Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
+$343
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
562
lifetime
Volume
$248.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$443
Open exposure
$7.56K
6 positions
First seen
2026-01-16
last 07-23 19:09
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
78%
Politics
21%
Tech
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
40 active days in 12wk • peak 37 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +8,573 $4,407 52¢ $4.4K +$8 07-23 19:04
Iran leadership change by December 31? No -4,026 $-3,256 72¢ $-2919 +$337 06-16 16:56
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes +946 $215 22¢ $213 $-2 07-23 15:52
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? Yes +80 $11 14¢ $11 $-0 07-23 15:51
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Yes +36 $5 14¢ $5 $-0 07-22 17:41
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +3 $1 34¢ $1 $-0 07-04 09:38