Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$34

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

54.0%

Resolved

130

Trades

135

lifetime

Volume

$226

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-06-09

last 09-15 20:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 49 days

Categories

Politics

55% 52% -$17

Other

42% 55% -$16

Sports

2% 50% +$1

Crypto

1% 0% -$2

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

19 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will luke nosek be on stage at a bell ceremony commemorating spacexs ipo 20260608220212488	4	$10	18	18	+0	Yes	+$2	06-10 16:04
will antonio gracias be on stage at a bell ceremony commemorating spacexs ipo 20260608220212487	2	$4	6	6	+0	No	+$1	06-10 16:04
will brian bjelde be on stage at a bell ceremony commemorating spacexs ipo 20260608220212485	2	$3	5	5	+0	Yes	-$1	06-10 16:04
will spencer pratt concede by july 2 20260608151037171	1	$2	11	0	+11	No	-$2	06-29 07:20
Will JD Vance say "American Dream" during RNC Convention?	1	$2	3	0	+3	Yes	+$1	09-07 14:35
Will JD Vance say "China" or "Chinese" during RNC Convention?	1	$2	3	0	+3	No	-$2	09-07 14:30
will house be in the headlines this week 20260626174829045	1	$2	6	0	+6	No	-$2	07-03 10:02
will trump say nuclear during medal of honor ceremony on june 18 20260618143625488	1	$2	5	0	+5	No	+$2	06-18 19:41
will trump praise delcy rodriguez by june 30	1	$2	5	0	+5	No	-$2	06-27 04:05
will trump praise lionel messi by june 30	1	$2	6	0	+6	No	-$2	06-27 04:14
will tesla be in the headlines this week 20260623154045050	1	$2	5	0	+5	Yes	+$2	06-26 05:18
will automatic be said during the next episode of the lemonade stand podcast 20260626152001204	1	$2	5	0	+5	Yes	-$2	06-30 06:12
will trump say ballroom during medal of honor ceremony on june 18 20260618143625486	1	$2	5	0	+5	No	-$2	06-18 19:46
will blue be said during the next episode of the lemonade stand podcast 20260626152001207	1	$2	5	0	+5	Yes	-$2	06-30 05:30
will warsh say good day during july press conference 20260720204109031	1	$2	3	0	+3	Yes	+$1	07-26 11:49
will donald trump publicly insult norah odonnell by june 30 2026	1	$2	6	0	+6	No	-$2	06-26 03:27
will samsung be in the headlines this week 20260612213503948	1	$2	5	0	+5	No	-$2	06-18 19:55
will warsh say inflation 40 times during june press conference 20260608181156645	1	$2	5	0	+5	No	+$3	06-15 17:16
will trump say happy birthday america during tribute to america rally 20260630160620559	1	$2	5	0	+5	No	-$2	07-01 06:23
Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during RNC Convention?	1	$2	3	0	+3	Yes	+$1	09-09 14:10
will trump say dumocrat or dumbocrat or dumacrat during june 24 rally 20260616194255615	1	$2	10	0	+10	No	+$7	06-24 14:12
Will JD Vance say "Manufacturing" during RNC Convention?	1	$2	3	0	+3	Yes	+$1	09-07 13:52
will trump say forever during tribute to lindsey graham 20260724170556646	1	$2	3	0	+3	No	-$2	07-27 10:36
will krakens valuation hit low 10b by june 30	1	$2	5	0	+5	No	-$2	06-29 07:38
will trump say outside this week 20260626175002241	1	$2	5	0	+5	No	+$3	07-03 02:38
will trump say golf or golfer during tribute to lindsey graham 20260724170556644	1	$2	3	0	+3	Yes	+$1	07-25 22:53
will tesla say cybertruck during earnings call 20260713183304181	1	$2	3	0	+3	No	-$2	07-20 20:10
will trump dance during ufc freedom 250 20260608192801479	1	$2	5	0	+5	No	+$3	06-11 15:33
will trump say mount rushmore during tribute to america rally 20260630160620566	1	$2	5	0	+5	Yes	+$3	07-02 05:53
will trump say maduro this week 20260626175002248	1	$2	9	0	+9	No	-$2	07-02 22:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-15 20:44:48	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his remarks in North Carolina?	Yes	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x0a61fe…
09-14 22:40:18	will trump say make america healthy again remarks in north carolina	No	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x826322…
09-14 22:32:09	will trump say job 20 times remarks in north carolina	No	BUY	2	65¢	$2	0x24a8e3…
09-13 17:07:54	Will "Japan" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?	Yes	BUY	3	56¢	$1	0xbead48…
09-13 16:56:21	Will Warsh say "Software" during September Press Conference?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x8f579d…
09-12 23:01:54	which cities face tornado risk on september 12 2026 des moines ia	Yes	BUY	67	1¢	$1	0x073c5b…
09-12 22:53:49	which cities face tornado risk on september 12 2026 memphis tn	Yes	BUY	71	1¢	$1	0x26e8dd…
