Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.18K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

40.5%

Resolved

234

Trades

1,167

lifetime

Volume

$26.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$23

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 07-12 15:32

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 106 days

Categories

Other

63% 41% -$802

Politics

32% 42% -$395

Crypto

2% 100% +$9

Tech

2% 17% -$7

Pop-Culture

1% 0% -$9

Sports

1% 50% +$20

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-12).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by March 31, 2026?	8	$591	219	400	-181	No	-$8	01-15 12:01
si hit 100 high jan 2026 422 587 453	4	$555	300	300	+0	Yes	-$1	01-02 10:36
Will Liam Rosenior be the next Chelsea manager?	4	$530	400	600	-200	Yes	-$62	01-02 09:48
Will the US strike Somalia next?	8	$513	394	400	-6	Yes	-$1	01-12 13:00
Will Karen Bass & Nithya Raman advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	23	$462	600	600	+0	Yes	+$20	06-05 10:18
will there be 14 or more inches of snow in nyc this weekend	32	$444	200	300	-100	No	-$22	01-22 20:12
will any eu country strike iran by march 31	6	$428	150	350	-200	No	-$24	03-10 16:53
congress passes iran war powers resolution by march 31	5	$389	200	350	-150	No	-$5	03-18 06:41
will phan vn giang be the next president of vietnam	18	$382	304	243	+61	No	-$31	01-22 16:18
Israel strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	5	$364	300	400	-100	Yes	-$36	01-12 12:43
will russia strike on kyiv municipality on january 26 715	5	$361	200	200	+0	No	-$1	01-26 16:22
will bad bunny have the greatest number of monthly spotify listeners this month	3	$354	240	260	-20	No	-$10	02-14 15:48
will anyone be charged over daycare fraud in minnesota	2	$352	200	200	+0	No	+$0	01-15 11:39
will t lm be the next president of vietnam	16	$351	500	100	+400	Yes	+$11	01-22 12:46
will a contestant numbered 151 175 win beast games season 2	4	$316	398	13	+385	Yes	-$295	01-07 13:53
will bruno mars have the greatest number of monthly spotify listeners this month	22	$314	240	220	+20	Yes	-$6	02-16 15:19
Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	5	$308	250	250	+0	No	-$23	05-21 06:35
Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?	18	$299	450	250	+200	No	-$114	06-22 09:38
will the government shutdown last 7 days or more 131 166 287 285 292 389	3	$296	200	200	+0	No	+$0	02-13 05:52
bitcoin above 66k on march 4	11	$292	625	0	+625	Yes	+$8	03-03 05:50
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	8	$290	200	200	+0	Yes	+$0	02-06 06:24
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	4	$289	200	200	+0	No	-$1	05-21 08:51
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 9°C on April 25?	20	$287	150	150	+0	Yes	+$1	04-25 04:53
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Austria?	1	$283	0	300	-300	No	-$17	02-22 04:29
Will Christopher McDonald – “Hacks” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actor in a comedy series?	4	$275	240	240	+0	No	+$4	07-10 12:26
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	7	$274	300	300	+0	No	+$6	06-08 09:34
will the government shutdown last 1 day or more	10	$274	238	162	+76	No	+$1	02-09 10:58
will axiom be accused of insider trading	4	$267	150	150	+0	Yes	-$11	02-24 04:56
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?	18	$264	208	208	+0	Yes	+$3	06-27 09:45
elon musk of tweets april 9 april 11 40 64	9	$259	200	350	-150	No	+$10	04-11 12:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-12 15:32:11	iran charges hormuz fees by october 31	Yes	SELL	150	61¢	$92	0x511800…
07-12 14:31:11	iran charges hormuz fees by october 31	Yes	BUY	50	60¢	$30	0x96ac2b…
07-12 14:29:14	iran charges hormuz fees by october 31	Yes	BUY	50	61¢	$30	0xf08885…
07-12 14:29:14	iran charges hormuz fees by october 31	Yes	BUY	50	62¢	$31	0x0e6a37…
07-12 10:39:07	Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	12	10¢	$1	0x007e50…
07-10 15:18:49	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	47	36¢	$17	0x5b9c94…
07-10 12:26:19	Will Christopher McDonald – “Hacks” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actor in a comedy series?	No	SELL	207	58¢	$120	0xe8cd6a…
07-10 12:26:08	Will Christopher McDonald – “Hacks” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actor in a comedy series?	No	SELL	33	58¢	$19	0x76f5bb…
07-10 11:19:52	Will Christopher McDonald – “Hacks” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actor in a comedy series?	No	BUY	120	56¢	$67	0x2952ae…
07-10 10:50:28	United Airlines (UAL) Q2 consolidated passenger load factor 83%-84%?	Yes	BUY	100	45¢	$45	0x100c4a…
07-09 05:07:41	Will Core PCE YoY be 3.4% in June?	No	SELL	20	63¢	$13	0x2b223b…
07-09 04:44:49	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 9?	Yes	BUY	1	48¢	$0	0x961d6a…
07-09 04:44:46	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 9?	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xd1cc77…
