Honored-Background — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$24

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

60.6%

Resolved

Trades

144

lifetime

Volume

$6.34K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$44

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-05

last 05-19 01:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Crypto

73% 66% $-29

Sports

20% 62% +$5

Other

7% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

26 active days in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (15) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	3	$233	36,111	11,111	+25,000	open	—	04-16 02:00
btc updown 5m 1775434500	1	$200	294	0	+294	open	—	04-06 00:17
btc updown 5m 1775433300	1	$175	372	0	+372	open	—	04-05 23:56
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$150	24,286	0	+24,286	open	—	04-16 02:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	2	$140	217	0	+217	Up	$-8	05-10 23:22
nhl det fla 2026 04 15	2	$137	98	98	+0	open	—	04-16 01:33
Canadiens vs. Sabres	2	$118	217	217	+0	Sabres	$-82	05-07 00:56
Sabres vs. Canadiens	2	$110	190	0	+190	Sabres	$-110	05-13 01:08
btc updown 5m 1775702100	1	$108	196	0	+196	open	—	04-09 02:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	1	$100	162	0	+162	Down	$-100	05-08 19:27
btc updown 5m 1775439000	1	$100	287	0	+287	open	—	04-06 01:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	1	$100	131	0	+131	Up	+$31	05-08 14:37
btc updown 5m 1775433900	1	$100	133	0	+133	open	—	04-06 00:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	1	$100	145	0	+145	Down	+$45	05-08 17:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	1	$100	184	0	+184	Down	$-100	05-09 13:28
btc updown 5m 1775434800	1	$100	235	0	+235	open	—	04-06 00:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	1	$100	462	0	+462	Down	$-100	05-12 11:05
btc updown 5m 1776305100	1	$100	141	0	+141	open	—	04-16 02:07
btc updown 5m 1776303600	1	$100	144	0	+144	open	—	04-16 01:40
btc updown 5m 1775435400	1	$100	132	0	+132	open	—	04-06 00:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	1	$100	139	0	+139	Down	+$39	05-08 17:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	1	$100	124	0	+124	Up	$-100	05-09 12:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	1	$100	118	0	+118	Down	+$18	05-08 17:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	1	$100	115	0	+115	Down	$-100	05-08 19:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	1	$100	114	0	+114	Up	+$14	05-08 17:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	1	$100	115	0	+115	Down	+$15	05-07 00:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	1	$97	133	0	+133	Up	+$36	05-08 16:52
nhl mon tb 2026 04 19	2	$93	108	106	+2	open	—	04-20 00:46
btc updown 5m 1776306000	2	$91	1,006	0	+1,006	open	—	04-16 02:22
btc updown 5m 1775702400	2	$90	107	0	+107	open	—	04-09 02:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-19 01:55:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x8c34df…
05-19 01:55:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x7b98a4…
05-17 01:24:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	58	9¢	$5	0x40fdc7…
05-15 16:03:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	57	44¢	$25	0x07721a…
05-15 15:18:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x01b3c7…
05-15 15:18:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xf07d6c…
05-15 15:18:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x21925f…
05-15 14:50:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x76e15f…
05-15 14:50:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x49ed69…
05-15 14:49:07	Sabres vs. Canadiens	Canadiens	BUY	83	60¢	$50	0x24a44f…
05-15 14:34:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	64	39¢	$25	0x606838…
05-14 20:31:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	40	63¢	$25	0x8e1a65…
05-14 20:23:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	30	84¢	$25	0x81b3d2…
05-14 19:08:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	47	53¢	$25	0xbd1208…
05-14 13:56:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	38	66¢	$25	0xfe77ce…
05-14 13:54:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0x7c5c33…
05-14 11:36:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	34	74¢	$25	0xfdccb0…
05-13 17:11:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	46	54¢	$25	0x668877…
05-13 17:06:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	62	40¢	$25	0x3855e2…
05-13 16:31:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	48	52¢	$25	0x589b95…
05-13 01:08:19	Sabres vs. Canadiens	Canadiens	BUY	83	60¢	$50	0x6576ab…
05-12 13:50:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	45	55¢	$25	0x3cdcc3…
05-12 12:43:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	227	11¢	$25	0x99e3e3…
05-12 12:32:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	922	2¢	$21	0x7f8031…
05-12 12:27:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	625	4¢	$25	0x39c9be…
05-12 12:25:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xd7e47a…
05-12 12:13:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	506	4¢	$20	0x361439…
05-12 11:05:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	462	22¢	$100	0xdaa38d…
05-12 10:50:45	Sabres vs. Canadiens	Canadiens	BUY	107	56¢	$60	0x93d48d…
05-11 18:42:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	56	71¢	$40	0x991395…
05-11 14:03:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	62	97¢	$60	0xc82a91…
05-11 10:51:19	Avalanche vs. Wild	Avalanche	BUY	88	57¢	$50	0x2bd69d…
