Grouchy-Duck — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

+$1

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved (30d)

Trades (30d)

2,034 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$451

$19.9K lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

$10

1 position

First seen

2026-03-25

last 10-30 23:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 206 days

Categories

Other

80% 98% -$4

Sports

16% 100% +$3

Crypto

3% 98% +$1

Tech

1% 100% +$0

Politics

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

69 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in October?	No		+10	$10	100¢	$10	$0	10-30 23:54

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will wti reach 90 in july 2026 from july 27	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	07-31 21:47
Will Haiti win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	06-29 14:02
Map Handicap: DRIP (-1.5) vs m1x (+1.5)	2	$20	10	10	+0	m1x	+$0	05-07 11:00
Will Kai and Speed have between 30 and 49 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	08-12 23:04
Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2026-08-03?	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	08-03 23:14
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?	2	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	07-06 21:03
alien abduction at brazil vs scotland game in miami 20260624221224553	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	06-25 02:00
Will a team from LEC (Europe / EMEA) win MSI 2026?	2	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	07-10 10:42
LoL: GTZ Esports vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season	2	$20	10	10	+0	The Otter Side	+$0	05-24 16:02
wta dilek falkows 2026 07 14	2	$20	10	10	+0	Weronika Falkowska	+$0	07-14 15:35
Will Spencer Roach be the Republican nominee for FL-19?	4	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	08-26 15:37
chris moneymaker 20260707142702023	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	07-24 05:33
Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	04-01 01:24
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on May 2?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	05-02 01:35
Will Kai and Speed have between 50 and 69 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	08-12 22:39
Will Felix Auger-Aliassime Win ATP Montreal	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	08-06 09:11
Exact Score: Notts County FC 3 - 0 Salford City FC?	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	05-28 16:31
highest temperature in shanghai on april 9 2026 28c	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	04-09 07:09
Will Frances Tiafoe win the 2026 Men's French Open?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	06-01 23:08
Will Bob Rommel be the Republican nominee for FL-19?	4	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	08-26 15:37
T20 World Cup, Sub Regional Africa, Qualifier A: Ivory Coast vs Mali	2	$20	10	10	+0	Mali	+$0	06-03 04:48
ITF Men Luan: Completed Match: Eric Jr Olivarez vs Xiaofei Wang	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	05-30 05:37
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: August Holmgren vs Daniel Jade	2	$20	10	10	+0	August Holmgren	+$0	05-30 04:48
Will CXMT’s market cap be 400 billion yuan or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2026?	2	$20	20	0	+20	Yes	+$0	07-27 07:31
blast open rotterdam 2026 will a player break something during a game	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	03-31 03:59
fl1 psg nan 2026 04 22 total 1pt5	2	$20	10	10	+0	Over	$0	04-22 17:37
Istanbul: Laura Pigossi vs Lucia Cortez Llorca	2	$20	10	10	+0	Laura Pigossi	$0	05-05 15:54
Over $7M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	$0	04-01 01:47
bitcoin above 78k on april 24	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	$0	04-24 17:13
highest temperature in paris on april 15 2026 18c	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	$0	04-15 20:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 23:54:22	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in October?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x19c817…
10-30 16:14:42	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xae57fd…
10-29 15:14:13	Erste Bank Open: Cameron Norrie vs Daniil Medvedev	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xfc1663…
10-27 13:12:05	Guangzhou Open: Xinran Sun vs Mananchaya Sawangkaew	Xinran Sun	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xeaae26…
10-25 09:30:59	Ningbo: Semen Pankin vs Maxim Zhukov	Semen Pankin	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xad20a5…
10-24 13:22:18	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x6ff45c…
10-24 13:00:18	Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Liquid (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	Liquid	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x616ebc…
10-23 16:52:30	Lyon Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Taylor Fritz	Taylor Fritz	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x314b3a…
10-23 06:10:02	Japan Women's Open: Talia Gibson vs Ashlyn Krueger	Ashlyn Krueger	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x26dadf…
10-22 20:24:03	Lyon Open: Kyrian Jacquet vs Brandon Nakashima	Brandon Nakashima	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3650c2…
10-20 18:47:42	Will Sabah FK win on 2026-10-20?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xfda5d4…
