Second-Hand-Estuary — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$56

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

64.6%

Resolved

Trades

146

lifetime

Volume

$3.83K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$26

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-04

last 06-05 18:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

88% 60% +$63

Crypto

6% 50% $-8

Pop-Culture

3% — —

Sports

2% — —

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

24 active days in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will swim bts be the 1 song on spotify this week	2	$304	153	153	+0	open	—	03-27 15:49
fif che ger 2026 03 27 che	2	$288	145	145	+0	open	—	03-27 21:43
Will Greece be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	1	$250	285	0	+285	open	—	05-16 14:05
will akylas win sing for greece 2026	3	$203	127	127	+0	open	—	02-14 18:51
miguel daz canel out as leader of cuba by march 31 971 121	2	$198	100	100	+0	open	—	03-31 21:52
Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	2	$197	109	109	+0	open	—	04-26 15:00
Will Serbia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	1	$196	226	0	+226	Yes	+$30	05-12 19:04
Will Bulgaria advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	4	$194	200	0	+200	open	—	05-14 20:59
Panathinaikos vs. Valencia	2	$180	103	103	+0	Valencia	$-20	05-06 19:56
sea bol udi 2026 02 23 total 2pt5	1	$144	146	0	+146	open	—	02-23 21:34
bkgr1 pan2 oly 2026 06 05	2	$140	146	146	+0	open	—	06-05 18:59
cs2 navi mouz 2026 02 15	1	$121	129	0	+129	open	—	02-15 10:12
Will Drake have a #1 hit in May?	21	$116	269	257	+12	open	—	04-30 12:20
Zalgiris Kaunas vs. Fenerbahce	3	$101	71	71	+0	Fenerbahce	+$31	05-08 19:26
Monaco vs. Olympiacos B.C.	1	$100	123	0	+123	Olympiacos B.C.	+$23	05-05 16:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	1	$100	118	0	+118	open	—	05-02 22:17
Panathinaikos vs. PAOK	2	$93	59	59	+0	open	—	05-28 16:31
es2 gra hue 2026 03 28 gra	2	$80	41	41	+0	open	—	03-28 17:05
Will Torino FC vs. FC Internazionale Milano end in a draw?	2	$77	42	42	+0	open	—	04-26 17:54
Will Olivia Rodrigo have a #1 hit in May?	9	$72	109	104	+5	open	—	05-22 16:33
Olympiacos B.C. vs. Real Madrid	2	$71	43	43	+0	open	—	05-24 20:05
Olympiacos B.C. vs. AEK	2	$67	76	0	+76	open	—	05-28 17:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	2	$52	27	27	+0	open	—	05-02 18:34
Olympiacos B.C. vs. Monaco	1	$50	60	0	+60	open	—	04-30 17:53
Will Bad Bunny have a #1 hit in April?	1	$50	57	0	+57	open	—	03-28 17:28
will bad bunny have the greatest number of monthly spotify listeners this month	4	$48	36	36	+0	open	—	02-14 22:32
fif eng ury 2026 03 27 total 2pt5	3	$46	23	23	+0	open	—	03-27 21:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	2	$41	51	51	+0	Down	$-9	05-08 18:07
will bad bunny have the second greatest number of monthly spotify listeners this month	8	$39	60	60	+0	open	—	02-28 19:19
Chicago White Sox vs. Seattle Mariners	2	$27	47	0	+47	open	—	05-20 17:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-05 18:59:07	bkgr1 pan2 oly 2026 06 05	Olympiacos B.C.	SELL	146	55¢	$80	0x2825af…
06-05 16:38:01	bkgr1 pan2 oly 2026 06 05	Olympiacos B.C.	BUY	146	41¢	$60	0xb76bbe…
05-28 17:38:45	Olympiacos B.C. vs. AEK	Olympiacos B.C.	BUY	57	88¢	$50	0x54ac36…
05-28 16:31:58	Panathinaikos vs. PAOK	Panathinaikos	SELL	59	91¢	$53	0x6f2e00…