05-10 23:31:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	56	54¢	$30	0xcd5552…
05-10 23:22:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	132	76¢	$100	0x81896c…
05-10 23:21:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	85	47¢	$40	0x09a634…
05-10 22:55:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	81	74¢	$60	0x938788…
05-10 21:17:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	81	62¢	$50	0x955b7a…
05-10 21:15:18	Golden Knights vs. Ducks	Ducks	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0xa91d6a…
05-10 21:15:02	Sabres vs. Canadiens	Canadiens	BUY	93	54¢	$50	0x8a8d96…
05-09 13:28:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	184	54¢	$100	0xb9193f…
05-09 12:56:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	124	81¢	$100	0x08cc4b…
05-08 19:37:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	115	87¢	$100	0x17bb51…
05-08 19:27:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	162	62¢	$100	0xf6cc71…
05-08 17:50:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	145	69¢	$100	0x1a2332…
05-08 17:44:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	53	57¢	$30	0xa63061…
05-08 17:35:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	139	72¢	$100	0xb68ea9…
05-08 17:22:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	118	85¢	$100	0x59084c…
05-08 17:02:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	114	88¢	$100	0x2e4d4f…
05-08 16:52:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	133	73¢	$97	0x7e8f79…
05-08 14:37:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	131	77¢	$100	0xc93b51…
05-08 13:50:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	100	40¢	$40	0x4e8859…
05-08 13:30:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0x5cd490…
05-08 13:30:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	21	70¢	$15	0x53d176…
05-08 13:30:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0x2384a6…
05-08 13:30:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0xe561b5…
05-08 13:30:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	24	70¢	$17	0xd7d13c…
05-08 13:30:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x99f7f2…
05-08 13:30:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x3fc8e1…
05-08 13:29:25	Golden Knights vs. Ducks	Ducks	BUY	80	50¢	$40	0x5e763b…
05-08 13:28:59	Canadiens vs. Sabres	Canadiens	BUY	87	46¢	$40	0xde64a6…
05-07 00:56:26	Canadiens vs. Sabres	Canadiens	SELL	217	8¢	$18	0xff6154…
05-07 00:08:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	115	87¢	$100	0xdad0d7…
05-06 19:16:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	98	61¢	$60	0x9a0ff2…
05-06 18:16:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	85	59¢	$50	0x961647…
05-06 18:08:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	64	63¢	$40	0x951b21…
05-06 17:59:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	45	44¢	$20	0xa35714…
05-06 15:43:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	86	58¢	$50	0x276996…
05-06 15:32:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	75	66¢	$50	0xb93d58…
05-06 15:20:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	51	58¢	$30	0x3be358…
05-06 15:07:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	44	68¢	$30	0x23f580…
05-06 14:50:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	77	52¢	$40	0x4030a8…
05-06 14:18:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	33	61¢	$20	0x0d5ea5…
05-06 13:31:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	53	76¢	$40	0xe2d709…
05-05 20:04:30	Ducks vs. Golden Knights	Ducks	BUY	100	40¢	$40	0x85a2bc…
05-05 20:03:24	Canadiens vs. Sabres	Canadiens	BUY	217	46¢	$100	0x8ba629…
05-03 19:54:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	47	43¢	$20	0x9bbe79…
05-03 19:40:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	60	50¢	$30	0x70145c…
05-03 11:35:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	96	52¢	$50	0x14efc4…
05-03 11:29:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	71	14¢	$10	0x61d59d…
05-02 18:20:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	84	48¢	$40	0xfd8633…
05-02 18:13:26	Flyers vs. Hurricanes	Flyers	BUY	94	32¢	$30	0x1898f3…
05-02 18:13:00	Canadiens vs. Lightning	Canadiens	BUY	122	41¢	$50	0x57840c…
04-21 22:05:56	nhl bos buf 2026 04 21	Sabres	BUY	34	61¢	$21	0x1862ce…
04-21 22:05:46	nhl mon tb 2026 04 21	Canadiens	BUY	39	38¢	$15	0x4b16e1…
04-20 19:02:36	nhl ott car 2026 04 20	Hurricanes	BUY	36	58¢	$21	0xc776f4…
04-20 19:02:22	nhl ana edm 2026 04 20	Ducks	BUY	81	37¢	$30	0xb1df47…
04-20 00:46:38	nhl mon tb 2026 04 19	Canadiens	SELL	106	49¢	$52	0xdec3fc…
04-19 02:41:50	nhl mon tb 2026 04 19	Canadiens	BUY	108	38¢	$41	0xe0f1fb…
04-18 22:41:42	btc updown 5m 1776552000	Down	BUY	65	46¢	$30	0xbcc15d…
04-17 20:36:52	btc updown 5m 1776458100	Down	BUY	59	51¢	$30	0x739174…
04-17 18:55:20	btc updown 5m 1776452100	Down	BUY	47	64¢	$30	0x50aac9…
04-17 18:46:16	btc updown 5m 1776451500	Down	BUY	26	78¢	$20	0x9d52d6…
04-17 18:44:54	btc updown 5m 1776451200	Down	BUY	77	8¢	$6	0x2e457b…
04-16 02:22:40	btc updown 5m 1776306000	Down	BUY	375	4¢	$15	0xad03a3…
04-16 02:21:34	btc updown 5m 1776306000	Down	BUY	631	12¢	$76	0xe1c95b…
04-16 02:16:36	btc updown 5m 1776305700	Up	BUY	59	51¢	$30	0x0d4243…
04-16 02:07:02	btc updown 5m 1776305100	Up	BUY	141	71¢	$100	0x7d759d…
04-16 02:01:30	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	10,000	0¢	$50	0x9eae42…
04-16 02:00:34	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	25,000	0¢	$100	0xb8816c…
04-16 01:56:20	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	11,111	0¢	$33	0xb09e1c…