Thrifty-Spectrograph — Polymarket

Realized P&L (24h)

-$1

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved (24h)

Trades (24h)

6,170 lifetime

Volume (24h)

$28.6K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-04-08

last 11-04 17:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 50 days

Categories

Other

91% 24% -$2,368

Crypto

7% 0% -$438

Politics

2% 0% -$9

Sports

0% 100% +$15

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 97 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes		+311	$3	0¢	$1	-$2	11-04 17:01

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	514	$3.6K	77,078	72,764	+4,314	No	+$1,242	05-22 15:40
Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?	29	$1.6K	1,657	1,657	+0	Yes	+$1,033	05-17 15:42
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	93	$1.2K	4,494	4,494	+0	Yes	+$312	06-16 11:47
elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 340 359	104	$1.2K	8,534	8,271	+263	No	+$425	04-14 07:05
elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 360 379	167	$869	23,556	23,252	+304	No	-$493	04-14 06:30
Will MrBeast's video get less than 66 million views on week 1?	64	$865	4,610	332	+4,278	No	-$778	05-23 14:55
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 19?	7	$851	2,100	2,100	+0	Up	-$197	05-19 13:56
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	37	$818	2,534	2,534	+0	No	+$663	07-05 10:51
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	61	$816	8,562	8,562	+0	No	-$79	05-19 05:55
elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 320 339	50	$716	7,796	2,149	+5,647	No	+$180	04-14 15:20
bitcoin up or down on july 6 2026	80	$629	4,283	4,283	+0	Up	-$200	07-06 15:55
Will Trump attend his son's wedding?	27	$594	9,299	9,299	+0	No	-$7	05-23 14:24
will elizabeth taylor get 3 million or more views in the first week	38	$580	1,995	0	+1,995	Yes	-$580	04-08 12:44
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	182	$446	18,597	18,597	+0	No	-$318	05-22 05:55
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?	48	$399	2,596	2,596	+0	No	+$116	07-09 06:43
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	13	$392	1,192	1,192	+0	Yes	+$304	05-21 05:52
Will MrBeast's next video get between 62 and 63 million views on day 6?	23	$392	4,122	4,122	+0	No	-$269	05-22 14:34
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	30	$365	923	923	+0	Yes	+$220	06-02 07:59
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	24	$350	1,462	1,462	+0	No	+$266	06-13 22:24
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	86	$336	5,942	5,942	+0	No	-$109	05-26 08:36
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?	124	$335	7,058	7,058	+0	No	-$166	07-10 15:10
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	148	$318	16,949	16,949	+0	No	-$194	06-02 05:52
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	72	$294	3,887	3,887	+0	No	-$287	07-07 16:49
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	102	$280	11,940	67	+11,872	No	-$269	06-05 07:49
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	124	$280	15,613	3,595	+12,018	No	-$162	06-16 15:20
Will MrBeast's next video get between 46 and 48 million views on day 2?	13	$275	2,444	1,889	+555	No	-$253	05-18 13:41
Will MrBeast's next video get between 55 and 56 million views on day 4?	14	$274	443	443	+0	Yes	+$65	05-19 20:48
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	4	$259	198	198	+0	Yes	+$137	07-07 15:49
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	99	$225	6,143	6,143	+0	No	-$138	07-06 21:38
Will MrBeast's next video get between 54 and 55 million views on day 4?	46	$221	6,169	6,169	+0	No	-$188	05-20 10:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-04 17:01:39	Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	166	1¢	$2	0x6feb7b…
11-04 17:01:13	Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	614	0¢	$2	0x8d4eab…
11-04 17:00:58	Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	145	1¢	$1	0xed3197…
11-04 17:00:27	Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0x445697…
11-04 17:00:15	Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	35	0¢	$0	0x630b0b…
11-04 16:58:58	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	193	0¢	$1	0x1f71e6…
11-04 12:29:49	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	193	1¢	$2	0x094662…
11-04 02:12:48	Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0xd6fa4c…
11-04 00:09:39	Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	114	1¢	$1	0x2b2272…
11-04 00:09:21	Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x8e32e0…
11-04 00:09:13	Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xc5e1bc…
11-04 00:08:58	Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x1dfbcb…
11-03 07:49:28	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	9¢	$1	0x5d73d3…
11-03 02:45:09	Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	16	1¢	$0	0x202302…
11-03 02:26:58	Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	0¢	$1	0x4deb94…
11-03 02:26:52	Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0x07d23b…
11-03 02:26:46	Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	400	0¢	$0	0xb1b810…
11-03 02:25:06	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0x33e753…
11-03 02:21:16	Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	0¢	$0	0x97a954…
11-03 01:50:19	Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0xe6f458…
11-02 20:41:55	Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	82	2¢	$2	0x3ae88a…
11-02 19:47:07	Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	2¢	$0	0x1a7ca4…
11-02 09:17:06	Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	3¢	$0	0x9430f8…
11-02 09:04:33	Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	3¢	$3	0xe3b898…
11-02 09:04:00	Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	3¢	$3	0x1cbc4a…
11-02 09:03:49	Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	3¢	$0	0xc01d34…
11-02 03:40:54	Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xd5da03…
