Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$60

Unrealized P&L

-$26

Hit rate

45.7%

Resolved

Trades

818

lifetime

Volume

$21.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$26

Open exposure

$64

1 position

First seen

2026-01-02

last 06-09 22:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

64% 33% $-60

Politics

31% 100% +$0

Crypto

2% — —

Pop-Culture

2% — —

Tech

1% — —

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

24 active days in 12wk • peak 36 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No		-100	$-39	64¢	$-64	$-26	06-08 09:34

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by March 31, 2026?	8	$591	219	400	-181	open	—	01-15 12:01
si hit 100 high jan 2026 422 587 453	4	$555	300	300	+0	open	—	01-02 10:36
Will Liam Rosenior be the next Chelsea manager?	4	$530	400	600	-200	open	—	01-02 09:48
Will the US strike Somalia next?	8	$513	394	400	-6	open	—	01-12 13:00
will there be 14 or more inches of snow in nyc this weekend	32	$444	200	300	-100	open	—	01-22 20:12
will any eu country strike iran by march 31	6	$428	150	350	-200	open	—	03-10 16:53
congress passes iran war powers resolution by march 31	5	$389	200	350	-150	open	—	03-18 06:41
will phan vn giang be the next president of vietnam	18	$382	304	243	+61	open	—	01-22 16:18
Israel strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	5	$364	300	400	-100	open	—	01-12 12:43
will russia strike on kyiv municipality on january 26 715	5	$361	200	200	+0	open	—	01-26 16:22
will bad bunny have the greatest number of monthly spotify listeners this month	3	$354	240	260	-20	open	—	02-14 15:48
will anyone be charged over daycare fraud in minnesota	2	$352	200	200	+0	open	—	01-15 11:39
will t lm be the next president of vietnam	16	$351	500	100	+400	open	—	01-22 12:46
will a contestant numbered 151 175 win beast games season 2	4	$316	398	13	+385	open	—	01-07 13:53
will bruno mars have the greatest number of monthly spotify listeners this month	22	$314	240	220	+20	open	—	02-16 15:19
will the government shutdown last 7 days or more 131 166 287 285 292 389	3	$296	200	200	+0	open	—	02-13 05:52
bitcoin above 66k on march 4	11	$292	625	0	+625	open	—	03-03 05:50
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	8	$290	200	200	+0	open	—	02-06 06:24
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	4	$289	200	200	+0	open	—	05-21 08:51
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 9°C on April 25?	20	$287	150	150	+0	open	—	04-25 04:53
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Austria?	1	$283	0	300	-300	open	—	02-22 04:29
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	7	$274	300	300	+0	open	—	06-08 09:34
will the government shutdown last 1 day or more	10	$274	238	162	+76	open	—	02-09 10:58
will axiom be accused of insider trading	4	$267	150	150	+0	open	—	02-24 04:56
elon musk of tweets april 9 april 11 40 64	9	$259	200	350	-150	open	—	04-11 12:23
houthi strike on israel by march 31 2026	9	$249	150	250	-100	open	—	03-07 17:55
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?	4	$246	150	150	+0	open	—	06-02 09:13
will annual inflation increase by 3pt3 in march	4	$244	150	200	-50	open	—	03-31 14:07
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	8	$237	239	239	+0	open	—	03-25 15:57
will dtmf bad bunny win song of the year at the 68th annual grammy awards	6	$226	231	100	+131	open	—	02-01 16:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 22:29:46	will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	No	SELL	50	21¢	$10	0x790263…
06-08 11:25:01	will wti crude oil wti hit low 85 in june 342	Yes	SELL	50	59¢	$30	0xd6f032…
06-08 09:34:12	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	SELL	200	38¢	$76	0xf0fde3…
06-08 09:22:33	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	SELL	100	64¢	$64	0x05aa33…
06-08 08:37:12	will wti crude oil wti hit low 85 in june 342	No	BUY	100	39¢	$39	0x3363b2…
06-08 08:37:10	will wti crude oil wti hit low 85 in june 342	No	BUY	100	41¢	$41	0xf88c13…
06-08 08:36:49	will wti crude oil wti hit low 85 in june 342	Yes	BUY	50	57¢	$28	0x116ea3…
06-08 08:15:57	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	50	59¢	$30	0xf4a954…
06-08 08:00:22	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	45	60¢	$27	0x8f7c1a…
06-08 07:56:43	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x6cd933…
06-08 07:40:07	will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	No	BUY	50	21¢	$10	0xa9764d…
06-08 07:35:13	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	100	37¢	$37	0x7f6855…
