Melodic-Mineshaft — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$10

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

76.2%

Resolved

Trades

411

lifetime

Volume

$1.28K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-04-25

last 07-01 13:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 58% $-9

Other

1% 0% $-1

Politics

0% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

33 active days in 12wk • peak 62 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (6) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Cuban regime falls in 2026?	Yes		-12	$-2	12¢	$-1	+$1	06-14 12:54

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	3	$32	524	24	+500	open	—	04-30 05:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	2	$24	19	19	+0	open	—	04-29 03:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	2	$21	12	12	+0	open	—	04-30 09:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	2	$21	11	11	+0	open	—	04-30 09:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	2	$18	22	22	+0	open	—	04-30 21:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	2	$16	83	83	+0	Up	+$6	05-12 23:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	5	$16	18	18	+0	open	—	05-16 14:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	2	$15	12	12	+0	open	—	04-29 04:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	3	$15	12	5	+7	open	—	04-30 21:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	1	$15	58	0	+58	open	—	06-02 21:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	1	$15	52	0	+52	open	—	05-16 14:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	2	$15	12	12	+0	open	—	04-30 05:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	2	$13	14	14	+0	open	—	04-29 11:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	2	$13	9	9	+0	Up	+$3	05-09 23:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	2	$13	12	12	+0	open	—	05-01 12:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	2	$13	9	9	+0	open	—	04-30 21:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	2	$13	8	8	+0	open	—	04-30 05:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	2	$13	10	10	+0	Down	+$3	05-12 23:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	2	$13	8	8	+0	open	—	04-30 13:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	3	$13	11	11	+0	open	—	05-02 10:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	2	$13	10	10	+0	open	—	04-30 09:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	2	$13	67	67	+0	open	—	06-01 09:28
Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	2	$12	8	8	+0	open	—	04-30 21:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	2	$12	8	8	+0	open	—	05-01 21:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	2	$12	11	11	+0	Up	+$2	05-12 23:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	2	$12	8	8	+0	open	—	04-29 04:17
Solana Up or Down - April 30, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	2	$12	9	9	+0	open	—	04-30 12:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	2	$12	8	8	+0	Down	+$2	05-04 22:24
XRP Up or Down - May 6, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	2	$12	7	7	+0	Up	+$2	05-06 11:04
btc updown 5m 1782864600	4	$11	14	14	+0	open	—	07-01 00:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-01 13:44:16	btc updown 5m 1782913200	Down	BUY	67	3¢	$2	0x0954f5…
07-01 00:11:59	btc updown 5m 1782864600	Down	SELL	10	43¢	$4	0x281f68…
07-01 00:11:20	btc updown 5m 1782864600	Down	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x157285…
07-01 00:11:13	btc updown 5m 1782864600	Up	SELL	4	78¢	$3	0x2200ee…
07-01 00:10:13	btc updown 5m 1782864600	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xab3e4c…
07-01 00:08:31	btc updown 5m 1782864300	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x76858d…
06-28 22:55:52	btc updown 5m 1782687300	Down	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x0d209d…
06-28 22:51:35	btc updown 5m 1782687000	Up	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0x611a05…
06-23 21:10:08	btc updown 5m 1782248700	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xdc4558…
06-23 21:09:10	btc updown 5m 1782248700	Down	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0xb86dba…
06-23 21:07:17	Will Netherlands advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	500	0¢	$1	0xb4e8d3…
06-23 21:07:13	Will Switzerland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	500	0¢	$0	0xfa7967…
06-21 12:40:35	Will Netherlands advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x054de7…
06-21 12:40:28	Will Switzerland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xac9a0e…
06-21 12:38:02	btc updown 5m 1782045300	Up	SELL	11	32¢	$3	0x507279…
06-21 12:36:25	btc updown 5m 1782045300	Up	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0xd8c9cf…
06-21 12:33:49	btc updown 5m 1782045000	Up	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0xf3d624…
06-19 22:38:19	btc updown 5m 1781908500	Down	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0xb3bc10…
06-19 22:34:59	btc updown 5m 1781908200	Down	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0xd971f5…
06-18 01:35:17	btc updown 5m 1781746500	Up	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x188d2e…
06-18 01:31:40	btc updown 5m 1781746200	Down	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0xfc018d…
06-17 23:11:31	btc updown 5m 1781737800	Up	SELL	6	50¢	$3	0xf70117…
06-17 23:10:17	btc updown 5m 1781737800	Up	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0xf6859a…
06-17 23:06:46	btc updown 5m 1781737500	Up	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0xf49967…
06-17 23:00:58	btc updown 5m 1781737200	Down	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x082ef3…
06-17 12:50:13	btc updown 5m 1781700600	Up	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x2b5d19…
06-16 21:58:44	btc updown 5m 1781646900	Down	SELL	5	67¢	$4	0xed9f9d…
06-16 21:57:08	btc updown 5m 1781646900	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x4ebe27…
06-15 23:46:15	btc updown 5m 1781567100	Up	SELL	5	70¢	$4	0x1e21b5…
06-15 23:45:24	btc updown 5m 1781567100	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x2f10b9…
06-14 23:15:31	btc updown 5m 1781478900	Down	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x5f90ba…
