Ruddy-Incompetence — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$10

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

42.5%

Resolved

102

Trades

242

lifetime

Volume

$929

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-07

last 06-05 19:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 42% $-10

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 75 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1780658400	2	$31	42	0	+42	open	—	06-05 11:23
btc updown 5m 1780652400	1	$25	36	0	+36	open	—	06-05 09:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	2	$21	12	11	+1	open	—	05-15 15:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	2	$21	12	11	+1	open	—	05-16 00:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	2	$21	15	11	+5	open	—	05-15 14:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	2	$20	12	11	+2	open	—	05-18 03:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	2	$10	7	5	+1	open	—	05-14 15:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	1	$10	16	0	+16	open	—	05-16 06:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	1	$10	12	0	+12	open	—	05-18 09:09
btc updown 5m 1780684200	1	$10	17	0	+17	open	—	06-05 18:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	1	$10	25	0	+25	open	—	05-17 21:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	1	$10	46	0	+46	open	—	05-17 12:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	1	$10	16	0	+16	open	—	05-18 05:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	1	$10	25	0	+25	open	—	05-16 07:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	1	$10	18	0	+18	open	—	05-16 02:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	1	$10	15	0	+15	open	—	05-16 07:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	1	$10	15	0	+15	open	—	05-18 05:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	1	$10	20	0	+20	open	—	05-16 08:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	1	$10	15	0	+15	open	—	05-15 22:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	1	$10	18	0	+18	open	—	05-18 04:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	1	$10	19	0	+19	open	—	05-18 08:08
btc updown 5m 1780683600	1	$10	14	0	+14	open	—	06-05 18:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	1	$10	13	0	+13	open	—	05-18 03:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	1	$10	32	0	+32	open	—	05-16 05:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	1	$10	30	0	+30	open	—	05-18 06:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	1	$10	17	0	+17	open	—	05-18 07:33
btc updown 5m 1780686000	1	$10	13	0	+13	open	—	06-05 19:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	1	$10	19	0	+19	open	—	05-15 18:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	1	$10	19	0	+19	open	—	05-18 08:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	1	$10	15	0	+15	open	—	05-15 14:18

