Adorable-Jail — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$872

Unrealized P&L

+$138

Hit rate

68.9%

Resolved

189

Trades

756

lifetime

Volume

$120.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$159

Open exposure

$6.82K

11 positions

First seen

2026-04-28

last 10-27 22:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 61 days

Categories

Other

52% 63% -$298

Politics

34% 79% +$233

Sports

13% 51% -$385

Tech

1% 100% +$1,297

Crypto

0% 100% +$12

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$13

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

44 active days in 12wk • peak 35 trades/day

Open positions (11) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	+2,000	$1,460	57¢	$1.1K	-$320	10-27 01:59
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	+1,874	$817	56¢	$1.0K	+$223	09-21 18:11
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?	No	+1,214	$716	70¢	$850	+$134	09-21 18:46
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	+785	$749	96¢	$756	+$8	09-25 22:53
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	+1,000	$660	68¢	$675	+$15	10-21 23:28
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Yes	+725	$616	92¢	$670	+$54	08-01 11:39
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LYON (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	Invictus Gaming	+750	$450	64¢	$484	+$34	10-27 04:30
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+1,000	$410	42¢	$420	+$10	10-27 11:44
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	No	+1,000	$410	42¢	$415	+$5	10-25 01:29
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	No	+1,000	$280	30¢	$305	+$25	10-25 01:52
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	+1,705	$117	4¢	$68	-$49	10-22 05:45

