Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$6.82K

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

55.7%

Resolved

340

Trades

6,159

lifetime

Volume

$126.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$20

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-21 13:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 73 days

Categories

Politics

56% 28% -$144

Crypto

32% 21% -$6,178

Other

12% 26% -$499

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-21).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	Yes		+20	$1	4¢	$1	-$1	06-21 13:27

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	510	$39.5K	230,297	228,149	+2,148	Yes	+$526	04-08 00:09
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	64	$12.9K	12,600	12,574	+26	Yes	-$56	04-09 21:07
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	99	$5.5K	69,902	69,902	+0	Yes	-$482	03-01 06:57
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	155	$5.4K	66,425	70,420	-3,996	Yes	-$803	01-31 20:23
bitcoin up or down february 8 8pm et	215	$3.7K	8,367	8,486	-118	Down	+$1,373	02-09 01:59
russia strike on kyiv municipality by january 17 2026	7	$2.9K	1,656	1,656	+0	Yes	-$53	01-05 02:58
us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895	16	$2.7K	4,450	4,450	+0	No	+$2,223	04-07 23:18
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 7th 659	13	$2.1K	10,892	10,892	+0	No	-$318	04-02 01:18
russia strike on kyiv municipality by january 10 2026	20	$2.1K	1,613	1,311	+302	Yes	-$108	01-05 12:05
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-02-08 21:00 UTC	18	$1.8K	3,455	3,455	+0	Down	-$31	02-09 00:49
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 02:00 UTC	91	$1.5K	1,900	1,892	+8	Down	+$187	02-09 02:14
Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?	30	$1.4K	4,093	3,725	+368	No	+$549	04-09 19:03
will bitcoin dip to 70k on march 18	8	$1.4K	3,302	1,288	+2,014	No	+$203	03-18 20:11
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 00:15 UTC	56	$1.2K	1,450	1,439	+11	Down	+$492	02-09 00:30
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-11 16:30 UTC	64	$1.2K	1,610	1,610	+0	Down	+$206	02-11 16:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-16 14:45 UTC	94	$1.2K	2,025	2,016	+10	Down	+$232	02-16 14:58
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	14	$1.0K	851	851	+0	Yes	+$16	03-01 16:49
xrp up or down february 11 11am et	11	$919	770	770	+0	Down	-$1	02-11 16:33
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-16 15:00 UTC	101	$893	2,051	1,887	+165	Down	+$58	02-16 15:14
will bitcoin dip to 67k on april 1	14	$829	1,110	1,030	+80	Yes	+$672	04-02 01:42
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	9	$817	7,574	7,574	+0	No	-$312	03-15 17:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-16 14:15 UTC	81	$725	2,172	1,710	+462	Down	+$61	02-16 14:29
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	4	$694	513	513	+0	No	+$240	04-11 16:37
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 21:15 UTC	47	$693	1,750	1,246	+503	Up	+$222	02-05 21:28
bitcoin up or down february 16 10am et	40	$681	2,056	777	+1,279	Down	+$18	02-16 15:44
bitcoin up or down march 18 2026 3pm et	33	$659	1,089	1,087	+2	Down	+$129	03-18 20:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-02 17:40 UTC	12	$649	835	560	+275	Down	+$116	04-02 17:42
Will Pam Bondi leave the Trump administration before 2027?	24	$615	1,623	1,365	+258	Yes	-$397	04-02 17:31
will khamenei tweet again by march 1	6	$613	564	564	+0	Yes	+$500	02-28 22:33
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 01:15 UTC	59	$554	2,744	0	+2,744	Up	-$554	02-09 01:22