07-09 04:44:44	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 9?	Yes	BUY	27	48¢	$13	0x5dde34…
07-09 04:44:40	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 9?	Yes	BUY	9	48¢	$4	0x40cd11…
07-09 04:44:37	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 9?	Yes	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x578cc0…
07-09 04:44:34	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 9?	Yes	BUY	48	49¢	$24	0x47e481…
07-09 04:44:31	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 9?	Yes	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xb8eda7…
07-09 04:44:05	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 9?	Yes	BUY	27	50¢	$13	0xb49eb7…
07-09 04:44:04	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 9?	Yes	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x044e07…
07-09 04:23:56	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 9?	Yes	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x2aded1…
07-09 04:20:16	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	3	37¢	$1	0xf2fd20…
07-09 03:52:07	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	No	SELL	38	74¢	$28	0x50cced…
07-09 03:51:53	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	No	SELL	12	74¢	$9	0x77911f…
07-09 03:49:25	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 9?	Yes	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x14ab84…
07-09 03:49:08	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 9?	Yes	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x1e9c49…
07-09 03:06:38	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 9?	No	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x847092…
07-09 03:06:22	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 9?	No	BUY	15	45¢	$7	0xaebaf1…
07-09 03:06:22	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 9?	No	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0x788684…
07-09 03:05:17	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 9?	No	BUY	18	45¢	$8	0x4b7773…
07-09 03:05:11	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 9?	No	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xcbf37b…
07-09 03:05:01	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 9?	No	BUY	36	47¢	$17	0x1193fc…
07-09 03:03:37	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 9?	No	BUY	14	47¢	$7	0x2f9653…
07-09 02:56:16	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 9?	No	BUY	44	48¢	$21	0xcb27a2…
07-09 02:53:10	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 9?	No	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x54e924…
07-09 02:53:07	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 9?	No	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x0cdc65…
07-09 02:51:02	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 9?	No	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xfb680a…
07-09 02:50:50	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 9?	No	BUY	0	48¢	$0	0x96b500…
07-09 02:48:07	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	Yes	SELL	200	24¢	$48	0xaa916d…
07-09 02:39:59	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	No	BUY	50	72¢	$36	0x58f1b5…
07-09 02:39:13	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	Yes	BUY	100	23¢	$23	0x48af47…
07-09 02:27:47	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	No	SELL	17	64¢	$11	0x5d9072…
07-09 02:25:44	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	Yes	BUY	100	24¢	$24	0xf0dff1…
07-09 02:25:44	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	No	SELL	100	74¢	$74	0xf0dff1…
07-09 01:21:56	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	No	SELL	183	64¢	$117	0xdc64fe…
07-09 01:01:38	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	No	BUY	100	62¢	$62	0x7ebebd…
07-09 00:55:58	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	No	BUY	33	63¢	$21	0x9dfd25…
07-09 00:55:01	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	No	BUY	23	73¢	$17	0xe87829…
07-09 00:54:59	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	No	BUY	77	73¢	$56	0x3adb9d…
07-07 11:18:17	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x44f7ae…
07-07 10:49:59	will the announcers say shot 10 times during the switzerland vs colombia fifa world cup match 20260706213736117	Yes	BUY	4	66¢	$2	0xa7e94d…
07-07 10:21:22	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xdd109c…
07-07 09:59:31	will the announcers say captain 5 times during the switzerland vs colombia fifa world cup match 20260707021728763	Yes	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0x67d207…
07-07 09:59:22	will the announcers say captain 5 times during the switzerland vs colombia fifa world cup match 20260707021728763	Yes	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0xbee84c…
07-06 17:06:19	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by december 31	No	SELL	70	55¢	$38	0x55aaa8…
