Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$5.70K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

63.6%

Resolved

485

Trades

2,563

lifetime

Volume

$492.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$192

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-21

last 10-14 20:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 138 days

Categories

Other

61% 55% +$1,060

Politics

21% 36% -$2,726

Crypto

12% 24% -$2,800

Sports

6% 19% -$1,307

Tech

0% 50% +$69

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch?	127	$26.3K	19,366	20,703	-1,338	No	+$234	05-26 20:03
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	59	$12.5K	8,126	7,313	+813	No	+$197	04-22 10:31
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	107	$10.8K	5,600	5,600	+0	No	-$2	04-06 13:52
us strikes iran by february 1 2026	14	$10.7K	6,100	6,100	+0	No	+$118	01-31 20:27
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	41	$10.0K	10,984	10,984	+0	Yes	+$864	06-17 19:06
us strikes iran by february 17 2026 833	2	$9.9K	5,000	5,000	+0	No	-$5	02-17 19:13
Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?	57	$9.8K	13,748	14,482	-734	Yes	-$47	05-24 12:19
nba bkn tor 2026 04 12	25	$8.4K	4,465	4,148	+317	Raptors	+$7	04-12 16:26
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	2	$7.9K	4,000	4,000	+0	No	+$26	02-01 00:17
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	12	$5.9K	92,000	92,000	+0	No	-$180	03-26 13:31
us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	1	$5.9K	6,000	0	+6,000	No	+$108	02-20 16:41
Will France win on 2026-07-09?	13	$5.9K	3,000	3,000	+0	Yes	+$25	07-09 21:54
Solstice FDV above $150M one day after launch?	68	$5.8K	6,997	6,349	+649	Yes	-$756	05-25 08:14
tur gal eyu 2026 02 13 total 1pt5	2	$5.7K	3,000	3,000	+0	Over	+$245	02-13 17:36
Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	31	$5.7K	5,630	5,630	+0	Yes	-$138	04-16 07:50
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	23	$5.5K	4,591	4,591	+0	Yes	-$418	04-07 23:24
cbb idaho hou 2026 03 19	7	$5.3K	2,717	2,717	+0	Houston Cougars	-$3	03-19 20:09
sea rom pis 2026 04 10 pis	18	$5.0K	2,731	2,727	+4	No	+$47	04-10 21:36
Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	82	$5.0K	8,745	8,745	+0	No	-$883	04-30 05:06
will solstice launch a token by march 31 2026	30	$4.8K	3,460	3,660	-200	No	+$741	03-26 15:07
cbb howrd mich 2026 03 19	6	$4.7K	2,399	2,399	+0	Michigan Wolverines	-$2	03-19 13:29
ucl psg1 liv1 2026 04 08 total 3pt5	5	$4.5K	5,747	5,747	+0	Under	$0	04-08 15:41
sea int juv 2026 02 14 juv	2	$4.4K	2,490	2,490	+0	No	+$595	02-14 23:55
will atltico madrid reach the uefa champions league quarter finals	29	$4.3K	1,866	2,563	-697	Yes	-$32	03-17 12:06
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	10	$4.2K	4,877	4,877	+0	No	+$5	03-25 16:27
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	6	$4.1K	3,300	3,300	+0	No	-$79	04-19 14:25
cbb vcu ill 2026 03 21	2	$4.1K	11,000	11,000	+0	Illinois Fighting Illini	-$110	03-20 15:54
tur gal kay 2026 02 01 kay	7	$3.8K	2,000	2,000	+0	No	+$120	02-01 17:40
lal rea ray 2026 02 01 ray	2	$3.8K	2,000	2,000	+0	No	+$158	02-01 15:17
bun dor hei 2026 02 01 hei	21	$3.8K	2,000	2,000	+0	No	+$137	02-01 18:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-14 20:31:00	Will AS Roma win on 2026-10-14?	No	SELL	730	13¢	$95	0xd76dc1…
10-14 20:19:57	Will AS Roma win on 2026-10-14?	No	BUY	730	20¢	$143	0xf733a1…
07-31 14:08:53	will ethereum dip to 1700 in july 2026 from july 6	Yes	BUY	997	1¢	$9	0x993a5e…
07-31 14:06:33	will ethereum dip to 1800 in july 2026 from july 14	Yes	BUY	500	12¢	$60	0x31f2b6…
07-30 16:07:03	will ethereum dip to 1700 in july 2026 from july 6	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$3	0xf99c09…
07-30 16:06:57	will ethereum dip to 1800 in july 2026 from july 14	Yes	SELL	892	2¢	$20	0x9a0f80…
07-30 06:48:27	will ethereum reach 2200 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	1,000	1¢	$5	0xf8541f…
07-29 19:39:23	Will Górnik Zabrze win on 2026-07-29?	Yes	BUY	154	13¢	$20	0x10610f…
07-29 18:39:59	will ethereum reach 2100 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	894	6¢	$52	0x9c242e…
07-29 18:07:05	will ethereum reach 1950 on july 29	Yes	SELL	492	50¢	$246	0x50de79…
07-29 18:06:45	will ethereum reach 1950 on july 29	Yes	SELL	8	50¢	$4	0x4ca3ef…
07-29 17:59:32	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	250	17¢	$44	0xe57f48…