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-21 13:27:23	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0x646b60…
05-21 09:00:34	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of May 18 2026?	Yes	BUY	31	5¢	$1	0xfadc17…
05-21 02:45:11	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of May 18 2026?	Yes	BUY	63	5¢	$3	0x4b8fc8…
05-21 01:48:47	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of May 18 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	5¢	$0	0xd487fa…
05-21 00:34:52	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of May 18 2026?	Yes	BUY	863	5¢	$41	0xefff35…
05-20 23:38:26	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 Week of May 18 2026?	Yes	BUY	82	15¢	$12	0x4d0f59…
05-20 23:08:10	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 Week of May 18 2026?	Yes	BUY	118	15¢	$18	0x3eb2e3…
05-20 18:14:22	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 Week of May 18 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	19¢	$19	0x024893…
05-20 18:09:16	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of May 18 2026?	Yes	BUY	53	6¢	$3	0x72ce3b…
04-30 00:53:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xf31847…
04-30 00:53:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0xf29c9c…
04-30 00:53:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	30	2¢	$1	0xd263aa…
04-30 00:53:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	30	2¢	$1	0x89e595…
04-30 00:53:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	0	2¢	$0	0x662cbb…
04-30 00:53:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	59	2¢	$1	0x353b64…
04-30 00:53:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0xf3d1c7…
04-30 00:53:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xc20603…
04-30 00:53:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xa9e288…
04-30 00:53:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	74	2¢	$1	0x4fa5f5…
04-30 00:53:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0x45c64c…
04-30 00:53:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0x14cc9b…
04-30 00:53:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0xd593d4…
04-30 00:53:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	18	2¢	$0	0xc6143b…
04-30 00:53:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x3f5e67…
04-30 00:53:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x303b9a…
04-30 00:49:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0xcff5d1…
04-30 00:48:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	45	2¢	$1	0x88af5c…
04-30 00:48:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x64f715…
04-30 00:48:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	190	2¢	$4	0x49c50c…
04-30 00:48:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	160	2¢	$3	0x34ab6d…
04-30 00:47:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	12	5¢	$1	0xfa40ad…
04-30 00:47:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xf34909…
04-30 00:47:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	17	5¢	$1	0xeeb905…
04-30 00:47:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	11	5¢	$1	0xe9fc74…
04-30 00:47:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x7a8314…
04-30 00:47:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	4	5¢	$0	0x3a6ef4…
04-30 00:47:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	9	5¢	$0	0x2cb157…
04-30 00:47:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0x2699b6…
04-30 00:47:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	12	5¢	$1	0x0a191a…
04-30 00:47:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	200	8¢	$16	0x04e178…
04-30 00:44:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	190	0¢	$0	0xe371c1…
04-30 00:44:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	73	2¢	$1	0x0b2386…
04-30 00:44:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	27	2¢	$1	0x1dd2d0…
04-29 13:43:32	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?	Yes	SELL	45	5¢	$2	0x206276…
04-28 16:34:12	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?	Yes	BUY	29	4¢	$1	0x60c482…
04-28 16:32:28	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?	Yes	BUY	16	4¢	$1	0xc10a40…
04-27 10:44:14	Ukraine hits Moscow by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	97	3¢	$3	0xe2b169…
04-20 09:13:58	Ukraine hits Moscow by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	5¢	$1	0xa2b719…
04-19 23:10:54	Ukraine hits Moscow by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	84	5¢	$4	0xf7b8fb…
04-19 11:15:56	Ukraine hits Moscow by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x4cb82f…
04-19 05:25:52	Ukraine hits Moscow by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	5¢	$0	0xa2d415…
04-19 01:23:50	Ukraine hits Moscow by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	27	5¢	$1	0xc31b2b…
04-15 15:54:08	Ukraine hits Moscow by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	5¢	$1	0x97c050…
