Second-Hand-Estuary — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$180

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

81.8%

Resolved

Trades

179

lifetime

Volume

$4.54K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$25

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-04

last 10-31 18:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 54 days

Categories

Other

87% 74% +$169

Sports

6% 57% +$23

Crypto

5% 55% +$12

Pop-Culture

3% 50% -$22

Politics

0% 0% -$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will swim bts be the 1 song on spotify this week	2	$304	153	153	+0	Yes	+$2	03-27 15:49
fif che ger 2026 03 27 che	2	$288	145	145	+0	No	+$2	03-27 21:43
Will Greece be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	1	$250	285	0	+285	Yes	+$35	05-16 14:05
will akylas win sing for greece 2026	3	$203	127	127	+0	Yes	+$1	02-14 18:51
miguel daz canel out as leader of cuba by march 31 971 121	2	$198	100	100	+0	No	+$2	03-31 21:52
Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	2	$197	109	109	+0	Yes	-$3	04-26 15:00
Will Serbia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	1	$196	226	0	+226	Yes	+$30	05-12 19:04
Will Bulgaria advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	4	$194	200	0	+200	Yes	+$6	05-14 20:59
Panathinaikos vs. Valencia	2	$180	103	103	+0	Valencia	-$20	05-06 19:56
sea bol udi 2026 02 23 total 2pt5	1	$144	146	0	+146	Under	+$2	02-23 21:34
bkgr1 pan2 oly 2026 06 05	2	$140	146	146	+0	Panathinaikos	+$20	06-05 18:59
cs2 navi mouz 2026 02 15	1	$121	129	0	+129	MOUZ	+$8	02-15 10:12
Will Drake have a #1 hit in May?	21	$116	269	257	+12	Yes	-$24	04-30 12:20
Zalgiris Kaunas vs. Fenerbahce	3	$101	71	71	+0	Fenerbahce	+$31	05-08 19:26
Monaco vs. Olympiacos B.C.	1	$100	123	0	+123	Olympiacos B.C.	+$23	05-05 16:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	1	$100	118	0	+118	Down	+$18	05-02 22:17
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	2	$95	59	59	+0	Yes	+$15	06-20 21:57
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?	1	$94	100	0	+100	No	+$6	05-03 17:33
Panathinaikos vs. PAOK	2	$93	59	59	+0	Panathinaikos	+$13	05-28 16:31
Virtus Bologna vs. Olympiacos B.C.	3	$81	51	51	+0	Virtus Bologna	+$1	10-01 19:56
es2 gra hue 2026 03 28 gra	2	$80	41	41	+0	Yes	+$2	03-28 17:05
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?	1	$80	103	0	+103	No	-$80	06-17 17:03
Will Torino FC vs. FC Internazionale Milano end in a draw?	2	$77	42	42	+0	Yes	+$7	04-26 17:54
Will Olivia Rodrigo have a #1 hit in May?	9	$72	109	104	+5	Yes	-$18	05-22 16:33
Olympiacos B.C. vs. Real Madrid	2	$71	43	43	+0	Olympiacos B.C.	+$11	05-24 20:05
Olympiacos B.C. vs. AEK	2	$67	76	0	+76	Olympiacos B.C.	+$9	05-28 17:38
bkligend bar val 2026 06 24	2	$58	42	42	+0	Valencia	+$18	06-24 19:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	2	$52	27	27	+0	Up	+$2	05-02 18:34
Will Panathinaikos Athens win on 2026-09-20?	1	$50	65	0	+65	Yes	+$15	09-20 15:59
Olympiacos B.C. vs. Monaco	1	$50	60	0	+60	Olympiacos B.C.	+$10	04-30 17:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 18:23:10	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xe07bda…
10-30 19:56:09	Will Royal Antwerp FC win on 2026-11-01?	Yes	BUY	6	29¢	$2	0x5ded60…
10-30 19:32:37	Will Royal Antwerp FC win on 2026-11-01?	Yes	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0xa48c09…
10-16 18:32:12	Panathinaikos vs. Hapoel Tel Aviv	Panathinaikos	BUY	28	72¢	$20	0x90861d…
10-04 13:26:55	Will Denmark win on 2026-10-04?	Yes	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x7bf1c6…
10-02 18:14:39	Panathinaikos vs. Maccabi Tel Aviv	Panathinaikos	BUY	36	84¢	$30	0x924a72…
10-01 19:56:05	Virtus Bologna vs. Olympiacos B.C.	Olympiacos B.C.	SELL	43	81¢	$34	0x8d3030…
10-01 19:56:03	Virtus Bologna vs. Olympiacos B.C.	Olympiacos B.C.	SELL	8	81¢	$7	0x18ab33…
10-01 17:00:02	Virtus Bologna vs. Olympiacos B.C.	Olympiacos B.C.	BUY	51	79¢	$40	0x60eb77…
09-29 19:16:02	Will England win on 2026-09-29?	Yes	BUY	47	85¢	$40	0x998410…
09-27 17:42:09	Will Gibraltar vs. Andorra end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0x3547ee…