11-01 15:32:42	Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0xba4613…
11-01 02:46:33	Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x19988a…
10-31 17:28:07	Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	4¢	$1	0xb86f08…
10-31 17:07:12	Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0xebdf7d…
10-31 16:07:09	Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	4¢	$8	0x841de6…
10-31 15:59:28	Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	475	1¢	$4	0x237748…
10-31 15:59:12	Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	126	2¢	$2	0xc972af…
10-31 15:58:51	Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0xcf9336…
10-31 15:57:48	Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	400	1¢	$4	0x9fbef6…
10-31 15:57:42	Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	1¢	$2	0x42da77…
10-31 15:57:21	Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	4¢	$1	0xe56e2c…
10-31 06:02:36	Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	1¢	$1	0x935463…
10-31 04:31:04	Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x6ab74a…
10-30 20:28:34	Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0xb283ba…
10-30 20:28:21	Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x2cdebe…
10-30 20:28:10	Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0x90474f…
10-30 20:28:09	Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0x75c6e4…
10-30 20:24:34	Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0x659886…
10-30 20:22:12	Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	1¢	$0	0x5ae5f8…
10-30 20:22:10	Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0xb145ab…
10-30 20:04:51	Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	1¢	$0	0x51564c…
10-30 19:51:12	Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xb69de8…
10-30 18:13:37	Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	66	5¢	$3	0x45552a…
10-30 18:04:16	Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	5¢	$1	0xca0229…
10-30 18:03:10	Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	5¢	$1	0x0906a3…
10-30 17:48:37	Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	2¢	$0	0xd6915d…
10-30 16:57:25	Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	62	1¢	$0	0xa4131a…
10-30 16:54:10	Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	95	11¢	$11	0x80b76a…
10-30 16:45:13	Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	96	1¢	$1	0x205ec2…
10-30 16:44:01	Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x9e9fb6…
10-30 16:38:39	Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0xbfccf7…
10-30 16:34:28	Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	1¢	$0	0xb217a2…
10-30 16:30:51	Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xbad026…
10-30 16:27:19	Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	1¢	$0	0x2b2641…
10-30 16:25:39	Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	55	1¢	$1	0xfc8299…
10-30 16:25:39	Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	88	1¢	$1	0x1ea2a5…
10-30 16:25:25	Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	45	1¢	$0	0xfe8388…
10-30 16:24:31	Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x3978a2…
10-30 15:53:31	Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0x28490c…
10-30 15:53:31	Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x10faa1…
10-30 15:53:30	Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	1¢	$0	0x91b153…
10-30 15:53:30	Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x62f870…
10-30 15:52:46	Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xc56909…
10-30 15:52:45	Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0x96a6ca…
10-30 15:52:39	Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x5c3227…
10-30 15:51:24	Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x51b0b9…
10-30 15:49:27	Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xbf0f72…
10-30 15:49:25	Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0xe7c28c…
10-30 15:49:25	Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x2e2527…
10-30 15:41:43	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	94	2¢	$1	0xfeb970…
10-30 15:38:28	Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xa9b7f4…
10-30 15:36:36	Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xc06f8f…
10-30 15:31:54	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	190	1¢	$2	0xe80ba8…
10-30 15:29:01	Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x015b44…
10-30 15:28:58	Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	166	1¢	$2	0x8684e4…
10-30 15:24:13	Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	1¢	$1	0x86ede1…
10-30 15:23:06	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x92d17c…
10-30 15:21:09	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	436	1¢	$5	0x963b24…
10-30 15:21:00	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	256	0¢	$0	0xf32798…
10-30 15:10:03	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	75	2¢	$1	0x7d6996…
10-30 15:09:30	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	2¢	$0	0x1e6bf0…
10-30 15:06:24	Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	75	1¢	$1	0xbe4805…
10-30 15:05:55	Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	45	1¢	$0	0x8abcbf…
10-30 15:02:09	Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x1827b2…
10-30 14:55:28	Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	120	1¢	$1	0x63e0d8…
10-30 14:55:06	Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x59b900…
10-30 14:54:45	Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x26748b…
10-30 14:46:52	Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x53fa8b…
10-30 14:46:31	Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	1¢	$0	0xbbc9d6…
10-30 14:46:31	Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	2¢	$0	0x2a348a…
10-30 14:45:13	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	66	3¢	$2	0x0f8c61…
10-30 14:45:00	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0xc9112a…
10-30 14:42:39	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	56	1¢	$1	0x1ab790…