Realized P&L
-$5.47K
Unrealized P&L
+$44
Hit rate
80.8%
Resolved
616
Trades
2,183
lifetime
Volume
$69.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$32
Open exposure
$4.91K
30 positions
First seen
2026-10-05
last 10-27 19:35
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 19 days
Categories
Other
57% 81% -$269
Politics
29% 78% -$5,282
Sports
14% 90% +$78
Tech
0% 100% +$3
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$1
Crypto
0% 75% +$4
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
23 active days in 12wk • peak 416 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Charlotte Hornets win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +1,496 $1,490 100¢ $1.5K -$1 10-24 00:33
Will Memphis Grizzlies win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +467 $466 100¢ $465 -$1 10-21 02:17
Will LYON win Worlds 2026? No +361 $360 98¢ $353 -$6 10-25 01:27
Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day? No +318 $306 98¢ $310 +$4 10-24 01:29
Will Invictus Gaming win Worlds 2026? No +226 $220 96¢ $216 -$5 10-25 01:27
Will Karmine Corp win Worlds 2026? No +200 $199 98¢ $197 -$2 10-25 03:46
Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +179 $108 100¢ $178 +$71 10-20 18:41
Will G2 Esports win Worlds 2026? No +179 $172 99¢ $178 +$6 10-25 01:27
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting? No +493 $187 36¢ $175 -$12 10-22 15:53
Will Orlando Magic win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +158 $157 99¢ $157 +$0 10-21 04:31
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +150 $149 100¢ $149 +$0 10-25 22:07
Will Movistar KOI win Worlds 2026? No +149 $148 99¢ $148 -$1 10-23 15:47
Will Chicago Bulls win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +136 $136 100¢ $136 $0 10-25 21:08
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +100 $100 100¢ $100 $0 10-22 14:15
Will The Weeknd be the top artist for 2026? No +89 $89 100¢ $89 $0 10-25 17:09
Will the Republicans win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026? No +76 $71 95¢ $73 +$1 10-25 07:07
Will Dallas Mavericks win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +68 $68 100¢ $68 +$0 10-14 04:22
Will oil be below $80 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate? No +49 $47 100¢ $48 +$1 10-21 10:01
Will Kendrick Lamar be the top artist for 2026? No +46 $46 100¢ $46 $0 10-24 19:59
Will Portland Trail Blazers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +42 $42 99¢ $42 $0 10-25 18:57
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day? No +47 $38 82¢ $38 +$0 10-14 10:42
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +37 $12 100¢ $37 +$25 10-27 18:55
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 56 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No +36 $36 100¢ $36 +$0 10-25 14:43
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in US before 2027? No +32 $32 98¢ $32 $0 10-20 14:30
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? No +658 $59 4¢ $26 -$33 10-23 16:48
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day? No +28 $25 94¢ $26 +$1 10-25 12:58
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? No +100 $28 26¢ $26 -$3 10-22 22:51
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +102 $26 24¢ $24 -$2 10-23 09:42
Will Beyoncé be the top artist for 2026? No +23 $23 100¢ $23 $0 10-24 22:21
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day? No +30 $22 76¢ $23 +$1 10-14 10:39