Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$19.4K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

72.7%

Resolved

Trades

811

lifetime

Volume

$730.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$901

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 04-16 14:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 22 days

Categories

Other

68% 62% +$17,738

Politics

32% 81% +$1,673

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-04-16).

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	47	$163.1K	90,619	114,531	-23,912	Yes	+$17,510	02-02 11:04
will the government shutdown last 5 days or more	8	$92.1K	64,243	32,243	+32,000	No	+$887	02-03 19:11
us government funding lapse on january 31	68	$91.4K	46,419	52,275	-5,856	Yes	-$3,303	01-31 05:07
us strikes iran by february 6 2026 242 933 289 312 673 611 155 294	31	$51.8K	26,848	27,200	-352	No	+$212	02-04 17:31
will the government shutdown last 4 days or more 831	25	$35.2K	35,692	0	+35,692	Yes	+$456	02-03 04:13
us x iran nuclear talks resume by march 31	39	$31.9K	19,025	19,025	+0	Yes	-$3,567	02-04 17:38
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	18	$28.0K	18,396	18,396	+0	No	-$2,433	01-24 02:13
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	77	$27.8K	14,536	14,536	-0	Yes	+$198	01-20 14:02
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	8	$25.5K	14,097	14,097	+0	Yes	+$636	04-13 08:59
will to lam be elected general secretary of the vietnamese communist party	109	$19.5K	21,155	0	+21,155	Yes	+$1,679	01-22 05:22
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	19	$17.7K	11,432	11,432	+0	Yes	+$340	04-12 01:54
will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	164	$17.6K	65,790	65,790	+0	No	+$3,464	02-10 13:16
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 4 million	3	$16.6K	0	16,823	-16,823	Yes	-$202	01-11 13:51
another us government shutdown by february 14	26	$15.6K	9,664	10,430	-766	No	-$2,977	02-13 05:45
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	8	$15.4K	10,116	10,116	+0	Yes	-$200	03-11 09:40
us strikes iran by january 16 2026 498	4	$15.1K	8,501	8,501	+0	No	+$1,895	01-17 07:25
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	2	$14.9K	16,321	0	+16,321	No	+$1,389	01-16 11:18
israel strikes iran by january 23 2026	2	$11.3K	5,718	5,718	+0	No	+$166	01-26 02:48
will the government shutdown last 6 days or more 888	3	$11.0K	5,825	5,825	+0	No	+$66	02-03 16:53
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	2	$6.5K	5,357	5,357	+0	Yes	+$459	04-01 00:50
us strikes iran by january 15 2026 652 612	2	$6.4K	7,373	0	+7,373	No	+$987	01-15 03:22
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	56	$5.7K	28,694	28,694	-0	No	+$0	01-28 13:28
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?	50	$5.2K	6,901	0	+6,901	Yes	+$1,676	01-10 08:32
will the government shutdown last 1 day or more 842	29	$3.6K	2,189	2,178	+11	Yes	+$2	01-27 03:10
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	1	$981	1,093	0	+1,093	Yes	+$112	04-16 14:48
will the government shutdown last 3 days or more	3	$598	378	378	+0	Yes	+$0	01-26 15:40
will inflation reach more than 3 in 2025	2	$42	8,584	0	+8,584	No	-$42	01-01 16:18
will the next official us iran meeting be in oman	3	$17	11	11	+0	Yes	+$0	02-05 02:46
us x iran meeting by february 13 2026	2	$11	7	7	+0	Yes	+$0	02-05 02:37