06-05 02:42:42	will xauusd dip to 4300 in june 2026	No	BUY	50	54¢	$27	0x6a85b7…
06-03 08:05:31	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	SELL	32	48¢	$15	0xfec162…
06-02 23:34:07	US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	32	52¢	$17	0x0ef5e6…
06-02 16:53:11	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	SELL	10	53¢	$5	0x995429…
06-02 16:18:13	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	SELL	2	53¢	$1	0xcc55ef…
06-02 16:08:01	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	SELL	4	53¢	$2	0x6e045e…
06-02 15:55:19	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	SELL	2	53¢	$1	0xe68b3f…
06-02 10:12:11	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	42	75¢	$32	0x4a593b…
06-02 10:08:56	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	8	75¢	$6	0x71a227…
06-02 09:13:14	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?	No	SELL	10	82¢	$9	0xa064ab…
06-02 08:51:39	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?	No	SELL	140	82¢	$114	0x80cacd…
06-02 07:15:55	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?	No	BUY	100	82¢	$82	0xc53d52…
06-02 07:04:36	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?	No	BUY	50	83¢	$42	0xc663b5…
06-02 06:58:32	US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	32	50¢	$16	0x1fa804…
06-02 06:51:45	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	BUY	50	52¢	$26	0xdb4430…
06-02 06:49:21	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	50	76¢	$38	0xf14753…
05-28 12:04:46	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?	No	SELL	50	94¢	$47	0xcb47c2…
05-28 11:08:14	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,300 in May?	No	SELL	49	80¢	$39	0x309995…
05-28 11:08:07	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,300 in May?	No	SELL	101	80¢	$81	0xf668ec…
05-28 09:11:57	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,300 in May?	No	BUY	50	88¢	$44	0x69bbb0…
05-28 09:11:24	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	Yes	BUY	100	8¢	$8	0xd3ebed…
05-28 09:10:00	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?	Yes	SELL	50	7¢	$4	0xb409d0…
05-28 08:50:03	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,300 in May?	No	BUY	50	89¢	$44	0x0fd764…
05-28 04:58:21	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	Yes	SELL	100	20¢	$20	0xd3b781…
05-27 13:38:49	Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	SELL	50	72¢	$36	0xbf4d9f…
05-27 08:04:46	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 30?	No	SELL	89	68¢	$60	0x5883cc…
05-27 07:41:31	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?	No	SELL	50	72¢	$36	0xbd6b28…
05-27 07:32:11	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	No	BUY	50	23¢	$12	0x16c15c…
05-27 07:22:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	No	BUY	0	25¢	$0	0x41260f…
05-27 07:10:43	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?	No	BUY	50	73¢	$36	0xa244ee…
05-27 07:04:22	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	No	BUY	13	25¢	$3	0x3cc033…
05-27 07:04:08	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	No	BUY	36	25¢	$9	0x09d743…
05-27 06:32:03	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?	No	BUY	50	74¢	$37	0xa1c3cd…
05-27 06:12:20	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	Yes	BUY	50	72¢	$36	0x98af18…
05-27 05:58:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	Yes	BUY	50	23¢	$12	0xca85dd…
05-27 05:18:03	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	Yes	BUY	50	74¢	$37	0x5698f6…
05-27 05:04:57	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 30?	No	BUY	100	65¢	$65	0xd5870a…
05-27 04:53:24	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	8¢	$8	0x82241c…
05-27 04:52:26	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	8¢	$8	0x57cc2b…
05-27 04:29:34	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	Yes	BUY	50	24¢	$12	0xb04da2…
05-27 04:27:18	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	8¢	$8	0x227bd7…
05-22 13:28:06	Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	BUY	50	76¢	$38	0xfc5c60…
05-21 08:51:38	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	194	72¢	$140	0x9ff451…
05-21 08:51:26	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	6	72¢	$4	0xd36e9e…
05-21 05:51:29	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	SELL	100	37¢	$37	0x45cda5…
05-21 04:09:18	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	50	77¢	$38	0xacafa0…
05-21 03:25:47	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	72¢	$72	0x9d87d2…
05-21 02:38:06	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	BUY	100	35¢	$35	0x823e81…
