Mean-Ambience — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

87.5%

Resolved

402

Trades

2,541

lifetime

Volume

$10.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-13

last 05-26 10:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 87% $-3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

36 active days in 12wk • peak 573 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
eth updown 5m 1776168000	16	$245	125	125	+0	open	—	04-14 12:05
eth updown 5m 1776167400	2	$223	113	113	+0	open	—	04-14 11:55
btc updown 5m 1776161400	2	$218	112	111	+0	open	—	04-14 10:16
eth updown 5m 1776178200	2	$211	109	109	+0	open	—	04-14 14:55
btc updown 5m 1776171300	3	$211	108	108	+0	open	—	04-14 13:00
btc updown 5m 1776170700	3	$201	106	105	+1	open	—	04-14 12:50
btc updown 5m 1776165000	29	$190	110	84	+26	open	—	04-14 11:16
eth updown 5m 1776162600	2	$183	93	93	+0	open	—	04-14 10:35
btc updown 5m 1776160800	4	$179	91	91	+0	open	—	04-14 10:06
btc updown 5m 1776175500	21	$169	114	57	+57	open	—	04-14 14:11
eth updown 5m 1776172200	21	$164	111	58	+52	open	—	04-14 13:16
eth updown 5m 1776164400	15	$123	94	34	+60	open	—	04-14 11:06
eth updown 5m 1776161100	1	$112	119	0	+119	open	—	04-14 10:09
btc updown 5m 1776285000	1	$100	104	0	+104	open	—	04-15 20:34
btc updown 5m 1776162000	1	$99	100	0	+100	open	—	04-14 10:24
eth updown 5m 1776172500	2	$96	49	49	+0	open	—	04-14 13:20
btc updown 5m 1776164700	1	$71	97	0	+97	open	—	04-14 11:09
btc updown 5m 1776191100	22	$50	26	26	+0	open	—	04-14 18:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	10	$46	32	31	+1	open	—	05-14 16:14
eth updown 5m 1776195600	5	$45	23	23	+0	open	—	04-14 19:45
btc updown 5m 1776195600	5	$44	23	23	+0	open	—	04-14 19:45
eth updown 5m 1776192900	18	$44	23	22	+0	open	—	04-14 19:01
btc updown 5m 1776174300	18	$43	23	22	+1	open	—	04-14 13:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	8	$40	25	24	+1	open	—	05-14 18:44
btc updown 5m 1776191400	21	$35	18	18	+0	open	—	04-14 18:36
eth updown 5m 1776195900	3	$32	16	16	+0	open	—	04-14 19:50
btc updown 5m 1776196200	7	$32	16	16	+0	open	—	04-14 19:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	6	$31	19	18	+0	open	—	05-14 15:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	6	$29	17	16	+1	open	—	05-14 18:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	6	$28	20	20	+0	open	—	05-14 17:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-26 10:26:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x88b4a0…
05-26 09:10:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	SELL	2	40¢	$1	0xf456f9…
05-26 09:10:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x5347ca…
05-26 07:40:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xfbcb5e…
05-26 07:36:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	SELL	3	36¢	$1	0xefa454…
05-26 07:36:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x6dffb1…
05-26 00:07:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	SELL	3	37¢	$1	0x51cd8d…
05-26 00:05:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x60894e…
05-25 21:51:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	SELL	3	31¢	$1	0xcef5e9…
05-25 21:51:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x146f46…
05-25 14:26:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	SELL	2	44¢	$1	0xfc2077…
05-25 14:25:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x7b354d…
05-25 13:41:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	SELL	3	39¢	$1	0xfae695…
05-25 13:40:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x649bc4…
05-24 14:20:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	SELL	2	25¢	$1	0x8cc7f3…
05-24 14:20:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x907e5c…
05-24 14:16:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x317cd8…
05-24 14:01:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	SELL	3	56¢	$2	0x48d910…
05-24 14:00:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xe59659…
05-24 00:42:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	SELL	2	61¢	$2	0xfb0453…
05-24 00:40:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xe22f60…
05-24 00:20:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x432db3…
05-23 21:40:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	SELL	3	34¢	$1	0x1242c1…
05-23 21:40:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xa68092…
05-23 21:11:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	SELL	3	63¢	$2	0x394413…
05-23 21:10:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xeb842f…
05-23 21:01:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	SELL	2	39¢	$1	0x139c43…
05-23 21:01:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xa68c0b…
05-23 18:30:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x304644…
05-23 12:00:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	SELL	3	51¢	$1	0xf8d78b…
05-23 12:00:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x77ac26…
05-22 18:36:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	SELL	3	19¢	$1	0xf06f5f…
05-22 18:35:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x1e85c0…
05-22 16:31:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	SELL	2	40¢	$1	0xbe293e…
