Angry-Trolley — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$11.0K

Unrealized P&L

-$1.92K

Hit rate

82.4%

Resolved

Trades

650

lifetime

Volume

$349.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$538

Open exposure

$16.3K

10 positions

First seen

2026-01-16

last 08-22 19:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 30 days

Categories

Other

80% 67% +$11,206

Politics

20% 50% -$150

Tech

1% 71% -$46

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions (10) Resolved markets (24) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	-15,510	-$11,829	86¢	$-13276	-$1,448	06-18 16:33
Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	-3,522	-$2,829	86¢	$-3029	-$200	06-16 16:56
us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157 255 857	No	+3	-$610	63¢	$2	+$612	08-22 19:03
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31	No	+2	$890	88¢	$2	-$889	08-22 19:02
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	-1	-$1	94¢	$-1	$0	04-28 23:44
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	+1	-$6	56¢	$1	+$6	08-17 17:06
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	+1	$0	88¢	$1	+$1	08-17 17:09
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	+4	$1	9¢	$0	-$1	08-02 04:14
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	Yes	+1	$3	12¢	$0	-$3	08-01 21:16
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+1	$1	6¢	$0	-$1	08-02 04:10

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31	6	$57.4K	37,663	37,661	+2	open	—	08-22 19:02
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827 659	77	$44.5K	40,545	16,242	+24,303	No	+$1,960	07-29 19:59
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	34	$30.6K	17,647	17,647	+0	No	+$3,318	03-25 12:47
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?	80	$29.5K	16,245	16,245	+0	No	+$749	06-26 13:54
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	15	$28.1K	15,473	15,473	+0	No	+$848	03-31 15:47
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	23	$17.7K	9,957	9,957	+0	No	+$900	05-07 07:03
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	19	$15.0K	8,773	7,226	+1,547	Yes	-$1,020	02-28 07:07
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	23	$13.8K	1,456	16,966	-15,510	open	—	06-18 16:33
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	53	$13.5K	15,986	1,055	+14,931	No	+$3,481	07-16 05:14
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	19	$13.2K	8,621	8,621	+0	No	-$296	05-27 18:33
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?	46	$12.2K	7,572	7,572	+0	No	+$544	05-31 17:25
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	20	$9.2K	8,827	8,826	+1	open	—	08-17 17:09
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	11	$8.3K	8,784	0	+8,784	No	+$499	01-28 10:58
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	3	$7.5K	4,048	4,048	+0	Yes	+$531	04-07 13:57
us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157 255 857	6	$7.4K	12,538	12,534	+3	open	—	08-22 19:03
iran leadership change by march 31	12	$5.7K	3,014	3,014	+0	No	+$201	03-31 01:38
Iran leadership change by December 31?	9	$4.7K	1,384	4,906	-3,522	open	—	06-16 16:56
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	8	$3.6K	3,720	3,722	-2	No	-$357	06-16 16:47
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	10	$3.3K	2,271	2,267	+4	open	—	08-02 04:14
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	10	$3.2K	2,427	2,427	+0	Yes	-$171	02-22 19:40
Iran leadership change by April 30?	18	$2.9K	1,678	1,678	+0	No	+$168	04-19 13:39
nothing ever happens khamenei	13	$2.5K	2,402	2,402	+0	No	-$94	02-22 19:45
Iran leadership change by May 31?	6	$1.9K	1,215	1,215	+0	No	+$208	05-07 07:00
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by september 30 944	21	$1.8K	1,595	1,595	+0	No	+$231	07-12 15:50
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	7	$1.8K	1,076	1,076	+0	Yes	-$50	02-22 19:42
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by April 30?	14	$1.7K	912	912	+0	No	+$86	04-28 02:19
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	7	$1.6K	1,591	1,591	+0	Yes	-$86	02-22 19:40
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	10	$1.6K	1,529	1,529	+0	Yes	-$455	03-06 15:06
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?	11	$1.4K	778	778	+0	Yes	+$18	04-28 23:45
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by june 26	3	$910	505	505	+0	No	-$1	06-18 16:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-22 19:03:16	us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157 255 857	No	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x3de9dc…
08-22 19:02:36	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31 671	No	SELL	32,861	75¢	$24,657	0x333092…
08-22 18:59:19	us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157 255 857	No	SELL	12,534	32¢	$4,019	0x505a93…
