Slight-Paper — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$36

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

54.8%

Resolved

1,339

Trades

3,135

lifetime

Volume

$5.26K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-03-26

last 10-28 15:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 170 days

Categories

Other

72% 43% +$146

Crypto

23% 54% -$73

Sports

4% 24% -$35

Politics

1% 38% -$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

63 active days in 12wk • peak 124 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will more than 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?	No		+1	$0	76¢	$1	+$1	10-23 15:51

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on June 2?	9	$194	208	208	+0	Yes	+$192	06-02 08:21
highest temperature in shanghai on april 5 2026 24c	5	$86	137	94	+43	Yes	-$40	04-05 07:20
bitcoin above 70k on march 30	64	$73	137	14	+123	No	-$5	03-27 09:40
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?	3	$70	60	60	+0	No	-$29	06-15 17:49
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on September 11?	2	$47	55	55	+0	No	+$39	09-11 17:08
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C or below on September 22?	2	$37	27	27	+0	No	+$17	09-22 03:08
bitcoin above 70k on april 2	16	$35	27	27	+0	No	+$2	03-27 09:38
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on May 14?	8	$31	35	35	+0	Yes	+$4	05-14 20:01
Will England win on 2026-07-18?	1	$30	32	0	+32	Yes	+$2	07-18 22:51
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 13:25 UTC	24	$29	93	0	+93	Down	-$6	03-26 13:28
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 18°C on October 2?	2	$29	72	72	+0	No	+$10	10-02 03:39
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on June 29?	4	$27	25	25	+0	Yes	+$23	06-29 17:02
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on September 24?	5	$26	102	102	+0	No	+$1	09-24 17:56
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on September 29?	2	$25	16	16	+0	Yes	+$5	09-29 18:37
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 27?	12	$23	57	37	+20	No	-$9	07-27 09:02
Will the first Atlantic hurricane form between October 1 and October 10, 2026?	2	$23	16	16	+0	Yes	+$9	10-08 09:40
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 2?	13	$23	41	41	+0	Yes	-$1	06-02 12:40
fifwc nld swe 2026 06 20 first half total 2pt5	2	$23	18	18	+0	Under	+$3	06-20 17:44
fifwc civ nor 2026 06 30 goals erling haaland gte1	16	$23	19	19	+0	Yes	+$14	06-30 18:46
lol we blg 2026 04 09 game2	2	$22	12	12	+0	Bilibili Gaming	+$2	04-09 13:32
highest temperature in shanghai on april 5 2026 25c	2	$22	39	38	+1	No	-$4	04-05 06:01
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on October 27?	4	$22	13	13	+0	No	+$2	10-27 19:08
lol t1 gen 2026 04 08	4	$21	14	14	+0	Gen.G	+$1	04-08 11:28
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on May 28?	8	$21	42	20	+22	No	-$9	05-28 17:02
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winner	3	$20	114	44	+69	Hanwha Life Esports	+$1	05-21 08:38
bitcoin above 68k on march 27	5	$20	17	17	+0	No	-$5	03-27 09:38
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on September 15?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	$0	09-15 19:06
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 16°C on September 13?	2	$20	39	39	+0	Yes	$0	09-13 13:25
lol shft g2 2026 04 20	4	$20	17	17	+0	G2 Esports	$0	04-20 16:50
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 16°C on September 23?	4	$20	13	13	+0	Yes	$0	09-23 15:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 15:38:38	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C on October 28?	Yes	SELL	28	2¢	$1	0x08d7b1…
10-28 15:25:20	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	104	9¢	$9	0xd5186c…
10-28 15:22:56	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on October 28?	Yes	SELL	13	38¢	$5	0x519d5e…
10-28 15:17:58	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	66	10¢	$6	0x865714…
10-28 15:00:32	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	28	4¢	$1	0xec3375…
10-27 19:13:09	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0x0bf3ae…
10-27 19:09:36	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 29°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	6	84¢	$5	0x98789e…
10-27 19:08:41	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 29°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	1	44¢	$0	0x9f5c8f…
10-27 19:08:41	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 29°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	1	44¢	$0	0x98ac3d…
10-27 19:08:39	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 29°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	4	44¢	$2	0x91d5a0…
10-27 19:08:39	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on October 27?	No	SELL	2	81¢	$2	0x8b9f4f…
10-27 19:08:39	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on October 27?	No	SELL	4	83¢	$3	0x43e3bc…
10-27 19:06:30	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on October 27?	No	SELL	8	90¢	$7	0xe768c3…