06-14 12:54:01	Cuban regime falls in 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	21¢	$2	0xefdfa0…
06-13 14:16:36	btc updown 5m 1781360100	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x3a451b…
06-13 08:41:40	btc updown 5m 1781340000	Up	SELL	5	67¢	$3	0xf71171…
06-13 08:40:19	btc updown 5m 1781340000	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x5b72b5…
06-13 08:35:27	btc updown 5m 1781339700	Down	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x4f7c8f…
06-09 16:11:43	btc updown 5m 1781021400	Up	SELL	5	72¢	$4	0x5e3179…
06-09 16:10:42	btc updown 5m 1781021400	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x68a7b1…
06-07 21:10:54	btc updown 5m 1780866600	Down	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x99afb5…
06-06 10:36:30	btc updown 5m 1780742100	Down	SELL	5	70¢	$3	0x661b28…
06-06 10:35:22	btc updown 5m 1780742100	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xd0fcd0…
06-06 10:30:52	btc updown 5m 1780741800	Up	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0xd14b33…
06-06 10:08:01	btc updown 5m 1780740300	Down	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x9327f2…
06-06 10:07:21	btc updown 5m 1780740300	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x2f703e…
06-06 10:06:55	btc updown 5m 1780740300	Up	SELL	3	37¢	$1	0x1b6bc8…
06-06 10:06:00	btc updown 5m 1780740300	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x1ce42c…
06-06 10:05:52	btc updown 5m 1780740300	Down	SELL	2	66¢	$1	0xecd0b0…
06-06 10:05:18	btc updown 5m 1780740300	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x358840…
06-05 21:48:37	btc updown 5m 1780695900	Up	SELL	8	58¢	$4	0x202194…
06-05 21:46:01	btc updown 5m 1780695900	Up	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0xab8abb…
06-05 21:40:16	btc updown 5m 1780695600	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x918c76…
06-05 10:24:48	btc updown 5m 1780654800	Up	SELL	6	5¢	$0	0x462d70…
06-05 10:23:54	btc updown 5m 1780654800	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xbc4853…
06-05 10:23:39	btc updown 5m 1780654800	Down	SELL	8	62¢	$5	0x763d54…
06-05 10:20:49	btc updown 5m 1780654800	Down	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xfb810e…
06-05 10:20:16	btc updown 5m 1780654800	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xb3ee6c…
06-05 10:15:34	btc updown 5m 1780654500	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xcf86e8…
06-05 10:10:31	btc updown 5m 1780654200	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x3c1540…
06-05 10:06:16	btc updown 5m 1780653900	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xf8e741…
06-05 05:21:07	btc updown 5m 1780636800	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xa0604c…
06-05 05:18:21	btc updown 5m 1780636500	Up	SELL	17	19¢	$3	0x1f99f1…
06-05 05:18:03	btc updown 5m 1780636500	Up	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0x8dcccc…
06-05 05:17:28	btc updown 5m 1780636500	Up	SELL	13	27¢	$4	0xc748a9…
06-05 05:16:34	btc updown 5m 1780636500	Up	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0xf1f853…
06-04 23:40:57	btc updown 5m 1780616400	Down	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x837ca8…
06-04 23:01:15	btc updown 5m 1780614000	Up	SELL	5	44¢	$2	0x2a6196…
06-04 23:00:27	btc updown 5m 1780614000	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xa7c5d1…
06-04 22:56:45	btc updown 5m 1780613700	Down	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x661929…
06-04 22:51:42	btc updown 5m 1780613400	Down	SELL	5	56¢	$3	0x94c73c…
06-04 22:50:25	btc updown 5m 1780613400	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x3001ea…
06-04 22:42:30	btc updown 5m 1780612800	Down	SELL	7	41¢	$3	0x2abb97…
06-04 22:40:40	btc updown 5m 1780612800	Down	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0xec0483…
06-04 22:35:28	btc updown 5m 1780612500	Down	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x8475a7…
06-04 00:09:57	btc updown 5m 1780531500	Up	SELL	6	38¢	$2	0x17f191…
06-04 00:06:00	btc updown 5m 1780531500	Up	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x1cbb05…
06-04 00:05:54	btc updown 5m 1780531500	Down	SELL	6	68¢	$4	0x56d7b2…
06-04 00:05:19	btc updown 5m 1780531500	Down	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0xa0ea20…
06-04 00:03:54	btc updown 5m 1780531200	Down	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x642ea4…
06-03 23:58:00	btc updown 5m 1780530900	Down	SELL	5	47¢	$3	0x3e7468…
06-03 23:55:52	btc updown 5m 1780530900	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x2c7a1f…
06-03 23:51:51	btc updown 5m 1780530600	Up	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0x8eb9fd…
06-03 23:51:40	btc updown 5m 1780530600	Down	SELL	4	82¢	$3	0x68dfa0…
06-03 23:51:00	btc updown 5m 1780530600	Down	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x036ee3…
06-03 23:49:01	btc updown 5m 1780530300	Down	SELL	8	76¢	$6	0x00d84a…
06-03 23:46:00	btc updown 5m 1780530300	Down	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x448a29…
06-03 23:42:30	btc updown 5m 1780530000	Down	SELL	7	61¢	$4	0xa411ad…
06-03 23:40:21	btc updown 5m 1780530000	Down	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0xc1f3cd…
06-03 03:42:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	SELL	7	53¢	$4	0xeab7ed…
06-03 03:41:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0xe1e41b…
06-02 22:21:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0xa66bdd…
06-02 22:16:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xfb052e…
06-02 21:56:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xff9f08…
06-02 21:50:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0xc80396…
06-02 21:40:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	58	26¢	$15	0xe08b89…
06-02 21:37:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0xe6cf1b…
06-01 09:28:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	SELL	67	16¢	$11	0x005b6f…
06-01 09:27:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	67	3¢	$2	0x141e9c…
06-01 09:00:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x87ef76…
06-01 08:55:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xae65e5…
06-01 01:33:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	SELL	4	50¢	$2	0xd5af1c…