05-22 16:30:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x747ac2…
05-22 13:30:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x03951b…
05-22 11:12:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	SELL	2	44¢	$1	0x34afc2…
05-22 11:10:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xc251e6…
05-22 08:22:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	SELL	3	88¢	$2	0x90e4d9…
05-22 08:21:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x71b75d…
05-21 23:03:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	SELL	3	94¢	$2	0xac509f…
05-21 23:00:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x178965…
05-17 22:30:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	SELL	3	32¢	$1	0xb6ce07…
05-17 22:30:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x94ba25…
05-17 22:25:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	SELL	3	29¢	$1	0x259696…
05-17 22:25:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x2bd897…
05-17 22:21:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	SELL	3	22¢	$1	0x2f975b…
05-17 22:20:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x1dbf63…
05-17 22:00:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	SELL	2	21¢	$1	0xf95f55…
05-17 22:00:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x84fc41…
05-17 21:59:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	SELL	3	76¢	$2	0x4f0777…
05-17 21:55:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x00a7ca…
05-17 20:32:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x250253…
05-17 20:09:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x7fc742…
05-17 20:08:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xd38050…
05-17 19:59:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	SELL	4	6¢	$0	0x46e1da…
05-17 19:59:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x091735…
05-17 19:44:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x4b4b0a…
05-17 19:42:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x1c173a…
05-17 19:23:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	SELL	1	60¢	$1	0xd1b1bc…
05-17 19:23:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x4390e2…
05-17 11:37:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0x1efc53…
05-17 11:37:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xdd4123…
05-17 11:03:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x90b89a…
05-17 11:02:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x32d63c…
05-17 10:49:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x2d8049…
05-17 10:48:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xc4d9ef…
05-17 10:42:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	SELL	1	60¢	$1	0x992eac…
05-17 10:42:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x1f1eba…
05-17 10:37:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x72d858…
05-17 10:32:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0xff4178…
05-17 10:32:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xb79e8d…
05-17 10:27:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x17c868…
05-16 03:57:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x24ccdf…
05-16 00:09:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0xd11731…
05-16 00:07:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x6b1ab0…
05-15 23:37:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xa91b51…
05-15 23:18:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	SELL	6	69¢	$4	0xe19c74…
05-15 23:17:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x69dbac…
05-15 23:17:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xb938be…
05-15 21:02:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x361d9a…
05-15 20:54:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x0c11d3…
05-15 20:54:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x9af5c8…
05-15 20:44:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xefda21…
05-15 20:43:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x9c723b…
05-15 20:37:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x656f39…
05-15 20:22:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x43f1a7…
05-15 20:09:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x39e091…
05-15 20:02:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xaa50ea…
05-15 19:48:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	SELL	6	79¢	$4	0x0596bc…
05-15 19:47:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xbae38c…
05-15 19:44:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xc538ad…
05-15 19:42:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x5bc75f…
05-15 19:32:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	SELL	6	77¢	$4	0x4b00ac…
05-15 19:32:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x01d025…
05-15 19:22:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	SELL	6	82¢	$5	0x6833ee…
05-15 19:22:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x95b461…
05-15 19:17:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x84bdc1…
05-15 19:13:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	SELL	6	72¢	$4	0x0eb065…
05-15 19:12:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xa95eec…