Thrifty-Spectrograph — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.68K

Unrealized P&L

-$71

Hit rate

44.6%

Resolved

168

Trades

6,056

lifetime

Volume

$28.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-04-08

last 10-29 20:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 45 days

Categories

Other

91% 24% -$2,249

Crypto

7% 0% -$438

Politics

2% 0% -$9

Sports

0% 100% +$15

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 97 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes		+975	$43	1¢	$7	-$36	10-29 16:23
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes		+0	$35	0¢	$0	-$35	10-29 20:08

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	514	$3.6K	77,078	72,764	+4,314	No	+$1,242	05-22 15:40
Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?	29	$1.6K	1,657	1,657	+0	Yes	+$1,033	05-17 15:42
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	93	$1.2K	4,494	4,494	+0	Yes	+$312	06-16 11:47
elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 340 359	104	$1.2K	8,534	8,271	+263	No	+$425	04-14 07:05
elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 360 379	167	$869	23,556	23,252	+304	No	-$493	04-14 06:30
Will MrBeast's video get less than 66 million views on week 1?	64	$865	4,610	332	+4,278	No	-$778	05-23 14:55
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 19?	7	$851	2,100	2,100	+0	Up	-$197	05-19 13:56
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	37	$818	2,534	2,534	+0	No	+$663	07-05 10:51
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	61	$816	8,562	8,562	+0	No	-$79	05-19 05:55
elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 320 339	50	$716	7,796	2,149	+5,647	No	+$180	04-14 15:20
bitcoin up or down on july 6 2026	80	$629	4,283	4,283	+0	Up	-$200	07-06 15:55
Will Trump attend his son's wedding?	27	$594	9,299	9,299	+0	No	-$7	05-23 14:24
will elizabeth taylor get 3 million or more views in the first week	38	$580	1,995	0	+1,995	Yes	-$580	04-08 12:44
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	182	$446	18,597	18,597	+0	No	-$318	05-22 05:55
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?	48	$399	2,596	2,596	+0	No	+$116	07-09 06:43
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	13	$392	1,192	1,192	+0	Yes	+$304	05-21 05:52
Will MrBeast's next video get between 62 and 63 million views on day 6?	23	$392	4,122	4,122	+0	No	-$269	05-22 14:34
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	30	$365	923	923	+0	Yes	+$220	06-02 07:59
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	24	$350	1,462	1,462	+0	No	+$266	06-13 22:24
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	86	$336	5,942	5,942	+0	No	-$109	05-26 08:36
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?	124	$335	7,058	7,058	+0	No	-$166	07-10 15:10
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	148	$318	16,949	16,949	+0	No	-$194	06-02 05:52
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	72	$294	3,887	3,887	+0	No	-$287	07-07 16:49
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	102	$280	11,940	67	+11,872	No	-$269	06-05 07:49
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	124	$280	15,613	3,595	+12,018	No	-$162	06-16 15:20
Will MrBeast's next video get between 46 and 48 million views on day 2?	13	$275	2,444	1,889	+555	No	-$253	05-18 13:41
Will MrBeast's next video get between 55 and 56 million views on day 4?	14	$274	443	443	+0	Yes	+$65	05-19 20:48
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	4	$259	198	198	+0	Yes	+$137	07-07 15:49
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	99	$225	6,143	6,143	+0	No	-$138	07-06 21:38
Will MrBeast's next video get between 54 and 55 million views on day 4?	46	$221	6,169	6,169	+0	No	-$188	05-20 10:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 20:08:13	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	233	0¢	$1	0xf302f1…
10-29 17:49:17	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,825	0¢	$11	0x351b29…
10-29 17:31:20	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x2511c5…
10-29 17:30:20	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x00b047…
10-29 17:24:04	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x5383c4…
10-29 17:20:23	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x27c37f…
10-29 17:12:37	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xa467ea…
10-29 17:00:26	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	568	0¢	$2	0x502736…
10-29 16:23:14	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	37	2¢	$1	0x1b955f…
10-29 16:00:56	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	2¢	$0	0xccb2ba…
10-29 15:39:53	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	1¢	$6	0x1c91b6…
10-29 15:31:04	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0x0e0275…
10-29 15:29:25	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	75	4¢	$3	0xbb8314…
10-29 15:29:17	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x907004…
10-29 15:14:17	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5,414	0¢	$5	0x45dc41…
10-28 20:43:38	Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3,670	0¢	$4	0x749800…
10-28 17:02:26	Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	141	0¢	$0	0xa1efd8…
10-28 17:00:14	Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x4e078e…
10-28 16:50:16	Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0xc6abcd…
10-28 16:41:43	Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0x7c0d7e…
10-28 16:41:40	Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0x9365dd…
10-28 16:36:49	Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	560	0¢	$2	0x9a565f…
10-28 16:30:23	Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	75	0¢	$0	0x525b93…
10-28 16:30:22	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	6¢	$1	0xf6fa59…
10-28 16:30:22	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	75	6¢	$4	0x7bd738…
10-28 16:21:02	Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x9be271…
10-28 16:20:08	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x81b340…
