Big-Economics — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

+$1

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

298 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$682

$3.39K lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-09

last 11-08 11:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 229 days

Categories

Other

95% 100% +$5

Politics

5% 89% -$24

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

73 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 6°C on November 8?	No		+9	$9	100¢	$9	$0	11-08 11:55

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C or higher on May 14?	1	$25	26	+26	No	+$0	05-14 14:36
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$25	26	+26	No	-$25	05-15 04:58
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on May 2?	1	$25	25	+25	No	+$0	05-02 13:42
Trump out as President by April 30?	1	$25	25	+25	No	+$0	04-30 08:48
Will Trump visit China by June 30?	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$1	05-03 03:32
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 13°C on April 29?	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	04-29 12:58
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on April 28?	1	$24	25	+25	Yes	+$0	04-28 10:37
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on April 27?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-28 01:35
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on April 27?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-27 10:28
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on April 26?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-27 01:30
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on April 26?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-26 09:12
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C or higher on April 25?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-25 12:05
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 24th?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-24 08:59
highest temperature in nyc on april 23 2026 72 73f	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-24 01:58
highest temperature in tokyo on april 23 2026 19c	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-23 07:18
highest temperature in manila on april 22 2026 35c	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-22 10:13
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-22 02:45
highest temperature in seoul on april 21 2026 14c	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-21 10:08
highest temperature in toronto on april 20 2026 5c	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-21 01:13
highest temperature in karachi on april 20 2026 34c	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-20 16:45
highest temperature in wellington on april 20 2026 17c	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-20 03:42
highest temperature in lucknow on april 19 2026 42c	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-19 16:07
highest temperature in wellington on april 19 2026 18c	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-19 05:39
highest temperature in moscow on april 18 2026 10c	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-18 15:17
highest temperature in wellington on april 18 2026 18c	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-18 07:35
highest temperature in tokyo on april 17 2026 17c	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-17 10:06
highest temperature in seattle on april 16 2026 54 55f	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-17 03:45
highest temperature in busan on april 16 2026 21c	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-16 12:00
highest temperature in los angeles on april 15 2026 68 69f	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-16 05:51
highest temperature in istanbul on april 15 2026 18c	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-15 14:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-08 11:55:22	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 6°C on November 8?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x125dc3…
11-07 11:01:48	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 4°C or below on November 7?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x822883…
11-06 10:05:04	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on November 6?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x2e10ff…
11-05 00:32:12	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 7°C or below on November 5?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x9fa7b0…
11-03 17:57:12	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on November 4?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xd7ce0d…
11-03 09:16:49	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 17°C on November 3?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xe7a9ba…
11-02 12:31:24	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on November 2?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x23ebad…
10-31 17:44:27	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 19°C on November 1?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xa1f848…
10-31 08:20:58	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on October 31?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x9d14cf…
10-30 09:25:48	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x68f86e…
10-29 07:43:41	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on October 29?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x4b14c9…
10-28 04:59:11	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 10°C on October 28?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$8	0x690ee3…
10-27 07:58:20	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C on October 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfa47de…
10-26 05:32:35	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on October 26?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc4e4ed…
10-24 06:52:06	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 9°C on October 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x543e92…
10-23 07:14:51	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on October 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xeb2de7…
10-21 08:58:24	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 13°C on October 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcbc6f1…
10-19 06:44:20	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 14°C on October 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf93e25…
10-18 07:29:45	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on October 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x01d8b9…
10-17 07:38:54	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on October 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa406e6…
10-16 05:13:13	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x939ae0…
10-15 06:38:40	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on October 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xff3090…
10-14 07:12:35	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x81d8e4…
10-13 05:33:57	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C on October 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe9c235…
10-12 04:26:17	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C on October 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x97d0db…
10-11 03:14:09	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C or below on October 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7401c3…
10-08 05:16:59	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on October 8?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2e55d5…
10-07 08:55:18	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on October 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8644b0…
10-06 07:13:57	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on October 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x684d36…
10-04 08:27:37	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on October 4?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcf1e89…
10-03 04:16:57	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on October 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x073b5d…
10-02 07:22:45	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 2?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb2f847…
10-02 03:14:17	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on October 1?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x927037…
10-01 07:36:51	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on October 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa667c0…
09-30 09:26:09	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on September 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x69f2ff…