09-20 15:59:21	Will Panathinaikos Athens win on 2026-09-20?	Yes	BUY	65	77¢	$50	0x241023…
07-07 16:16:02	Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	5,000	0¢	$15	0x2586a2…
06-27 21:29:43	Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-27?	Yes	BUY	34	58¢	$20	0xd5ab64…
06-24 19:19:35	bkligend bar val 2026 06 24	Valencia	SELL	42	92¢	$38	0x0aa8b3…
06-23 19:27:44	bkligend bar val 2026 06 24	Valencia	BUY	42	48¢	$20	0x70bfd4…
06-20 21:57:04	Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	Yes	SELL	59	93¢	$55	0xfa0c39…
06-20 19:09:44	Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	Yes	BUY	59	68¢	$40	0x0b2d32…
06-17 17:03:11	Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	BUY	103	78¢	$80	0xcf7b2b…
06-13 19:41:00	Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?	Yes	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x04840e…
06-13 14:41:07	Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1,111	1¢	$10	0xe3110c…
06-13 14:37:10	Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	2,000	0¢	$10	0x1d3248…
06-13 14:31:40	Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1,111	1¢	$10	0x76b366…
06-13 14:29:16	Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	5,000	0¢	$10	0x8784c1…
06-13 14:22:42	Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1,100	1¢	$10	0x16f1b7…
06-10 08:40:52	Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x1f70a6…
06-05 18:59:07	bkgr1 pan2 oly 2026 06 05	Olympiacos B.C.	SELL	146	55¢	$80	0x2825af…
06-05 16:38:01	bkgr1 pan2 oly 2026 06 05	Olympiacos B.C.	BUY	146	41¢	$60	0xb76bbe…
05-28 17:38:45	Olympiacos B.C. vs. AEK	Olympiacos B.C.	BUY	57	88¢	$50	0x54ac36…
05-28 16:31:58	Panathinaikos vs. PAOK	Panathinaikos	SELL	59	91¢	$53	0x6f2e00…
05-28 16:05:39	Panathinaikos vs. PAOK	Panathinaikos	BUY	59	68¢	$40	0x16801a…
05-27 17:40:31	Olympiacos B.C. vs. AEK	Olympiacos B.C.	BUY	19	91¢	$17	0x490e9c…
05-24 20:05:11	Olympiacos B.C. vs. Real Madrid	Olympiacos B.C.	SELL	43	96¢	$41	0x9cfeb1…
05-24 16:52:07	Olympiacos B.C. vs. Real Madrid	Olympiacos B.C.	BUY	43	70¢	$30	0xef540c…
05-22 16:33:20	Will Olivia Rodrigo have a #1 hit in May?	No	SELL	2	25¢	$0	0xb47e99…
05-22 16:32:56	Will Olivia Rodrigo have a #1 hit in May?	No	SELL	17	25¢	$4	0xdd8dc3…
05-22 16:32:47	Will Olivia Rodrigo have a #1 hit in May?	No	SELL	10	25¢	$3	0xd59b30…
05-22 15:27:43	Will Olivia Rodrigo have a #1 hit in May?	No	SELL	55	26¢	$14	0x23eae3…
05-22 15:26:40	Will Olivia Rodrigo have a #1 hit in May?	No	SELL	21	28¢	$6	0x514e93…
05-20 17:01:36	Chicago White Sox vs. Seattle Mariners	Seattle Mariners	BUY	29	58¢	$17	0x9c8068…
05-20 16:58:30	Chicago White Sox vs. Seattle Mariners	Seattle Mariners	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x98bfd8…
05-20 16:57:53	Cincinnati Reds vs. Philadelphia Phillies	Cincinnati Reds	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0xa7ed95…
05-19 20:20:51	Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees	Toronto Blue Jays	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x07dae7…
05-19 20:17:42	New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals	Washington Nationals	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0xf8e5a1…
05-19 20:17:08	Cincinnati Reds vs. Philadelphia Phillies	Cincinnati Reds	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x59508c…
05-19 19:51:02	Will Olivia Rodrigo have a #1 hit in May?	No	BUY	6	15¢	$1	0x4e4e56…
05-19 19:50:36	Will Olivia Rodrigo have a #1 hit in May?	No	BUY	44	15¢	$7	0x0f43af…
05-19 19:50:03	Will Olivia Rodrigo have a #1 hit in May?	No	BUY	28	29¢	$8	0xf4e8e1…
05-18 20:17:27	Will CD Leganés vs. SD Huesca end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	8	90¢	$7	0x1ba276…
05-17 17:58:34	Will Newcastle United FC vs. West Ham United FC end in a draw?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x54531d…
05-17 11:23:09	Will Olivia Rodrigo have a #1 hit in May?	No	BUY	31	94¢	$29	0x255c0c…
05-17 11:12:08	Will Taylor Swift have a #1 hit in May?	No	BUY	16	88¢	$14	0x89dfac…
05-16 14:05:34	Will Greece be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	285	88¢	$250	0x652c98…
05-14 20:59:54	Will Bulgaria advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	61	97¢	$59	0xfe3a02…
