Will another Canadian MP cross the floor by May 15, 2026?
open
Total volume
$1,408
Trades
36
Unique wallets
22
Liquidity
$718
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-06-30
First seen
2026-04-18
last 05-16 05:05
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-1.8¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $784
vs crowd: 2% YES on $1.3K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 3 | $13 | $788 | $776 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 6 | $1 | $428 | $427 |
| 🐟 Fish | 4 | $1 | $10 | $9 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 9 | $9 | $76 | $67 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | — | $784 | $784 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 5 | $14 | $428 | $414 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| Median | 2 | $1 | $71 | $70 |
| Below median | 4 | $7 | $4 | +$3 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | $0 | $2 | $2 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 3 | $1 | $8 | $7 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | — | $4 | $4 |
| unranked | 1 | — | $1 | $1 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Compassionate-Kneejerk 0x9507…7b04 | No | +785 | $784 | $784 | 1 | 05-16 02:54 |
| Accurate-Decoder 0xdacf…3c74 | No | +388 | $385 | $385 | 1 | 05-16 02:53 |
| Bossy-Expose 0xb79f…d749 | Yes | +387 | $-0 | $2 | 5 | 05-16 02:54 |
| Squiggly-Waiting 0x23ed…aebc | Yes | +294 | $4 | $4 | 2 | 05-16 02:53 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +127 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-16 02:53 |
| Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | +100 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-16 04:20 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +50 | $13 | $13 | 2 | 05-03 12:19 |
| Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | Yes | +50 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-16 02:54 |
| Fantastic-Refrigerator 0xea41…1c98 | No | +44 | $33 | $33 | 1 | 05-03 12:19 |
| Winged-Nation 0x08a6…f3cc | Yes | +15 | $1 | $1 | 3 | 05-05 01:22 |
| Sparkling-Skating 0x606e…6b3a | No | +11 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 04-25 19:18 |
| Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | Yes | +10 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-16 02:53 |
| Back-Wingtip 0x6247…a97b | Yes | +10 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-16 02:54 |
| Happy-Go-Lucky-Manicure 0xfe61…e9c2 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-16 02:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x250d…3463 | Yes | +4 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-08 23:15 |
| Sudden-Snowstorm 0xd25b…9f3d | No | +4 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-16 05:05 |
| Incomplete-Wait 0x9b4c…4539 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-04 16:06 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-16 05:05:59 | (anonymous) 0xaf32…0968 | No | SELL | 4 | 100¢ | $4 | 0x2f42d6… |
| 05-16 05:05:59 | Sudden-Snowstorm 0xd25b…9f3d | No | BUY | 4 | 100¢ | $4 | 0x2f42d6… |
| 05-16 04:20:55 | Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xcfcf17… |
| 05-16 04:20:55 | Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | Yes | SELL | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xcfcf17… |
| 05-16 02:54:58 | Happy-Go-Lucky-Manicure 0xfe61…e9c2 | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0xecbb6b… |
| 05-16 02:54:58 | Back-Wingtip 0x6247…a97b | Yes | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xecbb6b… |
| 05-16 02:54:30 | Bossy-Expose 0xb79f…d749 | Yes | BUY | 378 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x183869… |
| 05-16 02:54:30 | Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x183869… |
| 05-16 02:54:30 | Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x183869… |
| 05-16 02:54:30 | Compassionate-Kneejerk 0x9507…7b04 | No | BUY | 785 | 100¢ | $784 | 0x183869… |
| 05-16 02:54:30 | Dual-Appliance 0xac23…46eb | No | SELL | 73 | 100¢ | $73 | 0x183869… |
| 05-16 02:53:34 | Bossy-Expose 0xb79f…d749 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xe33bcd… |
| 05-16 02:53:34 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | Yes | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xe33bcd… |
| 05-16 02:53:34 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 127 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xe33bcd… |
| 05-16 02:53:34 | Accurate-Decoder 0xdacf…3c74 | No | BUY | 388 | 99¢ | $385 | 0xe33bcd… |
| 05-16 02:53:34 | Squiggly-Waiting 0x23ed…aebc | Yes | BUY | 232 | 1¢ | $2 | 0xe33bcd… |
| 05-15 10:50:18 | Dual-Appliance 0xac23…46eb | No | BUY | 62 | 97¢ | $60 | 0xc8ddb5… |
| 05-15 10:50:18 | Squiggly-Waiting 0x23ed…aebc | Yes | BUY | 62 | 3¢ | $2 | 0xc8ddb5… |
| 05-08 23:15:27 | (anonymous) 0x250d…3463 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 23¢ | $1 | 0x4377b7… |
| 05-08 23:15:27 | Bossy-Expose 0xb79f…d749 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 23¢ | $1 | 0x4377b7… |
| 05-05 01:22:32 | Bossy-Expose 0xb79f…d749 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xf9e56a… |
| 05-05 01:22:32 | Winged-Nation 0x08a6…f3cc | Yes | BUY | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xf9e56a… |
| 05-05 01:22:32 | Dual-Appliance 0xac23…46eb | No | BUY | 11 | 96¢ | $11 | 0xf9e56a… |
| 05-04 16:06:18 | Bossy-Expose 0xb79f…d749 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x674def… |
| 05-04 16:06:18 | Incomplete-Wait 0x9b4c…4539 | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x674def… |
| 05-03 19:09:08 | Winged-Nation 0x08a6…f3cc | Yes | BUY | 4 | 7¢ | $0 | 0xa2843e… |
| 05-03 19:09:08 | (anonymous) 0xaf32…0968 | No | BUY | 4 | 93¢ | $4 | 0xa2843e… |
| 05-03 12:19:56 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 44 | 25¢ | $11 | 0x431906… |
| 05-03 12:19:56 | Fantastic-Refrigerator 0xea41…1c98 | No | BUY | 44 | 75¢ | $33 | 0x431906… |
| 04-29 23:41:02 | Partial-Alloy 0x1c2f…32ae | Yes | SELL | 5 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x1112da… |
| 04-29 23:41:02 | Winged-Nation 0x08a6…f3cc | Yes | BUY | 5 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x1112da… |
| 04-25 19:18:50 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 30¢ | $2 | 0xf7de86… |
| 04-25 19:18:50 | Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | No | SELL | 5 | 69¢ | $4 | 0xf7de86… |
| 04-25 19:18:50 | Sparkling-Skating 0x606e…6b3a | No | BUY | 11 | 70¢ | $8 | 0xf7de86… |
| 04-18 22:41:42 | Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | No | BUY | 5 | 43¢ | $2 | 0x288587… |
| 04-18 22:41:42 | Partial-Alloy 0x1c2f…32ae | Yes | BUY | 5 | 57¢ | $3 | 0x288587… |