08-21 18:59:58	us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157 255 857	No	BUY	315	33¢	$104	0x9acfd2…
08-18 19:16:39	us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157 255 857	No	BUY	152	33¢	$51	0xdb2b65…
08-18 16:06:48	us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157	No	BUY	5,665	32¢	$1,800	0xe36f52…
08-18 16:03:19	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31	No	SELL	3,000	75¢	$2,250	0x093c0a…
08-17 17:13:52	us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157	No	BUY	6,401	23¢	$1,453	0xd3d7ff…
08-17 17:12:43	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31	No	SELL	1,800	74¢	$1,332	0x00650d…
08-17 17:10:34	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	97¢	$5	0xe6dea2…
08-17 17:09:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	19	57¢	$11	0xfe50ba…
08-17 17:06:57	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	SELL	158	67¢	$106	0xc976cc…
08-09 11:43:19	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31	No	BUY	37,655	77¢	$29,123	0xc035b9…
08-02 04:14:29	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xec4a05…
08-02 04:14:12	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	SELL	2,263	75¢	$1,697	0x4150b5…
08-02 04:10:35	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	35	12¢	$4	0xe5f208…
08-01 21:55:21	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	63	15¢	$9	0x6b1af4…
08-01 21:17:09	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	Yes	SELL	80	9¢	$7	0xc31431…
08-01 21:16:17	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	Yes	SELL	945	22¢	$212	0x8bc8cb…
07-31 23:25:35	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	6	49¢	$3	0x8f836b…
07-31 23:16:53	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x45b259…
07-30 22:58:39	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	61	51¢	$31	0xd035ad…
07-30 16:17:05	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	BUY	164	73¢	$120	0xa003e7…
07-30 16:07:30	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	SELL	2	27¢	$1	0x0675ce…
07-30 16:01:20	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	BUY	697	73¢	$509	0x66f3b0…
07-30 16:00:57	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	BUY	18	72¢	$13	0xfb4052…
07-30 16:00:32	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	BUY	1,383	72¢	$1,000	0x77a923…
07-29 21:24:26	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	67	53¢	$35	0xedcf6d…
07-29 21:23:15	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	402	53¢	$213	0x33fe51…
07-29 21:22:54	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	1,607	53¢	$852	0x0bab09…
07-29 21:22:12	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	6,430	53¢	$3,408	0x791934…
07-29 19:59:50	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827 659	No	BUY	959	100¢	$957	0xea095e…
07-27 12:27:00	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	63	25¢	$16	0xe1b5d5…
07-27 08:16:15	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	424	26¢	$110	0x84e225…
07-26 20:31:01	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	183	26¢	$48	0xc1f4be…
07-26 00:01:06	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827 659	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x3a781e…
07-24 20:01:19	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x13160a…
07-24 20:01:03	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	159	63¢	$100	0x58d375…
07-23 19:09:58	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	BUY	455	22¢	$100	0x2def54…
07-23 19:04:00	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x49481d…
07-23 15:52:39	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827 659	No	BUY	1,053	99¢	$1,040	0x6d54d4…
07-23 15:52:01	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	Yes	BUY	877	23¢	$200	0xd400dc…
07-23 15:51:22	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	Yes	BUY	71	14¢	$10	0xa1d2d4…
07-23 15:50:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	6,000	50¢	$3,000	0xdc61b8…
07-22 17:41:25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	192	52¢	$100	0x243ac4…
07-22 17:41:01	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xcc8215…
07-22 17:40:28	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	Yes	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0x3e1a68…
07-22 14:26:13	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827 659	No	BUY	354	99¢	$350	0x836c25…
07-22 14:25:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	189	53¢	$100	0x670d6b…
07-21 20:03:24	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	Yes	BUY	18	22¢	$4	0xda1e30…
07-21 19:20:27	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827 659	No	BUY	60	99¢	$59	0xb554c1…
07-21 19:19:24	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827 659	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x985469…