05-21 01:46:09	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	23	76¢	$18	0x885c8c…
05-21 01:46:09	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	9	76¢	$7	0x459651…
05-21 01:43:37	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	18	76¢	$14	0x0d5560…
05-21 00:58:18	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	73¢	$73	0x007ac1…
05-18 13:32:19	Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	SELL	100	33¢	$33	0x0f1a6c…
05-18 02:27:49	Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	BUY	50	32¢	$16	0x9fdf3d…
05-06 05:50:22	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $730 Week of May 4 2026?	Yes	SELL	32	45¢	$14	0xe6137e…
05-06 04:56:24	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $80 in May?	No	BUY	50	49¢	$24	0x325920…
05-06 04:56:02	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $80 in May?	No	BUY	50	52¢	$26	0xe66914…
05-05 14:50:22	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $700 in May?	Yes	BUY	50	59¢	$30	0x5f6c80…
05-05 14:50:18	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $700 in May?	Yes	BUY	50	60¢	$30	0xbdc34d…
05-05 14:39:48	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $2.90 Week of May 4 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	58¢	$29	0x62a213…
05-05 14:10:36	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $730 Week of May 4 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	26¢	$13	0x23de66…
04-25 12:49:22	Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?	Yes	SELL	26	27¢	$7	0x2b56b5…
04-25 11:43:08	Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 95m?	Yes	SELL	155	60¢	$93	0x9530f9…
04-25 04:53:12	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 9°C on April 25?	Yes	SELL	73	96¢	$70	0x97bc38…
04-25 04:45:12	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 9°C on April 25?	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xbbefe5…
04-25 04:20:08	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 9°C on April 25?	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x9db782…
04-25 04:18:18	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 9°C on April 25?	Yes	SELL	6	96¢	$6	0x2f3240…
04-25 04:18:16	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 9°C on April 25?	Yes	SELL	6	96¢	$6	0xc41ded…
04-25 04:18:08	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 9°C on April 25?	Yes	SELL	6	96¢	$6	0x8c3030…
04-25 04:18:00	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 9°C on April 25?	Yes	SELL	6	96¢	$6	0x1086eb…
04-25 04:17:56	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 9°C on April 25?	Yes	SELL	6	96¢	$6	0xbaa2b4…
04-25 04:17:52	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 9°C on April 25?	Yes	SELL	6	96¢	$6	0x3f5dbd…
04-25 04:17:48	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 9°C on April 25?	Yes	SELL	6	96¢	$6	0x9ac987…
04-25 04:17:44	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 9°C on April 25?	Yes	SELL	6	96¢	$6	0x1fffca…
04-25 04:17:40	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 9°C on April 25?	Yes	SELL	6	96¢	$6	0x75fae7…
04-25 04:17:38	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 9°C on April 25?	Yes	SELL	6	96¢	$6	0x4e8666…
04-25 04:17:32	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 9°C on April 25?	Yes	SELL	6	96¢	$6	0x4359cd…
04-25 04:17:28	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 9°C on April 25?	Yes	SELL	6	96¢	$6	0xe3ecd4…
04-25 04:17:22	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 9°C on April 25?	Yes	SELL	3	96¢	$3	0xc9ed31…
04-25 03:42:14	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 9°C on April 25?	Yes	BUY	18	95¢	$17	0xf85bd3…
04-25 03:41:34	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 9°C on April 25?	Yes	BUY	32	95¢	$31	0xae0201…
04-25 03:40:46	Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 95m?	Yes	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0xa8fc60…
04-25 03:40:20	Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 95m?	Yes	BUY	30	52¢	$16	0xeb7437…
04-25 03:39:58	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 9°C on April 25?	Yes	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0x6f3a7f…
04-25 03:38:46	Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 95m?	Yes	BUY	24	53¢	$13	0xd8b0f3…
04-25 03:38:46	Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 95m?	Yes	BUY	26	53¢	$14	0xd419ff…
04-25 03:38:34	Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 95m?	Yes	BUY	8	54¢	$4	0xb22785…
04-25 03:38:34	Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 95m?	Yes	BUY	8	54¢	$4	0x841391…