Disastrous-Quest — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$18

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

10.7%

Resolved

Trades

123

lifetime

Volume

$13.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$106

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 10-12 06:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 58 days

Categories

Sports

68% 0% -$12

Crypto

28% 88% -$21

Other

4% 88% +$15

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	4	$3.4K	10,559	10,552	+7	No	-$5	06-15 03:39
Will Leverkusen win the 2025–26 Champions League?	3	$1.4K	684	684	+0	No	-$1	01-07 08:39
Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	3	$1.3K	662	662	+0	No	-$1	01-27 01:45
Will Nottm Forest win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	3	$1.3K	649	649	+0	No	-$1	01-15 06:50
will ethereum reach 6000 in january 2026	3	$1.3K	634	647	-13	No	-$1	01-20 07:43
Will Newcastle win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	2	$1.3K	636	636	+0	No	-$1	01-05 09:08
will ethereum dip to 1000 in january 2026 651	2	$1.3K	632	632	+0	No	-$1	01-07 08:38
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$195	592	592	+0	Yes	-$5	06-15 03:39
will ethereum dip to 1000 june 8 14 2026	1	$150	150	0	+150	No	+$0	06-13 08:11
Will Solana dip to $20 in October?	1	$106	106	0	+106	open	—	10-12 06:01
Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 August 31-September 6?	1	$106	106	0	+106	No	+$0	09-03 05:00
will bitcoin dip to 40k in august 2026	1	$79	79	0	+79	No	+$0	08-21 05:29
will bitcoin dip to 50k june 8 14 2026	1	$70	70	0	+70	No	+$0	06-13 08:11
will bitcoin reach 100k in june 2026	2	$47	24	23	+1	No	+$0	06-27 07:26
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 0 Argentina?	1	$37	41	0	+41	No	+$5	07-19 03:14
will solana reach 200 in february 2026	2	$30	15	15	+0	No	+$0	02-09 03:10
will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	2	$26	13	13	+0	No	+$0	02-09 03:10
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	2	$26	15	11	+4	No	+$0	05-18 05:40
will ethereum reach 3000 in june 2026	1	$22	22	0	+22	No	+$0	06-13 08:06
will bitcoin reach 100k in august 2026	2	$22	11	11	+0	No	$0	08-20 03:26
will ethereum reach 3000 in august 2026	2	$21	11	11	+0	No	$0	08-20 03:26
bitcoin above 78k on march 31	2	$21	11	10	+1	No	+$0	03-31 03:03
will solana reach 160 in june 2026	1	$21	21	0	+21	No	+$0	06-13 08:07
will xrp reach 3 in june 2026	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	06-13 08:08
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	2	$19	10	9	+1	No	+$0	05-27 06:20
Will Meta have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?	2	$19	11	8	+3	No	$0	05-27 06:21
ethereum above 2800 on january 20	1	$18	18	0	+18	Yes	+$0	01-20 07:47
will tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	2	$17	9	8	+1	No	$0	03-03 10:03
elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 580plus	2	$17	9	8	+1	No	+$0	03-09 05:32
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets in April 2026?	2	$16	9	7	+2	No	$0	03-09 05:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-12 06:01:14	Will Solana dip to $20 in October?	No	BUY	106	100¢	$106	0x27ed00…
09-03 05:00:55	Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 August 31-September 6?	No	BUY	106	100¢	$106	0x3f3a76…
08-21 05:29:48	will bitcoin dip to 40k in august 2026	No	BUY	79	100¢	$79	0x2c4476…
08-20 03:26:25	will ethereum reach 3000 in august 2026	No	SELL	11	98¢	$10	0x9f257f…
08-20 03:26:15	will bitcoin reach 100k in august 2026	No	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0xd5cbfd…
08-06 06:07:56	will solana dip to 10 in august 2026	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x9ad9e9…
08-06 06:07:42	will xrp dip to 0pt2 in august 2026	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xa85101…
08-06 06:07:30	will ethereum reach 3000 in august 2026	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x8b76e0…
08-06 06:07:14	bitcoin above 54k on august 9 2026	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x83936d…
08-06 06:07:05	bitcoin above 74k on august 8 2026	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x222143…
08-06 06:06:50	bitcoin above 58k on august 7 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9c4de1…
08-06 06:06:35	bitcoin above 60k on august 6 2026	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa8382f…
08-06 06:05:21	will bitcoin reach 100k in august 2026	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x7d876e…
08-06 05:59:27	Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3d01c1…
08-06 05:58:57	Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x4e800f…
08-06 05:58:47	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xd9f0a9…
08-06 05:58:33	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe63780…
07-19 03:23:43	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 spread home 1pt5	Spain	BUY	22	20¢	$4	0xd7eac6…
07-19 03:21:48	Spain to win the second half?	No	BUY	21	64¢	$13	0x44193b…
07-19 03:21:15	Spain leading at halftime?	No	BUY	21	70¢	$15	0x4a9685…
07-19 03:20:25	Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?	No	BUY	23	58¢	$13	0xcaabd6…
07-19 03:19:43	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	22	41¢	$9	0x0acd91…
07-19 03:14:40	Exact Score: Spain 1 - 0 Argentina?	No	BUY	41	89¢	$37	0x340ce0…
07-06 06:39:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $52,000 on July 9?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x49fb6d…
07-06 06:39:11	Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $52,000 on July 8?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x4f7388…
07-06 06:39:01	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $54,000 and $56,000 on July 7?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x8b1b08…
07-06 06:38:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on July 6?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x0e9196…
07-06 06:38:37	bitcoin above 54k on july 9 2026	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x960c12…
07-06 06:38:23	bitcoin above 56k on july 8 2026	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xf0c01c…
07-06 06:38:05	bitcoin above 50k on july 7 2026	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x7da951…
07-06 06:37:49	bitcoin above 60k on july 6 2026	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xf24a71…
06-27 07:28:01	will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt0t by june 30	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x265a36…
06-27 07:27:35	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x87342e…
06-27 07:26:41	will bitcoin reach 100k in june 2026	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0xbef74c…
06-15 03:39:30	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	3,720	16¢	$595	0x76cf44…
06-15 03:39:16	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	592	16¢	$95	0xc23d0b…