04-15 06:16:48	Ukraine hits Moscow by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0x7597c8…
04-14 22:20:54	Ukraine hits Moscow by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	87	5¢	$4	0x923c06…
04-14 20:16:16	Ukraine hits Moscow by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	5¢	$1	0xd18298…
04-14 15:25:27	will voter turnout be 80 in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	SELL	100	14¢	$14	0xaf20ff…
04-14 15:25:27	will voter turnout be 80 in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	SELL	18	14¢	$2	0x62368c…
04-12 12:42:25	will voter turnout be 80 in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	118	42¢	$50	0x46c8ca…
04-12 12:29:25	will voter turnout be 80 in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	SELL	1	49¢	$0	0x86523f…
04-12 12:29:15	will voter turnout be 80 in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	SELL	11	49¢	$5	0x18bf85…
04-12 12:29:05	will voter turnout be 80 in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	SELL	18	49¢	$9	0xbfd4ba…
04-12 12:29:05	will voter turnout be 80 in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	SELL	4	49¢	$2	0xa31d6d…
04-12 12:27:49	will voter turnout be 80 in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	33	43¢	$14	0x656298…
04-12 12:25:57	will voter turnout be 6568 in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	295	1¢	$2	0xceb353…
04-12 12:23:43	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	60	78¢	$47	0x54fd86…
04-11 16:37:21	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	No	SELL	513	91¢	$467	0xb327af…
04-11 09:48:43	will israel conduct military action against iran by april 14 2026	Yes	BUY	617	13¢	$80	0x91b88b…
04-11 08:56:57	will israel conduct military action against iran by april 14 2026	Yes	BUY	2	13¢	$0	0x9865a5…
04-11 08:12:03	will israel conduct military action against iran by april 14 2026	Yes	BUY	3	13¢	$0	0xe0a6e5…
04-10 19:33:19	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	No	BUY	8	45¢	$4	0x26d731…
04-10 19:33:03	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	No	BUY	181	45¢	$81	0x2d0c1f…
04-10 19:32:47	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	No	BUY	323	44¢	$142	0xf8d80e…
04-10 16:41:09	will turnout in the 2025 honduran general election be between 55 and 60	Yes	BUY	250	34¢	$85	0xfcc809…
04-10 16:39:45	will turnout in the 2025 honduran general election be between 60 and 65	No	BUY	15	35¢	$5	0x19de2d…
04-10 16:38:59	will turnout in the 2025 honduran general election be between 60 and 65	No	BUY	213	35¢	$74	0x06be0e…
04-10 16:30:53	will turnout in the 2025 honduran general election be between 55 and 60	Yes	SELL	51	23¢	$12	0x55e93c…
04-10 16:30:51	will turnout in the 2025 honduran general election be between 55 and 60	Yes	SELL	2	23¢	$0	0x7ddc8e…
04-10 16:30:51	will turnout in the 2025 honduran general election be between 55 and 60	Yes	SELL	27	23¢	$6	0x64a9ee…
04-10 16:01:01	will turnout in the 2025 honduran general election be between 55 and 60	Yes	BUY	60	28¢	$17	0x98164f…
04-10 16:00:57	will turnout in the 2025 honduran general election be between 55 and 60	Yes	BUY	6	28¢	$2	0x7a7ddd…
04-10 16:00:49	will turnout in the 2025 honduran general election be between 55 and 60	Yes	BUY	3	28¢	$1	0x608689…
04-10 16:00:47	will turnout in the 2025 honduran general election be between 55 and 60	Yes	BUY	6	28¢	$2	0xc8c5d1…
04-10 16:00:47	will turnout in the 2025 honduran general election be between 55 and 60	Yes	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0xc2b502…
04-10 15:32:01	will bitcoin dip to 71k on april 10	Yes	BUY	29	13¢	$4	0xe0a7a7…
04-10 15:30:27	will bitcoin dip to 71k on april 10	Yes	BUY	10	9¢	$1	0xa05a96…
04-10 15:30:27	will bitcoin dip to 71k on april 10	Yes	BUY	23	9¢	$2	0x16edf5…
04-10 15:30:23	will bitcoin dip to 71k on april 10	Yes	BUY	8	9¢	$1	0x6107d6…
04-10 15:30:23	will bitcoin dip to 71k on april 10	Yes	BUY	7	9¢	$1	0x5ff7b9…
04-10 15:30:17	will bitcoin dip to 71k on april 10	Yes	BUY	250	12¢	$30	0x861136…
04-10 15:26:59	will bitcoin dip to 71k on april 10	Yes	BUY	202	9¢	$18	0xa2e4f2…
04-10 12:33:09	us x iran meeting by april 15 2026 533 583	No	SELL	89	6¢	$5	0xbf4056…
04-10 12:31:53	us x iran meeting by april 15 2026 533 583	No	SELL	80	6¢	$5	0xfe4248…
04-10 12:31:39	us x iran meeting by april 15 2026 533 583	No	SELL	50	6¢	$3	0x24ec6d…
04-10 12:31:35	us x iran meeting by april 15 2026 533 583	No	SELL	148	6¢	$9	0x537905…
04-10 00:01:05	Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on April 6, 2026?	No	BUY	25	53¢	$13	0xfcffb2…
04-10 00:01:05	Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on April 6, 2026?	No	BUY	125	53¢	$66	0x75c1fd…
04-09 23:23:29	Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	207	12¢	$24	0x800344…
04-09 22:48:33	Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	400	9¢	$35	0x9664b2…
04-09 22:34:19	Military action against Iran ends on April 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	42	0¢	$0	0x4be846…