09-10 15:00:06	Will Trump say "Hottest" during his remarks in Arlington?	No	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x8f25d6…
09-10 14:37:37	Will Trump say "Democrat" during his remarks in Arlington?	Yes	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x7a0327…
09-10 14:29:25	Will Trump say "Biden" during his remarks in Arlington?	No	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0xb1de20…
09-10 14:13:33	Will Trump say "Negotiate" or "Negotiated" or "Negotiation" during his remarks in Arlington?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x8c3073…
09-09 14:25:28	Will Trump say "Save America Act" during RNC Convention?	No	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x742500…
09-09 14:20:30	Will Trump say "Endorse" or "Endorsed" or "Endorsement" during RNC Convention?	Yes	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0xa13f21…
09-09 14:15:34	Will Trump say "Radical Left" during RNC Convention?	Yes	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x2cdca8…
09-09 14:10:16	Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during RNC Convention?	Yes	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0x89c821…
09-09 14:05:27	Sweden Parliamentary Election: Örebropartiet Win Seats?	No	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0xb4218b…
09-08 15:17:40	Will Trump say "Golf" or "Golfer" during RNC Convention?	No	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x666e03…
09-08 14:51:01	Will Trump say "Afford" or "Affordable" or "Affordability" during RNC Convention?	Yes	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x87f597…
09-08 14:45:36	Will Trump say "America First" during RNC Convention?	Yes	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0xd57722…
09-08 14:29:28	Will JD Vance say "Ass" during RNC Convention?	No	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xa5bf66…
09-08 13:57:22	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during RNC Convention?	No	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x89a63b…
09-08 13:52:16	Will Trump say "Hell" 10+ times during RNC Convention?	No	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0xbbf3af…
09-07 15:18:43	Will JD Vance say "Hell" during RNC Convention?	Yes	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x6537bf…
09-07 14:35:57	Will JD Vance say "American Dream" during RNC Convention?	Yes	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0xf9d61d…
09-07 14:30:58	Will JD Vance say "China" or "Chinese" during RNC Convention?	Yes	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0xc9a0fe…
09-07 14:13:16	Will JD Vance say "Socialist" or "Socialism" during RNC Convention?	Yes	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0xb58f00…
09-07 13:52:28	Will JD Vance say "Manufacturing" during RNC Convention?	Yes	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x1edf1d…
09-07 13:41:52	Will JD Vance say "Illegal Alien" during RNC Convention?	Yes	BUY	3	81¢	$2	0xec0057…
09-03 13:29:33	will trump insult mapquest this week	No	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0x1feca2…
09-03 12:46:18	Will Trump say "Who Are You" this week?	No	BUY	2	64¢	$2	0x7de2f9…
09-02 19:44:52	Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?	No	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x6cab54…
09-01 18:47:27	Will Canva's valuation hit (LOW) $40B by August 31?	Yes	BUY	2	78¢	$1	0xfd5ad4…
08-30 11:07:57	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xbcd726…
08-27 11:31:51	Will Trump say "Barack Hussein Obama" this week?	No	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x31d1fe…
08-26 07:58:09	Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?	No	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xd9bcd7…
08-25 05:09:54	Will Warsh say "Stable" 5+ times during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?	No	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xa863af…
08-25 04:35:33	Will Warsh say "2008" or "Financial Crisis" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xd2b7b1…
08-25 04:23:10	Will Warsh say "Independent" or "Independence" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?	Yes	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xd127db…
08-25 04:15:27	Will Warsh say "Good Morning" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?	No	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xc8a682…