07-29 17:40:30	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5,000	0¢	$20	0x7a41a2…
07-29 17:39:56	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	250	24¢	$60	0x9fc592…
07-29 15:52:35	will ethereum reach 2050 on july 29	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x25aa62…
07-29 15:52:27	will ethereum dip to 1750 on july 29	Yes	SELL	6	1¢	$0	0x418538…
07-29 15:47:30	will ethereum reach 2050 on july 29	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xce749d…
07-29 15:46:32	will ethereum dip to 1750 on july 29	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x49aa16…
07-29 15:44:48	will ethereum reach 2000 on july 29	Yes	BUY	1,000	7¢	$70	0x577c33…
07-29 15:44:26	will ethereum dip to 1800 on july 29	Yes	BUY	1,000	8¢	$81	0x53c840…
07-29 15:42:12	will ethereum dip to 1850 on july 29	Yes	BUY	500	35¢	$175	0xac30e2…
07-29 15:39:36	will ethereum reach 1950 on july 29	Yes	BUY	500	20¢	$100	0xfae335…
07-29 11:10:05	will ethereum reach 2100 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	394	7¢	$27	0x3009a6…
07-29 11:08:38	will ethereum dip to 1800 in july 2026 from july 14	Yes	BUY	392	23¢	$91	0xe8a194…
07-29 11:03:27	will ethereum reach 2100 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	500	7¢	$34	0xb9b4ec…
07-29 11:03:11	will ethereum dip to 1800 in july 2026 from july 14	Yes	BUY	500	24¢	$119	0xbb0076…
07-29 11:00:30	will ethereum reach 2200 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	1,000	2¢	$18	0x8efc61…
07-29 11:00:15	will ethereum dip to 1700 in july 2026 from july 6	Yes	BUY	1,000	4¢	$40	0x8132dd…
07-27 13:34:03	will ethereum reach 2300 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	1,000	1¢	$13	0x078ac8…
07-27 13:33:48	will ethereum reach 2200 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	800	4¢	$36	0x680453…
07-27 13:33:39	will bitcoin reach 70k in july 2026	Yes	SELL	1,000	5¢	$46	0x5a7429…
07-27 13:33:31	will ethereum reach 2100 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	682	19¢	$129	0x3ed390…
07-27 11:30:04	will ethereum reach 2200 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	800	6¢	$44	0x03a5a8…
07-27 11:23:45	will bitcoin reach 70k in july 2026	Yes	BUY	957	6¢	$56	0xe39450…
07-27 11:22:18	will bitcoin reach 70k in july 2026	Yes	BUY	7	6¢	$0	0x1b6882…
07-27 11:20:09	will bitcoin reach 70k in july 2026	Yes	BUY	6	6¢	$0	0xfad18b…
07-27 11:18:46	will bitcoin reach 70k in july 2026	Yes	BUY	6	6¢	$0	0x7ff26e…
07-27 11:17:58	will ethereum reach 2100 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	300	22¢	$66	0x7b68fd…
07-27 11:12:19	will bitcoin reach 70k in july 2026	Yes	BUY	7	6¢	$0	0xd592d2…
07-27 11:08:34	will bitcoin reach 70k in july 2026	Yes	BUY	7	6¢	$0	0x51fc36…
07-27 11:05:21	will bitcoin reach 70k in july 2026	Yes	BUY	8	6¢	$0	0x199540…
07-27 10:58:19	will ethereum reach 2300 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xe3adfb…
07-27 10:56:45	will ethereum reach 2300 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	950	2¢	$20	0xf51ad6…
07-27 10:55:10	will ethereum reach 2100 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	382	23¢	$88	0xf6bd9e…
07-27 04:37:34	will the next google gemini pro model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495	Yes	SELL	175	37¢	$65	0x425081…
07-27 04:15:57	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	500	20¢	$98	0x5d5b16…
07-27 04:07:33	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	500	1¢	$4	0x1dd612…
07-27 04:07:24	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	4,000	1¢	$28	0x2bcc10…
07-27 03:48:13	will the next google gemini pro model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495	Yes	SELL	100	40¢	$40	0x554755…
07-27 03:48:01	will the next google gemini pro model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495	Yes	SELL	124	41¢	$51	0xfcd6ea…
07-26 22:27:54	will the next google gemini pro model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495	Yes	BUY	399	40¢	$160	0x4e1f92…
07-26 16:58:48	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	200	1¢	$1	0x05253d…
07-26 14:37:46	Will Wisla Plock win on 2026-07-26?	No	BUY	120	11¢	$13	0x42be91…
07-26 14:35:42	cs2 aur1 hotu 2026 07 26	HOTU	SELL	287	25¢	$72	0xa55381…
07-26 14:00:39	Will FC Midtjylland win on 2026-07-26?	No	BUY	600	3¢	$18	0xbf1eea…