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-05 19:04:31	btc updown 5m 1780686000	Down	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0xa5d1f5…
06-05 18:39:07	btc updown 5m 1780684500	Down	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0xfe2373…
06-05 18:33:03	btc updown 5m 1780684200	Up	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x11f65e…
06-05 18:23:03	btc updown 5m 1780683600	Down	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x6c3ec8…
06-05 18:18:03	btc updown 5m 1780683300	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xcdd10c…
06-05 18:08:04	btc updown 5m 1780682700	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x281406…
06-05 17:58:58	btc updown 5m 1780682100	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xdade58…
06-05 17:44:24	btc updown 5m 1780681200	Up	BUY	3	42¢	$1	0x1f2ed2…
06-05 17:38:46	btc updown 5m 1780680900	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xaa00ab…
06-05 17:23:06	btc updown 5m 1780680000	Down	BUY	8	22¢	$2	0x66bf95…
06-05 17:23:04	btc updown 5m 1780680000	Up	BUY	8	79¢	$6	0xaa2756…
06-05 16:58:04	btc updown 5m 1780678500	Down	BUY	10	32¢	$3	0x6afb55…
06-05 16:58:04	btc updown 5m 1780678500	Up	BUY	9	66¢	$6	0x2f9c33…
06-05 16:48:15	btc updown 5m 1780677900	Down	BUY	8	14¢	$1	0x21e12e…
06-05 16:48:13	btc updown 5m 1780677900	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x181fac…
06-05 16:38:06	btc updown 5m 1780677300	Down	BUY	9	20¢	$2	0x3c3d31…
06-05 16:38:04	btc updown 5m 1780677300	Up	BUY	8	78¢	$6	0x4aef59…
06-05 16:28:04	btc updown 5m 1780676700	Up	BUY	14	38¢	$5	0x5231c0…
06-05 16:18:19	btc updown 5m 1780676100	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x44bdc7…
06-05 16:18:18	btc updown 5m 1780676100	Up	BUY	8	85¢	$7	0x63d821…
06-05 16:08:40	btc updown 5m 1780675500	Up	BUY	4	30¢	$1	0x14bcb3…
06-05 16:08:39	btc updown 5m 1780675500	Down	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0xc491d5…
06-05 15:58:07	btc updown 5m 1780674900	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x4a6cf3…
06-05 15:58:04	btc updown 5m 1780674900	Down	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x1d09a9…
06-05 13:44:52	btc updown 5m 1780666800	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xe1623d…
06-05 13:44:49	btc updown 5m 1780666800	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xf8d99b…
06-05 13:14:54	btc updown 5m 1780665000	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xabdab9…
06-05 13:14:52	btc updown 5m 1780665000	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x626568…
06-05 13:04:22	btc updown 5m 1780664400	Down	SELL	1	21¢	$0	0x950f73…
06-05 13:03:28	btc updown 5m 1780664400	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xb97992…
06-05 13:03:27	btc updown 5m 1780664400	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xc936b3…
06-05 12:59:03	btc updown 5m 1780664100	Up	BUY	9	70¢	$6	0x922088…
06-05 12:53:15	btc updown 5m 1780663800	Up	BUY	2	71¢	$1	0x012986…
06-05 11:23:16	btc updown 5m 1780658400	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xeaaa2e…
06-05 11:23:15	btc updown 5m 1780658400	Up	BUY	36	84¢	$30	0xa98301…
06-05 10:24:10	btc updown 5m 1780654800	Down	BUY	2	73¢	$1	0xa83f61…
06-05 09:43:43	btc updown 5m 1780652400	Down	BUY	36	68¢	$25	0x2e25d7…
06-05 09:18:03	btc updown 5m 1780650900	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xe20431…
05-28 06:19:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x7e6738…
05-28 03:08:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xa2df13…
05-27 21:14:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0x3e3959…
05-27 21:14:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	SELL	1	55¢	$1	0x6580d9…
05-27 21:14:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x22d2ee…
05-27 20:29:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	73¢	$1	0x7db774…
05-27 18:39:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0x1d0605…
05-27 18:04:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x77bfe4…
05-27 17:59:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xc7c98e…
05-27 17:39:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	72¢	$1	0xff5630…
05-27 16:33:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0x531173…
05-27 16:08:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x3679e2…
05-27 16:03:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	71¢	$1	0x2c5a6a…
05-27 15:53:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xfd0911…
05-27 15:03:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x27bc39…
05-27 12:18:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x155e9b…
05-26 15:38:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x19f0f3…
05-26 14:04:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x994bd4…
05-26 03:28:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xe81bea…
05-26 01:44:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xffc95e…
05-25 22:39:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0xa6e8c2…
05-25 21:43:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x7b209e…
05-25 20:58:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x825f06…
05-25 20:48:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xed64d9…
05-25 19:38:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x4da72c…
05-25 19:19:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x5e060c…
05-25 19:08:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xcab9b5…
05-18 14:58:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x1bc5f3…
05-18 14:54:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x756a67…
05-18 13:44:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xf72b24…
05-18 12:19:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xc11c67…
05-18 11:33:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0x875029…
05-18 11:04:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0x5fcf26…
05-18 09:34:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x7d64c8…
05-18 09:09:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x40c362…
05-18 08:29:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xa2bdb2…
05-18 08:08:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0xd42616…
05-18 07:33:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0xad883f…
05-18 06:03:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x1003da…
05-18 05:59:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0x262c8c…
05-18 05:23:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x50b7f8…
05-18 05:03:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x75e7b1…
05-18 04:33:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0xe2e1ed…
05-18 03:39:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x92864a…
05-18 03:28:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0xb9a801…
05-18 03:09:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	SELL	11	96¢	$10	0xae3aa6…
05-18 03:08:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0xe752a6…
05-18 01:24:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0x6cd8ec…
05-18 00:13:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	19	31¢	$6	0x6ff0b7…
05-17 21:44:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	25	39¢	$10	0x668ccc…
05-17 19:08:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	14	47¢	$7	0x7bf7a2…
05-17 17:39:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x6546d8…
05-17 15:43:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	44¢	$4	0x4b6233…
05-17 12:09:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	46	22¢	$10	0xae613a…
05-16 12:49:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0x6af8a7…
05-16 08:48:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x728e45…
05-16 07:48:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x1a3271…
05-16 07:23:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0x71cdaf…
05-16 07:04:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0xf3cbf8…
05-16 06:53:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x39a260…
05-16 06:33:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0xa222e8…
05-16 05:49:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0xc7a020…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0x424e…263b	222	$77.1K	11,996	06-05 19:04
(anonymous) 0xd901…8e14	222	$70.6K	19,067	06-05 19:04
(anonymous) 0x48ac…4a7e	222	$66.6K	18,371	06-05 19:04
(anonymous) 0xba67…4727	222	$64.5K	9,484	06-05 19:04
Colorless-Camp 0x0748…92a1	222	$59.4K	9,385	06-05 19:05
(anonymous) 0xf9b7…a37c	222	$53.0K	10,442	06-05 19:04
Agile-Analogy 0x1015…bac8	222	$47.8K	8,542	06-05 19:04
Slight-Goodnight 0x6088…f361	221	$94.4K	4,872	06-05 19:01