Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

-$70

Hit rate

93.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$694

lifetime

Avg / trade

$22

Open exposure

$124

1 position

First seen

2026-04-27

last 06-07 01:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

91% 67% $-1

Other

9% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No		+246	$195	50¢	$124	$-70	06-07 01:53

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	3	$195	246	0	+246	open	—	06-07 01:53
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	2	$167	100	100	+0	open	—	06-03 13:06
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	2	$122	70	70	+0	open	—	06-07 01:53
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	4	$50	59	0	+59	open	—	05-27 21:53
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	2	$39	40	0	+40	No	+$2	05-10 17:39
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	2	$31	16	16	+0	open	—	05-27 21:50
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	2	$21	11	11	+0	open	—	05-27 21:45
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	2	$21	12	12	+0	open	—	05-18 09:41
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	05-15 02:05
Will another Canadian MP cross the floor by May 15, 2026?	2	$8	4	4	+0	open	—	05-16 05:05
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	2	$8	4	4	+0	open	—	05-18 18:12
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	2	$7	4	4	+0	open	—	05-12 23:35
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	2	$6	4	4	+0	open	—	05-12 23:34
Trump out as President by April 30?	1	$4	4	0	+4	open	—	04-27 23:40
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	1	$3	3	0	+3	Yes	$-3	05-02 02:43
Will Donald Trump dance on May 8, 2026?	1	$3	3	0	+3	No	+$0	05-03 04:22

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-07 01:53:43	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	76	85¢	$64	0xaf6fab…
06-07 01:53:07	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	70	93¢	$65	0x038d54…
06-03 13:08:22	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	124	77¢	$96	0x6fbc92…
06-03 13:06:30	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	SELL	100	96¢	$97	0x6e46b3…
06-01 18:40:58	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	47	75¢	$35	0xdef307…
05-31 07:23:32	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	No	BUY	70	82¢	$57	0xed8f05…
05-27 22:42:27	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	100	70¢	$70	0xd31a24…
05-27 21:53:57	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xb9854a…
05-27 21:51:14	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	18	85¢	$15	0x892eb7…
05-27 21:50:13	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0x84dc0a…
05-27 21:49:06	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x883e71…
05-27 21:45:20	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0xb44290…
05-18 21:09:50	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	16	94¢	$15	0x1e8efc…
05-18 18:12:51	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	No	SELL	4	95¢	$4	0xfd4649…
05-18 09:41:42	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	12	85¢	$11	0xd43347…
05-16 05:18:10	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	4	91¢	$4	0x01fc6c…
05-16 05:05:59	Will another Canadian MP cross the floor by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x2f42d6…
05-15 02:05:25	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x70fcee…
05-13 02:45:00	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x9990fa…
05-13 02:42:00	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x1af67c…
05-13 02:38:45	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	24	84¢	$20	0x428a21…
05-13 02:35:54	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x1fbe63…
05-12 23:35:28	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0xb970cb…
05-12 23:34:45	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	4	98¢	$3	0x5ebe79…
05-10 17:39:10	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	37	96¢	$36	0xfa2b76…
05-10 17:29:24	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0x11beea…
05-03 19:09:08	Will another Canadian MP cross the floor by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	4	93¢	$4	0xa2843e…
05-03 04:22:00	Will Donald Trump dance on May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0xb498ee…
05-02 02:43:54	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0xa79be9…
05-02 02:42:16	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	4	85¢	$3	0xb899d7…
05-01 14:41:24	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	4	90¢	$4	0x5ac1dd…
04-27 23:40:18	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xff93b3…