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	2	$17.8K	9,000	9,000	+0	Yes	+$144	10-26 00:10
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	13	$4.9K	3,973	2,187	+1,786	No	+$1,062	07-31 18:32
Internet Access restored in Iran by June 30, 2026?	12	$4.6K	3,102	3,102	+0	Yes	-$521	05-27 21:16
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	28	$3.2K	3,377	3,479	-103	Yes	-$1,513	05-28 19:25
Will Trump speak to Andy Burnham in July?	11	$3.0K	3,943	0	+3,943	Yes	+$993	07-20 23:29
will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	26	$2.7K	2,744	2,744	+0	Yes	-$1,532	08-12 17:38
will benjamin netanyahu visit new york city by july 31 20260722053445709	4	$2.5K	1,300	1,300	+0	No	+$51	07-31 11:15
val fut1 t1 2026 10 04	13	$2.4K	5,000	0	+5,000	T1	-$2,360	10-04 10:52
google maps renames lake ontario to lake america by september 15 2026	3	$2.0K	2,318	0	+2,318	Yes	+$327	08-29 09:50
lol kcb wd 2026 09 26	2	$1.7K	2,000	2,000	+0	cancelled	+$200	09-26 18:20
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	24	$1.7K	17,778	16,073	+1,705	open	—	10-22 05:45
Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?	3	$1.6K	1,000	1,000	+0	No	-$153	08-05 03:30
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs GamerLegion (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group B	32	$1.6K	1,329	829	+500	GamerLegion	+$75	04-30 01:11
lol t1a gal 2026 09 30	7	$1.6K	4,121	0	+4,121	T1 Academy	-$1,607	09-29 11:48
Valorant: G2 Esports vs Team Liquid (BO3) - VCT Champions Group C	2	$1.6K	3,000	0	+3,000	G2 Esports	+$1,410	10-03 08:59
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	10	$1.6K	1,350	350	+1,000	No	+$76	05-18 06:56
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	4	$1.6K	2,855	0	+2,855	Yes	+$1,297	07-30 21:37
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	1	$1.5K	2,000	0	+2,000	open	—	10-27 01:59
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	1	$1.4K	2,000	0	+2,000	Yes	+$576	07-28 01:07
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	27	$1.3K	1,000	1,000	+0	Yes	+$10	09-06 19:16
will kai and speed beat the gauntlet within 16 hours	4	$1.3K	1,446	0	+1,446	Yes	+$138	08-21 05:36
will kai and speed beat the gauntlet within 20 hours	4	$1.3K	758	758	+0	Yes	+$242	08-21 06:15
Valorant: Evil Geniuses Academy vs QoR (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 2 Playoffs	18	$1.3K	914	774	+139	Evil Geniuses Academy	+$58	04-28 22:54
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	12	$1.2K	4,000	4,000	+0	open	—	09-28 22:24
James Comey arrested by May 15?	5	$1.1K	600	600	+0	Yes	+$78	04-29 18:43
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	3	$1.1K	750	750	+0	open	—	10-21 20:46
will kai and speed beat the gauntlet within 12 hours	5	$1.1K	1,995	0	+1,995	Yes	+$906	08-21 05:35
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	8	$1.1K	4,500	0	+4,500	No	-$1,052	07-29 17:57
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs GamerLegion - Map 2 Winner	7	$964	500	500	+0	GamerLegion	+$34	04-30 00:12
will donald trump publicly insult tucker carlson by july 31 2026 20260626210612710	51	$950	1,500	0	+1,500	Yes	+$550	08-01 18:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 22:51:17	Will Radomir Saičić win the next Serbia presidential election?	Yes	BUY	21	59¢	$12	0xa9a263…
10-27 21:33:24	Will Radomir Saičić win the next Serbia presidential election?	Yes	BUY	52	59¢	$31	0xaa47e3…
10-27 21:23:18	Will Radomir Saičić win the next Serbia presidential election?	Yes	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0x078c80…
10-27 11:44:30	Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	41¢	$1	0x4fa56f…
10-27 08:45:17	Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	160	41¢	$66	0x1ce281…
10-27 07:28:30	Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	41¢	$9	0x442d2b…
10-27 04:30:27	LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LYON (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	Invictus Gaming	BUY	405	60¢	$243	0x6b025c…
10-27 04:27:35	LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LYON (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	Invictus Gaming	BUY	2	60¢	$2	0xad9c1a…
10-27 04:10:57	LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LYON (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	Invictus Gaming	BUY	12	60¢	$8	0xe9923c…
10-27 04:04:35	LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LYON (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	Invictus Gaming	BUY	2	60¢	$2	0x6a509c…
10-27 04:01:26	LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LYON (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	Invictus Gaming	BUY	19	60¢	$11	0x62b211…
10-27 03:42:41	Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	41¢	$41	0x643811…
10-27 03:40:24	LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LYON (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	Invictus Gaming	BUY	8	60¢	$4	0x997e46…