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
04-16 14:48:42	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,093	90¢	$981	0x672a5a…
04-13 08:59:37	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	Yes	SELL	14,097	93¢	$13,045	0xf49693…
04-12 01:54:33	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	Yes	SELL	11,432	79¢	$9,031	0x24b626…
04-07 23:02:43	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	Yes	BUY	2,913	93¢	$2,706	0xe9c64a…
04-07 23:00:35	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	Yes	BUY	433	90¢	$389	0xff6db9…
04-06 02:28:07	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	Yes	BUY	113	70¢	$79	0xd3546c…
04-06 02:28:03	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	Yes	BUY	48	70¢	$33	0xaca8dc…
04-06 02:27:59	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	Yes	BUY	155	70¢	$108	0x37c9e1…
04-06 02:27:55	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	Yes	BUY	4,050	69¢	$2,814	0x8908de…
04-06 02:27:31	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	Yes	BUY	493	85¢	$419	0x80b6c7…
04-06 02:27:27	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	Yes	BUY	3,858	85¢	$3,279	0x824b12…
04-06 02:27:23	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	Yes	BUY	400	84¢	$336	0x532e62…
04-01 18:36:41	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	Yes	BUY	861	80¢	$689	0xc04e79…
04-01 18:36:41	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	Yes	BUY	5,000	80¢	$4,000	0x8b4380…
04-01 18:35:03	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	Yes	BUY	17	80¢	$13	0x941647…
04-01 18:11:49	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	Yes	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xe528d5…
04-01 17:53:59	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	Yes	BUY	25	80¢	$20	0xd7c9c4…
04-01 17:00:01	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	Yes	BUY	150	80¢	$120	0x713853…
04-01 16:56:11	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	Yes	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x6a8da1…
04-01 16:39:37	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	Yes	BUY	250	80¢	$200	0x58fb59…
04-01 16:22:27	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	Yes	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x50dcff…
04-01 16:04:13	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	Yes	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xd99cbe…
04-01 16:03:09	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	Yes	BUY	3,591	88¢	$3,160	0x8eafa8…
04-01 15:53:35	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	Yes	BUY	3	80¢	$2	0x61925a…
04-01 15:47:23	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	Yes	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0xb856da…
04-01 15:45:09	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	Yes	BUY	660	80¢	$528	0x968bca…
04-01 15:44:45	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	Yes	BUY	2,409	88¢	$2,120	0x8ef2ed…
04-01 00:50:01	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	SELL	5,357	65¢	$3,459	0xb029ad…
03-11 09:40:49	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1,011	75¢	$758	0x18bae0…
03-11 09:22:31	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	Yes	SELL	10	75¢	$8	0x8f539a…
03-11 07:02:59	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	Yes	SELL	63	75¢	$48	0x121528…
03-11 06:47:29	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	Yes	SELL	10	75¢	$8	0xba861d…
03-11 05:28:19	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	Yes	SELL	4	75¢	$3	0x8b48a0…
03-11 05:27:13	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	Yes	SELL	4	75¢	$3	0x9997a8…
03-11 05:26:49	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	Yes	SELL	9,013	75¢	$6,762	0x46577d…
03-11 03:59:09	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	Yes	BUY	67	85¢	$57	0xe58e7b…
03-11 02:27:57	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	BUY	5,357	56¢	$3,000	0x226e43…
03-11 01:51:51	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	Yes	BUY	10,116	77¢	$7,789	0xf93c9c…
02-13 05:45:35	another us government shutdown by february 14	Yes	SELL	10,430	60¢	$6,297	0xf6d104…
02-13 04:37:05	another us government shutdown by february 14	Yes	BUY	87	93¢	$81	0xefdff3…
02-13 04:36:55	another us government shutdown by february 14	Yes	BUY	343	93¢	$319	0x45c2c6…
02-13 01:44:37	another us government shutdown by february 14	Yes	BUY	3,000	96¢	$2,883	0xf18034…
02-13 01:33:59	another us government shutdown by february 14	Yes	BUY	923	96¢	$887	0x6efe63…
02-13 01:33:39	another us government shutdown by february 14	Yes	BUY	103	96¢	$99	0x63629e…
02-13 01:33:29	another us government shutdown by february 14	Yes	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0xa9bbae…
02-13 01:33:05	another us government shutdown by february 14	Yes	BUY	35	96¢	$34	0xfcde39…
02-13 01:32:39	another us government shutdown by february 14	Yes	BUY	200	96¢	$192	0xbf9b5c…