10-27 18:02:42	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	13	0¢	$0	0xfe938b…
10-27 17:24:35	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xdab585…
10-27 17:05:18	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on October 27?	No	BUY	13	74¢	$10	0x30133c…
10-27 17:04:45	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 28°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0xf7b8d2…
10-27 16:54:06	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x644060…
10-27 16:43:05	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	4	20¢	$1	0x25fa8d…
10-27 16:11:53	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	2	34¢	$1	0x30cee6…
10-27 15:57:48	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 29°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x685b79…
10-27 15:06:35	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x0e5298…
10-26 13:57:00	Will "Nobody Wants This: Season 3" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?	Yes	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x3954a7…
10-26 13:12:59	Will "FROM: Season 1" be the top US Netflix show this week?	Yes	BUY	2	90¢	$1	0xa021ea…
10-26 13:12:57	Will "FROM: Season 1" be the top US Netflix show this week?	Yes	BUY	4	90¢	$4	0xef3834…
10-26 13:11:47	Will "Nobody Wants This: Season 3" be the top US Netflix show this week?	No	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x334ac6…
10-26 01:24:05	Will "Nobody Wants This: Season 3" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?	Yes	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x552979…
10-25 18:08:24	Will "Love Is Blind: Boston" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?	No	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xc07395…
10-24 17:46:35	Will "Animals" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x9b468b…
10-24 16:47:14	Will "Below: Limited Series" be the top global Netflix show this week?	Yes	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xcb3ac3…
10-24 16:47:06	Will "Below: Limited Series" be the top global Netflix show this week?	Yes	BUY	4	90¢	$4	0xf53cc5…
10-24 13:21:30	Will "Nobody Wants This: Season 3" be the top US Netflix show this week?	No	SELL	6	84¢	$5	0x0ac676…
10-24 04:05:06	Will "Nobody Wants This: Season 3" be the top US Netflix show this week?	No	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xa0a0ac…
10-23 15:51:18	Will more than 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?	No	SELL	3	51¢	$1	0x7876c2…
10-18 18:16:00	Will more than 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?	No	BUY	4	30¢	$1	0x1bc6ab…
10-18 06:42:24	Will Champi peak as a Very strong typhoon?	No	SELL	2	86¢	$1	0x17c120…
10-18 00:06:15	Will Champi peak as a Very strong typhoon?	No	BUY	2	81¢	$1	0xc97fa0…
10-17 17:10:48	highest temperature in sao paulo on october 17 2026 21c	Yes	SELL	17	36¢	$6	0x1c75da…
10-17 15:57:26	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on October 17?	Yes	BUY	17	36¢	$6	0x25ea42…
10-17 01:13:41	nba was nop 2026 10 16 1h spread away 0pt5	Wizards	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xb9baf5…
10-15 17:29:52	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on October 15?	Yes	SELL	19	2¢	$0	0xee9a1d…
10-15 16:39:13	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on October 15?	Yes	SELL	19	3¢	$1	0x8860de…
10-15 16:31:50	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on October 15?	Yes	SELL	95	2¢	$2	0xa0b754…
10-15 14:56:29	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on October 15?	Yes	SELL	129	2¢	$2	0x225d11…
10-15 07:26:25	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	262	4¢	$9	0xdb4be8…
10-14 13:09:20	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C or higher on October 14?	Yes	SELL	22	35¢	$8	0x730dc3…
10-14 10:34:35	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C or higher on October 14?	Yes	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0xe3c587…
10-13 16:56:04	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on October 13?	Yes	SELL	1	7¢	$0	0xa2dafe…
10-13 16:55:31	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on October 13?	Yes	SELL	8	2¢	$0	0x9da2d3…
10-13 16:55:24	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on October 13?	Yes	SELL	5	11¢	$1	0xd227dd…
10-13 16:55:18	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	15	15¢	$2	0x6f1a81…
10-13 13:57:07	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on October 13?	Yes	SELL	54	0¢	$0	0x60d2df…
10-13 13:56:59	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on October 13?	Yes	SELL	84	0¢	$0	0x3feed9…
10-13 13:45:56	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C or below on October 13?	Yes	SELL	104	0¢	$0	0x981d2c…
10-13 11:07:46	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	19	25¢	$5	0x89871a…
10-13 08:17:41	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C or below on October 13?	Yes	BUY	104	1¢	$1	0xc1d1bb…
10-13 08:17:29	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	84	1¢	$1	0xebaf7b…
10-13 08:16:37	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	54	6¢	$3	0x9c6062…