09-29 08:10:54	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on September 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6bda92…
09-28 08:15:42	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on September 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdd71ab…
09-27 02:30:03	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on September 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfba348…
09-25 07:55:11	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 22°C on September 25?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x380bb5…
09-24 06:42:47	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on September 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9d725b…
09-23 05:16:10	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on September 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xed9d9f…
09-22 06:14:51	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on September 22?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x368188…
09-21 08:24:08	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 21?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x30b501…
09-20 03:08:12	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 63°F or below on September 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6c130c…
09-19 06:49:34	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x44c8e5…
09-18 01:11:36	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on September 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x041a26…
09-17 03:43:55	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C or below on September 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd9d023…
09-16 08:46:12	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on September 16?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0cac47…
09-15 23:35:40	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on September 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x366717…
09-15 02:28:31	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on September 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2cfc5e…
09-14 02:45:21	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on September 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc1dd88…
09-13 12:51:21	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on September 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf531d8…
09-12 08:11:36	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on September 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf5bfd9…
09-11 06:27:33	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C or below on September 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x77ef63…
09-10 01:48:52	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C on September 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3b8a6e…
09-09 01:01:49	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 21°C on September 9?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x43fb02…
09-08 01:09:39	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on September 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4f3c8f…
09-07 01:51:33	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on September 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3a23f7…
09-06 01:15:40	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 27°C on September 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1b8534…
09-05 09:21:21	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on September 5?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x62a778…
09-04 08:20:34	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8db5d1…
09-03 01:31:43	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C or higher on September 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x424887…
09-01 01:25:58	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on August 31?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x49a41c…
08-30 00:15:27	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on August 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe65ba0…
08-29 05:51:24	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on August 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x440202…
08-28 01:31:04	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on August 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb7087a…
08-27 01:19:13	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on August 27?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xfa6378…
08-26 02:03:21	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on August 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xaf27c6…
08-25 08:10:40	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C or higher on August 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xecb915…
08-24 07:21:37	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x19fa38…
08-23 07:23:21	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on August 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9496e0…
08-22 06:31:34	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on August 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x393123…
08-21 01:29:12	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on August 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x94f8ad…
08-20 05:38:42	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on August 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5ead88…
08-19 07:23:39	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on August 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x79d422…
08-18 00:22:40	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 27°C on August 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x419d27…
08-17 06:08:01	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7b236a…
08-16 10:45:21	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4bf408…
08-15 02:34:55	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on August 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x625fac…
08-14 06:19:58	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 38°C or higher on August 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8fe20f…
08-13 00:27:54	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 39°C or higher on August 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6b98c9…
08-12 06:48:49	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on August 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9ee4d6…
08-11 00:26:16	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C or below on August 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3cf1ab…
08-10 00:28:18	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on August 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd36612…
08-09 07:55:30	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 9?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x01374e…
08-09 00:29:04	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on August 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x33ac58…
08-08 07:00:54	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on August 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfd9bfb…
08-07 00:27:47	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on August 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcec6b3…
08-06 00:25:09	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on August 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdb47f0…
08-05 00:37:02	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on August 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x91a32f…
08-04 03:27:53	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 4?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x046a16…
08-03 00:19:56	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 28°C on August 2?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x4e1794…
08-02 00:22:33	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C on August 1?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x93ad89…
08-01 00:18:42	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 90-91°F on July 31?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x28e530…
07-31 07:14:59	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 37°C on July 31?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x38014b…
07-30 00:20:59	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on July 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc1987b…
07-29 01:13:15	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on July 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x67c559…
07-28 00:23:52	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 92-93°F on July 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7fe017…
07-27 07:19:00	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C on July 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdec816…
07-26 01:08:16	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on July 25?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcf0d24…