	1¢	$10	0x42b5f7…
03-21 21:12:33	will canada strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	1,514	1¢	$10	0x75a3ab…
03-21 21:11:45	will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	714	14¢	$100	0xf3a181…
03-21 21:11:33	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 30 894	No	SELL	393	58¢	$227	0xc2db42…
03-21 02:06:57	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 30 894	No	SELL	200	56¢	$112	0x7df436…
03-20 22:23:31	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 30 894	No	BUY	2,488	57¢	$1,417	0x545c52…
03-20 22:23:11	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	No	SELL	1,524	93¢	$1,417	0xa1d84a…
03-20 19:46:51	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 30 894	No	BUY	7,526	52¢	$3,892	0x63d11d…
03-20 19:46:37	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	No	SELL	4,572	85¢	$3,892	0xf8f259…
03-19 20:02:51	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	No	SELL	12	79¢	$9	0x02fd9b…
03-18 17:20:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 17:20 UTC	Down	BUY	158	30¢	$48	0xb3c040…
03-18 15:14:05	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	No	SELL	62	78¢	$48	0x3279e0…
03-17 05:34:41	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	5,800	0¢	$6	0x2e00bd…
03-17 05:34:31	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	5,000	0¢	$5	0xd0db8e…
03-17 05:33:53	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	No	SELL	15	72¢	$11	0x0fa60d…
03-17 03:44:53	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	21,600	0¢	$22	0x89cf6e…
03-17 03:44:29	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	No	SELL	30	72¢	$22	0xdd606c…
03-16 19:47:07	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	No	BUY	368	65¢	$239	0x38f273…
03-16 19:46:53	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	14,049	2¢	$239	0xa13456…
03-16 16:17:03	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	No	BUY	197	64¢	$126	0x070fb7…
03-16 16:16:53	will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	Yes	SELL	381	33¢	$126	0xc4ff06…
03-16 16:15:57	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	No	BUY	1,161	64¢	$743	0x7e28dc…
03-16 16:15:47	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	No	SELL	67	31¢	$20	0xc7b330…