10-20 18:36:29	Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x277e07…
10-18 03:35:38	Notre Dame vs. BYU	BYU	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x256691…
10-15 20:32:48	W35 Heraklion: Juliette Mazzoni vs Miriam Bianca Bulgaru	Juliette Mazzoni	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xf37b0a…
10-15 19:37:40	Santa Cruz 2: Guido Justo vs Juan Manuel La Serna	Juan Manuel La Serna	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xcf32a7…
10-14 20:56:43	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x503f9f…
10-14 11:41:26	atp medvede tsitsip 2026 10 13	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x95c61c…
10-13 20:58:54	Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x330c27…
10-13 14:15:25	Catania: Enrico Dalla Valle vs Federico Bondioli	Enrico Dalla Valle	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf1d434…
10-13 06:19:43	Wuhan Tennis Open: Katerina Siniakova vs Liudmila Samsonova	Liudmila Samsonova	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3577c5…
10-13 01:33:00	Thunder vs. Hawks	Hawks	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xb42fd0…
10-12 09:03:55	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Jiri Lehecka vs Rafael Jodar	Rafael Jodar	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x92e742…
10-11 10:49:53	Olbia: Dimitar Kuzmanov vs Ryan Peniston	Dimitar Kuzmanov	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x4a4c30…
10-11 10:26:12	Olbia: Mario Gonzalez Fernandez vs Viktor Durasovic	Viktor Durasovic	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdd5656…
10-11 04:54:54	Kings vs. Golden Knights	Golden Knights	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc0b28e…
10-10 11:08:45	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Learner Tien vs Zachary Svajda	Learner Tien	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8d37e7…
10-10 10:21:45	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Tabilo vs Pablo Carreno Busta	Pablo Carreno Busta	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0xa7bf91…
10-09 02:09:56	Missouri State vs. Western Kentucky	Western Kentucky	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x24d4ec…
10-07 14:42:14	Villena: Edas Butvilas vs Max Hans Rehberg	Max Hans Rehberg	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x069f19…
10-07 06:30:53	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Adrian Mannarino vs Nikoloz Basilashvili	Adrian Mannarino	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x6a8d8f…
10-07 05:38:38	W15 Maanshan: Anna Yang vs Darja Suvirdjonkova	Anna Yang	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x39cf61…
10-06 20:46:26	Will Spain win on 2026-10-06?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc58419…
10-06 16:07:32	Palermo: Kalin Ivanovski vs Alejandro Moro Canas	Alejandro Moro Canas	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6ead99…
10-04 23:23:10	LoL: Team Liquid vs LYON - Game 1 Winner	Team Liquid	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7d7429…
10-04 20:17:41	Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Astralis (BO5) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs	Astralis	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x40bc1e…
10-04 07:45:10	Wuning 3: Ryan Seggerman vs Naoki Tajima	Ryan Seggerman	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x1157ce…
10-03 14:50:30	China Open: Elena Rybakina vs Alina Charaeva	Alina Charaeva	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1e1ef9…
10-03 06:09:56	Montana State vs. Idaho	Idaho	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x225381…
10-03 02:52:57	Pittsburgh vs. Virginia Tech	Pittsburgh	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2ae4e2…
10-02 14:15:27	Will Bolivia win on 2026-10-04?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xbad5a5…
10-02 14:13:38	Will Bolivia vs. Gambia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc5fa6c…
10-01 22:20:05	atp dias olivier 2026 10 01	Pedro Boscardin Dias	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x55fe88…
10-01 20:46:21	Will Portugal win on 2026-10-01?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xca91b1…
10-01 20:42:27	Will Kosovo win on 2026-10-01?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9353cc…
10-01 20:36:05	Will Wales vs. Norway end in a draw?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x04b289…
10-01 16:08:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 1?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x8ad92c…
10-01 14:40:00	China Open: Alexander Bublik vs Jakub Mensik	Jakub Mensik	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa8fe37…
10-01 12:05:03	atp grieksp rublev 2026 09 29	Andrey Rublev	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x383dd8…
10-01 11:30:44	wta dart qu 2026 09 30	Harriet Dart	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x99fdd6…
10-01 06:03:12	Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4769ce…
10-01 05:16:09	mlb chc sd 2026 09 30	San Diego Padres	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb3d37e…
09-30 23:54:50	Will China PR vs. Turkmenistan end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x159b2b…
09-30 01:58:17	Canadiens vs. Maple Leafs	Canadiens	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xfb7b84…
09-29 13:58:53	atp cretu rocha 2026 09 28	Henrique Rocha	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xdd80bf…
09-29 13:16:00	atp medvede rublev 2026 09 29	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5f862f…