07-06 16:24:22	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on July 6?	No	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0xa89212…
07-06 16:16:11	Will Core PCE YoY be 3.4% in June?	No	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0x0f3bfc…
07-06 15:30:55	Will Karmine Corp be the Last VCT EMEA Team Standing at EWC 2026?	Yes	BUY	80	4¢	$3	0x957709…
07-06 15:30:50	Will Karmine Corp be the Last VCT EMEA Team Standing at EWC 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0xdfa134…
07-06 15:30:47	Will Karmine Corp be the Last VCT EMEA Team Standing at EWC 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	6¢	$6	0x92b329…
07-06 14:10:01	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on July 6?	No	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0xdb3f53…
07-06 14:07:26	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by december 31	No	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0xa2b597…
07-06 14:06:17	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on July 6?	No	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0xc00341…
07-06 14:06:13	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on July 6?	No	BUY	8	71¢	$6	0x1aa089…
07-04 23:52:19	Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of July 2026?	No	SELL	185	20¢	$37	0x30a6b8…
07-03 10:22:37	Will Trinity Tatum win Love Island USA Season 8?	No	SELL	40	26¢	$10	0xd42fbc…
07-03 10:22:14	Will Trinity Tatum win Love Island USA Season 8?	No	SELL	15	26¢	$4	0xd0d385…
06-30 02:44:56	Will Manel Kape fight Alexandre Pantoja next?	Yes	SELL	40	52¢	$21	0xeb5972…
06-28 20:05:08	Will Trinity Tatum win Love Island USA Season 8?	Yes	SELL	0	76¢	$0	0x447c34…
06-28 17:12:55	Will Trinity Tatum win Love Island USA Season 8?	Yes	SELL	12	76¢	$9	0xe495f5…
06-28 15:03:11	Will Wes Streeting be the next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?	No	SELL	20	79¢	$16	0xce915c…
06-28 14:58:13	Will Trinity Tatum win Love Island USA Season 8?	No	SELL	8	26¢	$2	0xc9743e…
06-28 13:05:56	Will Trinity Tatum win Love Island USA Season 8?	Yes	SELL	8	76¢	$6	0xceb91d…
06-28 12:38:35	Will Trinity Tatum win Love Island USA Season 8?	No	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0x13d3e8…
06-28 12:07:46	Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of July 2026?	No	BUY	85	18¢	$15	0x3c007b…
06-28 12:04:04	Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of July 2026?	No	BUY	100	19¢	$19	0xa23c2c…
06-28 11:46:26	Will Trinity Tatum win Love Island USA Season 8?	No	BUY	43	25¢	$11	0x5277ba…
06-28 10:54:49	Will Trinity Tatum win Love Island USA Season 8?	Yes	BUY	20	73¢	$15	0xae1e10…
06-27 09:45:38	Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?	No	SELL	4	64¢	$3	0x509b4d…
06-27 02:55:10	Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?	No	SELL	32	64¢	$21	0x3238f3…
06-27 02:40:56	Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?	No	SELL	54	64¢	$35	0x1dbbfd…
06-26 16:42:19	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 28?	No	SELL	0	51¢	$0	0x22cf90…
06-26 16:42:16	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 28?	No	SELL	7	51¢	$3	0xe2fba0…
06-26 16:42:10	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 28?	No	SELL	9	51¢	$4	0x586252…
06-26 16:42:02	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 28?	No	SELL	9	51¢	$4	0xb2833a…
06-26 16:41:59	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 28?	No	SELL	1	51¢	$1	0x7d3e12…
06-26 16:41:59	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 28?	No	SELL	10	51¢	$5	0x77a8bb…
06-26 14:31:35	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by july 31	No	SELL	60	74¢	$44	0xcb4599…
06-26 07:18:59	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 28?	No	BUY	16	49¢	$8	0x886c16…
06-26 07:18:28	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 28?	No	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x5f50e3…
06-26 02:12:40	Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?	No	SELL	13	64¢	$8	0x151d19…
06-25 21:32:37	Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?	No	SELL	39	64¢	$25	0x79eb2f…
06-25 20:00:14	Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?	No	SELL	34	64¢	$22	0xd95345…
06-25 20:00:13	Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?	No	SELL	19	64¢	$12	0xb8aec2…
06-25 18:16:37	Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?	No	SELL	13	64¢	$9	0xc811fb…
06-25 16:08:04	Will Wes Streeting be the next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	42¢	$3	0xc6f4e0…
06-25 16:08:04	Will Wes Streeting be the next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?	Yes	SELL	43	42¢	$18	0xc34007…
06-25 14:28:26	Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?	No	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0xd34bd8…
06-25 14:28:26	Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?	No	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xacb7be…
06-25 14:28:26	Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?	No	BUY	13	62¢	$8	0x9ba25b…