Virtuous-Skill — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$87

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

82.7%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.53K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$24

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-11

last 07-14 17:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 28 days

Categories

Politics

57% 50% -$98

Other

33% 75% +$82

Crypto

9% 75% +$93

Tech

0% 100% +$11

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-14).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Keir Starmer be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?	10	$546	1,128	1,116	+12	No	+$33	05-20 12:10
Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?	4	$295	324	0	+324	No	+$29	07-14 17:30
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	2	$86	100	100	+0	Yes	+$66	05-15 10:12
Will Bev Craig win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?	3	$66	1,555	0	+1,555	Yes	-$66	07-14 17:09
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	2	$49	29	29	+0	No	+$9	04-17 09:08
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	2	$42	35	35	+0	Yes	+$22	05-15 10:04
Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?	1	$38	757	0	+757	Yes	-$38	07-14 17:04
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	2	$35	46	0	+46	No	+$11	04-17 08:59
Will Ed Miliband be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?	2	$29	136	12	+124	No	-$11	05-21 12:19
Will Reform UK win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election?	1	$24	30	0	+30	No	+$6	04-17 18:15
Will the Labour Party win control of the most London borough councils?	1	$24	30	0	+30	Yes	+$6	04-17 09:07
Will Nigel Farage be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	1	$22	0	22	-22	No	$0	07-14 17:23
Will Trump talk to Keir Starmer in April?	1	$20	29	0	+29	Yes	+$9	03-29 13:42
will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	1	$20	40	0	+40	No	-$20	03-29 13:29
Will Angela Rayner be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?	1	$14	25	0	+25	No	-$14	05-15 17:05
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	1	$10	19	0	+19	Yes	+$9	01-11 09:56
will bitcoin dip to 65k in march 2026	1	$10	19	0	+19	Yes	+$9	03-29 13:33
Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in April?	1	$10	29	0	+29	No	-$10	03-29 13:42
Will Trump talk to Friedrich Merz in April?	1	$10	17	0	+17	Yes	+$7	03-29 13:42
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	1	$10	29	0	+29	No	+$19	04-17 08:59
Will Trump talk to Emmanuel Macron in April?	1	$10	15	0	+15	Yes	+$5	03-29 13:42
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	1	$10	21	0	+21	Yes	+$11	03-29 13:39
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	1	$10	22	0	+22	No	-$10	01-11 09:45
Will Andy Burnham be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?	1	$10	25	0	+25	Yes	-$10	05-15 10:07
will matt goodwin reform win the gorton and denton by election	1	$10	26	0	+26	No	-$10	02-01 22:21
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	1	$10	12	0	+12	Yes	+$2	03-29 13:29
houthi strike on israel by april 15 2026	1	$10	19	0	+19	Yes	+$9	03-29 13:43
Will Trump talk to Mohammed bin Salman in April?	1	$10	15	0	+15	Yes	+$5	03-29 13:42
will the supreme court rule on trumps tarriffs by january 31	1	$10	12	0	+12	No	-$10	01-11 13:56
UK Cabinet Minister resigns by June 30, 2026?	1	$8	12	0	+12	Yes	+$5	03-02 07:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-14 17:30:43	Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?	No	BUY	122	94¢	$114	0x8a20f5…
07-14 17:30:25	Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?	No	BUY	42	90¢	$38	0x09d5f9…
07-14 17:30:17	Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?	No	BUY	117	89¢	$105	0x969662…
07-14 17:29:38	Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?	No	BUY	43	88¢	$38	0xfeca88…
07-14 17:23:10	Will Nigel Farage be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x7486b8…
07-14 17:09:28	Will Bev Craig win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?	No	BUY	726	2¢	$18	0x3a5b93…
07-14 17:04:16	Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?	No	BUY	757	5¢	$38	0xd4b2d0…
07-14 17:02:07	Will Bev Craig win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?	No	BUY	55	2¢	$1	0x365fe0…
07-14 09:11:25	Will Bev Craig win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?	No	BUY	774	6¢	$46	0xcb3cc3…
05-21 12:19:27	Will Ed Miliband be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?	Yes	SELL	12	73¢	$9	0x842229…
05-20 12:10:04	Will Keir Starmer be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?	Yes	SELL	95	45¢	$43	0x885be0…
05-19 17:38:55	Will Keir Starmer be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?	Yes	SELL	5	45¢	$2	0x3c285a…
05-18 16:25:22	Will Keir Starmer be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?	Yes	SELL	5	28¢	$1	0x48f0b5…
05-18 16:25:01	Will Keir Starmer be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?	Yes	SELL	131	28¢	$37	0x1a91b7…
05-18 15:49:24	Will Keir Starmer be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?	Yes	SELL	500	24¢	$120	0xb93c5d…
05-18 05:56:11	Will Keir Starmer be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?	Yes	SELL	230	21¢	$48	0x41cfe4…
05-17 16:08:29	Will Keir Starmer be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?	Yes	SELL	150	25¢	$38	0x4a6b3c…
05-16 07:04:45	Will Keir Starmer be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?	Yes	BUY	931	22¢	$205	0xd7a663…