10-28 16:17:02	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0x4a4b81…
10-28 16:13:16	Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	670	0¢	$3	0x0d5310…
10-28 16:11:56	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0x885155…
10-28 16:11:53	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x2a310f…
10-28 16:11:43	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0xf7d3f9…
10-28 16:11:40	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x7cc6bb…
10-28 16:11:32	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	393	1¢	$4	0xdd09e1…
10-28 16:11:04	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	6¢	$0	0x6ddc0e…
10-28 16:10:53	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0x6bdba0…
10-28 16:10:41	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xf87c93…
10-28 16:07:26	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	75	3¢	$2	0x85cba5…
10-28 16:04:32	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x67c2dc…
10-28 16:03:50	Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	363	0¢	$1	0xa49b8a…
10-28 16:01:59	Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x8d637a…
10-28 15:56:23	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	124	1¢	$1	0x4820cc…
10-28 15:50:14	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	68	1¢	$1	0xad1329…
10-28 15:05:38	Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	537	0¢	$2	0x37fdd3…
10-28 15:05:14	Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$3	0xaf5fbf…
10-28 14:55:44	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	208	1¢	$2	0x747ce8…
10-28 05:43:14	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	335	1¢	$2	0xcd76a9…
10-28 05:37:52	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xaaf6c7…
10-28 05:37:52	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	39	0¢	$0	0x5a3217…
10-28 05:33:07	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x39c0bb…
10-28 05:32:58	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x9e4fc6…
10-28 05:32:56	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	0¢	$0	0xb24f48…
10-28 05:32:20	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0xae6fd4…
10-28 05:10:16	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x0b0349…
10-28 05:10:04	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0xb58640…
10-28 05:07:20	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0xae42a8…
10-28 05:06:28	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x861d47…
10-28 05:06:26	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0xe94055…
10-28 05:06:26	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0xac9efd…
10-28 05:06:26	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0x01b9ed…
10-28 05:05:22	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0xe6ff4d…
10-28 05:05:22	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0x52eac4…
10-28 05:05:11	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	3¢	$1	0xb4be09…
10-28 05:05:04	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0xd3415e…
10-28 05:05:04	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	3¢	$0	0x753e6f…
10-28 05:05:04	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0x42b6bd…
10-28 05:04:58	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	3¢	$1	0xd8050c…
10-28 05:04:58	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	0¢	$0	0x7fd1d9…
10-28 05:04:58	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	1¢	$0	0x5f9431…
10-28 05:04:52	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	3¢	$0	0xc18df8…
10-28 05:04:52	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0x6db1db…
10-28 05:04:52	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0x074498…
10-28 05:04:46	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	0¢	$0	0xd84778…
10-28 05:04:46	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0x4b0892…
10-28 05:04:46	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	3¢	$0	0x0f613e…
10-28 05:04:35	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0xd4a1a4…
10-28 05:04:35	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0xac16fe…
10-28 05:04:35	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	1¢	$0	0x3e83e8…
10-28 05:04:34	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xcc8a01…
10-28 05:04:34	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xc257c9…
10-28 05:04:34	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xa48ca8…
10-28 05:04:29	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	64	0¢	$0	0x6cc2c5…
10-28 05:04:29	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	187	0¢	$1	0x0635cf…
10-28 05:04:29	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	170	0¢	$1	0x03dcad…
10-28 05:02:46	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x1871df…
10-28 05:01:13	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	120	4¢	$4	0x648719…
10-28 00:47:38	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	66	1¢	$0	0x22799e…
10-28 00:47:38	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x11c72c…
10-28 00:44:26	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x3a11a6…
10-28 00:41:09	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0xc95775…
10-28 00:40:56	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0x23611f…
10-28 00:40:44	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0xa99f03…
10-28 00:40:44	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	92	1¢	$1	0x7d1c7b…
10-28 00:36:21	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0x74ce6d…
10-28 00:36:20	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xe41090…
10-28 00:36:20	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0x44e44a…
10-28 00:36:20	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	90	1¢	$1	0x2c03d1…
10-28 00:34:53	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	1¢	$0	0xd47d65…
10-28 00:34:23	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xa66d55…
10-28 00:23:17	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xdc35bb…