05-28 16:05:39	Panathinaikos vs. PAOK	Panathinaikos	BUY	59	68¢	$40	0x16801a…
05-27 17:40:31	Olympiacos B.C. vs. AEK	Olympiacos B.C.	BUY	19	91¢	$17	0x490e9c…
05-24 20:05:11	Olympiacos B.C. vs. Real Madrid	Olympiacos B.C.	SELL	43	96¢	$41	0x9cfeb1…
05-24 16:52:07	Olympiacos B.C. vs. Real Madrid	Olympiacos B.C.	BUY	43	70¢	$30	0xef540c…
05-22 16:33:20	Will Olivia Rodrigo have a #1 hit in May?	No	SELL	2	25¢	$0	0xb47e99…
05-22 16:32:56	Will Olivia Rodrigo have a #1 hit in May?	No	SELL	17	25¢	$4	0xdd8dc3…
05-22 16:32:47	Will Olivia Rodrigo have a #1 hit in May?	No	SELL	10	25¢	$3	0xd59b30…
05-22 15:27:43	Will Olivia Rodrigo have a #1 hit in May?	No	SELL	55	26¢	$14	0x23eae3…
05-22 15:26:40	Will Olivia Rodrigo have a #1 hit in May?	No	SELL	21	28¢	$6	0x514e93…
05-20 17:01:36	Chicago White Sox vs. Seattle Mariners	Seattle Mariners	BUY	29	58¢	$17	0x9c8068…
05-20 16:58:30	Chicago White Sox vs. Seattle Mariners	Seattle Mariners	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x98bfd8…
05-20 16:57:53	Cincinnati Reds vs. Philadelphia Phillies	Cincinnati Reds	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0xa7ed95…
05-19 20:20:51	Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees	Toronto Blue Jays	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x07dae7…
05-19 20:17:42	New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals	Washington Nationals	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0xf8e5a1…
05-19 20:17:08	Cincinnati Reds vs. Philadelphia Phillies	Cincinnati Reds	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x59508c…
05-19 19:51:02	Will Olivia Rodrigo have a #1 hit in May?	No	BUY	6	15¢	$1	0x4e4e56…
05-19 19:50:36	Will Olivia Rodrigo have a #1 hit in May?	No	BUY	44	15¢	$7	0x0f43af…
05-19 19:50:03	Will Olivia Rodrigo have a #1 hit in May?	No	BUY	28	29¢	$8	0xf4e8e1…
05-17 11:23:09	Will Olivia Rodrigo have a #1 hit in May?	No	BUY	31	94¢	$29	0x255c0c…
05-17 11:12:08	Will Taylor Swift have a #1 hit in May?	No	BUY	16	88¢	$14	0x89dfac…
05-16 14:05:34	Will Greece be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	285	88¢	$250	0x652c98…
05-14 20:59:54	Will Bulgaria advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	61	97¢	$59	0xfe3a02…
05-14 20:48:23	Will Bulgaria advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0xd93fa6…
05-14 20:44:48	Will Bulgaria advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	9	97¢	$8	0x52b745…
05-14 20:44:44	Will Bulgaria advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0x8e5825…
05-12 19:04:08	Will Serbia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	226	87¢	$196	0xef4166…
05-08 19:26:18	Zalgiris Kaunas vs. Fenerbahce	Fenerbahce	SELL	71	93¢	$66	0x573525…
05-08 18:30:04	Zalgiris Kaunas vs. Fenerbahce	Fenerbahce	BUY	28	35¢	$10	0x345b3e…
05-08 18:07:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	SELL	51	32¢	$16	0x033dda…
05-08 18:06:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	51	49¢	$25	0xcd1e3a…
05-08 17:15:29	Zalgiris Kaunas vs. Fenerbahce	Fenerbahce	BUY	42	59¢	$25	0xd23e57…
05-06 19:56:56	Panathinaikos vs. Valencia	Valencia	SELL	103	78¢	$80	0x584c82…
05-06 19:50:15	Panathinaikos vs. Valencia	Valencia	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0xbcbf0a…
05-06 19:05:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	SELL	10	59¢	$6	0x51dfb6…