05-14 20:48:23	Will Bulgaria advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0xd93fa6…
05-14 20:44:48	Will Bulgaria advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	9	97¢	$8	0x52b745…
05-14 20:44:44	Will Bulgaria advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0x8e5825…
05-12 19:04:08	Will Serbia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	226	87¢	$196	0xef4166…
05-08 19:26:18	Zalgiris Kaunas vs. Fenerbahce	Fenerbahce	SELL	71	93¢	$66	0x573525…
05-08 18:30:04	Zalgiris Kaunas vs. Fenerbahce	Fenerbahce	BUY	28	35¢	$10	0x345b3e…
05-08 18:07:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	SELL	51	32¢	$16	0x033dda…
05-08 18:06:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	51	49¢	$25	0xcd1e3a…
05-08 17:15:29	Zalgiris Kaunas vs. Fenerbahce	Fenerbahce	BUY	42	59¢	$25	0xd23e57…
05-06 19:56:56	Panathinaikos vs. Valencia	Valencia	SELL	103	78¢	$80	0x584c82…
05-06 19:50:15	Panathinaikos vs. Valencia	Valencia	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0xbcbf0a…
05-06 19:05:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	SELL	10	59¢	$6	0x51dfb6…
05-06 19:04:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x718f7b…
05-06 18:59:28	Zalgiris Kaunas vs. Fenerbahce	Fenerbahce	SELL	4	1¢	$0	0xfc4041…
05-06 18:56:21	Zalgiris Kaunas vs. Fenerbahce	Fenerbahce	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xb92d4f…
05-05 16:55:48	Monaco vs. Olympiacos B.C.	Olympiacos B.C.	BUY	123	81¢	$100	0x701770…
05-03 17:33:00	Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?	No	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0xe13ba3…
05-02 22:17:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	118	85¢	$100	0x0c0182…
05-02 22:13:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x194acc…
05-02 20:00:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x117981…
05-02 19:45:44	Will Le Mans FC vs. Stade de Reims end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	2	75¢	$2	0x691bd9…
05-02 19:45:40	Will Le Mans FC vs. Stade de Reims end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	5	75¢	$4	0xe0acb0…
05-02 19:43:00	Will Le Mans FC vs. Stade de Reims end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x230a13…
05-02 18:34:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	SELL	27	99¢	$27	0x341107…
05-02 18:32:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	27	92¢	$25	0x0167bc…
04-30 17:53:56	Olympiacos B.C. vs. Monaco	Olympiacos B.C.	BUY	60	83¢	$50	0x1836e8…
04-30 12:20:22	Will Drake have a #1 hit in May?	No	SELL	12	22¢	$3	0xf2bfb7…
04-30 12:18:28	Will Drake have a #1 hit in May?	No	SELL	14	22¢	$3	0xc8718c…
04-30 12:16:50	Will Drake have a #1 hit in May?	No	SELL	14	22¢	$3	0x2def77…
04-30 11:45:52	Will Drake have a #1 hit in May?	No	SELL	8	22¢	$2	0x1116e9…
04-30 11:44:18	Will Drake have a #1 hit in May?	No	SELL	8	22¢	$2	0xa22e48…
04-30 11:42:40	Will Drake have a #1 hit in May?	No	SELL	14	22¢	$3	0x892de6…
04-30 11:40:54	Will Drake have a #1 hit in May?	No	SELL	1	22¢	$0	0x41ee86…
04-30 10:38:04	Will Drake have a #1 hit in May?	No	SELL	16	18¢	$3	0x814e91…
04-30 10:36:28	Will Drake have a #1 hit in May?	No	SELL	16	18¢	$3	0xd53c49…
04-30 10:34:54	Will Drake have a #1 hit in May?	No	SELL	16	18¢	$3	0xa97ed1…
04-30 10:33:14	Will Drake have a #1 hit in May?	No	SELL	16	18¢	$3	0xffa467…
04-30 10:31:36	Will Drake have a #1 hit in May?	No	SELL	16	18¢	$3	0x13663c…
04-30 10:29:58	Will Drake have a #1 hit in May?	No	SELL	11	18¢	$2	0x553296…
04-30 10:28:18	Will Drake have a #1 hit in May?	No	SELL	19	15¢	$3	0x69ad96…
04-30 10:26:44	Will Drake have a #1 hit in May?	No	SELL	19	15¢	$3	0x668252…
04-30 10:25:24	Will Drake have a #1 hit in May?	No	SELL	19	15¢	$3	0xaa7df2…
04-30 10:23:38	Will Drake have a #1 hit in May?	No	SELL	19	15¢	$3	0x30505b…
04-30 10:22:04	Will Drake have a #1 hit in May?	No	SELL	18	15¢	$3	0xf799fb…
04-28 21:09:32	Will Drake have a #1 hit in May?	No	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0x49ae1e…
04-28 21:08:08	Will Drake have a #1 hit in May?	No	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0x71c0c8…