Parched-Freckle — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$31

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

49.2%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$410

lifetime

Avg / trade

$37

Open exposure

$28

1 position

First seen

2026-04-06

last 07-14 13:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

79% 50% $-31

Politics

14% — —

Crypto

6% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?	No		-96	$-26	30¢	$-28	$-2	06-09 21:09

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
mu quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 24 2026 19pt66	1	$90	93	0	+93	open	—	06-23 15:13
Will Caesars Entertainment, Inc. be acquired before 2027?	1	$80	102	0	+102	open	—	04-14 02:50
Will Palantir (PLTR) close above $136 end of April?	1	$50	75	0	+75	open	—	04-30 13:55
fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team to advance	1	$40	68	0	+68	open	—	07-14 13:53
Will Alibaba (BABA) beat quarterly earnings?	1	$33	42	0	+42	No	$-33	05-12 18:51
Will Coinbase (COIN) beat quarterly earnings?	1	$32	34	0	+34	No	+$2	05-05 20:04
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	2	$29	244	244	+0	open	—	04-10 12:49
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?	1	$26	0	96	-96	open	—	06-09 21:09
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	1	$20	36	0	+36	open	—	04-06 03:20
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	1	$10	36	0	+36	open	—	04-06 03:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-14 13:53:40	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team to advance	France	BUY	68	59¢	$40	0xa48d09…
06-23 15:13:02	mu quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 24 2026 19pt66	Yes	BUY	93	97¢	$90	0x366d6c…
06-09 21:09:27	Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?	No	SELL	96	27¢	$26	0x16606e…
05-12 18:51:09	Will Alibaba (BABA) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	42	78¢	$33	0x0fa3ee…
05-05 20:04:14	Will Coinbase (COIN) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	34	95¢	$32	0x9d8cd3…
04-30 13:55:48	Will Palantir (PLTR) close above $136 end of April?	Yes	BUY	75	67¢	$50	0xc52937…
04-14 02:50:21	Will Caesars Entertainment, Inc. be acquired before 2027?	Yes	BUY	102	78¢	$80	0x1f31a0…
04-10 12:49:47	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	No	SELL	244	4¢	$9	0x12fd3c…
04-09 13:27:43	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	No	BUY	244	8¢	$20	0xf3ba68…
04-06 03:20:35	US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	Yes	BUY	36	55¢	$20	0x1a1a6c…
04-06 03:20:09	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	Yes	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0xa2d670…