05-06 19:04:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x718f7b…
05-06 18:59:28	Zalgiris Kaunas vs. Fenerbahce	Fenerbahce	SELL	4	1¢	$0	0xfc4041…
05-06 18:56:21	Zalgiris Kaunas vs. Fenerbahce	Fenerbahce	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xb92d4f…
05-05 16:55:48	Monaco vs. Olympiacos B.C.	Olympiacos B.C.	BUY	123	81¢	$100	0x701770…
05-02 22:17:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	118	85¢	$100	0x0c0182…
05-02 20:00:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x117981…
05-02 18:34:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	SELL	27	99¢	$27	0x341107…
05-02 18:32:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	27	92¢	$25	0x0167bc…
04-30 17:53:56	Olympiacos B.C. vs. Monaco	Olympiacos B.C.	BUY	60	83¢	$50	0x1836e8…
04-30 12:20:22	Will Drake have a #1 hit in May?	No	SELL	12	22¢	$3	0xf2bfb7…
04-30 12:18:28	Will Drake have a #1 hit in May?	No	SELL	14	22¢	$3	0xc8718c…
04-30 12:16:50	Will Drake have a #1 hit in May?	No	SELL	14	22¢	$3	0x2def77…
04-30 11:45:52	Will Drake have a #1 hit in May?	No	SELL	8	22¢	$2	0x1116e9…
04-30 11:44:18	Will Drake have a #1 hit in May?	No	SELL	8	22¢	$2	0xa22e48…
04-30 11:42:40	Will Drake have a #1 hit in May?	No	SELL	14	22¢	$3	0x892de6…
04-30 11:40:54	Will Drake have a #1 hit in May?	No	SELL	1	22¢	$0	0x41ee86…
04-30 10:38:04	Will Drake have a #1 hit in May?	No	SELL	16	18¢	$3	0x814e91…
04-30 10:36:28	Will Drake have a #1 hit in May?	No	SELL	16	18¢	$3	0xd53c49…
04-30 10:34:54	Will Drake have a #1 hit in May?	No	SELL	16	18¢	$3	0xa97ed1…
04-30 10:33:14	Will Drake have a #1 hit in May?	No	SELL	16	18¢	$3	0xffa467…
04-30 10:31:36	Will Drake have a #1 hit in May?	No	SELL	16	18¢	$3	0x13663c…
04-30 10:29:58	Will Drake have a #1 hit in May?	No	SELL	11	18¢	$2	0x553296…
04-30 10:28:18	Will Drake have a #1 hit in May?	No	SELL	19	15¢	$3	0x69ad96…
04-30 10:26:44	Will Drake have a #1 hit in May?	No	SELL	19	15¢	$3	0x668252…
04-30 10:25:24	Will Drake have a #1 hit in May?	No	SELL	19	15¢	$3	0xaa7df2…
04-30 10:23:38	Will Drake have a #1 hit in May?	No	SELL	19	15¢	$3	0x30505b…
04-30 10:22:04	Will Drake have a #1 hit in May?	No	SELL	18	15¢	$3	0xf799fb…
04-28 21:09:32	Will Drake have a #1 hit in May?	No	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0x49ae1e…
04-28 21:08:08	Will Drake have a #1 hit in May?	No	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0x71c0c8…
04-28 21:07:06	Will Drake have a #1 hit in May?	No	BUY	192	26¢	$50	0xb3d707…
04-26 17:54:12	Will Torino FC vs. FC Internazionale Milano end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	42	100¢	$42	0x8605b9…
04-26 17:49:40	Will Torino FC vs. FC Internazionale Milano end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	42	83¢	$35	0xfbd59e…
04-26 15:00:04	Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	Yes	SELL	109	89¢	$97	0xd4b517…
04-25 05:49:08	Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	Yes	BUY	109	92¢	$100	0x3f0bb7…
04-23 19:59:50	Will The Weeknd have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	Yes	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0x2793c7…
03-31 21:52:47	miguel daz canel out as leader of cuba by march 31 971 121	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0xadfc7f…
03-28 17:28:23	Will Bad Bunny have a #1 hit in April?	No	BUY	57	87¢	$50	0xd859f3…