09-29 06:38:06	wta ribera you 2026 09 28	Marina Bassols Ribera	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe698b4…
09-28 17:00:08	atp angelin johns 2026 09 28	Lorenzo Angelini	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3d040f…
09-28 10:07:54	atp vallejo daniel 2026 09 28	Adolfo Vallejo	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd0d612…
09-27 20:24:47	Chargers vs. Bills	Bills	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9a7278…
09-27 14:05:48	atp droguet mayot 2026 09 27	Titouan Droguet	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xfe97c1…
09-27 13:31:18	atp harri hurkacz 2026 09 27	Hubert Hurkacz	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xaa65ec…
09-27 12:11:59	atp safiull bu 2026 09 27	Roman Safiullin	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xcd1094…
09-26 23:23:48	Oklahoma vs. Georgia	Georgia	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe53786…
09-26 19:53:23	Texas vs. Tennessee	Texas	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xdb5a1a…
09-26 16:16:12	cs2 hero sng2 2026 09 26	Heroic	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4d2cf1…
09-26 12:18:23	wta fernand chwalin 2026 09 26	Leylah Fernandez	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x01cef7…
09-25 22:56:39	atp prado barrena 2026 09 25	Alex Barrena	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xb66d12…
09-25 10:14:42	atp marozsa daniel 2026 09 25	Fabian Marozsan	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x588836…
09-24 20:46:15	Will Austria win on 2026-09-24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4455e5…
09-24 20:45:09	Will Norway win on 2026-09-24?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x67f0a8…
09-24 09:38:47	Singapore Open: Xinyu Wang vs Joanna Garland	Xinyu Wang	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x685012…
09-23 22:37:46	mlb min sf 2026 09 23	Minnesota Twins	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x53c7f2…
09-23 16:19:43	bitcoin above 84k on september 23 2026	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfcc756…
09-23 04:45:14	wta tararud park 2026 09 22	Lanlana Tararudee	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xf49156…
09-21 18:44:36	wta naito aksu 2026 09 21	Ayla Aksu	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0c22e8…
09-21 08:37:18	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 September 14-20?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6c3018…
09-21 04:47:03	itf ishii1 suzuki2 2026 09 21	Sayaka Ishii	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xae60c7…
09-21 02:19:41	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Baltimore Orioles	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x567797…
09-20 22:25:41	Browns vs. Buccaneers	Browns	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf2f1ac…
09-20 21:08:28	Will CD Leganés vs. Granada CF end in a draw?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1063f6…
09-20 20:53:01	KKS Lech Poznan leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x06a8bd…
09-20 09:13:45	val flfe genggc 2026 09 20 game1	Gen.G GC	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xcf7f36…
09-20 02:59:37	will ethereum dip to 2600 in september 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe20999…
09-19 01:33:06	Kansas City Royals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates	Pittsburgh Pirates	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x544424…
09-18 20:45:36	Will Manchester City WFC win on 2026-09-18?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x51b018…
09-18 20:00:51	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 18?	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x77d8bc…
09-18 19:32:18	Will AC Oulu win on 2026-09-18?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x54cfb2…
09-18 19:14:43	Valencia: Andrea Lazaro Garcia vs Joelle Steur	Joelle Steur	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xc3d8b0…
09-18 15:37:16	Counter-Strike: JUMBO TEAM vs mskLANERS - Map 2 Winner	JUMBO TEAM	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xaeb58c…
09-18 00:54:24	Will Éric Zemmour announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6f8a29…
09-17 20:00:10	Tread FDV above $100M one day after launch	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc8a823…
09-17 17:27:48	lol ckz esb 2026 09 19 game1	CITA Kaizen	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf2dcef…
09-17 14:00:54	bitcoin up or down september 17 2026 9am et	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb0e218…
09-15 18:56:22	Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs Azuolas - Map 2 Winner	G2 Ares	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6264a5…
09-15 12:58:34	Valencia: Jennifer Ruggeri vs Eva Vedder	Jennifer Ruggeri	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb874bc…
09-15 09:42:03	Guangzhou: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Pavel Kotov	Pavel Kotov	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5ffc1d…
09-13 22:59:30	Texas Rangers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks	Texas Rangers	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xdc4bf7…
09-13 10:58:09	cs2 tyloo dep 2026 09 13 game3	TYLOO	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x20d744…
09-13 10:57:07	cs2 tyloo dep 2026 09 13	TYLOO	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x594e1e…
09-13 07:35:39	Will the lowest temperature in Austin be between 76-77°F on September 12?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xaf4e4f…