07-21 19:04:39	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	29	14¢	$4	0xbd1f66…
07-21 19:02:21	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31	No	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x0e7660…
07-21 17:56:51	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	522	55¢	$287	0x0e4279…
07-20 19:59:00	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31	No	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xc11c24…
07-20 19:15:45	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1,091	55¢	$600	0x40e6a8…
07-20 19:04:10	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x5c9ed3…
07-20 18:39:00	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	364	55¢	$200	0xfc4897…
07-20 18:38:19	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827 659	No	BUY	418	99¢	$413	0xd01a2e…
07-20 10:31:19	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827 659	No	BUY	609	99¢	$603	0x345345…
07-19 14:34:42	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827 659	No	BUY	662	98¢	$650	0x089a65…
07-18 19:24:15	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827 659	No	BUY	244	99¢	$240	0x77ce32…
07-18 09:31:58	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827 659	No	BUY	3,036	99¢	$3,000	0x496ec8…
07-17 17:48:45	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827 659	No	BUY	1,826	99¢	$1,800	0xbdae9b…
07-17 14:20:49	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827 659	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x3aae1e…
07-17 13:44:15	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827 659	No	BUY	64	98¢	$63	0xd42796…
07-17 13:28:00	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827 659	No	BUY	527	98¢	$519	0x4877dd…
07-16 22:17:10	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827 659	No	BUY	546	98¢	$535	0x3ffbb0…
07-16 05:16:05	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827 659	No	BUY	221	97¢	$215	0xbe2314…
07-16 05:14:38	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	SELL	212	100¢	$212	0xd8a6d8…
07-16 05:09:34	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x942a13…
07-16 05:09:14	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x97c616…
07-15 03:24:34	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	BUY	278	27¢	$75	0xe0615c…
07-15 03:21:32	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	175	57¢	$100	0xa8a126…
07-15 03:20:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	228	43¢	$98	0x930511…
07-15 03:17:08	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	296	26¢	$77	0x55adad…
07-15 03:16:50	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	227	44¢	$100	0xb6b8ac…
07-15 03:14:59	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	BUY	296	27¢	$80	0xfe4a9d…
07-15 02:36:56	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827 659	No	BUY	155	97¢	$150	0x3fa42d…
07-15 02:35:46	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	SELL	332	99¢	$330	0x1c6e44…
07-14 19:38:53	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827 659	No	BUY	272	96¢	$261	0xaa8dbe…
07-14 19:37:34	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827 659	No	SELL	134	95¢	$127	0x7709c4…
07-14 19:36:55	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	SELL	136	99¢	$135	0x948fb1…
07-14 19:32:41	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827 659	No	BUY	288	96¢	$277	0x276a13…
07-14 19:31:52	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	SELL	280	99¢	$277	0x3dc479…
07-14 14:37:13	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x4cdb69…
07-13 18:45:07	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827 659	No	BUY	15	93¢	$14	0xcee4f2…
07-12 15:53:55	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	BUY	193	96¢	$185	0x815591…
07-12 15:52:52	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827 659	No	BUY	238	92¢	$218	0xbe339e…
07-12 15:50:38	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by september 30 944	No	SELL	522	80¢	$418	0x050430…
07-08 14:18:34	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xe692be…
07-08 14:17:47	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xdd3a5f…
07-08 07:22:01	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	BUY	3	96¢	$2	0x9f9283…
07-08 07:21:07	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	6	40¢	$2	0xa14087…
07-04 21:44:07	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0xc27ef7…
07-04 09:38:40	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xc42e42…
07-04 03:05:41	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	BUY	381	90¢	$342	0x28ef57…
07-04 03:04:53	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827 659	No	SELL	408	84¢	$343	0x09daea…
07-02 00:10:31	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	BUY	60	76¢	$46	0x24c570…