10-27 03:37:27	LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LYON (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	Invictus Gaming	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x18ff2b…
10-27 03:33:54	LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LYON (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	Invictus Gaming	BUY	12	60¢	$8	0x23330a…
10-27 03:29:23	LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LYON (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	Invictus Gaming	BUY	2	60¢	$2	0xa9bffb…
10-27 03:21:51	LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LYON (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	Invictus Gaming	BUY	12	60¢	$8	0x97f5b1…
10-27 02:58:03	LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LYON (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	Invictus Gaming	BUY	2	60¢	$2	0x99180a…
10-27 02:56:45	LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LYON (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	Invictus Gaming	BUY	12	60¢	$8	0x6d4dd1…
10-27 02:49:53	LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LYON (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	Invictus Gaming	BUY	62	60¢	$38	0x317fbe…
10-27 02:33:23	LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LYON (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	Invictus Gaming	BUY	193	60¢	$116	0xeed4ed…
10-27 01:59:45	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	2,000	73¢	$1,460	0x7aa707…
10-27 01:11:05	Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x918753…
10-26 23:38:08	Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	97	41¢	$40	0x98af8e…
10-26 16:11:03	Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	45	41¢	$18	0xc2a93e…
10-26 16:03:08	Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	31	41¢	$13	0x3ff4e8…
10-26 00:10:38	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	9,000	100¢	$8,991	0x38725a…
10-26 00:02:41	Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xd01fbc…
10-25 23:49:33	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	9,000	98¢	$8,847	0x38fb6c…
10-25 22:47:35	Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	41¢	$9	0x66573d…
10-25 14:47:05	Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	496	41¢	$204	0x32a31c…
10-25 07:43:44	Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	41¢	$2	0xd2f991…
10-25 01:52:38	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	28¢	$280	0x5caeb3…
10-25 01:29:23	Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	41¢	$410	0x0ccf59…
10-22 05:45:52	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	SELL	925	4¢	$41	0xccd9f7…
10-22 04:22:23	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1,238	4¢	$54	0x50f8fd…
10-22 03:24:57	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	SELL	27	4¢	$1	0x48bb71…
10-22 03:24:17	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	SELL	641	4¢	$28	0x805f19…
10-22 01:49:30	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	SELL	170	4¢	$7	0x86d8b7…
10-21 23:28:17	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	66¢	$660	0xa211bd…
10-21 21:10:05	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	SELL	2,700	4¢	$119	0x418076…
10-21 20:46:35	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	750	74¢	$555	0x2a6563…
10-18 07:45:41	Will Team Vitality win VALORANT Champions 2026?	Yes	SELL	229	27¢	$62	0x193668…
10-17 05:57:52	Will LOUD win VALORANT Champions 2026?	Yes	BUY	207	47¢	$97	0x7eb2f4…
10-17 00:43:32	Will LOUD win VALORANT Champions 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	49¢	$11	0x5f4d76…
10-17 00:43:32	Will LOUD win VALORANT Champions 2026?	Yes	BUY	201	49¢	$99	0x03fa8e…
10-17 00:43:30	Will LOUD win VALORANT Champions 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	49¢	$11	0xee0b60…
10-17 00:43:30	Will LOUD win VALORANT Champions 2026?	Yes	BUY	689	49¢	$338	0xd8e637…
10-17 00:43:30	Will LOUD win VALORANT Champions 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	49¢	$11	0xaf1138…
10-17 00:43:30	Will LOUD win VALORANT Champions 2026?	Yes	BUY	180	49¢	$88	0x904c8e…
10-17 00:43:30	Will LOUD win VALORANT Champions 2026?	Yes	BUY	297	49¢	$146	0x6a079d…
10-17 00:43:30	Will LOUD win VALORANT Champions 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	49¢	$11	0x68e88d…
10-17 00:43:30	Will LOUD win VALORANT Champions 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	49¢	$11	0x5c2f10…
10-17 00:43:30	Will LOUD win VALORANT Champions 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	49¢	$11	0x4810f0…
10-16 02:43:43	Valorant: 100 Thieves vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs	G2 Esports	BUY	249	35¢	$87	0xf5baab…
10-16 02:41:51	Valorant: 100 Thieves vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs	G2 Esports	BUY	92	35¢	$32	0xb723e5…
10-16 02:41:51	Valorant: 100 Thieves vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs	G2 Esports	BUY	154	35¢	$54	0x0eca49…