03-28 17:26:13	Will Bruno Mars have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	Yes	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0x244922…
03-28 17:05:37	es2 gra hue 2026 03 28 gra	Yes	SELL	41	100¢	$41	0xe66911…
03-28 16:23:15	es2 gra hue 2026 03 28 gra	Yes	BUY	41	94¢	$39	0xc644e3…
03-28 16:06:19	miguel daz canel out as leader of cuba by march 31 971 121	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0xa95150…
03-27 21:52:41	fif eng ury 2026 03 27 total 2pt5	Under	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0xc7db2b…
03-27 21:45:57	fif eng ury 2026 03 27 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xe62a51…
03-27 21:45:39	fif eng ury 2026 03 27 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x001c62…
03-27 21:43:35	fif che ger 2026 03 27 che	No	SELL	145	100¢	$145	0xfc3475…
03-27 21:32:05	fif che ger 2026 03 27 che	No	BUY	145	98¢	$143	0x304a9e…
03-27 20:41:27	Will The Weeknd have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	Yes	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xe5fa64…
03-27 20:41:27	Will Bruno Mars have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	Yes	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x820f1c…
03-27 15:49:21	will swim bts be the 1 song on spotify this week	Yes	SELL	153	100¢	$153	0x6316f7…
03-25 22:15:41	will swim bts be the 1 song on spotify this week	Yes	BUY	153	99¢	$151	0x41712c…
03-25 22:00:01	will bruno mars have the second greatest number of monthly spotify listeners this month	Yes	SELL	130	0¢	$0	0x58c360…
03-25 21:59:53	will bad bunny have the greatest number of monthly spotify listeners this month 952	Yes	SELL	250	0¢	$0	0x9eb887…
02-28 22:32:45	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	SELL	48	3¢	$2	0xf9b59f…
02-28 22:26:17	will bruno mars have the second greatest number of monthly spotify listeners this month	Yes	BUY	118	4¢	$5	0x41f917…
02-28 22:09:49	will bruno mars have the second greatest number of monthly spotify listeners this month	Yes	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0xed6070…
02-28 20:25:19	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	16	6¢	$1	0x924c7a…
02-28 20:25:07	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	16	6¢	$1	0xb6717b…
02-28 20:24:31	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x8c4482…
02-28 19:19:47	will bad bunny have the second greatest number of monthly spotify listeners this month	Yes	SELL	37	50¢	$18	0x802454…
02-28 16:26:33	will bad bunny have the second greatest number of monthly spotify listeners this month	Yes	SELL	4	50¢	$2	0x08ab67…
02-28 16:07:27	will bad bunny have the second greatest number of monthly spotify listeners this month	Yes	SELL	10	50¢	$5	0x461138…
02-28 16:03:29	will bad bunny have the second greatest number of monthly spotify listeners this month	Yes	SELL	8	50¢	$4	0x15359c…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71	29	$4.93K	1,199	05-20 22:48
Attentive-Crewman 0xd218…b5c9	26	$19.5K	362	06-05 19:40
Faraway-Seaside 0xf0b0…8cab	24	$49.1K	4,258	05-02 14:26
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	23	$107.4K	1,973	05-16 16:52
(anonymous) 0x9474…5091	23	$2.37K	1,060	05-28 16:46
Frail-Possible 0x204f…5e14	21	$282.3K	2,320	06-05 19:25
Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4	21	$24.9K	390	05-20 22:34
Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24	21	$6.04K	722	05-28 21:03