10-11 08:50:00	Will the #1 global Netflix show have between 15 and 18 million views this week?	Yes	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x71a1bc…
10-11 00:43:16	Will Koguma peak as a Very strong typhoon?	Yes	BUY	3	83¢	$2	0x92d5cc…
10-10 18:52:24	Will "Doing Life" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x273548…
10-10 12:16:27	Will more than 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	43¢	$1	0x2b8de1…
10-10 09:48:24	Will "Animals" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x872d9b…
10-10 08:45:58	Will "Doing Life" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0xeeb682…
10-10 05:47:10	Will the #1 global Netflix show have between 12 and 15 million views this week?	Yes	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x3e409e…
10-10 00:11:26	Will Koguma peak as a Strong typhoon?	No	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xb35d49…
10-09 14:53:07	Will "Below: Limited Series" be the top global Netflix show this week?	Yes	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x231b6c…
10-09 11:29:49	Will "East of Eden: Limited Series" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?	Yes	BUY	0	84¢	$0	0xe2da2b…
10-09 00:20:56	Will more than 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xbc6cd9…
10-08 09:40:35	Will the first Atlantic hurricane form between October 1 and October 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	16	96¢	$16	0x15b942…
10-07 05:01:50	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 7?	Yes	SELL	69	5¢	$4	0x4fa7d0…
10-07 02:35:18	Will the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season be Fay?	Yes	SELL	11	0¢	$0	0xa7d8e6…
10-07 02:27:54	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on October 7?	Yes	SELL	0	17¢	$0	0x909b0b…
10-07 02:27:54	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on October 7?	Yes	SELL	0	16¢	$0	0x51bdfa…
10-07 02:27:54	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on October 7?	Yes	SELL	3	14¢	$0	0x03693c…
10-07 01:31:51	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on October 7?	Yes	BUY	4	67¢	$2	0x361931…
10-06 22:49:44	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 7?	Yes	BUY	72	10¢	$7	0xb7ce4c…
10-06 05:00:48	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 6?	Yes	BUY	8	27¢	$2	0x115c4f…
10-06 04:44:58	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 6?	Yes	SELL	4	19¢	$1	0x7093aa…
10-06 04:41:52	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 6?	Yes	SELL	4	18¢	$1	0xa20002…
10-06 04:41:52	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 6?	Yes	SELL	4	17¢	$1	0x35ee3d…
10-06 01:06:37	Will the first Atlantic hurricane form between October 1 and October 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	44¢	$7	0x54f707…
10-05 08:47:13	Will "The Widower: 'Til Death Do Us Part" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x767cb0…
10-05 08:35:11	Will the #1 global Netflix show have between 6 and 9 million views this week?	Yes	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xf58e72…
10-05 07:31:11	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 5?	Yes	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0xd8a209…
10-05 07:26:22	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 5?	Yes	SELL	3	56¢	$2	0x9d58dc…
10-05 06:30:58	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 5?	Yes	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x0d797c…
10-05 06:01:08	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 5?	No	BUY	4	59¢	$3	0x27a31b…
10-05 05:30:58	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 5?	No	BUY	4	61¢	$3	0xde92fb…
10-05 04:45:38	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 6?	Yes	BUY	64	15¢	$10	0x1c5d31…
10-04 18:21:05	Will Choi-wan peak as a Very strong typhoon?	Yes	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xf62abe…
10-04 13:16:32	Will "Monster: The Lizzie Borden Story: Season 1" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?	Yes	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x2ef85c…
10-03 18:50:47	Will the #1 global Netflix show have between 9 and 12 million views this week?	No	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xd9a0b4…
10-03 14:42:47	Will exactly 7 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	2¢	$0	0xe509aa…
10-03 12:36:08	Will "East of Eden: Limited Series" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?	No	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x933c5b…
10-03 06:43:14	Will "Unabomber" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x193923…
10-02 03:39:17	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 18°C on October 2?	Yes	SELL	72	27¢	$19	0xb09c62…
10-02 02:56:11	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 18°C on October 2?	Yes	BUY	72	13¢	$10	0xadd908…
10-01 16:34:38	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on October 1?	Yes	SELL	2	27¢	$0	0x5030f0…
10-01 16:31:50	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on October 1?	Yes	SELL	2	72¢	$2	0xc658e1…