10-16 02:12:31	Will Team Vitality win VALORANT Champions 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,186	27¢	$318	0x029641…
10-16 02:00:10	Valorant: 100 Thieves vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs	G2 Esports	BUY	323	35¢	$113	0x32a871…
10-16 01:52:09	Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second?	No	BUY	15	9¢	$1	0x873979…
10-16 01:51:48	Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second?	No	BUY	159	9¢	$14	0x65b642…
10-16 01:46:39	Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second?	No	BUY	76	9¢	$7	0x0ca185…
10-16 01:44:46	Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second?	No	BUY	269	12¢	$32	0x1f54f1…
10-16 01:44:28	Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second?	No	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0x812da6…
10-16 01:44:22	Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second?	No	BUY	10	8¢	$1	0x02de94…
10-16 00:50:54	Valorant: 100 Thieves vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs	G2 Esports	BUY	8	35¢	$3	0x0ef539…
10-16 00:08:30	Valorant: 100 Thieves vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs	G2 Esports	BUY	275	35¢	$96	0x9b70ae…
10-15 23:11:03	Valorant: 100 Thieves vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs	G2 Esports	BUY	8	35¢	$3	0x4d1496…
10-15 22:52:57	Valorant: 100 Thieves vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs	G2 Esports	BUY	154	35¢	$54	0xcb68d1…
10-15 22:44:25	Valorant: 100 Thieves vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs	G2 Esports	BUY	238	35¢	$83	0x8b8567…
10-14 11:54:59	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	SELL	5,557	5¢	$261	0x2c7e58…
10-14 10:53:37	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	SELL	9	5¢	$0	0xc1de17…
10-14 10:26:11	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	SELL	434	5¢	$20	0xa6d00e…
10-13 06:30:02	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	SELL	4,373	6¢	$258	0x0d6fe4…
10-12 06:16:51	Game Handicap: KT (-2.5) vs Team Vitality (+2.5)	KT Rolster	SELL	43	35¢	$15	0x264d7b…
10-12 06:16:48	Game Handicap: KT (-2.5) vs Team Vitality (+2.5)	KT Rolster	SELL	145	35¢	$51	0x893ee8…
10-12 06:15:38	Game Handicap: KT (-2.5) vs Team Vitality (+2.5)	KT Rolster	SELL	150	39¢	$59	0x4a71bf…
10-11 23:21:14	Game Handicap: KT (-2.5) vs Team Vitality (+2.5)	KT Rolster	BUY	50	41¢	$20	0x6ae705…
10-11 23:21:14	Game Handicap: KT (-2.5) vs Team Vitality (+2.5)	KT Rolster	BUY	83	41¢	$34	0x249e76…
10-11 23:21:11	Game Handicap: KT (-2.5) vs Team Vitality (+2.5)	KT Rolster	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0x11e159…
10-11 23:21:09	Game Handicap: KT (-2.5) vs Team Vitality (+2.5)	KT Rolster	BUY	140	41¢	$57	0xff0d58…
10-11 23:21:09	Game Handicap: KT (-2.5) vs Team Vitality (+2.5)	KT Rolster	BUY	3	41¢	$1	0xf55500…
10-11 23:21:09	Game Handicap: KT (-2.5) vs Team Vitality (+2.5)	KT Rolster	BUY	35	41¢	$15	0x4485e5…
10-11 22:56:02	Game Handicap: KT (-2.5) vs Team Vitality (+2.5)	KT Rolster	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x367b4b…
10-11 22:54:38	Game Handicap: KT (-2.5) vs Team Vitality (+2.5)	KT Rolster	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x7557fd…
10-11 22:54:15	Game Handicap: KT (-2.5) vs Team Vitality (+2.5)	KT Rolster	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x344ee7…
10-11 22:51:42	Game Handicap: KT (-2.5) vs Team Vitality (+2.5)	KT Rolster	BUY	15	41¢	$6	0xd38ba9…
10-11 22:51:23	Game Handicap: KT (-2.5) vs Team Vitality (+2.5)	KT Rolster	BUY	83	41¢	$34	0xc1931f…
10-11 22:51:23	Game Handicap: KT (-2.5) vs Team Vitality (+2.5)	KT Rolster	BUY	83	41¢	$34	0x830f2f…
10-11 22:51:20	Game Handicap: KT (-2.5) vs Team Vitality (+2.5)	KT Rolster	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0xcbbd0e…
10-11 22:51:20	Game Handicap: KT (-2.5) vs Team Vitality (+2.5)	KT Rolster	BUY	29	41¢	$12	0x0b6676…
10-11 22:51:18	Game Handicap: KT (-2.5) vs Team Vitality (+2.5)	KT Rolster	BUY	14	41¢	$6	0x94a906…
10-11 22:51:18	Game Handicap: KT (-2.5) vs Team Vitality (+2.5)	KT Rolster	BUY	14	41¢	$6	0x3f51c2…
10-11 22:51:18	Game Handicap: KT (-2.5) vs Team Vitality (+2.5)	KT Rolster	BUY	164	41¢	$67	0x03af99…
10-11 19:22:04	Lions vs. Cardinals: O/U 54.5	Under	BUY	1,000	49¢	$490	0x2d674b…
10-09 11:59:21	Map Handicap: 100T (-1.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+1.5)	100 Thieves	BUY	656	35¢	$229	0x3fde21…
10-09 11:58:33	Map Handicap: 100T (-1.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+1.5)	100 Thieves	BUY	7	35¢	$2	0xc31b15…
10-09 11:57:34	Map Handicap: 100T (-1.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+1.5)	100 Thieves	BUY	204	35¢	$71	0x6249aa…
10-09 11:56:31	Map Handicap: 100T (-1.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+1.5)	100 Thieves	BUY	323	35¢	$113	0xd3a86c…
10-09 11:56:30	Map Handicap: 100T (-1.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+1.5)	100 Thieves	BUY	30	35¢	$10	0x613967…