06-15 03:39:03	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	3,727	16¢	$600	0x840513…
06-13 14:04:43	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	6,832	16¢	$1,100	0xfbf0fb…
06-13 08:11:31	will bitcoin dip to 50k june 8 14 2026	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0x667f5f…
06-13 08:11:12	will ethereum dip to 1000 june 8 14 2026	No	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0xb5ad05…
06-13 08:10:21	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	592	17¢	$100	0xa3c3dc…
06-13 08:09:49	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	6,832	16¢	$1,100	0x59af45…
06-13 08:08:51	will xrp reach 3 in june 2026	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x893320…
06-13 08:07:58	will solana reach 160 in june 2026	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x6f7029…
06-13 08:06:43	will ethereum reach 3000 in june 2026	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xe70e17…
06-13 08:06:24	will bitcoin reach 100k in june 2026	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xe00ed0…
06-04 03:21:37	Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x5ef93a…
06-04 03:21:18	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xd881e0…
05-27 06:32:29	Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xb8c7a2…
05-27 06:31:52	Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x16c995…
05-27 06:31:45	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x290258…
05-27 06:21:03	Will Meta have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xdd3abc…
05-27 06:20:47	Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x63e828…
05-18 05:51:01	Will Meta have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x93ec6a…
05-18 05:50:40	Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x43d68a…
05-18 05:40:29	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x5ca74b…
05-14 02:19:10	Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x0ec982…
05-14 02:18:48	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x9aa85a…
05-06 03:51:12	Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x2cfc12…
05-06 03:50:16	Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x5e7507…
05-06 03:49:38	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xdec8f9…
04-14 02:08:15	elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 580plus	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x97fb2c…
04-14 02:07:53	elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 580plus	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x9d8640…
04-07 01:40:45	elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 540 559	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xfa4041…
04-07 01:40:29	elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 460 479	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x03fbde…
04-07 01:40:17	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 340 359	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x2ae1da…
03-31 03:06:15	elon musk of tweets april 2 april 4 240plus	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x90b796…
03-31 03:06:03	elon musk of tweets march 30 april 1 165 189	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xce31f2…
03-31 03:04:07	will ethereum dip to 200 in march 2026	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x661f48…
03-31 03:03:59	bitcoin above 78k on march 31	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xb21b87…
03-30 03:05:26	bitcoin above 78k on march 31	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x9fdc08…
03-30 03:05:14	bitcoin above 72k on march 30	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1b9ac3…
03-20 07:26:23	elon musk of tweets march 19 march 21 240plus	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa81f9a…
03-20 07:26:17	elon musk of tweets march 21 march 23 240plus	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x06035d…
03-09 05:33:55	will solana dip to 10 in march 2026	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x0fbbf5…
03-09 05:33:47	will ethereum dip to 200 in march 2026	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa36f81…
03-09 05:33:37	will bitcoin dip to 20k in march 2026	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xae3e98…
03-09 05:33:27	bitcoin above 60k on march 9	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xdc30d9…
03-09 05:33:19	ethereum above 1600 on march 9	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd7fe60…
03-09 05:33:03	Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets in April 2026?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xc459d0…
03-09 05:32:55	elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 580plus	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xa27e28…
03-03 10:14:31	Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets in April 2026?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xe1ff9b…
03-03 10:14:05	elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 580plus	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x00cd4d…
03-03 10:13:47	elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 480 499	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x8484ef…
03-03 10:13:29	elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 260 279	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7f965f…
03-03 10:03:25	will tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x3c2dde…
02-09 03:20:59	will tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xcf8617…
02-09 03:20:45	will mistral have the second best ai model at the end of february 2026	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x4e9af8…
02-09 03:20:27	will baidu have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x202546…
02-09 03:10:45	will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x8993a6…
02-09 03:10:41	will solana reach 200 in february 2026	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x52b2a1…
02-03 02:13:16	will solana reach 200 in february 2026	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x0fa20a…
02-03 02:13:00	will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x5251f1…
02-03 02:12:26	will bitcoin dip to 62k february 2 8	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x76f5e2…
02-03 02:12:00	bitcoin above 86k on february 3	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x491e60…
01-27 01:49:05	solana above 140 on january 27	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2240f6…
01-27 01:48:47	will the price of solana be between 100 110 on january 27	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xb2a9eb…
01-27 01:48:29	xrp above 1pt5 on january 27	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa517a7…
01-27 01:47:51	will the price of ethereum be less than 2600 on january 27	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x98f89d…
01-27 01:47:37	bitcoin above 94k on january 27	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xeda01c…