02-13 01:31:41	another us government shutdown by february 14	Yes	BUY	1,000	96¢	$961	0x4708c4…
02-13 01:26:03	another us government shutdown by february 14	Yes	BUY	210	96¢	$202	0x9c371e…
02-13 01:25:59	another us government shutdown by february 14	Yes	BUY	463	96¢	$445	0x1b783a…
02-13 01:23:59	another us government shutdown by february 14	Yes	BUY	359	96¢	$345	0xe8f159…
02-13 01:23:05	another us government shutdown by february 14	Yes	BUY	200	96¢	$192	0x7f5ada…
02-13 01:23:03	another us government shutdown by february 14	Yes	BUY	200	96¢	$192	0x7d022d…
02-13 01:22:43	another us government shutdown by february 14	Yes	BUY	51	96¢	$49	0xa0385f…
02-13 01:22:13	another us government shutdown by february 14	Yes	BUY	1,379	96¢	$1,325	0xeaacbf…
02-13 01:19:23	another us government shutdown by february 14	Yes	BUY	31	96¢	$30	0x828c4a…
02-13 01:19:19	another us government shutdown by february 14	Yes	BUY	128	96¢	$123	0xbf2a86…
02-13 01:18:57	another us government shutdown by february 14	Yes	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0xed92ec…
02-13 01:18:41	another us government shutdown by february 14	Yes	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0x91ccbf…
02-13 01:16:07	another us government shutdown by february 14	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xceeeec…
02-13 01:14:43	another us government shutdown by february 14	Yes	BUY	32	96¢	$31	0x6e377c…
02-13 01:14:27	another us government shutdown by february 14	Yes	BUY	189	96¢	$181	0x1d8e8c…
02-13 01:12:51	another us government shutdown by february 14	Yes	BUY	199	96¢	$191	0x3a7c4b…
02-13 01:11:33	another us government shutdown by february 14	Yes	BUY	306	96¢	$294	0xed7388…
02-10 13:16:57	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	912	15¢	$137	0x01ee5b…
02-10 06:51:17	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	6	16¢	$1	0x6786b0…
02-10 06:40:03	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	6	16¢	$1	0x7fe820…
02-10 06:37:19	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	62	16¢	$10	0x70a4f9…
02-10 06:35:31	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	12	16¢	$2	0xd3c4f1…
02-10 06:23:37	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	102	16¢	$16	0x0081f7…
02-10 06:17:21	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	62	16¢	$10	0xbd4d87…
02-10 06:12:53	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	75	16¢	$12	0x522cee…
02-10 06:11:13	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	25,000	16¢	$4,000	0x388d6b…
02-10 05:55:57	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	50	16¢	$8	0x0ecb34…
02-10 05:55:37	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	10	16¢	$2	0x527840…
02-10 05:52:33	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	6	16¢	$1	0x83d527…
02-10 05:47:47	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	6	16¢	$1	0x5b6b11…
02-10 05:34:11	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	290	16¢	$46	0xf5ee17…
02-10 05:33:23	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	262	16¢	$42	0x22f262…
02-10 05:31:59	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	211	16¢	$34	0xfce616…
02-10 05:31:07	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	525	16¢	$84	0x27bf7c…
02-10 05:28:27	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	1	16¢	$0	0xd80755…
02-10 05:27:19	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	52	16¢	$8	0x835e87…
02-10 05:23:01	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	52	16¢	$8	0x3ce9ea…
02-10 05:22:15	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	19	16¢	$3	0x5dcd93…
02-10 05:20:53	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	26	16¢	$4	0xf3f55e…
02-10 05:19:39	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	2	16¢	$0	0x72f514…
02-10 05:10:35	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	10	16¢	$2	0x284aee…
02-10 05:09:59	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	262	16¢	$42	0x79c724…
02-10 05:05:35	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	10	16¢	$2	0x6817aa…
02-10 05:05:03	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	52	16¢	$8	0x1901c4…
02-10 05:02:51	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	26	16¢	$4	0x852d54…
02-10 05:02:31	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	1,500	16¢	$240	0x0c4b61…
02-10 04:59:49	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	118	16¢	$19	0x245b13…
02-10 04:56:11	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	6,036	16¢	$966	0x7e7396…
02-10 04:53:49	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	1,000	16¢	$160	0xb61ea1…
02-10 04:52:31	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	9	16¢	$1	0xf3ee46…
02-10 04:52:27	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	2,000	16¢	$320	0x693e0a…
02-10 04:50:39	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	10	16¢	$2	0x49132d…
02-10 04:47:51	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	200	16¢	$32	0x11ceab…