08-25 03:52:21	Will Warsh say "Regime" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?	Yes	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x96282f…
08-24 03:35:40	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) Q2 Data Center revenue be above $90B?	No	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x780af8…
08-15 20:25:54	will trump say ballroom this week 20260807162748312	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xa62ce9…
08-13 21:02:12	Will Trump say "Barack Hussein Obama" during remarks in New York?	No	BUY	2	73¢	$1	0x62f3bc…
08-09 17:07:40	will blue be said during the next episode of the lemonade stand podcast 20260807161048102	No	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xd5da83…
08-05 15:32:20	will trump say manufacturing during remarks in las vegas 20260804184614725	Yes	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0xe85e45…
08-04 21:14:18	will trump say through the roof during remarks in las vegas 20260803153421455	No	BUY	3	44¢	$1	0x7581fd…
08-04 20:13:21	will trump say no no no during remarks in las vegas 20260803153421454	No	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0xb9ffa9…
08-04 20:06:41	will trump say warren buffett during remarks in las vegas 20260803153421453	No	BUY	2	72¢	$1	0x92bb92…
08-04 19:56:02	will the senate vote on the clarity act before the august recess 20260729185025133	No	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x98f628…
08-04 09:56:59	will trump say hell 8 times during remarks in las vegas 20260803153421447	No	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0xd66039…
08-03 17:02:53	will trump say obliterated or obliteration during his executive order signing 20260803134026616	No	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0xc9b206…
08-03 16:56:57	will trump say democrat during his executive order signing 20260803134026621	Yes	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x026056…
08-03 14:25:45	will trump say stock market during his executive order signing 20260803134026624	Yes	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xb48bb0…
08-03 14:06:41	will eli lilly lly q2 zepbound sales be above 4pt5b 20260725020159990	Yes	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x7d211a…
07-29 05:31:21	Will Trump say "Data Center" during cabinet meeting?	Yes	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0x0084de…
07-29 05:20:47	Will Trump say "Fed" or "Federal Reserve" during cabinet meeting?	Yes	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0xdb2713…
07-29 05:09:56	Will Trump say "Trump Derangement Syndrome" during cabinet meeting?	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x6d505c…
07-29 04:54:12	Will Trump say "Filibuster" during cabinet meeting?	No	BUY	2	78¢	$2	0x486e19…
07-28 05:36:25	will trump say military during tribute to lindsey graham 20260724170556645	Yes	BUY	2	74¢	$2	0x9f2564…
07-28 04:33:33	will warsh say uncertainty during july press conference 20260720204109046	Yes	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0xae56c5…
07-28 04:17:58	will trump say israel during tribute to lindsey graham 20260724170556636	Yes	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0xc34921…
07-27 17:51:45	will warsh say restrictive during july press conference 20260720204109047	Yes	BUY	2	65¢	$2	0xb2eed0…
07-27 17:45:51	will trump say ukraine during tribute to lindsey graham 20260724170556634	Yes	BUY	2	77¢	$2	0xb2e627…
07-27 17:31:24	will warsh say inflation 20 times during july press conference 20260720204109028	No	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x0ac4cc…
07-27 17:16:55	greater manchester mayoral election restore receives 10 first preference votes 20260713192957526	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x857e96…
07-27 10:36:18	will trump say forever during tribute to lindsey graham 20260724170556646	Yes	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x3818f0…
07-27 10:30:15	will warsh say productivity during july press conference 20260720204109042	Yes	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0xfad574…
07-26 11:49:37	will warsh say good day during july press conference 20260720204109031	Yes	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x38139f…
07-26 11:43:51	will warsh say anchor or anchored during july press conference 20260720204109051	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x128955…