07-26 12:46:09	cs2 aur1 hotu 2026 07 26	HOTU	BUY	287	29¢	$83	0xa10953…
07-26 12:45:49	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	500	18¢	$90	0xf63fbe…
07-26 12:40:09	cs2 aur1 hotu 2026 07 26	HOTU	SELL	500	28¢	$140	0xc4fa16…
07-26 07:11:31	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$4	0x81334c…
07-26 07:10:57	cs2 aur1 hotu 2026 07 26	HOTU	BUY	500	29¢	$145	0xd8d2d1…
07-25 22:29:18	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	500	21¢	$105	0x2484d6…
07-25 22:28:45	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	300	1¢	$2	0x998a3f…
07-25 22:27:55	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$5	0x066453…
07-25 16:53:51	over 32pt5m committed to the ripcars public sale	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x453d01…
07-25 16:53:40	over 32pt5m committed to the ripcars public sale	Yes	BUY	633	9¢	$57	0x35142a…
07-25 16:49:28	over 32pt5m committed to the ripcars public sale	No	SELL	111	62¢	$69	0xb9a70c…
07-25 16:49:18	over 32pt5m committed to the ripcars public sale	No	SELL	132	50¢	$66	0xd4b380…
07-25 15:41:18	over 32pt5m committed to the ripcars public sale	No	BUY	53	35¢	$18	0x27b625…
07-25 15:16:15	over 32pt5m committed to the ripcars public sale	No	BUY	189	44¢	$84	0xf389fc…
07-25 15:14:42	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	No	BUY	1,000	3¢	$27	0xbed54f…
07-24 15:42:13	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	No	SELL	200	11¢	$22	0xcb6c7a…
07-24 15:25:10	will the next claude opus model be released by july 24 2026 231 543	Yes	SELL	200	48¢	$96	0xb71205…
07-24 14:22:40	will the next claude opus model be released by july 24 2026 231 543	Yes	SELL	200	57¢	$114	0x68fc35…
07-24 14:16:46	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	No	BUY	200	22¢	$44	0xe1096e…
07-24 13:50:31	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	500	26¢	$130	0x4fd890…
07-24 13:31:01	will the next claude opus model be released by july 24 2026 231 543	Yes	SELL	100	32¢	$32	0x66dc8f…
07-24 13:18:00	will the next claude opus model be released by july 24 2026 231 543	Yes	BUY	100	30¢	$30	0x5f5e94…
07-24 13:16:45	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	No	SELL	222	23¢	$51	0x2bcf47…
07-24 13:15:27	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	No	SELL	9	23¢	$2	0xf24525…
07-24 13:15:19	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	No	SELL	129	23¢	$30	0xcf9caf…
07-24 13:01:34	will the next claude opus model be released by july 24 2026 231 543	Yes	BUY	139	34¢	$47	0x786cec…
07-24 12:57:51	will the next claude opus model be released by july 24 2026 231 543	Yes	BUY	37	34¢	$13	0x241e7d…
07-24 12:54:15	will the next claude opus model be released by july 24 2026 231 543	Yes	BUY	200	34¢	$68	0xe7ae9f…
07-24 12:53:52	will the next claude opus model be released by july 24 2026 231 543	Yes	BUY	124	34¢	$42	0x655b99…
07-23 20:57:40	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	No	BUY	209	31¢	$65	0x902cbb…
07-23 20:44:31	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	No	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x32a518…
07-23 20:36:10	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	No	BUY	141	31¢	$44	0x26a1cc…
07-23 18:11:55	will spacex starship flight test 13 superheavy pop	No	SELL	200	28¢	$56	0xc1a8b8…
07-23 15:23:51	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	500	28¢	$138	0xabe764…
07-22 15:36:01	iran leadership change by july 31 20260629143932628	Yes	SELL	840	4¢	$37	0xee901c…
07-21 15:27:16	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	1,000	12¢	$120	0xc4771c…
07-20 14:14:24	swe org dju 2026 07 20 total 5pt5	Over	BUY	344	15¢	$52	0xa0cd6f…
07-20 14:07:12	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	200	27¢	$54	0x84f86b…
07-20 13:31:33	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	172	64¢	$110	0x93611d…
07-20 13:28:55	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	60	65¢	$39	0xfc96dd…
07-19 16:51:04	Dinamo 1948 leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	100	33¢	$33	0x6de45d…
07-19 14:46:00	iran leadership change by july 31 20260629143932628	Yes	BUY	40	6¢	$2	0x94026f…
07-19 13:05:21	iran leadership change by july 31 20260629143932628	Yes	BUY	800	6¢	$50	0x7b574d…
07-19 07:05:43	will spacex starship flight test 13 superheavy pop	No	BUY	400	15¢	$60	0xd93033…
07-17 16:31:24	over 32pt5m committed to the credible public sale	No	BUY	930	5¢	$45	0x9c23bf…