Realized P&L
-$107.6K
Unrealized P&L
-$1.50K
Hit rate
27.6%
Resolved
52
Trades
653
lifetime
Volume
$292.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$447
Open exposure
$437
1 position
First seen
2026-04-01
last 05-20 00:25
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 20 days
Categories
Other
72%
26%
-$114,126
Politics
28%
21%
+$6,738
Crypto
0%
0%
-$165
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-20).
| Market | Outcome | Mid 30D | Net shares | Cost basis | Current mid | Current value | Unrealized P&L | Last trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | Yes | +5,143 | $1,941 | 8¢ | $437 | -$1,504 | 05-12 19:53 |
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | 11 | $55.1K | 35,500 | 35,500 | +0 | Yes | +$15,524 | 04-05 04:01 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May? | 60 | $22.8K | 53,283 | 0 | +53,283 | No | -$22,810 | 05-20 00:25 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April? | 6 | $22.4K | 40,480 | 39,324 | +1,156 | No | -$537 | 04-07 15:56 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May? | 64 | $20.8K | 35,142 | 0 | +35,142 | No | -$20,767 | 05-12 02:52 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May? | 13 | $18.6K | 83,539 | 0 | +83,539 | No | -$18,625 | 05-19 19:41 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April? | 19 | $13.5K | 19,471 | 19,261 | +211 | Yes | -$2,413 | 04-20 13:59 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April? | 30 | $13.5K | 14,431 | 14,181 | +249 | No | -$1,680 | 04-07 15:57 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June? | 12 | $12.3K | 82,222 | 0 | +82,222 | No | -$12,306 | 05-12 02:32 |
| Iran leadership change by May 31? | 27 | $11.7K | 74,312 | 32,831 | +41,481 | No | -$4,994 | 05-07 05:19 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April? | 2 | $11.5K | 25,000 | 24,339 | +661 | No | -$5,486 | 04-11 21:06 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May? | 47 | $8.7K | 21,473 | 0 | +21,473 | No | -$8,706 | 05-12 02:53 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June? | 16 | $6.8K | 22,002 | 0 | +22,002 | No | -$6,836 | 05-12 02:55 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April? | 16 | $6.8K | 10,000 | 0 | +10,000 | Yes | +$3,200 | 04-12 07:16 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? | 2 | $6.6K | 21,000 | 21,000 | +0 | No | -$503 | 04-07 13:46 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May? | 15 | $5.7K | 8,746 | 0 | +8,746 | Yes | +$3,030 | 05-12 02:51 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May? | 15 | $5.5K | 37,419 | 0 | +37,419 | No | -$5,489 | 05-11 14:10 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June? | 5 | $4.1K | 7,423 | 0 | +7,423 | No | -$4,128 | 05-12 02:54 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April? | 14 | $3.9K | 9,000 | 4,000 | +5,000 | Yes | +$2,910 | 04-27 01:48 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June? | 36 | $3.8K | 19,287 | 0 | +19,287 | No | -$3,782 | 05-12 02:34 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May? | 5 | $3.7K | 56,728 | 0 | +56,728 | No | -$3,658 | 05-11 21:28 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026? | 18 | $3.1K | 5,000 | 5,000 | +0 | No | -$480 | 04-20 14:01 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June? | 5 | $2.7K | 33,705 | 0 | +33,705 | No | -$2,698 | 05-06 10:57 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June? | 3 | $2.6K | 4,898 | 0 | +4,898 | No | -$2,599 | 05-12 02:57 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31? | 12 | $2.5K | 9,502 | 9,502 | +0 | No | +$160 | 04-20 13:56 |
| Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026? | 13 | $2.4K | 2,000 | 2,000 | +0 | Yes | +$1,546 | 04-11 17:13 |
| Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30? | 16 | $2.3K | 10,000 | 10,000 | +0 | No | -$860 | 04-19 15:52 |
| us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 21 2026 | 12 | $2.2K | 5,000 | 5,000 | +0 | No | -$129 | 04-19 15:53 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | 11 | $1.9K | 5,143 | 0 | +5,143 | open | — | 05-12 19:53 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30? | 1 | $1.8K | 12,127 | 0 | +12,127 | No | -$1,764 | 05-12 19:51 |
| Iran leadership change by April 30? | 3 | $1.3K | 24,461 | 308 | +24,154 | No | -$1,236 | 04-26 01:21 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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