07-26 11:34:24	will warsh say bet or betting during july press conference 20260720204109038	No	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xb3f6cd…
07-25 23:11:54	will trump say security during tribute to lindsey graham 20260724170556649	Yes	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0xd9cded…
07-25 22:53:30	will trump say golf or golfer during tribute to lindsey graham 20260724170556644	Yes	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x161a15…
07-25 22:48:07	will trump say hottest during michigan remarks 20260724162420370	Yes	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0xb883ff…
07-23 21:05:24	will verizon say america during earnings call 20260713183952384	Yes	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x479be9…
07-23 20:31:48	will trump say tough cookie during white house correspondents dinner 20260715212255819	No	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x5d6b0c…
07-22 21:03:57	will verizon say spectrum during earnings call 20260713183952376	Yes	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0xacfdd7…
07-22 18:38:12	will verizon say integration during earnings call 20260713183952379	Yes	BUY	2	71¢	$1	0x48c830…
07-20 20:10:10	will tesla say cybertruck during earnings call 20260713183304181	Yes	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0xff962c…
07-16 18:41:23	will netflix say pivot during earnings call 20260709145309036	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x90dda9…
07-16 18:27:47	will trump say china during speech to the nation 20260714024840217	Yes	BUY	2	85¢	$1	0x4b3d30…
07-12 18:08:07	will bank of america say trump during earnings call 20260710144833041	No	BUY	2	73¢	$1	0x40d936…
07-12 17:54:47	will bank of america say recession during earnings call 20260710144833032	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xc8dce8…
07-11 17:58:41	will jpmorgan say prediction during earnings call 20260710145006625	No	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0xaa8ce1…
07-05 16:09:22	england mexico game rescheduled to different time 20260703205906835	No	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0xef6736…
07-04 13:30:07	will trump say new york during tribute to america rally 20260630160620574	Yes	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0x608a12…
07-04 10:21:53	will trump say booming during tribute to america rally 20260630160620568	Yes	BUY	3	42¢	$1	0xf45117…
07-04 10:12:16	will trump say fake news during tribute to america rally 20260630160620562	Yes	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x16ce2d…
07-04 09:54:40	will trump say space force during tribute to america rally 20260630160620567	No	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x8d408a…
07-04 09:49:04	will trump say transgender during tribute to america rally 20260630160620564	No	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xc7e0a8…
07-03 10:02:31	will house be in the headlines this week 20260626174829045	Yes	BUY	6	38¢	$2	0xcdee00…
07-03 02:38:25	will trump say outside this week 20260626175002241	No	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x52cf8d…
07-02 22:01:11	will trump say maduro this week 20260626175002248	Yes	BUY	9	24¢	$2	0x17f143…
07-02 21:46:50	will trump say epic fury during tribute to america rally 20260630160620563	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x6c0959…
07-02 21:36:25	will trump say alexander or hamilton during tribute to america rally 20260630160620577	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xc2d21a…
07-02 05:53:58	will trump say mount rushmore during tribute to america rally 20260630160620566	Yes	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x5ea83a…
07-01 09:25:02	will trump say benjamin or franklin during tribute to america rally 20260630160620576	No	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x794100…
07-01 06:29:41	will trump say golden dome during tribute to america rally 20260630160620570	Yes	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x848c7d…
07-01 06:23:26	will trump say happy birthday america during tribute to america rally 20260630160620559	Yes	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x666625…
07-01 05:52:14	will trump say beautiful 7 times during tribute to america rally 20260630160620558	No	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xb3d447…
06-30 06:12:55	will automatic be said during the next episode of the lemonade stand podcast 20260626152001204	No	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x8ee42d…