05-16 07:00:57	Will Keir Starmer be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?	Yes	BUY	182	22¢	$40	0x1abdf3…
05-15 17:05:51	Will Angela Rayner be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?	Yes	BUY	25	58¢	$14	0x7182cf…
05-15 10:12:51	Will Wes Streeting be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?	Yes	BUY	10	67¢	$7	0x2e6183…
05-15 10:12:30	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	76¢	$76	0xd57e18…
05-15 10:11:47	Will Keir Starmer be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?	Yes	BUY	15	77¢	$12	0x842f6f…
05-15 10:07:59	Will Andy Burnham be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?	No	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0xbf641c…
05-15 10:07:24	Will Ed Miliband be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?	Yes	BUY	136	15¢	$20	0x120fa1…
05-15 10:04:17	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	35	91¢	$32	0x2b4fc2…
05-09 21:06:56	Will Starmer say "Appalling" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	Yes	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0xac41c1…
04-17 18:15:58	Will Reform UK win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election?	No	BUY	30	81¢	$24	0x81e39d…
04-17 09:08:34	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	No	SELL	29	99¢	$29	0xeeeb4b…
04-17 09:07:00	Will the Labour Party win control of the most London borough councils?	Yes	BUY	30	79¢	$24	0xb23b3b…
04-17 09:00:44	Will Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?	No	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x2d56ad…
04-17 09:00:22	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	No	BUY	9	59¢	$5	0x20c698…
04-17 08:59:18	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0xc30182…
04-17 08:59:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	33	75¢	$25	0x7aeadc…
03-29 13:43:24	houthi strike on israel by april 15 2026	Yes	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xb05cf4…
03-29 13:43:18	houthi strike on israel by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x46f2d7…
03-29 13:42:54	Will Trump talk to Mohammed bin Salman in April?	Yes	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x3ff467…
03-29 13:42:32	Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in April?	Yes	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0xe2b4de…
03-29 13:42:20	Will Trump talk to Friedrich Merz in April?	Yes	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x1f30d6…
03-29 13:42:14	Will Trump talk to Emmanuel Macron in April?	Yes	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x13c018…
03-29 13:42:06	Will Trump talk to Keir Starmer in April?	Yes	BUY	29	70¢	$20	0x801084…
03-29 13:39:32	Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0xc83a55…
03-29 13:33:10	will bitcoin dip to 65k in march 2026	Yes	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x452f97…
03-29 13:31:56	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	No	BUY	29	68¢	$20	0x826b03…
03-29 13:30:48	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0xa06ca9…
03-29 13:29:26	will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	Yes	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x7802d8…
03-29 13:29:00	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0x63d4de…
03-02 07:34:37	UK Cabinet Minister resigns by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	60¢	$8	0x80d620…
03-01 18:30:27	will claude by anthropic be 1 free app in the us apple app store on march 6	Yes	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x9cad92…
02-01 22:21:58	will matt goodwin reform win the gorton and denton by election	Yes	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x38c56a…
01-11 13:58:36	russia strike on kyiv municipality by january 17	Yes	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0xa9065f…
01-11 13:56:44	will the supreme court rule on trumps tarriffs by january 31	Yes	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0xf60b96…
01-11 10:05:30	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	29¢	$10	0x8eb8d6…
01-11 10:05:22	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0xbb1dc9…
01-11 10:05:12	microstrategy sells any bitcoin by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	128	4¢	$5	0x050c87…
01-11 10:01:08	will mara corina machado enter venezuela by march 31 426 698 771	No	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0xff514e…
01-11 10:01:04	will mara corina machado enter venezuela by january 31 859 245	No	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0xba1398…
01-11 09:56:20	Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	Yes	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xcbfecf…
01-11 09:48:56	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xa1d58b…
01-11 09:47:06	Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?	No	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xba4f52…
01-11 09:46:52	ice shooter charged by march 31	No	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xd974a6…
01-11 09:46:34	US strike on Mexico by March 31?	Yes	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0xe7156b…
01-11 09:45:46	us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	Yes	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x25a955…
01-11 09:45:14	us strikes iran by january 13 2026 771	Yes	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0xf6c288…