Polished-Penny — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

+$132

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

64.0%

Resolved (90d)

2,689

Trades (90d)

3,647

4,244 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$3.71K

$4.77K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-04-18

last 11-08 01:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 85 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 60% +$81

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

59 active days in 12wk • peak 244 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	—	+3	$2	1¢	$0	-$2	11-08 01:42

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 00:30 UTC	2	$107	58	58	+1	Up	+$8	04-20 00:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 17:15 UTC	3	$102	54	51	+2	Up	+$0	04-18 17:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 18:00 UTC	2	$101	51	51	+0	Down	+$1	04-18 18:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 23:20 UTC	2	$60	31	31	+0	Up	+$0	04-18 23:25
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-19 09:50 UTC	2	$50	42	39	+2	Up	+$30	04-19 09:56
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 00:55 UTC	1	$25	76	0	+76	Down	-$25	04-20 00:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	2	$22	12	12	+0	Up	+$2	09-03 12:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 20:00 UTC	1	$11	62	0	+62	Down	-$11	04-18 20:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	1	$10	10	0	+10	Up	+$0	09-04 07:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 17:35 UTC	2	$9	6	6	+0	Down	+$3	04-18 17:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	8	$8	11	0	+11	Down	+$3	10-24 15:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	6	$6	13	0	+13	Up	+$7	11-04 13:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	6	$6	9	0	+9	Up	-$2	11-04 14:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	6	$6	9	0	+9	Down	-$1	11-05 23:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	6	$6	10	0	+10	Up	+$1	10-22 13:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	6	$6	9	0	+9	Up	+$2	10-23 13:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	6	$6	9	0	+9	Down	+$1	11-06 13:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	6	$6	8	0	+8	Down	+$2	10-30 13:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	6	$6	9	0	+9	Up	-$3	10-08 03:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	6	$6	11	0	+11	Down	+$1	10-05 00:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	6	$6	8	0	+8	Down	+$0	10-29 20:49
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-19 22:55 UTC	2	$6	5	5	+0	Down	+$4	04-19 23:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 20:10 UTC	1	$6	11	0	+11	Up	-$6	04-18 20:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	5	$5	9	0	+9	Up	+$4	11-03 14:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	5	$5	11	0	+11	Down	-$3	11-02 20:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 16:45 UTC	1	$5	5	0	+5	Up	+$0	08-29 16:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 19:30 UTC	1	$5	5	0	+5	Down	+$0	08-29 19:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	Up	+$0	09-03 08:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 16:55 UTC	1	$5	5	0	+5	Down	+$0	08-29 16:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	Down	+$0	09-02 14:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-08 01:42:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xaf074f…
11-08 01:40:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x26f1a1…
11-08 01:38:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x789df3…
11-08 01:38:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xad0da8…
11-08 01:38:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x565db7…
11-08 01:32:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xd73448…
11-08 01:28:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x988f59…
11-08 01:28:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xbb12f2…
11-08 01:28:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x5ed88a…
11-08 01:15:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x141d69…
11-08 00:56:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xd980d9…
11-08 00:40:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x3c025c…
11-08 00:22:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x7f6082…
11-08 00:11:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x57e057…
11-07 23:53:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x77febb…
11-07 23:53:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x9d36de…
11-07 23:53:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x258835…
11-07 23:45:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x7acec5…
11-07 23:38:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xa58b64…
11-07 23:38:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x87517a…
11-07 23:37:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x850a19…
11-07 23:32:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x65761b…
11-07 23:31:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xb5cddf…
11-07 23:25:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xd51b8e…
11-07 23:18:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xd5453f…
11-07 23:18:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x659165…
11-07 23:18:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xc0b24d…
11-07 23:07:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xf68b06…
11-07 22:57:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xc6e7c6…
11-07 22:57:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x0ed5b2…
11-07 22:57:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xc5249e…
11-07 22:50:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xcc85ce…
11-07 22:38:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x3af070…
11-07 22:38:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xe4c4ec…
11-07 22:35:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x60db19…
11-07 22:22:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x93a3ad…
11-07 22:21:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xa0c72b…
11-07 22:10:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xa65f1b…
11-07 22:05:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xedfa98…
11-07 21:43:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xc75588…
11-07 21:42:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x6d00d3…
11-07 21:21:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x544da5…
11-07 20:41:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x575a64…
11-07 20:38:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xf35f35…
11-07 20:32:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x0ef574…
11-07 20:32:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x69ac91…
11-07 20:32:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x6e7995…
11-07 20:25:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x0bba5a…
11-07 20:20:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x8b5395…
11-07 20:17:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x9dd194…
11-07 20:08:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x9fe8bd…
11-07 19:53:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x45e9ed…
11-07 19:53:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xbdc2e7…
11-07 19:51:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x10cff6…
11-07 19:48:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x6f7ce6…
11-07 19:47:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x62b3e4…
11-07 19:47:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x952e0a…
11-07 19:46:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x31870a…
11-07 19:40:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xb8ff60…
11-07 19:38:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x1b7012…
11-07 19:38:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x6c4e33…
11-07 19:38:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x7d080c…
11-07 19:35:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xcf6630…
11-07 19:29:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x7cab30…
11-07 19:20:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x81d745…
11-07 18:50:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x0af172…
11-07 18:48:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xf81a29…
11-07 18:48:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x8ac368…
11-07 18:45:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x8d9f59…
11-07 18:38:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x99549b…
11-07 18:37:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x4ea3cc…
11-07 18:37:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xe23de7…
11-07 18:33:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x06ab6b…
11-07 18:30:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x4041e3…
11-07 18:11:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x3800a1…
11-07 18:08:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xc3e4b1…
11-07 18:07:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xc95768…
11-07 18:07:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x0bb461…
11-07 17:55:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xf019ad…
11-07 17:45:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xe4443f…
11-07 17:35:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xff3134…
11-07 17:11:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x3729ee…
11-07 16:52:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x29b84b…
11-07 16:38:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x58b436…
11-07 16:36:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xfcfcb4…
11-07 16:32:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x442c93…
11-07 16:20:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x991358…
11-07 16:13:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xe07269…
11-07 16:13:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x1119fd…
11-07 16:11:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x629935…
11-07 15:40:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x96df7e…
11-07 15:27:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xd2257c…
11-07 15:11:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x47a732…
11-07 15:05:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x2b259c…
11-07 14:53:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x4892fb…
11-07 14:48:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x9fe157…
11-07 14:48:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xc8bd69…
11-07 14:47:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x9fc766…
11-07 14:43:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x38edae…
11-07 14:43:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x922601…